...2013, most experts remain bullish on the yellow metal for the year, though some have scaled back their estimates slightly over the past few months. A compilation of their predictions are listed below. Bank of America Merrill Lynch In a December 2012 report, Bank of America Merrill Lynch stated that Gold would average $2,000 in 2013, with the metal climbing to $2,400 in 2014. “Large-scale policy easing by the U.S. Federal Reserve and European Central Bank positions Gold as a useful hedge against global macro and inflation risks taking the commodity to $2000/ oz levels”, said the bank. The bank added that, “We have a sixmonth [Gold price] target of $2000 an ounce, but see scope as well for prices to rise to $2400 an ounce by the end of 2014. These targets reflect our view that the Fed will maintain mortgage purchases until the end of 2014 and will move to buy Treasuries following the end of Operation Twist in December 2012.” BNP Paribas BNP Paribas expects Gold to average $1,865 an ounce for the year. “Market sentiment towards Gold has been much more uncertain in 2012 than was the case in previous years. Yet, we expect Gold to achieve a new record high in 2013 due to further monetary easing, less tail risk related to a breakup of the euro zone and ongoing support from physical demand,” said BNP Paribas analyst Anne-Laure Tremblay in December. UBS Also in December, UBS maintained its 2013 price forecast for the yellow metal, stating that Gold would average $1,900 for the...
Words: 9281 - Pages: 38
...by Michael J. Kosares Author, The ABCs of Gold Investing: How to Protect and Build Your Wealth with Gold Founder, USAGOLD-Centennial Precious Metals, Inc.March 8, 2009Gold coin shortage likely to become chronic Is the U.S. Mint's production problem long-term or short-term?What will be the effect on gold coin prices?In 1999, at the height of the Y2K crisis and under the strain of record gold demand, the U.S. Mint produced 2,055,000 1-ounce gold American eagles.In 2008, with the world embroiled in an unprecedented economic crisis and once again under the strain of record gold demand, the U.S. Mint produced only 710,000 1-ounce American eagles and 189,500 1-ounce American gold buffaloes -- just under half its 1999 production.The Mint's ability to keep up with demand in the ramp-up to Y2K played a key role in suppressing premiums on bullion gold coins. The Mint's inability to keep up with demand in 2008 drove premiums to the double digits at one point and helped add 2 percent to the baseline cost of gold coin acquisitions in 2009.When the American eagle shortages first cropped up in August 2008, the Mint blamed the problem on its vendors, saying they were "not able to supply enough 1-ounce gold bullion blanks to meet the unprecedented demand we are experiencing." The Mint promptly thereafter suspended all sales of the popular 1-ounce coins.To understand the full implications of the Mint's production problems, two important pieces of information need to be taken into consideration...
Words: 942 - Pages: 4
...Gold as an investment option | | Mayank Chandola MBA in International BusinessSymbiosis Institute of International Business | | Table of Contents History of the yellow metal 2 Why it is attractive? 3 Portfolio diversifier 4 Inflation hedge 4 Investment risks in Gold 5 Risk with physical gold 5 Political Risks 5 Market Risks 5 Exchange rate risks 5 Demand/Supply side risks 5 Outlook 6 References 7 History of the yellow metal Gold has always been used as a medium of exchange for goods since ancient times and has not suffered devaluation in the same ways as paper currency. Gold has a record long history as a commodity and as a store of value. It has been formally a monetary media in and around the world. Gold has faced complete official demonetization long back, yet it experiences continued and renewed interest as a private or unofficial monetary medium. Even governments around the world are making greater use of gold in international financial affairs. Over time, gold has undergone three major transitions: 1. Gold was a medium of exchange in the early civilization 2. Next, an international banking system was developed around it, in which paper money was fully convertible into gold 3. This convertibility was ceased in 1971 by the then president Richard Nixon and a purely fiat money system took its place. Early civilizations equated gold with gods and rulers. Humans almost intuitively place a high value on gold, equating it with...
Words: 1695 - Pages: 7
...RECIDENTIAL STATUS NAME (SURNAME FIRST IN THE CASE OF INDIVIDUAL/ KARTA ONLY) (IN BLOCK LETTERS) RESIDENTIAL ADDRESS/REGISTERED OFFICE IN THE CASE OF COMPANY (IN BLOCK LETTERS) TELEPHON PIN OFFICE ADDRESS (IN BLOCK LETTERS) TELEPHON PIN Please indicate : (a) In the case of individual/karta, are you a citizen of India? Yes/No (b) Is this your first wealth –tax assessment? Yes/No (c) Are you assessed to income tax? Yes/No (d) Have you filed return of income/gift for the same assessment year? (i) Return of income (ii) Return of gift(s) If answer to(d) is yes, on what date(s) and with which Ward/Circle/Range (i) Return of income (ii) Return of gift(s) Yes/No Yes/No (e) Is this return being filed as a legal representative? Yes/No (f) In the case of Hindu undivided family :-...
Words: 1311 - Pages: 6
...International Journal of Banking and Finance Volume 9 | Issue 1 Article 3 6-5-2012 Modelling and forecasting volatility in the gold market Stefan Trück Macquarie University, stefan.trueck@mq.edu.au Kevin Liang Macquarie University Follow this and additional works at: http://epublications.bond.edu.au/ijbf Recommended Citation Trück, Stefan and Liang, Kevin (2012) "Modelling and forecasting volatility in the gold market," International Journal of Banking and Finance: Vol. 9: Iss. 1, Article 3. Available at: http://epublications.bond.edu.au/ijbf/vol9/iss1/3 This Journal Article is brought to you by the Faculty of Business at ePublications@bond. It has been accepted for inclusion in International Journal of Banking and Finance by an authorized administrator of ePublications@bond. For more information, please contact Bond University's Repository Coordinator. Trück and Liang: Forecasting volatility in the gold market International Journal of Banking and Finance, Volume 9 (Number 1), 2012: pages 48-80 MODELLING AND FORECASTING VOLATILITY IN THE GOLD MARKET Stefan Trück and Kevin Liang Macquarie University, Australia _____________________________________________ Abstract We investigate the volatility dynamics of gold markets. While there are a number of recent studies examining volatility and Value-at-Risk (VaR) measures in financial and commodity markets, none of them focuses on the gold market. We use a large number of statistical models to model...
Words: 12182 - Pages: 49
...INDEX SR.NO. CONTENTS 1 Introduction 2 Market Research 3 Market Research For Business Planning & Growth 4 Tanishq – An Introduction 5 Locating Tanishq 6 Product Line & The Collections 7 Tanishq For You 8 Tanishq Retailing 9 Marketing 10 Tanishq Marketing Strategy 11 The Jewellery Market 12 Some of Tanishqs Competitors 13 Tanishq – Market Research 14 Tanishq – The Turnaround Story 15 Promotion, Advertising & Public Relation 16 Tanishq In The News 17 Globalization INTRODUCTION As we see it, research in advertising and marketing is very crucial in understanding, speculating on, and ultimately determining the position of the product in the consumer's mind. It is like a homework task that a good advertising/marketing/sales person would always carry out before (and after) implementing the said product's advertising/marketing strategy. By collecting data with the help of research methods, the researcher can manage to understand the consumer, what he wants, when he wants it, and how he wants it. Research methodologies, more or less, aim to reveal consumers’ different perceptions of the product, in large part about the way it is advertised. The researcher wants to know how effective the advertisement is on his listeners, where the strategy falls short, and where it can improve. Ultimately, it can be said that the most important task of advertising/marketing research is to increase the sales of the product. This requires a well developed...
Words: 12897 - Pages: 52
...Annual Report 2009 Wits Gold Prospecting Rights in the Witwatersrand Basin, South Africa Witwatersrand Basin Johannesburg Carletonville Potchefstroom Goldfield Evander Klerksdorp Klerksdorp Goldfield Potchefstroom N 0 100 Km Welkom Southern Free State Goldfield Wits Gold Prospecting Rights Mining Leases Witwatersrand Basin Basement Rocks Disclaimer Certain statements in this directors’ report may constitute forward-looking information within the meaning of securities laws. In some cases, forward-looking information can be identified by use of terms such as “may”, “will”, “should”, “expect”, “believe”, “plan”, “scheduled”, “intend”, “estimate”, “forecast”, “predict”, “potential”, “continue”, “anticipate” or other similar expressions concerning matters that are not historical facts. Forward-looking information may relate to management’s future outlook and anticipated events or results, and may include statements or information regarding the future plans or prospects of the Company. Without limitation, statements about the timing of the pre-feasibility studies regarding the Company’s Bloemhoek project and De Bron project, the ability of the Company to manage its business risks, the sufficiency of capital to cover exploration and operating expenses, and other related statements are forwardlooking information. Forward-looking information involves known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other important factors that could cause the actual results,...
Words: 47489 - Pages: 190
...CASE STUDY A STUDY ON “MISMATCH BETWEEN DEMANDS FOR AND SUPPLY OF GOLD’’ CASE STUDY SUBMITTED IN PARTIAL FULFILLMENT OF THE REQUIREMENT OF MASTERS OF BUSINESS MANAGEMENT COURSE OF ALLIANCE UNIVERSITY SUBMITTED TO PROF DR.SAMIK SHOME (SENIOUR LECTURER) ALLIANCE BUSINESS SCHOOL SUBMITTED BY ABHISHEK M.R RAHUL CHARU BALDWA SHEIKH PARVESH T.SHAMEEL (2012-14, Section H) Group 01 LIST OF CONTENTS Serial Number | Contents | Page number | 1 | Executive summary | | 2 | Issue analysis | | 3 | Data analysis | | 4 | Key decision criteria | | 5 | Alternatives analysis | | 6 | Statistical data | | 7 | Non-Price factors | | 8 | Conclusion | | Executive summary India is one of the largest consumers of gold in the world. India’s share alone for the demand of gold comes to around 25%, which is a very large number considering there are around 200 countries in this planet. One of the main possibilities for this astronomical demand for gold in India might be because of the fact that gold plays a major role in Indian culture. Festivals like Diwali and AkshayaTritiya demand the use of the gold irrespective of the fact that gold is a very costly metal. Gold is a commodity which represents status symbol (conspicuous goods) The reasons why there is a mismatch between the demand and the supply of gold in India is quite obvious. Hutti gold mine company in Karnataka being the only company in India to mine and process gold ore and the fact that...
Words: 2007 - Pages: 9
...2013, most experts remain bullish on the yellow metal for the year, though some have scaled back their estimates slightly over the past few months. A compilation of their predictions are listed below. Bank of America Merrill Lynch In a December 2012 report, Bank of America Merrill Lynch stated that Gold would average $2,000 in 2013, with the metal climbing to $2,400 in 2014. “Large-scale policy easing by the U.S. Federal Reserve and European Central Bank positions Gold as a useful hedge against global macro and inflation risks taking the commodity to $2000/ oz levels”, said the bank. The bank added that, “We have a sixmonth [Gold price] target of $2000 an ounce, but see scope as well for prices to rise to $2400 an ounce by the end of 2014. These targets reflect our view that the Fed will maintain mortgage purchases until the end of 2014 and will move to buy Treasuries following the end of Operation Twist in December 2012.” BNP Paribas BNP Paribas expects Gold to average $1,865 an ounce for the year. “Market sentiment towards Gold has been much more uncertain in 2012 than was the case in previous years. Yet, we expect Gold to achieve a new record high in 2013 due to further monetary easing, less tail risk related to a breakup of the euro zone and ongoing support from physical demand,” said BNP Paribas analyst Anne-Laure Tremblay in December. UBS Also in December, UBS maintained its 2013 price forecast for the yellow metal, stating that Gold would average $1,900 for the...
Words: 9281 - Pages: 38
...Angela Santacruz Shopify: History: * Online store created to sell snowboard equipment directly to those who loved the sport. (Shopyfi, 2015) * The company wanted to own their own brand and build relationships with their customers, along with selling their products. But they realize that a lot of others companies were in need of an online shopping facility so they created Shopify. (Shopyfi, 2015) * Their main focus of creating a platform to manage every aspect of their business: from products to orders to customers, selling online, in retail stores and on the go. (Shopyfi, 2015) * From a team of 5 working employees, to a team of over 500 employees in 4 offices across Canada, they encourage everyone to experiment, take risk and push the envelope to the next level. (Shopyfi, 2015) Services at Shopyfi: 1. Use shopyfi to create your online store: these services give customers the opportunity to design their own web page and promote their products around the world. Customers have control over the look and feel of the website, from its domain name to its layout, colors and content. But if they don’t have the skills to create it they can choose from over 100 professional store templates. (Shopyfi, 2015) 2. Sell in person: These kind of services allowed customers to sell their products online, in-stores, or in their own phones, the inventory is automatically updated in real time. Using a cart does the payment and they can email the receipt. (Shopyfi...
Words: 2185 - Pages: 9
...Do Soaring Price and Mounting Demand in Indian ... Ref. No.: ME0006 op y Do Soaring Price and Mounting Demand in Indian Gold Market Speak of a Paradox? Demand for gold is a widespread observable fact across the world. However, the major demand for gold comes from five countries, namely India, Italy, Turkey, US and China. Among these countries, which account for 55% of the total gold demand, India’s share alone comes to around 25%. Cultural and religious traditions involving wearing of jewellery play a major role in influencing Indian gold demand. Around 75% of the world demand for gold is jewellery-based and the rest 25% is investment based. Speaking about India’s fondness for gold, Lord John Maynard Keynes is alleged to have remarked, “India’s gold consumption reflects the ‘ruinous love of a barbaric relic’.”1 No tC In India, there is a huge mismatch between demand for and supply of gold. Hutti Gold Mine Company located in Karnataka is the only company in India, which produces gold by mining and processing the gold ore. It produces around 3 tonnes of gold per year. Another source of supply of gold in India has been coming from recycled jewellery/scrap jewellery. In 2006, it was reported that, “Over the past five years, Indians have recycled an average of 105 tonnes of gold per annum.”2 To meet the bulk of the demand, India imports gold. India imports around “700 tonnes of gold a year”.3 In October 2008, demand for gold increased. While this increase...
Words: 2020 - Pages: 9
...Introduction When the stock market goes up one day, and then goes down for the next five, then up again, and then down again, that’s what you call market volatility. Historically, the volatility of the stock market is roughly 20% a year and 5.8% a month, but volatility keeps on changing, so we go through periods of high volatility and low volatility. Analysts and experts have different opinions about what you should do in volatile markets, and how to scope with stock market volatility or the tendency for share prices rising and falling. Analysts. Justin Stewart, co-founder of Seven Investment Management says: “ Crashes happen. If you are a longer-term investor, you should look straight through them and remember the power of compounding dividends, or in cone arising on income.” Andrew Humphries, a director of St James Place Wealth Management, thinks that Diversification is very important and having a portfolio that is solely exposed to one asset class- be it equities, bond or property- is dangerous and all investors should ensure they hold an appropriate range of assets” Andrew Bell, the chief executive of Witan Investment trust advised: “ It is better to buy into fear and cheapness and sell into euphoria and high valuation, as long as you can endure the period before trends reverse. Investors should have this tattooed somewhere to prevent natural human psychology from making them do the opposite. Bill Mott, the manager of PSigma income, said “ in an uncertain world, investors...
Words: 1022 - Pages: 5
...Introduction When the stock market goes up one day, and then goes down for the next five, then up again, and then down again, that’s what you call market volatility. Historically, the volatility of the stock market is roughly 20% a year and 5.8% a month, but volatility keeps on changing, so we go through periods of high volatility and low volatility. Analysts and experts have different opinions about what you should do in volatile markets, and how to scope with stock market volatility or the tendency for share prices rising and falling. Analysts. Justin Stewart, co-founder of Seven Investment Management says: “ Crashes happen. If you are a longer-term investor, you should look straight through them and remember the power of compounding dividends, or in cone arising on income.” Andrew Humphries, a director of St James Place Wealth Management, thinks that Diversification is very important and having a portfolio that is solely exposed to one asset class- be it equities, bond or property- is dangerous and all investors should ensure they hold an appropriate range of assets” Andrew Bell, the chief executive of Witan Investment trust advised: “ It is better to buy into fear and cheapness and sell into euphoria and high valuation, as long as you can endure the period before trends reverse. Investors should have this tattooed somewhere to prevent natural human psychology from making them do the opposite. Bill Mott, the manager of PSigma income, said “ in an uncertain world, investors...
Words: 1275 - Pages: 6
...Gold Price Forecast 2010 Predictions and Estimates from Multiple Analysts Goldman Sachs Gold Price Forecast — 2010 - $1,350 per ounce — 2011 - $1425 per ounce time Gold prices drop. — Stagflation 1 2 1 2 3 The Gold price forecast for the year 2010 has been covered by multiple analysts. Here is their consensus: As of December 3rd 2009, Goldman Sachs predicted these average prices: The reasons given for the estimates are as follows: Canaccord Adams Gold Estimation Bank of Nova Scotia Gold Analysis — Double-dipped recession Prediction of rising inflation — Near term outlook is $1,300 per ounce Natixis Price Per Ounce Prediction December 3rd 2009 brought about these guesses from Canaccord Adams: The reasons they feel the price of Gold will trade at these values are: Global stimulus packages are devaluing currency Gold becoming a popular way to both hedge and invest — Inflation or deflation — Dollar or bond crisis Low interest rates in 2010, expected near zero, will provide support for Gold. The price of Gold has a gamut of forecast ranges for 2010. A compilation of the predictions and estimates are listed below. On November 25th 2009, Natixis revealed their estimate on Gold prices in 2010 to be $950 per ounce. 2009 they released a range from $850 to $1,400 as the possible price per ounce the following year. economical woes. These are some of the caveats they see possibly coming: On one hand they felt that developing nations might prefer to invest in Gold as opposed to currency...
Words: 8377 - Pages: 34
...RESEARCH PAPER I. Title: Lining Our Silver Box: A Two Phase Study on the Usage, Attitude and Image of Silver Jewelry II. Background of the Study Sterling silver is a material commonly used in making hand-crafted jewelry. It is a silver-alloy made up of 92.5% silver and 7.5% other metals. Sterling silver jewelry is a popular accessory choice among thrifty shoppers who wish to look stylish and trendy. Buyers of sterling silver jewelry can replicate their favorite accessory trends, look and feel stylishly classy, while only paying a fraction of the cost of genuine silver, gold, or platinum. Silver Box started out in 2006 as a small humble company with a mission to design, execute, and distribute sterling silver jewelry creations of best value to Filipinos all over the country. From its initial launch at a Christmas bazaar, the small business has come far, branching out all around the metro. Despite its initial success and the rising demand for silver, Silver Box’s sales have declined. The company needs to have a clearer vision of what target market it is capable of achieving. In addition, Silver Box currently does not subscribe to any particular marketing strategy. For these reasons, this paper aims to conduct a thorough research on the consumers of sterling silver in order to find the appropriate market segments, brand strategies, and plans of action for Silver Box to reach a higher level of profitability. III. Objectives A. To identify the appropriate target...
Words: 22047 - Pages: 89
