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Bank Negara Holds Off Raising Rates

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Bank Negara holds off raising rates

By IZWAN IDRIS

PETALING JAYA: Bank Negara kept the overnight policy rate unchanged yesterday despite the pressure to rein in rising prices, as policymakers placed priority on sustaining economic growth.
“While both the risks to higher inflation and the risks to slower growth have increased, the immediate concern is to avoid a fundamental economic slowdown that would involve higher unemployment,'' the central bank said in a statement issued after a scheduled monetary policy meeting.
Bank Negara was originally expected to announce the meeting's outcome at 6pm yesterday, but the announcement was delayed by nearly two hours.
Earlier, the market was split almost evenly on how they expected the central bank would deal with rising inflation in the country. The interest rate in Malaysia has remained at 3.5% since April 2006, and is among the lowest in Asia together with those in Hong Kong and Thailand.
The consumer price index (CPI) jumped to a 26-year high of 7.7% in June – or twice as high as 3.8% in May – as transport costs soared after the Government raised petrol and diesel prices at local pumps by 41% and 63% respectively.
Bank Negara said it expected inflation to remain “elevated in the second half of the year and into early next year before moderating towards the middle of 2009.”
“The average inflation for 2008 is projected to be in the range of 5.5% to 6%,'' it said. That is higher than the bank's earlier forecast of around 4% made at the start the year.
Before the meeting, a slight majority of economists polled by Bloomberg yesterday had targeted a minimum 25-basis-point hike in the interest rate to counter rising prices.
“Some would argue that Bank Negara is behind the curve to tame inflationary expectation, but the circumstance of different countries rule out 'one-size-fits-all' policy response,'' CIMB Research

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