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Hpl - Goliath Case Analysis

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memorandum to: Tucker Hansson, chief executive officer from: date: September 29, 2009
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subject: INVESTMENT IN GOLIATH FACILITY
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Mr. Hansson,

After reviewing the Goliath proposal and accompanying financial statements, it is our recommendation that HPL pursue the $170 million expansion of manufacturing capacity. Although the project involves some risks and opportunity costs, our analysis suggests that the project has a very high positive NPV that more than outweighs any such concerns. In addition to increasing market share and reducing costs, the Goliath project will have a positive effect on employee morale and productivity. The remainder of this memo will present the arguments for/against expansion, as well as the associated business risks.

I. Arguments Supporting Expansion * Based on our assumptions in the financial model, the Goliath project has an NPV= $105,060,315 even with a conservative weighted average cost of capital of 10%. * The sensitivity analysis tables in the financial model clearly show that the project has a positive NPV even when the assumptions are modified. * The project increases HPL’s market share and profits. * Additional capacity will reduce costs. * HPL can capitalize on the first mover’s advantage, as private label growth is too modest to support multiple producers. * The growth will substantially boost employee morale and will foster a strong relationship with the largest customer. * Prospect of rapid growth and value creation since this expansion will allow HPL to accommodate and attract additional customers in the future. * More opportunities to expand the private label industry, leading to more consumer awareness of generics, and hence more customer acceptance.
II. Arguments Against

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