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Critical Analysis Report for Best Buy

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Submitted By sissili
Words 406
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Pei Qiu 915123333

1 a) an after tax loss matrix. decision | Fire | No fire | 1. full insurance | $6000*0.85= $5100 | $6000*0.85= $5100 | 2. retention | $250000*0.85= 212500 | $0 | 3. loss control with full insurance | (4000+1000)*0.85= 4250 | (4000+1000)*0.85= 4250 | 4. loss control with retention | (25000+1000)*0.85= 213350 | 1000*0.85=850 |

1 b) after tax expected losses for each option 1. 5100*2%+5100*98%=5100 2. 212500 *2%+ $0 *98%= 4250 3. 4250*1%+4250*99%= 4250 4. 213350*1%+850*99%=297 5 the risk manager wants to minimize expected loss as her decision rule, we choose the fourth method-loss control with retention since 2975<4250<5100.

1 c) total costs for each option is P *+worry value total cost for retention 4250 +4000= 8250 total cost for loss control with retention 2975+3000=5975 total cost for full insurance 5100 total cost for loss control with full insurance 4250

2. the loss matrix Alternatives\Future states | 0 | 10,000 | 70,000 | 100,000 | 1000,000 | Retention | 0 | 10,000 | 70,000 | 100,000 | 1000,000 | Partical insurance | 5,000 | 5,000 | 5,000 | 35,000 | 935,000 | Deductible insurace | 20,000 | 22,000 | 22,000 | 22,000 | 922,000 | Full insurance | 25000 | 25000 | 25000 | 25000 | 25000 |

Loss in dollars | 0 | 10000 | 70000 | 100000 | 1000000 | P* | probability | 0.75 | 0.1 | 0.08 | 0.06 | 0.01 | | retention | 0*0.75=0 | 10000*0.1=1000 | 70000*0.08=5600 | 100000*0.06=6000 | 1000000*0.01=10000 | 22600 | Possible decisions 1, Partial insurance | 5000*0.75=3750 | 5000*0.1=500 | 5000*0.08=400 | 35000*0.06=2100 | 935000*0.01=9350 | 16100 | 2. Deductible insurance | 20,000*0.75= | (20,000+2000) *0.1=2200 | 22,000*0.08=1760 | 22,000*0.06=1320 | (900,000+20,000+2000)*0.01=9220 | 29500 | 3. Full insurance | |

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