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October 1 Ism

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Current Economic Outlook
Positive signs, but beware!

Manufacturing is expanding at its fastest past in 2 ½ years, but will that translate into economic growth and new jobs? The unemployment rate is at its lowest since December 2008. Good news? Not really, the details to the latest payroll report are not pretty.
Current Economic Outlook
Positive signs, but beware!

Manufacturing is expanding at its fastest past in 2 ½ years, but will that translate into economic growth and new jobs? The unemployment rate is at its lowest since December 2008. Good news? Not really, the details to the latest payroll report are not pretty.

October 1 ISM Manufacturing Index

What the ISM indicates
Monitoring the ISM Manufacturing Index allows us to understand the current economic conditions. Financial Markets are extremely sensitive to this index. Stock markets should increase when the index increases because of higher corporate profits. In bond markets the opposite usually occurs, due to the sensitivity of potential inflation. ISM also measures the degree of change across manufacturing, and is an indicator of GDP Growth.

Current vs Expected
The ISM showed that its Manufacturing Index grew for the 52nd consecutive month as the PMI came in stronger than expected at 56.2% in September, versus a Bloomberg consensus estimate of 55.0%. That shows an increase from 55.7% in August and the fourth straight increase in the index. A reading above 50% indicates growth.

MANUFACTURING AT A GLANCE
SEPTEMBER 2013 |

Index | Series
Index
Sep | Series
Index
Aug | Percentage
Point
Change |

Direction | Rate of Change |
Trend*
(Months) | PMI™ | 56.2 | 55.7 | +0.5 | Growing | Faster | 4 | New Orders | 60.5 | 63.2 | -2.7 | Growing | Slower | 4 | Production | 62.6 | 62.4 | +0.2 | Growing | Faster | 4 | Employment | 55.4 | 53.3 | +2.1 | Growing | Faster | 3 |

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