...Journal of International Economic Studies Vol. 12, No. 1, June 2008 3 Determinants and Consequences of Non-Interest Income Diversification of Commercial Banks in OECD Countries* 1) Joon-Ho Hahm Professor, Graduate School of International Studies, Yonsei University jhahm@yonsei.ac.kr This paper studies determinants and consequences of the changing income structure of commercial banks in the era of financial conglomeration. Utilizing a dataset of 662 relatively large commercial banks in 29 OECD countries from 1992 to 2006, we find that banks with relatively large asset sizes, low net interest margins, high impaired loan ratios, and high cost-income ratios tend to exhibit higher non-interest income shares. As for macroeconomic factors, banks in countries with slow economic growth, a stable inflation environment, and welldeveloped stock markets tend to show higher non-interest income shares. Second, we investigate the consequences of non-interest income expansion on bank profitability and risks. While the positive effects on profit and capital adequacy seem to become weaker under the consideration of macroeconomic factors and endogeneity problems, the adverse impact on profit variability remains robust. Overall, these findings suggest that expanding toward non-interest income may not produce desired income diversification effects, and it does not necessarily imply a shift toward superior return-risk frontiers. Keywords: Commercial Bank, Non-interest Income, Bank Profitability...
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...Business Research Papers Vol.3 No.2 June 2007, Pp. 362 - 375 362 Stock Return Volatility in Emerging Equity Market (Kse): The Relative Effects of Country and Global Factors Mohammad Faisal Rizwan* and Safi Ullah Khan** This paper focuses on the role of macroeconomic variables and global factors on the volatility of the stock returns in an emerging market like Pakistan. The paper uses two multivariate models, multivariate EGARCH and Vector Auto Regressive (VAR) models to investigate the effect of exchange rate, interest rate, industrial production, money supply, Morgan Stanley Capital International (MSCI) World Index and 6-months LIBOR on stock prices in Pakistan’s equity market. The estimate shows that domestic macroeconomic variables have varying degrees of importance in explaining the relationship between stock returns and volatility in Karachi Stock Exchange. The empirical results also show that the two global factors, MSCI World Index and 6-months LIBOR, variables used in this paper explain the stock returns in KSE. An important conclusion drawn from the results is that macroeconomic variables exhibit asymmetric effects on returns volatility. Overall, the results show that Pakistan’s stock market is partially integrated as shown by the significant role of both country and global factors. Field of Research: Finance 1. Introduction Studies on the link between macroeconomic variables and stock returns are broadly divided into two groups based on the level of market integration...
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...Chapter 1.0 Introduction & Background 1.1 Introduction: Banks are very old form of financial institution that channels excess fund from surplus unit to deficit unit in consideration of a price called interest. Banking business definitely established on a relationship of Debtor-creditor between the surplus unit called depositor and the bank and between the deficit unit called borrowers and the bank. Here, opportunity coast of money works as interest is considered the price of the credit. For the development of an economy, bank furnishes a huge contribution and modem economy can not be imagined without the service of bank. Economic development of a country requires a well organized, smooth, easy to reach and efficient saving-investment process. The function of a single bank is not limited to its geographical region only rather it has reached beyond the border of the country. So banking business has been shaped as global business and the rest other business greatly depend on the strength of banking business performance. The recent financial crisis showed many weaknesses within the on hand financial system across the world. This triggers many issues linking to the protection of banking institution against probable future non expected risks associated with periods of insecurity. Bank regulatory authorities are directly liable to evaluate the performance of each banking business to find out any flaw. Regulatory authority should have to sense any upcoming difficulties...
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...Impact of Macro-Economic Variables on the Stock Market Impact of Macro-Economic Variables on the Stock Market Arunabha Dhar (Roll No. 008) Gaurav Bhatt (Roll No. 017) Amartya Ray (Roll No. 067) Bodhisatva Basu (Roll No. 075) Rahul Jain (Roll No. 094) Arunabha Dhar (Roll No. 008) Gaurav Bhatt (Roll No. 017) Amartya Ray (Roll No. 067) Bodhisatva Basu (Roll No. 075) Rahul Jain (Roll No. 094) Contents UNDERSTANDING ON RESEARCH PROBLEM IDENTIFICATION & DEFINITION 3 ABSTRACT 3 INTRODUCTION 3 LITERATURE REVIEW 6 GAP in Research 8 MOTIVATION 8 DATA COLLECTION/SAMPLE SELECTION 9 HYPOTHESIS 10 Research Methodology 10 FINDINGS 11 CONTRIBUTION TO LITERATURE 23 CONCLUSIONS 23 References 25 UNDERSTANDING ON RESEARCH PROBLEM IDENTIFICATION & DEFINITION Relationship between macroeconomic variables and broad market index: A causal relationship between Nifty CNX and macroeconomic variables in India ABSTRACT The relationship between macroeconomic variables and broad market index by now are well documented in the literature. However a void in the literature relates to examining the causal relationship between Nifty CNX and macroeconomic variables such as FDI, FPI, weighted average lending rate (WALR), GDP and oil import in India and correlation among the macro variables. INTRODUCTION Globalization of Indian economy post liberalization has been spurred by capital and stock investment in terms of FDI & FPI. Indian stock market both securities...
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...MP A R Munich Personal RePEc Archive Bank-specific, industry-specific and macroeconomic determinants of bank profitability Panayiotis Athanasoglou and Sophocles Brissimis and Matthaios Delis Bank of Greece June 2005 Online at http://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/32026/ MPRA Paper No. 32026, posted 5. July 2011 14:01 UTC BANK OF GREECE BANK-SPECIFIC, INDUSTRY-SPECIFIC AND MACROECONOMIC DETERMINANTS OF BANK PROFITABILITY Panayiotis P. Athanasoglou Sophocles N. Brissimis Matthaios D. Delis Working Paper No. 25 June 2005 BANK-SPECIFIC, INDUSTRY-SPECIFIC AND MACROECONOMIC DETERMINANTS OF BANK PROFITABILITY Panayiotis P. Athanasoglou Bank of Greece Sophocles N. Brissimis Bank of Greece and University of Piraeus Matthaios D. Delis Athens University of Economics and Business ABSTRACT The aim of this study is to examine the effect of bank-specific, industry-specific and macroeconomic determinants of bank profitability, using an empirical framework that incorporates the traditional Structure-Conduct-Performance (SCP) hypothesis. To account for profit persistence, we apply a GMM technique to a panel of Greek banks that covers the period 1985-2001. The estimation results show that profitability persists to a moderate extent, indicating that departures from perfectly competitive market structures may not be that large. All bank-specific determinants, with the exception of size, affect bank profitability significantly in the anticipated way. However, no evidence is found...
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...Factors affecting on stock price 1. Introduction The stock market has become an essential market playing a vital role in economic prosperity that fostering capital formation and sustaining economic growth. Stock markets are more than a place to trade securities; they operate as a facilitator between savers and users of capital by means of pooling of funds, sharing risk, and transferring wealth. Stock markets are essential for economic growth as they insure the flow of resources to the most productive investment opportunities. In essence, a large number of economic variables like gross domestic product, interest rates, current account, monthly supply, employment, their information etc. have an impact on daily stock prices (Kurihara, 2006). This paper reflects how stock price is determined by considering the effect of different factors and outlines whether the internal, external and economic factors have impact on stock pricing. This study is about to know whether Dividends, paid up capital, market capital, corporate social responsibility, lawsuits, Retained Earnings, AGM, EGM, Earning Per Share, Rumors, Margin Loan, Net Income, Face Value, Return on Investment, Goodwill of the firm, Company News, Analysts Report, Sentiment, Rumors, etc. depends on stock price or merely some special factors like stock dividend, P/E ratio, government policy, macroeconomics fundamental, investors sentiment...
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...Literature Review on Bangladesh Stock Market Literature Review: 1 Before the decade of eighty much of the stock market literature viewed the present value of dividends to be the principal determinant of market return of stocks. LeRoy and Porter (1981) and Shiller (1981) found that under the assumption of constant discount factor stock prices were too volatile to be consistent with movement in future dividends. The decomposition of stock price movements is very sensitive to what assumption is made about the presence of permanent changes in either real dividend growth or excess stock return (Wohar & Mark, 2006). Cochrane (1992) Timmerman (1995) have argued that fluctuation in stock prices can be explained by time-varying discount rates and future excess returns. Cochrane (1992) by using an alternative methodology to decompose the variability of stock prices also found the variability of excess return to be more important than the variability of dividend growth. A lower degree of efficiency in less developed countries market might be caused by common characteristics of loose disclosure requirements as well as thinness and discontinuity of trading. It is generally assumed that the emerging markets are less efficient than the developed markets. Raihan, et al (2007) found that in Chittagong Stock Exchange (CSE) in Bangladesh, stock return series do not follow random walk model and the significant autocorrelation co-efficient at different lags do not accept the hypothesis...
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...AN ANALYSIS OF THE EFFECTS OF INTEREST RATE AND EXCHANGE RATE CHANGES ON STOCK MARKET RETURNS: EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE OF GHANA STOCK EXCHANGE A thesis submitted to the Institute of Distance Learning, Kwame Nkrumah University of Science and Technology in partial fulfillment of the requirement for the degree of COMMONWEALTH EXECUTIVE MASTERS OF BUSINESS ADMINISTRATION Institute of Distance Learning, KNUST JUNE, 2011 DECLARATION I hereby declare that this submission is my own work toward the Commonwealth Executive Master of Business Administration and that, to the best of my knowledge, it contains no material previously published by another person nor material which has been accepted for the award of any other degree of the University except where due acknowledgement has been made in the text. RANSFORD CHARLES ENYAAH (STUDENT ID No: 20103521) …………………… Signature …………………. Date Certified by: EDWARD ACHEAMPONG (SUPERVISOR) …………………… Signature …………………. Date Certified by: ……………………………… Head of IDL …………………… Signature …………………. Date i DEDICATION I dedicate this project work to the Lord Almighty and all my loved ones. ii ACKNOWLEDGEMENT First of all, I thank the almighty God for fulfilling his promises to my life and for granting me the strength, wisdom and knowledge to complete this work My profound gratitude goes to my Supervisor, Mr. Edward Acheampong (Lecturer, Methodist University College, Ghana) for his unflinching dedication...
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...study is that the banks performance represents their ability to generate sustainable profitability and that banks’ profitability is one important issue of contemporary banking field, grace to its role in emphasizing of the financial soundness of banks, abreast to others indicators regarding to the capital adequacy or assets quality. The paper examines how is affected banking profitability (expressed through traditional measures of performance ROA - Return on Assets and ROE - Return on Equity) by the CRR Credit risk ratio in Romanian banking system during March 2008 - June 2013. We developed two regression models in order to study the dependence between mentioned variables. We found that ROA and ROE vary each of them depending on the CRR Credit risk ratio, which is expressed as the ratio of gross value of exposure to loans and related interest under “doubtful” and “loss” to total classified loans and related interest pertaining to non-bank loans, off-balance sheet items excluded. Keywords: ROA Return on Assets, ROE - Return on Equity, Credit risk ratio, Regression model JEL Codes: D12, C58, G21 Introduction Significant level of non-performing loans and faster cross-border deleveraging are considered the major weaknesses of the Romanian banking sector, according to National Bank of Romania NBR's Financial Stability Report (National Bank of Romania, 2013). Fortunately, during 2004-2012, deleveraging moderately manifested as a consequence of slight increase in total...
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...CASH FLOW AND INVESTMENT FLUCTUATIONS USING FIRM-LEVEL PANEL DATA* Abd. Ghafar Ismail Nur Azura Sanusi Since the pioneering work of Gurley and Shaw (1955), the attempt has been done to justify money as a primary focal point of macroeconomic theorizing. However, other researchers argue that variables such as financial development and indicators are also important to be linked with macroeconomic performance. Here, if money can be thought as means of production and consumer goods as the ultimate end toward which production is directed, and then capital also occupies a position that is both logically and temporarily intermediate between original means and ultimate ends. This temporarily intermediate status of capital is not in serious dispute, but its significance for macroeconomic theorizing is rarely recognized. The firms’ decision to acquire funds through debt and equity financings affects the capital structure, and, in the firm’s balance sheet, the impact of capital appears to influence the inventory investment. Hence, the significance of capital structure –induced inventory distortions in the context of firm-level is the basis for our article. The sample for our analysis is compiled from the balance sheets of listed syaria firms in the Kuala Lumpur Stock Exchange for the period 1995-2000. JEL classification: E44; G32; Keywords: asymmetric information; debt financing; equity financing; investment * An earlier version of this paper was presented at the 6th Malaysia Finance Association...
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...INDUSTRY RETURNS USING THE VARIABLE BETA MODEL AND LAGGED VARIABLE BETA MODEL Thomas M. Krueger* and Mohammad H. Rahbar* Abstract Beta is found to be a function of several leading economic indicators and government policy variables within the context of the Variable Beta Model which incorporates economic characteristics in the single index model in a multiplicative manner. When contemporaneous macroeconomic descriptors are replaced with reporting-period-lagged macroeconomic descriptors, in the Lagged Variable Beta Model, model explanatory power increases. Findings suggest that the lagged beta model is more likely to satisfy the ordinary least squares assumptions of serially independent error terms. INTRODUCTION Beta as a measure of priced risk is again under attack. Fama and French's [10,11] finding that the single index market model (SIMM) does not describe the last 50 years of average stock returns has been widely reported. Such a finding has widespread implications for corporate finance and investment management. Capital budgeting has frequently been based upon the belief that a higher return was required from projects with more volatile cash flows under the assumption that the volatile cash flows are at least partially dependent upon systematic factors. Firms which have based a portion of their appeal on the basis of their high beta and assumed higher rates of return may see an exodus of shareholders. Utility rate structures designed to give investors a return consistent...
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...Determinants of Banking Instability in Malaysia Final Year Project Proposal – April 2015 Submitted By: Name & Roll Number Submitted To: Supervisor’s Name: This proposal is submitted to SEGi UNIVERSITY on 10/04/15, in partial fulfillment of the requirement for the degree BBM. EXCLUSIVE RIGHTS ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. No part of this paper may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system or transmitted in any form or by any means without the prior consent of the author. DECLARATION I hereby declare that: * This undergraduate research project is the end result of my own work / research and that due acknowledgement has been given in the references. * No portion of this research project has been submitted in support of any application for any other degree or qualification of this or any other university. * The word count of this research proposal is 10,276 words. Name of the Student Signature Date ACKNOWLEDEMENTS I would like to thank my Final year project’s supervisor [NAME], who has been an inspiration and provided me information regarding banking instability, which proved to be very useful in completing this project. I also appreciate the hard work and efforts of my friends and former colleagues who has provided me with useful information / data which helped me choose this topic. PREFACE This research paper is submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirement for Bachelor of Business Administration (HONS)...
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...AN INVESTIGATION OF THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN NON-PERFORMING LOANS, MACROECONOMIC FACTORS, AND FINANCIAL FACTORS IN CONTEXT OF PRIVATE COMMERCIAL BANKS IN BANGLADESH by Syeda Zabeen Ahmed ID # 0120269 An Internship Report Presented in Partial Fulfillment of the Requirements for the Degree Bachelor of Business Administration INDEPENDENT UNIVERSITY, BANGLADESH April 2006 An investigation of the relationship between Non-performing Loans, Macroeconomic Factors, and Financial Factors in context of Private Commercial Banks in Bangladesh by Syeda Zabeen Ahmed ID # 0120269 has been approved April, 2006 _________________ Shubhankar Shil Lecturer School of Business Independent University, Bangladesh TABLE OF CONTENTS Page List of Tables Abstract 1. Introduction 2. Problem Statement 3. Purpose of the Study 4. Limitations of the Study 5. Research Timeline 6. Review of Literature 6.1 Non-performing Loans 6.2 Development of hypotheses 6.3 Macroeconomic factors and NPLs 6.4 Bank specific indicators and NPLs 6.5 Terms of Credit and NPLs 7. Methodology 7.1 Research Approach 7.2 Sampling Method 7.3 Measure of variables 7.4 Data Collection Procedure 7.5 Data Analysis 8. Results 8.1 Descriptive 8.2 Correlations 8.3 Regression 9. Significant of the Study 11. Conclusion Reference Appendix 1 I 1 1 2 2 3 3 3 4 5 6 7 7 8 8 8 8 9 9 10 10 11 12 13 13 14 16 List of Tables Page 1. Demographics of respondents 2. Occupational experience of respondents 3. Responsibility statements 4. Reliability...
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...stable in which it tends to oscillatecontingent on the economic condition. In the long-run, its prices keep increasing due to high demand and inadequate supply worldwide. However, in the short-run, its price seems to be volatile due to various potential reasons. Therefore, this study was conducted to determine the factors influencing gold prices in Malaysia. In order to achieve the objective, Stata software was used to assess the prospective relationships between the gold prices as the dependent variable and the inflation rate, interest rate and exchange rate as independent variablesby using Pooled Ordinary Least Squares (POLS) methodology. The monthly data employed in this study spans across a 14 years period from year 2000 until 2013. The results revealed that the rates of inflation, exchange and interest were significantly related with gold prices in Malaysia in different magnitude and direction.It is empirically proven that any change in the rates of these three variables will likely pose a change of gold prices in the country.The results also solidify the importance of gold as a store of wealth and portfolio construction. KEYWORDS:Gold prices, Exchange Rate, Inflation Rate,...
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...On the Relationship between stock return and exchange rate: evidence on China Yaqiong Li a b , Lihong Huang b a b The Business School, Loughborough University ,UK College of Mathematics and Econometrics, Hunan University, Changsha ,Hunan ,China Abstract The purpose of this paper is to investigate the relationship between RMB exchange rate and A-share stock returns in China, in particular in Shanghai stock market. We find that both stock returns and RMB nominal exchange rate are integrated of order 1. The Engle–Granger cointegration test is then performed, suggesting that there is not a long-run equilibrium relationship between stock returns and RMB exchange rates at 5% significance level. However, there is strong evidence suggesting that there is a short-run uni-directional causality relationship from the nominal exchange rate to the stock returns. Keywords: cointegration; Granger causality; RMB exchange rate; stock return; unit root test. 1. Introduction The China’s exchange rate policy has recently emerged as one of major issues in the trade between the PR of China and the United States of America. The controversy is fuelled by China’s pegging of RMB to USD. Since a major devaluation of the RMB in 1994, the Chinese currency’s exchange rate vis-a-vis USD remained more or less unchanged until 21 July 2005, and has fluctuated from RMB 8.22 to 8.11 per dollar since then. The Chinese Authority has recently announced that “RMB will be no longer pegged to the US dollar”...
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