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Chinese Rmb

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Submitted By fulangzidi
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CHINA’S RENMINBI: “OUR CURRENCY, YOUR PROBLEM?”
Section I
The debate on whether China should immediately appreciate RMB tends to be intensive recently. US and EU claimed that the undervalued RMB manipulated by Chinese government giving rise to their trade deficit. On the other hand, China responded that trade deficits in these countries cannot be a result merely from undervalued RMB and as China has the right to choose its exchange rate policy as a sovereign country. In our analysis, undervalued RMB is not the crucial factor leading to US and EU trade deficit. Besides, it is possible that many adverse effects such as bubble burst and social turmoil occur in China. Finally, even if the undervalued RMB is the reason and RMB is appreciated therefore, other developing Asian countries will take the place of China through their undervalued currency, which would not benefit either the US nor China.

Section II
Our statement is based on the external and internal considerations for economies and politics of China and its major trade partners. * RMB appreciation will not necessarily reduce the other countries’ trade deficits. * Weak Link between Currency Values and Trade Flows: From 2001 to 2004, the RMB-US$ exchange rate was consistent, while the U.S. exports to China were increasing (See Figure 1). From July 2005 to July 2008, the RMB appreciated by 21 percent against the dollar while the U.S. trade deficit with China increased from $202 to $268 billion. * Nature of foreign trade is mutually beneficial and win-win. If RMB were appreciated, in the short-run the purchasing power of RMB could rise to a certain level which can be used to consume exported goods, but in the long-run this will cause many problems in Chinese society, a higher unemployment rate for instance. So in the long-term, this will hurt other countries’ exportation to China. It will

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