...The Boeing Company PEG Ratio Valuation The PEG ratio method provides an estimate of the Boeing Company value by dividing a price-earnings ratio (PE) by a forecasted 5-year growth rate (G) to generate a measure, PE/G, called a “PEG”. The PEG reveals how much the market is willing to pay for a future earnings stream growing at the forecasted rate. Selection of Comparables Two corporations were selected as being comparable to the Boeing Company. Although each has characteristics that are similar to Boeing, each is also very different from Boeing, leaving the question as to whether they are truly comparable. They are both significantly smaller companies, as measured by market capitalization. Airbus Group SE is a comparable because it is a direct competitor of Boeing’s Commercial Airplanes segment. Airbus Group is a European aerospace and defense corporation consisting of three business segments, Airbus (civil aircraft), Airbus Defense and Space and Airbus Helicopters. Lockheed Martin is a comparable because it is in the aerospace, defense, security and technologies industry and competes directly with Boeing’s Defense, Space & Security operations. Lockheed Martin is the world's largest defense contractor. About 78% of Lockheed Martin's revenues come from military sales. Value of Boeing Relative to the Comparables Company Market Current Current Current 5-yr PEG Name Cap Price Earnings PE ...
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...| S PRING 2007 Journal of APPLIED CORPORATE FINANCE A MO RG A N S TA N L E Y P U B L I C AT I O N In This Issue: Valuation, Capital Budgeting, and Disclosure Enterprise Valuation Roundtable Presented by Ernst & Young 8 Panelists: Richard Ruback, Harvard Business School; Trevor Harris, Morgan Stanley; Aileen Stockburger, Johnson & Johnson; Dino Mauricio, General Electric; Christian Roch, BNP Paribas; Ken Meyers, Siemens Corporation; and Charles Kantor, Lehman Brothers. Moderated by Jeff Greene, Ernst & Young. The Case for Real Options Made Simple 39 Raul Guerrero, Asymmetric Strategy Valuing the Debt Tax Shield 50 Ian Cooper, London Business School, and Kjell G. Nyborg, Norwegian School of Economics and Business Administration Measuring Free Cash Flows for Equity Valuation: Pitfalls and Possible Solutions 60 Juliet Estridge, Morgan Stanley, and Barbara Lougee, University of San Diego Discount Rates in Emerging Markets: Four Models and an Application 72 Javier Estrada, IESE Business School Rail Companies: Prospects for Privatization and Consolidation 78 James Runde, Morgan Stanley A Real Option in a Jet Engine Maintenance Contract 88 Richard L. Shockley, Jr., University of Indiana A Practical Method for Valuing Real Options: The Boeing Approach 95 Scott Mathews, The Boeing Company, Vinay Datar, Seattle University, and Blake Johnson, Stanford University Accounting for Employee Stock Options and Other...
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...Stock Analysis: Boeing Company Ashutosh Kr.Sinha (DSI# d03252878) 730 Santana Drive Corona Del Mar, CA 92625 Email: ashutosh_sinha55@yahoo.com (949) 719 2955 FI560 Securities Analysis Miriam Benard June 08, 2011 Abstract The purpose of this paper is to make buy or sell recommendation for the Boeing Company’s stock based on the technical analysis and fundamental analysis. The technical analysis consists of analysis of return on equity; the company’s projected future growth of earnings; an analysis of its required rate of return using the CAPM measurement; and the company’s intrinsic value using the discount valuation technique. The fundamental analysis consists of describing the competitive forces in the industry including the company’s relative advantages and disadvantages to its competitors and a discussion on ROE as the basis for growth. Based on the technical analysis, we find that Boeing’s stock is overpriced. Its intrinsic value is $13.39 in 2011, which is substantially less than its current price. But, our fundamental analysis shows that Boeing Company has not only greater earnings growth but also little more ability to grow than its competitor Lockheed Marin Corporation. The Boeing Company also has strong prospect for earnings growth in coming years. Based on the technical and fundamental analysis, we recommend hold. Background Boeing is the world’s leading aerospace company and the largest manufacturer of commercial jetliners and military aircraft...
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...Case Study – The Boeing 7E7 In early 2003, Boeing announced its “Dreamliner” plan to design and sell a new, “super-efficient” jet -- “7E7”. However, the overall market for aircrafts was negatively affected by several shock news: the United States went to war against Iraq, a deadly illness called SARS resulted in global travel warnings. These negative news made airline profits the worst seen in a generation. Michael Bair, the leader of the 7E7 project, announced that Boeing was making “excellent progress on the development of the 7E7 and continues to be on track to seek authority to offer the airplane.” on June 16, 2003, at the prestigious Paris Air Show. In order to proceed with the project, Bair sought a firm commitment from Boeing’s board of directors in early 2004. If the board approved the plan, he could start collecting orders from airlines and expect passengers to start flying on the new jets in 2008. Between now and his recommendation to the board, he would need to complete a valuation of the 7E7 project and gain the support of Boeing’s CEO, Philip Condit, and the other senior managers. Two aspects should be considered to solve the problem. The first aspect is whether this project can bring strategic advantage to the company. The second aspect is whether the cost of capital is less than the estimated rate of return. 7E7 is twin-aisle aircraft. Exhibit 4 shows aircraft distribution forecast of Boeing and Airbus (Boeing and Airbus almost occupies the global commercial aircraft...
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...when you prepare your case write-up in accordance with the syllabus or other instructions. Table of Contents Page Case: Name and Number, Bruner 5e Note Number I. C12- Best Practices—WACC No Questions II. C2- Bill Miller & Value Trust 2 III. C5- Financial Detective, 2005 Contained in Case IV. C7- Body Shop Intl* Contained in Case, but see page 3 V. C6- Krispy Kreme Doughnuts, Inc. 4 VI. C17- The Investment Detective* Contained in Case VII. C28- Intro. to Debt Policy & Value* No Questions, but review M & M Theory on debt and value of the firm. VIII. HBS Case- “Leveraged Betas and the Cost of Equity No Questions IX. C16- The Boeing 7E 7* 5 X. C26- Jet Blue Airways, IPO Valuation* 6 XI.a C35- Merton Electronics 7 XI.b C36- Carefour S. A.* 8 XI.c C44- Palamon Capital Partners* 9 XII. GM Dividend Policy Negotiation (Information to be provided by Dr. Kiss) * Note: Excel Spreadsheets containing some of the exhibits from the case are available for this case at www.mhhe.com/bruner5e FIN 620, CASE QUESTIONS DR. KISS Please allow these questions to serve as a guide when you prepare your case write-up in accordance with the syllabus or other instructions Case 2- Bill Miller & Value Trust Suggested Questions for Your Preparation of the Case. 1. How well has Value Trust performed in recent years? In making that assessment, what...
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...Introduction on BOEING Boeing is an American multinational corporation that designs, manufactures and sells fixed-wing aircraft, rotorcraft, rockets and satellites. It also provides leasing and product support services. Boeing is among the largest global aircraft manufacturers, is the second-largest aerospace & defense contractor in the world based on 2012 revenue and is the US' largest exporter by dollar value. Boeing stock is a component of the Dow Jones Industrial Average. The Boeing Company's corporate headquarters are located in Chicago and the company is led by Chairman and CEO James McNerney. Boeing is organized into five primary divisions: Boeing Commercial Airplanes (BCA); Boeing Defense, Space & Security (BDS); Engineering, Operations & Technology; Boeing Capital; and Boeing Shared Services Group. In 2013, Boeing recorded $86.623 billion in sales, ranked 30th on the Fortune magazine "Fortune 500" list (2013), ranked 95th on the "Fortune Global 500" list (2013), and ranked 26th on the "World's Most Admired Companies" list (2013). The success of this aviation company began when the founder of Boeing, William E.Boeing, bought a shipyard in Seattle on the Duwamish River, which later became his first airplane factory. Boeing, a graduate from Yale University incorporated Boeing on July 15. 1916 as ‘Pacific Aero Products Co.’ which later transformed the company into a world’s largest aircraft manufacturer throughout the aviation history. Between World War I...
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...Specialization-1 vs. Diversification-0 There is an ongoing debate in the business world between specialization and diversification. Companies like Fitbit and Lululemon benefit from their expertise and innovation in niche markets, whereas companies like PepsiCo and Koch Industries benefit from their diverse product and service lines that appeal to a wide variety of customers in several unrelated markets. So which business strategy is more effective in creating value for the company and its shareholders? While this question is not entirely answered by a quantitative analysis, given that businesses are dictated by more than the numbers, this research report addresses the underlying question by analyzing the conglomerate discount using ten company examples. The Conglomerate Discount The general idea behind the conglomerate discount is that companies with multiple unrelated business segments are unfairly valued in the market place as a result of rolling up the various divisions under one, larger parent company. Proponents of the conglomerate discount theory argue that the market essentially penalizes companies that diversify their portfolio of businesses by valuing the conglomerate company at a market value that is less than what the sum of the values of unrelated segments would imply. Because the operations of the business units vary tremendously, an investor that wants to generate a return on one division of the conglomerate must also invest in the multiple other unrelated...
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...Background Boeing, a well-known aerospace company, has been facing a large decision regarding investing money in to producing a new aircraft. Boeing is split into two different primary segments: commercial airplanes and integrated defense systems or in other words, government contracts. Boeing makes commercial airplanes that can be used for both short and long-range flights, while also accepting government defense contracts. Boeing produces and sells six different airplanes to meet the needs of short- to long-range markets. Some of these aircrafts include the 717, 737, 747, 757, 767, and 777. For 2003, Boeing expects to deliver 280 aircraft and expects between 275 and 300 the following year. The expected revenues for 2003 are at $22 billion, which are down from $28 billion the previous year. B. History of the Industry Fundamentally, Boeing is a commercial-aircraft company. Unfortunately, as a part of this industry, they have started to see a significant downfall. They have lost the number one position to Airbus, their largest commercial competitors. Not only this, but also the current economic conditions look less than desirable for the commercial aircraft industry at the moment due to several reasons: • The SARS outbreak • Terrorist risks • Post 9-11 flying fears • War With all of this in mind, the decision to produce a new aircraft becomes even more questionable when analyzing how this company is to remain a dominant player in the future. C. Boeing and the...
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...reasonable certainty. Provision must be made for all known liabilities and expenses, whether the amount of these is known with certainty or is a best estimate in the light of information available, and for losses arising from specific commitments rather than just guesses. Therefore, companies should record all losses as soon as they are known, but should record profits only when they have actually been achieved in cash or other assets. Consistency concept The consistency concept is an ethical rule that is based on the principle that there is uniformity of accounting treatment of like items within each accounting period and from one period to the next. However, as we will see in Chapter 3, judgement may be exercised as to the application of accounting rules to the preparation of financial statements. For example, a company may choose from a variety of methods to calculate the depreciation of its machinery and equipment, or how to value its inventories. Until recently, once a particular approach had been adopted in all future accounting periods, unless there were compelling reasons to change. The ASB encourages their change, if those changes result in showing a truer and fairer picture. If companies do change their approaches then they have to indicate this in their annual reports and accounts. The going...
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...Harvard Business School Strategy Working Paper Series Working Paper Number: 02-061 Working Paper Date: February 2002 “Airbus vs. Boeing in Super Jumbos: A Case of Failed Preemption” Benjamin Esty (Harvard Business School) Pankaj Ghemawat (Harvard Business School This paper can be downloaded without charge from the Social Science Research Network electronic library at: http://ssrn.com/abstract_id=302452 Airbus vs. Boeing in Superjumbos: A Case of Failed Preemption* August 3, 2001 Rev. February 14, 2002 Benjamin C. Esty Morgan 381 Harvard Business School Boston, MA 02163 Tel: (617) 495-6159 e-mail: besty@hbs.edu Pankaj Ghemawat Morgan 227 Harvard Business School Boston, MA 02163 Tel: (617) 495-6270 e-mail: pghemawat@hbs.edu *Acknowledgements: Ramon Casadessus-Masanell, Bruno Cassiman, Richard Caves, Ken Corts, Tarun Khanna, Julio Rotemberg, Vicente Salas Fumas, Xavier Vives and seminar/workshop participants at Boston University, Copenhagen Business School, Harvard Business School, INSEAD, New York University and Universitat Autonoma de Barcelona provided helpful comments. So did senior executives at both Airbus (Adam Brown, John Leahy) and Boeing (Tim Meskill, Randy Baseler, and Jim Jessup), although their comments do not constitute an endorsement of the material in either the teaching case or this paper. We also gratefully acknowledge help from Ed Greenslet, Don Schenk, and The Airline Monitor in obtaining data and insights about the commercial jet aircraft industry...
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...Technical Advisor Council, who was responsible for its oversight, and IT did not seem to be part of the council. Boeing did not seem to have strategic focus and leadership. • Boeing realized that they could no longer focus on airplane manufacturing to be successful • Boeing realize that they were dependent on a cyclical airline market • Boeing shareholders were it executive leadership, shareholders, employees, customers, suppliers and partners, secondary stakeholders were airline customers • in 1994 Boeing's earnings shrank by nearly half then they laid off 9300 employees. • In 1997 Boeing lost the 178 million, 90% drop in profits due to production delays. • 1999 Airbus outsold Boeing for the first time. Problems • Boeing had change management problems incurred from the M&As, and did not effectively integrate business practices/processes to produce cohesive collaboration, communication, processes, integrated networks from all the acquisitions. “the biggest challenges and risks we face are cultural and organizational – not technical” o “But there was no systematic, holistic view of how to add them together. Our Task is to take these building blocks and allow them to work together to further increase efficiency…Chris Kettering, 2005” o While the main concern of Scott Carson was to break down the silos of communication among the different business units o Boeing did not allow for enough time for proper re-organization strategy (reviewing the enabled environment to evaluate...
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...Airbus vs. Boeing in Superjumbos: Credibility and Preemption by Benjamin C. Esty and Pankaj Ghemawat Current Draft: August 3, 2001 Benjamin C. Esty Morgan 381 Harvard Business School Boston, MA 02163 Tel: (617) 495-6159 e-mail: besty@hbs.edu Pankaj Ghemawat Morgan 227 Harvard Business School Boston, MA 02163 Tel: (617) 495-6270 e-mail: pghemawat@hbs.edu Acknowledgements: We would like to thank Ed Greenslet and The Airline Monitor for providing data on and insights about the commercial jet aircraft industry, Mike Kane for assistance with the original teaching case, and the Division of Research at the Harvard Business School for supporting this research. Airbus vs. Boeing in Superjumbos: Credibility and Preemption Abstract In December 2000, Airbus formally committed to spend $12 billion to develop and launch a 555-seat superjumbo plane known as the A380. Prior to and after Airbus’ commitment, Boeing started and canceled several initiatives aimed at developing a “stretch jumbo” with capacity in between its existing jumbo (the 747) and Airbus’ planned superjumbo. This paper provides a strategic (game-theoretic) interpretation of why Airbus, rather than Boeing, committed to the superjumbo, and why Boeing’s efforts to introduce a stretch jumbo have, at least to date, been unsuccessful. Specifically, game theory suggests that the incumbent, Boeing, would earn higher operating profits if it could somehow deter the entrant, Airbus, from developing a superjumbo, but...
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...The Boeing Company 2010 Annual Report At Boeing, we aspire to be the strongest, best and best-integrated aerospace-based company in the world — for today and tomorrow. The Boeing Company Boeing is the world’s largest aerospace company and leading manufacturer of commercial airplanes and defense, space and security systems. A top U.S. exporter, the company supports airlines and U.S. and allied government customers in more than 90 countries. Our products and tailored services include commercial and military aircraft, satellites, weapons, electronic and defense systems, launch systems, advanced information and communication systems, and performance-based logistics and training. With corporate offices in Chicago, Boeing employs more than 160,000 people across the United States and in 70 countries. Our leadership is strengthened further by hundreds of thousands of people who work for Boeing suppliers worldwide. Contents Operational Summary Message From Our Chairman The Executive Council Financial Results Form 10-K Selected Programs, Products and Services Shareholder Information Board of Directors Company Officers 1 2 7 8 9 134 141 142 142 Cover photo: 787 Dreamliner in flight test Photo above: F/A-18E/F Super Hornet strength Operational Summary Q Earned net income of $3.3 billion, or $4.46 per share, compared with $1.3 billion, or $1.87 per share, in 2009. Q Delivered 115 production military aircraft, two launch vehicles and four satellites, and increased backlog...
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...1 PROBABILISTIC APPROACHES: SCENARIO ANALYSIS, DECISION TREES AND SIMULATIONS In the last chapter, we examined ways in which we can adjust the value of a risky asset for its risk. Notwithstanding their popularity, all of the approaches share a common theme. The riskiness of an asset is encapsulated in one number – a higher discount rate, lower cash flows or a discount to the value – and the computation almost always requires us to make assumptions (often unrealistic) about the nature of risk. In this chapter, we consider a different and potentially more informative way of assessing and presenting the risk in an investment. Rather than compute an expected value for an asset that that tries to reflect the different possible outcomes, we could provide information on what the value of the asset will be under each outcome or at least a subset of outcomes. We will begin this section by looking at the simplest version which is an analysis of an asset’s value under three scenarios – a best case, most likely case and worse case – and then extend the discussion to look at scenario analysis more generally. We will move on to examine the use of decision trees, a more complete approach to dealing with discrete risk. We will close the chapter by evaluating Monte Carlo simulations, the most complete approach of assessing risk across the spectrum. Scenario Analysis The expected cash flows that we use to value risky assets can be estimated in one or two ways. They can represent a probability-weighted...
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...Aswath Damodaran INVESTMENT VALUATION: SECOND EDITION Chapter 1: Introduction to Valuation Chapter 2: Approaches to Valuation Chapter 3: Understanding Financial Statements Chapter 4: The Basics of Risk Chapter 5: Option Pricing Theory and Models Chapter 6: Market Efficiency: Theory and Models Chapter 7: Riskless Rates and Risk Premiums Chapter 8: Estimating Risk Parameters and Costs of Financing Chapter 9: Measuring Earnings Chapter 10: From Earnings to Cash Flows Chapter 11: Estimating Growth Chapter 12: Closure in Valuation: Estimating Terminal Value Chapter 13: Dividend Discount Models Chapter 14: Free Cashflow to Equity Models Chapter 15: Firm Valuation: Cost of Capital and APV Approaches Chapter 16: Estimating Equity Value Per Share Chapter 17: Fundamental Principles of Relative Valuation Chapter 18: Earnings Multiples Chapter 19: Book Value Multiples Chapter 20: Revenue and Sector-Specific Multiples 3 16 37 81 121 152 211 246 311 341 373 425 450 487 533 593 637 659 718 760 Chapter 21: Valuing Financial Service Firms Chapter 22: Valuing Firms with Negative Earnings Chapter 23: Valuing Young and Start-up Firms Chapter 24: Valuing Private Firms Chapter 25: Acquisitions and Takeovers Chapter 26: Valuing Real Estate Chapter 27: Valuing Other Assets Chapter 28: The Option to Delay and Valuation Implications Chapter 29: The Option to Expand and Abandon: Valuation Implications Chapter 30: Valuing Equity in Distressed Firms Chapter 31: Value Enhancement: A Discounted Cashflow...
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