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Airbus and Boeing Flagship Aircraft Choice

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Submitted By basboosa10
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In the aviation industry, forecasts of air travel demand are important specially for the two biggest aircraft manufacturers (Boeing and Airbus) for a wide variety of economic decisions, including research and development, airplane design such as size and specification, and production planning.
“Boeing’s air travel demand forecast is developed by constructing and matching top-down and bottom-up analyses. Bottom-up analysis involves forecasts of traffic between and within individual countries, based on economic predictions, growth momentum, historical trends, travel attractiveness, and projections of the relative openness of air services and domestic airline regulation. Additionally, government statistics on inbound and outbound visitors and tourism receipts are included to identify and cross- check trends. Countries are grouped into geographical regions that generate air traffic flows between and within the regions. In the top-down approach, global and regional markets are similarly projected on aggregated variables. The bottom-up and top-down projections are then reconciled, allowing for the effects of industry and airline business model developments. Further, positive or negative region-specific developments, including population dynamics, shifts toward or away from other modes of transport, and emergence of new air services, are factored in. The resulting regional traffic forecasts are used in developing the airplane demand forecast” (Boeing, 2012).
“Airbus Global Market Forecast follows a process which has been continuously improved upon for more than 20 years. Each major change in the industry (such as the appearance of low cost business models or the strong development of hub and spoke operations) have been the occasion for Airbus to refine and improve its modeling in order to best identify and forecast current and future trends” (Airbus, 2012).
“The GMF

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