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Natural Gas Outlook

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Submitted By axb021
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Barring any weather-driven catastrophe or a dramatic decline in inventories, Standard & Poor’s Economics believes that annual average Henry Hub bid-week prices will remain below the 10-year average through at least 2013, with some volatility, but less than that seen in 2008. As of May 23, 2012, its projection for Henry Hub bid-week price was $2.50 in 2012 (compared with $3.99 in 2011), and $3.67 in 2013.

Currency issues also have an effect on natural gas prices in the US. For example, should the value of the US dollar weaken against the Canadian dollar, the costs of Canadian natural gas could rise, which would put upward pressure on prices. This could increase the attractiveness of regions where production is more expensive, thus allowing additional supplies to enter the market and potentially limiting how high prices could go.
Higher consumption seen in 2012 and in 2013
In its Short-Term Energy Outlook published June 12, 2012, the Energy Information Administration (EIA) projected that total natural gas consumption would increase by 4.3% in 2012 and 2.4% in 2013.
Despite the warmer-than-usual winter and the slowdown in withdrawals, the EIA believes that the increase in electric power consumption of natural gas will dwarf the declines that it expects in the residential and commercial sectors.
As a result, these people ask whether limited natural gas resources should be squandered on generating electricity when other inexpensive methods of generating power exist
The EIA projected, in its Annual Energy Outlook 2012 Early Release, that total dry natural gas production would rise 3.0% in 2012, then fall 3.0% in 2013 before starting a relatively steady trend upward. The 3.0% drop in dry gas production in 2013 is unlikely, in our opinion, as oil and gas shale-drilling efforts continue
However, gas production from oil shale wells is picking up in a big way. Advances

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