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Australian goat

Industry summary 2014

Australian goat industry summary 2014 Contents
Introduction ........................................................................................................... 1 2013 – the key numbers ..................................................................................... 2

List of Figures
Figure 1 Australian rainfall 1 Jan 2013 - 31 Dec 2013 .................................................. 4 Figure 2 Managed goat flock ......................................................................................... 4 Figure 3 Australian goat slaughter ................................................................................. 4 Figure 4 Export OTH goat prices ................................................................................... 4 Figure 5 Goat production by state ................................................................................ 5 Figure 6 Australian goatmeat production .................................................................... 5 Figure 7 Australian average goat carcase weights .................................................... 5 Figure 8 Australian goatmeat exports and values ...................................................... 6 Figure 9 Australian goatmeat exports to North America .......................................... 8 Figure 10 A$ against US$ ................................................................................................ 8 Figure 11 Export values to North America .................................................................... 8 Figure 12 Goat meat export unit values to Malaysia .................................................. 9 Figure 13 Australian goatmeat exports to China and Malaysia ............................... 9 Figure 14 Australian goatmeat exports to Taiwan ...................................................... 9 Figure 15 Australian goatmeat exports to Trinidad and Tobago ............................ 10 Figure 16 Australian goatmeat exports to Jamaica .................................................. 10 Figure 17 Goatmeat export values to the Carribean ................................................ 10 Figure 18 Australian live goat exports and value ........................................................ 11 Figure 19 Australian goat exports by state of loading ............................................... 11

Australian goat situation and overview ......................................................... 3 Australian goat flock ......................................................................................... 4
Goat flock .............................................................................................................. 4 Slaughter ............................................................................................................... 4 Over-the-hook prices ......................................................................................... 4 Australian goat ..................................................................................................... 5

Goat production ............................................................................................... 5 Average carcase weights ............................................................................... 5
Demand summary .............................................................................................. 6 Australian goatmeat demand summary .......................................................... 7 North America ...................................................................................................... 8 Asia ......................................................................................................................... 9 Caribbean ............................................................................................................ 10 Live exports – summary ..................................................................................... 11 Appendix 1 – Goatmeat exports by destination ............................................ 12 Sources, acknowledgements and acronyms ............................................... 13 Notes .................................................................................................................... 14

List of Tables
Table 1 Table 2 Table 3 Table 4 Situation and overview for the Australian goat industry ........................... 3 Australian exports of goatmeat .................................................................... 7 Australian live goat exports .......................................................................... 11 Australian goatmeat exports to destinations and major regions by the main cuts ............................................................................................ 12

Authors: Tim McRae and Ben Thomas For more information call MLA on 02 9463 9163
Published by Meat & Livestock Australia Ltd February 2014 © Meat & Livestock Australia Ltd, 2014
While endeavouring to ensure that the information contained in this publication is correct, MLA makes no representation as to, and accepts no liability for, the accuracy of such information including, but not limited to, the forecasts.

ii

MLA’s Market information services – Australian goat industry summary 2014

Introduction
Goatmeat is the most widely consumed meat in the world and is an important component of diets in the Middle East, North Africa (MENA) and Asia. A large majority of goatmeat produced is consumed in the country of origin.
Total world production of goat meat was around 5.2 million tonnes cwt in 2010, 53,000 tonnes, or 1% of which was traded on the export market at a total value of US$239 million (FAO statistics). Over the past 20 years the Australian goatmeat industry has experienced strong growth, largely underpinned by the sale of goats derived from rangeland or extensive production systems. Australia is the world leader in goatmeat exports, with around 95% of Australian goatmeat sent offshore and accounting for around 50% of the global goatmeat trade. Around 90% of Australia’s meat production is derived from rangeland goats, the majority of which are mustered from semi-arid western regions of the eastern states. The rangeland goat population was estimated to be between 4 – 6 million head in 2011, but an accurate measure of the population is unlikely, due to the vast spread of the population and ability to reproduce rapidly under favourable climatic conditions.

Meat & Livestock Australia’s Market Information
MLA produces a wide range of market information publications, which can be accessed for the latest news, analysis and statistics for the Australian red meat and livestock industry. From MLA Livestock Market Officers at saleyards each day, through to annual forecast and statistical compilations, the provision of timely, accurate and continuous market information is a key service provided to MLA members and stakeholders. All of MLA’s market information publications, including the Australian Goat Industry Summary 2014, are available at www.mla.com.au, or through a direct email service. If you would like to contact MLA’s Market Information Service, please email marketinformation@mla.com.au, or call (02) 9463 9163.

MLA’s Market information services – Australian goat industry summary 2014

1

2013 – the key numbers
 Australian goat slaughter in 2013 reached 2.07 million 1 head – the highest on record  Production reached 31,500 tonnes cwt – the highest on record  Live goat exports increased 19% year-on-year, to 73,600 head  Malaysia received the vast majority of live goats again in 2013  Goat meat exports also reached record levels in 2013, at 32,700 tonnes swt, surpassing the 2012 volume by 12%  The US remained Australia’s largest goat meat export destination, receiving 15,500 tonnes swt  China emerged as a rapidly growing goat meat market, becoming the second largest export destination, taking 4,700 tonnes swt – from just 370 tonnes swt in 2012  Goat meat export values were $161,391 – up 21% urt 1

r overnigh

t

Australian goatmeat

fresh, delicious and healt

hy

e of ed in with

d a de.

Roast goa

t with veg etables

1 Reported by the ABS. There may be some discrepancies between ABS figures and true commercial

Ingredients 1.5 kg goat shoulder or leg 1 can diced tomatoes 3 onions, ch 1 can butter opped beans, drai 2 tsp coria ned 4 carrots, ch nder powde opped r 2 tsp black 12 green be pepper ans, trimm 2 tsp salt ed and chop 2 tsp crushe ped d garlic 3 tbsp oil 250 ml of be Method ef stock Rub the leg of goat with salt, coriand Brown wel er and pepp l in heated pan with bu er. Transfer to tter and oil. an ovenproo f dish. In the sam e pan that the meat w until golden as browne . d in, fr y on Add stock ions and ga and tomatoe rlic s and mix w 160°C for 2 ell. Add to hours. meat. Cover Add the re and roast at maining ingr edients an the vegeta d roast for bles are co a further 40 oked and th and taboul minutes or e meat is te eh. until nder. Ser ve with cousco us

Preparatio n: 10 Cooking : 1 minutes 2 /2 hours Serves: 6

C o A B A Se

operations.

2

MLA’s Market information services – Australian goat industry summary 2014

Australian goat situation and overview
Table 1 Situation and overview for the Australian goatmeat industry

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

%change

Slaughterings ('000 head)* total Avg carcase weight (kg) total Production ('000 tonnes carcase weight)* total Live goat exports ('000 head) total Goatmeat exports ('000 tonnes) total, shipped weight Live goat exports ('000 A$) total Source: ABS, DA 12,396 4,682 5,086 7,126 11,367 9,190 11,491 10,346 8,408 8,114 8,373 3.2% 15.9 16.9 18.2 19.5 16.7 18.2 24.8 25.9 25.9 29.1 32.7 12.3% 70.9 50.5 41.7 57.6 89.9 79.8 97.6 77.4 63.3 61.9 75.1 21.4% 15.5 17.2 18.4 18.6 16.1 17.5 25.8 26.5 28.4 29.8 31.7 6.3% 14.3 15.2 15.3 15.5 15.5 15.6 15.7 15.8 16.3 16.1 15.2 -5.2% 1,078 1,128 1,204 1,201 1,035 1,124 1,637 1,676 1,739 1,857 2,073 11.6%

* may be discrepancies between ABS figures and true commercial operations

“According to the Goat Industry Council of Australia (GICA), 90% of goat meat production is from rangeland enterprises.”

MLA’s Market information services – Australian goat industry summary 2014

3

Australian goat flock
Goat flock
  
According to the Australian Bureau of Statistics (2011-12 survey), the Australian managed goat flock was 516,142 head, with most of the flock (46%) in NSW, Queensland (39%), and Victoria (10%). This was a decline of 30,471 head, or 6%, on the previous fiscal year, underpinned by a 17% decline in the NSW flock, which was too large to offset increases of 20% and 37% in Queensland and Victoria, respectively. In addition to the managed goat flock is the rangeland population, which in 2011 was estimated to be in the range of 4-6 million head, however, the accuracy of the estimate is questionable, given the vast spread of the population.
Other 1.2% NSW 46.1% Victoria 10.3%

Figure 2 Managed goat flock*
WA 3.7% Queensland 38.7%

Source: ABS

*=2011-12

Slaughter
 
Figure 3 Australian goat slaughter
For 2013, Australian goat slaughter was 2.07 million head2, up 12% on the 2012 total, and 29% on the five-year average, continuing what has been decade of year-on-year increases.
2000 '000 head 2500

Reflecting the presence of the rangeland population and hot and dry conditions throughout 2013, goat slaughter
1500

in Queensland was up 14% year-on-year, at 747,945 head. Similarly, slaughter in Victoria and NSW was each up 19% year-on-year, at 883,480 head and 95,659 head, respectively. In contrast, slaughter in SA and WA eased, at 369,042 head, and 26,998 head, respectively.
1000

500

Over-the-hook prices

Underpinned by the drought induced surge in supplies, the national average over-the-hook (OTH) export goat prices for 2013 was 202¢/kg cwt across most weight categories (10.1-12kg cwt to 20.1kg+ cwt), which was a 6-7% year-on-year decline.

Figure 1 Australian rainfall 1 Jan 2013 - 31 Dec 2013
Legend
Highest on record Very much above average Above average Average Below average Very much below average Lowest on record

0 97 Source: ABS 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13

Figure 4 Export OTH goat prices
A¢/kg cwt 350 10.1 - 12 kg 300 12.1 - 16 kg 16.1 - 20 kg 20.1 + kg



The 2013 prices averaged 14-15% below the fiveyear average across most categories, despite strong international demand and the easing A$ over the course of the year.
Source: Australian Bureau of Meteorology

250

200

150

2 Official ABS data. There may be some discrepancies between ABS figures and true commercial operations, despite descrepancies the

100 04 05 Source: NLRS

06

07

08

09

10

11

12

13

underlying trends are considered to be reliable.

4

MLA’s Market information services – Australian goat industry summary 2014

Australian goat
Goat production
 
Goat production in 2013 was 31,662 tonnes cwt – the highest goat production year on record . In line with increasing slaughter, and the rising Boer goat influence amongst the rangeland population, production has been steadily increasing for a number of years, with the 2013 volume up 6% yearon-year, and 23% on the five-year average.
Source: ABS Victoria 39.0% * = 2013 SA 17.0%

Figure 5 Goat production by state*
QLD 37.8% WA 1.4% NSW 4.8%

Average carcase weights

Average goat carcase weights during 2013 were 15.2 kg/head, down 5% on the 2012 average, largely due to the drought conditions in the major supply regions. Highlighting the extent of the dry, average carcase weights are 4% below the five-year average – albeit, a period including the two record rainfall years of 2011 and 2012, each with average weights in excess of 16 kg/head.

3



Production in Queensland was 11,961 tonnes cwt in 2013, up 9% year-on-year and 24% on the five-year average, reaching the highest annual production on record for a calendar year. Similarly, record production was also reached in Victoria, at 12,348 tonnes cwt, up 12% year-on-year, while in NSW, production reached 1,524 tonnes cwt, up 26% yearon-year. In contrast, production in SA was down 4% from 2012 levels, at 5,372 tonnes cwt, while in WA, production halved, at 455 tonnes cwt.


Figure 6 Australian goatmeat production3
'000 tonnes cwt 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 Source: ABS

Largely illustrated by the impact of the drought conditions of 2013, going forward, average carcase weights, and ultimately production, will largely depend upon seasonal conditions.



According to the Goat Industry Council of Australia (GICA), 90% of goat meat production is from rangeland enterprises. Therefore, going forward the rate of productivity increase will largely depend upon seasonal conditions, along with the rate Boer
18

Figure 7 Australian average goat carcase weights kg/head 20

goat genetic infusion.
16

14

3 Official ABS data. There may be some discrepancies between ABS

12 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13
Source: ABS

figures and true commercial operations, despite descrepancies the underlying trends are considered to be reliable.

MLA’s Market information services – Australian goat industry summary 2014

5

Demand summary
    
Australian goat exports during 2013 reached 32,671 tonnes swt, up 12% year-onyear, and the highest volume on record. The 2013 export value was $161 million, up 21% year-on-year. Australia is the largest goat meat exporter in the world, with an estimated 95% of production exported. Over the past decade, the volume of goat meat exported has more than doubled. Assisting trade in 2013 was the easing of the A$, which in 2013 averaged 96US¢, down 7% year-on-year, and which is forecast to trade between 84-90US¢ in 2014.

Figure 8 Australian goatmeat exports and values
35 30 25 20 100 15 10 5 0 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13
Source: ABS, GTIS

'000 tonnes swt exports value

A$ millions

200

150

50

0

Australia is the largest goat meat exporter in the world, with an estimated 95% of production exported.

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MLA’s Market information services – Australian goat industry summary 2014

Australian goatmeat demand summary
Table 2 Australian exports of goatmeat
2003
To: US (volume) US (value) China (volume) China (value) Taiwan (volume) Taiwan (value) Trinidad and Tobago (volume) Trinidad and Tobago (value) Canada (volume) Canada (value) Malaysia (volume) Malaysia (value) South Korea (volume) South Korea (value) Vietnam (volume) Vietnam (value) Jamaica (volume) Jamaica (value) Japan (volume) Japan (value) Total (volume) Total (value)
Source: DA, GTA

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

% change

7.7 21,157.0 0.0 0.0 4.6 14,835.1 0.9 2,362.6 1.0 3,479.1 0.1 538.8 0.2 791.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 432.3 0.2 640.9 15.9 48,488.3

8.8 31,247.2 0.0 0.0 5.2 17,900.1 1.0 2,815.1 1.0 3,699.7 0.1 286.6 0.1 722.7 0.0 11,071.0 0.1 379.3 0.1 502.1 16.9 59,293.6

9.3 39,373.4 0.0 0.0 5.9 20,989.7 1.1 2,886.6 0.9 4,121.1 0.1 481.2 0.1 534.7 0.0 15,200.0 0.1 1,335.9 0.2 661.1 18.2 74,211.7 value = '000 A$

11.3 52,044.5 0.0 62.7 5.2 20,203.3 1.1 3,504.6 1.1 5,407.7 0.1 294.7 0.1 822.1 0.0 5,557.0 0.1 2,452.4 0.2 716.6 19.5 90,385.6

10.0 39,195.7 0.0 0.0 3.3 10,668.9 1.3 3,569.1 1.1 4,310.5 0.1 319.1 0.2 969.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 301.9 0.2 674.4 16.7 61,619.7

10.5 37,525.1 0.0 31.1 3.9 12,544.6 1.3 3,436.8 1.1 3,581.5 0.3 982.4 0.2 990.2 0.0 12,029.0 0.1 151.3 0.2 666.5 18.2 62,101.7

12.8 46,198.1 0.0 108.4 4.0 11,798.3 2.0 6,233.7 1.2 4,992.4 0.1 622.7 0.6 1,922.6 0.7 2,769,703.0 1.4 4,037.8 0.2 583.2 24.8 86,248.9

14.5 65,729.9 0.0 0.0 4.0 13,584.8 1.8 6,617.9 1.9 8,429.6 0.4 1,858.0 0.9 4,139.5 0.5 1,957,950.0 1.0 3,808.0 0.2 1,018.8 25.9 113,051.0

15.2 72,534.4 0.0 1,072.1 3.9 15,169.6 1.9 8,634.3 1.6 8,017.1 0.5 2,275.7 0.9 4,433.3 0.3 1,335,266.0 0.7 2,793.0 0.2 1,053.1 25.9 127,586.7

16.1 66,888.0 0.4 2,117.7 4.0 14,308.0 1.9 6,785.9 2.0 8,332.4 1.5 5,924.2 0.8 3,841.9 0.2 1,160,859.0 0.9 2,356.1 0.3 1,088.6 29.1 132,885.8

15.5 64,261.4 4.7 23,792.9 3.9 16,138.4 1.9 7,521.4 1.9 8,634.9 1.0 4,100.2 0.9 4,733.5 0.8 8,669.8 0.4 1,200.0 0.3 1,238.1 32.7 160,835.5

-4% -4% 1167% 1024% -3% 13% 3% 11% -7% 4% -34% -31% 16% 23% 238% -99% -50% -49% 16% 14% 26% 21%

volume = '000 tonnes swt

MLA’s Market information services – Australian goat industry summary 2014

7

North America

Australian goat meat exports to the US in 2013 accounted for nearly half of Australia’s total exports, at 15,479 tonnes swt – down 4% on the previous year, but 12% above the five-year average.



The decline in shipments to the US comes following five consecutive years of year-on-year increases, with the rapid and large inclusion of China as an Australian protein importer impeding the recent, steady growth to the US and Canada.

Figure 9 Australian goatmeat exports to North America
'000 tonnes swt 20 US 15 Canada



In line with volumes declining slightly, the calendar year export value to the US was back 4% on the previous year, at $64.3 million.

10



Going forward, the US is likely to remain a large
5

Australian goatmeat consumer, given the expanding Hispanic population – large consumers of goat meat.
0 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 Source: ABS



Unlike beef and sheep exports, the overwhelming majority of goatmeat is exported as whole carcase. In 2013, 67% of goat meat exported to the US was in whole carcase form, with a further 26% exported as assorted cuts (three or more primals together).



In terms of trading position and pricing, the A$, as previously mentioned, averaged 7% lower year-onyear in 2013, at 96US¢, which, despite being volatile
1.15

Figure 10 A$ against US$
A$/US$ A$/US$ 1.05 0.95 0.85 0.75 40 0.65 0.55 0.45 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Source: Infoscan 20 0 80 60 100



Goatmeat exports to Canada in 2013 declined 7% year-on-year, to 1,896 tonnes swt, with the volume of carcase down 4%, at 1,802 tonnes swt. Despite lower volumes shipped, total export values increased 4% year-on-year, to $8.67 million.

at times, had an overall positive impact on Australia’s trading position.



Going forward, the A$ is expected to trade at lower levels than the 2013 average, and while there are indications of improved economic sentiment in the US, the persistence of demand from China will largely dictate volumes shipped to North America over the coming years.



Additionally, while it is difficult to ascertain production levels going forward, and with the recent drought induced slaughter having likely reduced the breeding flock, production in 2014 is likely to be lower, reducing the volume available for export.

Figure 11 Export values to North America
A$ millions
100

80

60

40

20

0 97 98 Source: GTIS 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13

8

MLA’s Market information services – Australian goat industry summary 2014

Asia

Australian goat meat exports to Asia grew 66% year-on-year and 105% on the five-year average during 2013, at 12,001 tonnes swt, comprising almost entirely of whole carcase (99.6% of exports).



Malaysia is also in a period of both sustained GDP and population growth, with population recorded at 29.2m in January 2013, up from 27.8m in January 2010, while 2014 estimates suggest a GDP growth rate of around 4%.



This growth was driven by a dramatic increase in demand from China, with the 4,736 tonnes shipped in 2013 up significantly from 373 tonnes swt in the previous year. The increase in goat shipments to China was in line with record Australian beef and sheep meat exports to the region, which increased 371% and 112%, respectively, in 2013.




The latest IMF forecast shows Chinese GDP growth remaining around 7.5%, which signals a sustained – albeit slower – expansion of the economy, which has realised growth of over 10% per year for much of the past decade. China’s population (currently 1.36 billion people) is forecast to grow at an annual rate of 0.46%, and combined with the continuing growth of the economy, will see demand for Australian red meat increase.

The unit value of Australian goat, beef and mutton exports to Malaysia have tended to trend closely over the past 16 years, with the only major divergence coming between 2004 and 2007. At the end of the September quarter in 2013, the unit value of each of the three commodities were within 7¢/kg of each other, with goat at $4.31/kg, beef $4.32/kg and mutton $4.25/kg cwt. The goat meat unit value was down 1.8% year-on-year in the September quarter of 2013, while the 2013 average unit value of $3.91/kg was down 7% on the five-year average.



The rapid urbanisation, growing middle class and corresponding growth in demand for protein in China has been the catalyst behind Australia’s surge in red meat exports to the region. This increase in Chinese demand has attracted large volumes of goat away from other major markets, and is the main reason behind the decline in volumes shipped to Malaysia during 2013.



Shipments to Taiwan decreased in volume for 2013, totalling 1,942 tonnes swt, down 3% on 2012. Shipments to Malaysia were 34% lower than in 2012, with only 1,015 tonnes swt bound for Malaysian ports.



Goat meat export values to China totalled 23.8 million, up eleven-fold year-on-year, while values to Malaysia were $4.1 million, down 31% on 2012, and Taiwan reached $16.1 million, up 13% year-on-year.

Figure 12 Goatmeat export unit values to Malaysia
A$/kg 14 Goat 12 10 Beef Mutton

Figure 13 Australian goatmeat exports to China and Malaysia
'000 tonnes swt 6 Malaysia 5 4 China

Figure 14 Australian goatmeat exports to Taiwan
'000 tonnes swt 7 6 5 4

8 3 6 4 2 0 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 Source: GTA 2 1 0 97 98 Source: ABS 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13

3 2 1 0 97 98 Source: ABS

99

00

01

02

03

04

05

06

07

08

09

10

11

12

13

MLA’s Market information services – Australian goat industry summary 2014

9

Caribbean
 
Australian goatmeat exports to the Caribbean in 2013 totalled 2,541 tonnes swt, back 18% year-on-year and 13% on the five-year average. Trinidad and Tobago is the largest market in the region, where volumes for the year increased 3% from 2012 volumes, to 1,942 tonnes swt, with an annual value of $9.9 million, down 5%. Whole carcase exports to Trinidad and Tobago were up 5% year-on-year, at 1,507 tonnes swt.
2,000 1,500

Figure 15 Australian goatmeat exports to Trinidad and Tobago tonnes swt 2,500



Jamaica is the next largest market in the region, where exports halved form the previous year, at 423 tonnes swt, underpinned by the strong competition from China. The entire volume shipped in 2013 was whole carcase, where in previous years there had been some further processing in Australia.

1,000

500

0 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 Source: ABS



The very small population of Trinidad and Tobago (1.3 million people) and Jamaica (2.8 million people), along with the relatively low GDP growth of 1.6% and 0.4% in 2013, respectively, could hinder their ability to compete with the strength of Chinese buying power over the short to medium term – limiting the export potential for Australian goat meat to the region.

Figure 16 Australian goatmeat exports to Jamaica tonnes swt 1,600 1,400 1,200 1,000

Goat curry
Ingredients 500 g goat pieces, bone-in 2 tbsp ground cumin 3 dried red chillies, sliced 2 large green chillies, sliced 2 tbsp mustard seeds 2 large onions, chopped 5 cloves garlic, crushed

Preparation: 10 minutes Cooking : 1 hour Serves: 4

800 600 400

1 - 2 tbsp curry powder or garam masala 2 tbsp tumeric 2 cinnamon sticks Fresh coriander, chopped 1 can coconut cream 1 cup water Oil Salt

200 0 97 Source: ABS

98

99

00

01

02

03

04

05

06

07

08

09

10

11

12

13

Figure 17 Goatmeat export values to the Carribean
14 12 10 8 A$ millions

! ! ! ! !

Method Cook cumin, red and green chillies, mustard seeds, onions and garlic in oil over low heat. Cook until fragrant, approx 10 minutes. Add goatmeat, curry powder, tumeric, salt, cinnamon and water. Bring to simmer, cover and cook for approx 1 hour on low heat. Add coconut cream, chopped coriander and season to taste. Serve with steamed rice and pappadums.

!
6 4 2 0 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 Source: ABS, GTIS

! ! ! ! !

!

! ! !

!

!

10

MLA’s Market information services – Australian goat industry summary 2014

Live exports – summary
 
Australian live goat exports for 2013 totalled at 75,107 head, up 21% year-on-year, yet down 1% on the five-year average, while the value was up 3%, at $8.4 million. Numbers to the largest market, Malaysia, were down 6% from year-ago levels, at 55,398 head, however, it should be noted that numbers to Singapore were up 785%, at 16,778 head (all of which are sent to Malaysia). The export value to Malaysia was down 20%, at $6.1 million, while to Singapore the value was $1.5 million. opposed to Malaysia, creating an opportunity for Australian goat.



The majority of live goat exports in 2013 were from NSW, with numbers exported from the state up 20% year-on-year, at 44,558 head – accounting for 59% of total live exports.



The greatest proportion of the remaining exports in 2013 was from SA, at 25,732 head, which was up 5% year-on-year. Numbers exported from Victoria (809 head), the NT (1,080 head) and WA (2,231 head) were all higher than the previous year.



Malaysia is a large live market for Australian goats, due to its proximity, with the majority of live goat exports being air freighted. Additionally, there is huge cultural diversity in Malaysia – all of which eat goat meat.



Furthermore, as demand from China increases for protein, including goat meat, greater goat numbers from neighbouring countries are heading to China, as

Figure 18 Australian live goat exports and value
'000 head 160 140 120 100 80 60 Number Value A$ millions

14 12 10 8 6 4 2 0

Table 3

Australian live goat exports (head)
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 % change

40 20 0 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13
Source: ABS, GTIS

To: Malaysia Malaysia (value) Singapore Singapore (value) Brunei Brunei (value) Other Total (volume) Total (value)
Source: ABS

38.7 2,653 3.0 135 3.4 354 25.9 70.9

33.4 1,688 8.4 433 3.2 1,191 5.5 50.5

26.4 2,109 10.9 741 1.4 685 3.0 41.7 5,086

42.8 5,343 11.1 914 1.3 119 2.3 57.6

69.5 7,790 3.1 300 1.9 314 15.4 89.9

67.7

89.1

64.1

54.3 7,008 8.0 957 0.6 115 0.3 63.3

59.1 7,614 1.9 144 0.6 62 0.2 61.9 8,114

55.4 6,111 16.8 1,540 1.8 299 1.2 75.1 8,373

-6% -20% 785% 969% 180% 382% 376% 21% 3%
Vic 1.1%
Source: DA

7,746 10,516 8,441 3.4 307 5.3 628 3.3 79.8 6.9 690 1.2 147 0.4 97.6 8.8 642 1.7 258 2.8 77.4

Figure 19 Australian goat exports by state of loading
NSW 59.3%

12,396 4,682

7,126 11,367 9,190 11,491 10,346 8,408 value = '000 A$

QLD 0.9%

WA 3.0% NT 1.4%

volume = '000 tonnes swt

SA 34.3%

MLA’s Market information services – Australian goat industry summary 2014

11

Appendix 1 – Goatmeat exports by destiantion
Table 4 Australian goat exports to destinations and major regions by the main cuts
Total (All Cuts)
2013 tonnage
32,671 15 , 4 7 9 4 ,7 3 6 3,861 1, 9 4 2 1, 8 9 6 1, 0 15 931 788 423 294 2 11 1, 2 8 0

Carcase
Net change
3 , 17 4 - 838 4,351 - 94 28 - 84 - 5 0 8 .3 2 12 9 555 - 430 39 87 - 285

Cubed pieces

Leg

Manufacturing

Rack
% change
32%

Destination World Total US CHINA TAIWAN TRINIDAD AND TOBAGO CANADA MALAYSIA SOUTH KOREA VIETNAM JAMAICA JAPAN Middle East SE Asia Source: DA

Net change
3 ,5 7 8 - 600 4 ,3 6 3 - 10 7 55 - 14 2 - 522 12 9 555 - 430 40 62 - 298

% 2013 change tonnage
12 % - 4% 116 7 % - 3% 3% - 7% - 34% 16 % 238% - 50% 16 % 42% - 19 % 28,001 14 , 5 4 6 4,725 3,842 1, 8 3 4 1, 8 0 2 1, 0 0 7 931 788 423 293 18 5 1, 2 6 5

% 2013 Net % 2013 Net change tonnage change change tonnage change
13 % - 5% 116 4 % - 2% 2% - 4% - 34% 16 % 238% - 50% 15 % 89% - 18 % 0 47 635 693 0 - 57 15 5 0 0 0 - 29 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 15 - 38% 48 22 8 - 8% 29% 271 18 8 14 44 0 -3 27 - 33 0 0 0 0 0 -7 0

% change
6% 3 1%

2013 Net 2013 Net % change tonnage change tonnage change
97 14 - 10 0 16 % - 10 0 % 11 5 0% - 99% 18 4 0 11 - 13 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - 99% 0

- 72%

- 10 0 % 12 9 % - 60% - 1% 61 14 0

0 0 14 - 13 0 0 0 0

- 46% - 2% 0

0 - 13

12

MLA’s Market information services – Australian goat industry summary 2014

Sources, acknowledgements and acronyms
The sources listed below are duly acknowledged for the provision of statistical, analytical and forecast information used in this document. ABS Australian Bureau of Agricultural and Resource Economics and Sciences (ABARES) Australian Bureau of Meteorology (BOM) Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology (BOM) Department of Agriculture (DA), Australia Food and Agriculture Organisation (FAO) – United Nations Global Trade Atlas (Australia) International Monetary Fund (IMF) Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) United States Department of Agriculture (USDA) OIE – Office International Des Epizooties (world animal health organisation) RBA swt US USDA WTO – – – – – Reserve Bank of Australia Shipped weight United States United States Department of Agriculture World Trade Organization CIF cwt DA ESCAS FA S FA O FOB IMF lwt MLA NLRS – – – – – – – – – – – – ABARES – Australian Bureau of Agricultural and Resource Economics and Sciences Australian Bureau of Statistics Cost insurance and freight (export price at destination) Carcase weight Department of Agriculture, Australia Exporter Supply Chain Assurance System Free alongside ship (export price before departure) Food and Agriculture Organisation (United Nations) Free on board ship (export price loaded on ship before departure) International Monetary Fund Liveweight Meat & Livestock Australia National Livestock Reporting Service (Meat & Livestock Australia)

MLA’s Market information services – Australian goat industry summary 2014

13

Notes

14

MLA’s Market information services – Australian goat industry summary 2014

Meat & Livestock Australia Level 1, 40 Mount St North Sydney NSW 2060 Phone: 02 9463 9333 Fax: 02 9463 9393 Free call: 1800 023 100 (Australia only) Email: info@mla.com.au www.mla.com.au

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