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Ipo Case

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Methodology

The method used to analyse this case was to determine a value for Netscape Communications Corporation as a company. The net present value (NPV) method was used to estimate the firm's value in two parts. First, pro forma statements were used to estimate future yearly cash flows and then these cash flows were discounted to the present day. Second, a terminal value for Netscape was estimated using a terminal growth rate and discounted to the present. The total NPV was the sum of these present values. If the total present value of the company is around $1 billion, then this amount would support a new issue price of $28 per share.
Data Requirements

Primary data requirements for this analysis were consolidated income statements and balance sheets for Netscape for 1994 and 1995, comparative information on potential competitors, historical data of the IPO market and information on Internet-related IPOs. Additional data was used through key assumptions made to develop the pro forma cash flow analysis.
Assumptions

The key assumptions used in this case are listed in Table 1 and they are based on similar data and experiences for Microsoft.

Table 1 Key assumptions used for Netscape IPO analysis.

Assumption Value
Total cost of revenues (% of total revenues) 10.4%
R&D (% of total revenues) 36.8%
Other operating expenses (% of revenues) Decline on straight-line basis from
80.9% of total revenues in 1995 to 20.9% in 2001
Capital expenditures (% of revenues) Decline on straight-line basis from 45.8% of revenue in 1995 to 10.8% of revenues in 2001
Depreciation (% of revenues) 5.5%
Changes in net working capital 0
Long-term (or terminal) growth rate 4%
Long-term risk-free interest rate 6.71%
Discount rate 12%
Number of shares outstanding 32,767,000
New issue shares 5,000,000
Pro forma

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