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Impacts of the Depreciation on Japanese Yen

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The impacts on the depreciation of Japanese yen
According to the China Economic Net (2013), Japan's latest move to reeve up its economy by weakening the yen has raised some concerns that might hurt its Asian neighbours especially the emerging economies in the region. If the yen continues to fall and the US launches further rounds of quantitative easing, hot money is expected to flood into Asia and other emerging countries. From a long-term perspective, Japan's emergency stimulus package cannot only cause inflation in Japan, but also result in imported inflation in Taiwan and China. As Taiwan and China are struggling to keep the housing bubble from bursting, they will certainly consider using interest rate policies to suppress Japan's imported inflation. (Want China Times, 2013)
Tan S.M. (2013) said that there could be short-term negative implications for exports to Japan as well as investments from Japan which could go down. Japan has consistently incurred trade deficits with most Asian economies except Indonesia and Malaysia since 2002. A sharply weaker yen will hurt Southeast Asian economies as Japan remains a major trade and investment partner and the region will bear the brunt of the adjustment if the yen's collapse causes financial uncertainty. While a weak yen will definitely lead to lower imported cost of equipment for Asia and result in Japan buying less from Asia. Thus, Japan's outward investment may decline.
However, the yen's depreciation might have positive effects on China, Korea, Taiwan, Malaysia, Indonesia, and Thailand since these countries import heavy machinery and equipment, including transport and vehicle parts and components from Japan. Japan exports from the member countries of the Association of Southeast Asian Nation (ASEAN) are unlikely to be adversely affected by a weaker yen and may even benefit from cheaper intermediate goods imports. Besides, the countries that export a large share of "end-users products" to Japan, like Indonesia and Malaysia, are likely to benefit from stronger Japanese domestic demand growth. (Tan S.M., 2013)
In short, the winners would be countries which have Japan as both their 'suppliers' and 'consumers’, whereas the losers would be those whose exports are similar to and compete with those from Japan. Indonesia is best positioned while South Korea is most vulnerable to a combination of stronger Japanese domestic demand and a weaker yen.

1. China Economic Net, 30 January 2013, Japanese yen’s depreciation has limited impact on Asian economies: experts, online, date accessed 14 March 2013. Available from: http://en.ce.cn/Markets/currencies/201301/31/t20130131_24081198.shtml 2. Tan S.M., 30 January 2013, Japanese yen's depreciation has limited impact on Asian economies: experts, online, date accessed 14 March 2013. Available from: http://news.xinhuanet.com/english/indepth/2013-01/30/c_132139120.htm 3. Want China Times, 18 January 2013, Taiwan, China must counter ripple effects of yen depreciation, online, date accessed 14 March 2013. Available from: http://www.wantchinatimes.com/news-subclass-cnt.aspx?id=20130118000033&cid=1701

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