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Indian Rupee Case Study

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Case Study
Indian Rupee Crisis of 2013 Assignment

1. If oil prices stay at these levels, China and India would benefit the most because China is the second largest oil importer in the world. It will be able t consume more oil with the drop of prices. Oil accounts for a third of India’s imports.

2. Tapering in QE was attributing this strong inflationary force in India, threatening a BoP crisis. It was also argued that inflation was due to supply constraints. I think their inflation issues can be “solely” managed through monetary means.

3. Some of the measures RBI took during the 2008 financial crisis were, it sharply reduced policy rates and the CRR. The repo rate and CRR were reduced four times. The RBI also created a potential provision of primary liquidity of 5.6 trillion. Interest rates on foreign currency were raised deposits made by non-resident Indians were raised as well. These measures were taken in order to increase the supply of dollars in the foreign exchange market to devaluate the U.S dollar against the Indian rupee.

4. Tapering of QE announced in 2013 caused a depreciation of the Rupee because it led to weakening the dollar against the rupee because of the increased demand of the latter. This money was invested in India in the form of foreign direct investment; this happen in midst of weak corporate fundamentals and deteriorating economic issues. This had a huge impact in India, making it crash along with the bond market.

5. Weak BoP can affect India in regards to inflation and its Rupee exchange rate by losing exchange reserves. There can also be a reduction in foreign investment. The deficits will continue to depreciate the rupee and lead to a higher inflation and weaker exchange rate.

6. The opportunities I possibly see with India now as the Rupee has depreciated so much are very low. Maybe big exporters will be able to

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