Premium Essay

Risk Management Model

In:

Submitted By kudo601
Words 281
Pages 2
Introduction
Recently, the governments of different areas including the Europe, USA, Japan, are running the Program of Quantitative Easing (QE). This leads to the decrease of the purchasing power of money. Besides, the financial markets are fluctuating. Hence, we decide to run a portfolio in a bid to add value to the wealth of individuals.

Objectives
In order to add value to the wealth of individuals, we will set a target of expected rate of return which would be equal to or above 8% at a certain level of risk. In this portfolio, we would consider the following assets in emerged areas: 1. Cash 2. Stocks 3. Bonds

Methodology
To pick the most suitable stocks for our portfolio, top-down approach will be used. That is, we will firstly analyze the economy of the country, the relative industry and the company situation accordingly, in order to choose the most suitable stocks.
Hong Kong and The USA are the most preferred country for our portfolio. As Hong Kong is the area we most familiar, and The US is the country with the strongest economy recently, choosing these areas’ stocks would help reducing our exchange rate risk.

Estimating volatility would be used to determine the risk. It can be calculated by:

For our portfolio, United States Government Bonds (10 years) would be chosen. Bond yield would be used as the risk free rate.
We would take Beta (β) of each individual stocks into the weighting of the portfolio, so that the volatility would be more localized and accurate. More different models like CAPM to find out relationship of expected return and risk, and other models will also be included for our

Similar Documents

Free Essay

Incorporating Liquidity Risk Into Var Model to Improve Risk Management and Applying the Liquidity Adjusted Value at Risk Model on Vietnamese Stock Market

...Thesis for the Degree of Master of...? INCORPORATING LIQUIDITY RISK INTO VAR MODEL TO IMPROVE RISK MANAGEMENT AND APPLYING THE LIQUIDITY ADJUSTED VALUE AT RISK MODEL ON VIETNAMESE STOCK MARKET Student: Ten truong: Ten khoa hoc: September, 2012 INCORPORATING LIQUIDITY RISK INTO VAR MODEL TO IMPROVE RISK MANAGEMENT AND APPLYING THE LIQUIDITY ADJUSTED VALUE AT RISK MODEL ON VIETNAMESE STOCK MARKET by student Avised by Ten giao su Submitted to Ten khoa of Ten truong in the partial fulfilment of the requirements for the degree of Master of ...? Dissertation Committee ...Ten thanh vien hoi dong ABSTRACT In this paper, based on Bangia et. al (1999) Liquidity Adjusted Value at Risk, an explanation and demonstration for the importance of integrate liquidity risk component into Value at Risk Model are presented. The component is considered to be resulted from the exogenous liquidity risk, indeed, the bid-ask spread of a stock or a portfolio. This research is conducted from the analysis of an estimation of Value at Risk (VaR) and Liquidity adjusted Value at Risk for two portfolios containing stocks that are currently trading on Vietnamese Stock Market. After applying the Bangia Model to calculate, the backtesting will be executed to check the accuracy level of the results. The difference between the results of two portfolios, according to separate approaches will be the evidence to reach the conclusion of the research. Table of Contents List of...

Words: 27184 - Pages: 109

Premium Essay

Failure of Risk Management

...failure of risk management: a book review with 7 comments Introduction Any future-directed activity has a degree of uncertainty, and uncertainty implies risk. Bad stuff happens – anticipated events don’t unfold as planned and unanticipated events occur. The main function of risk management is to deal with this negative aspect of uncertainty. The events of the last few years suggest that risk management as practiced in many organisations isn’t working. A book by Douglas Hubbard entitled, The Failure of Risk Management – Why it’s Broken and How to Fix It, discusses why many commonly used risk management practices are flawed and what needs to be done to fix them. This post is a summary and review of the book. Interestingly, Hubbard began writing the book well before the financial crisis of 2008 began to unfold. So although he discusses matters pertaining to risk management in finance, the book has a much broader scope. For instance, it will be of interest to project and program/portfolio management professionals because many of the flawed risk management practices that Hubbard mentions are often used in project risk management. The book is divided into three parts: the first part introduces the crisis in risk management; the second deals with why some popular risk management practices are flawed; the third discusses what needs to be done to fix these. My review covers the main points of each section in roughly the same order as they appear in the book. The crisis in risk management There...

Words: 3167 - Pages: 13

Premium Essay

Financial Analysis

...------------------------------------------------- Latest version: February 7, 2016 (changes from prior version shown in red) ORF 570 Special Topics in Statistics and Operations Research Course topic: Quantitative Asset Management Transcript title: Special Topics in Statistics and Operations/Quantitative Asset Management Instructor: Frank J. Fabozzi, Ph.D., CFA, Visiting Professor, ORFE Office: 207 in ORFE Building (office shared with Professor Mulvey) Office hours: 4-6pm (this time slot will also be used for presentations on special topics) Classroom: Friend 006 Course description: This course covers asset management focusing on quantitative models applied to equities and bonds (with emphasis on mortgage-backed securities). The quantitative models discussed are asset allocation models and portfolio construction models that include optimization models (mean-variance framework and extensions such as robust portfolio optimization), multi-factor risk models, risk control models, and transaction cost forecasting models. Return attribution models for performance evaluation will be covered. Model risk and model/strategy backtesting will be highlighted. Guest speakers from quantitative asset management firms are scheduled. Determination of final grade: Final exam ………………………………. 40% Design project …………………………… 25% Term paper ………………………………. 25% Problem sets ……………………………… 10% Course material and reading assignments: No textbook is required for the book. Instead...

Words: 4794 - Pages: 20

Premium Essay

Research Methodology

...Journal of Enterprise Information Management Analysis of risk dynamics in information technology service delivery Özge Naz#mo#lu Yasemine Özsen Article information: Downloaded by SEGi International Bhd At 09:35 13 July 2015 (PT) To cite this document: Özge Naz#mo#lu Yasemine Özsen, (2010),"Analysis of risk dynamics in information technology service delivery", Journal of Enterprise Information Management, Vol. 23 Iss 3 pp. 350 - 364 Permanent link to this document: http://dx.doi.org/10.1108/17410391011036102 Downloaded on: 13 July 2015, At: 09:35 (PT) References: this document contains references to 37 other documents. To copy this document: permissions@emeraldinsight.com The fulltext of this document has been downloaded 1723 times since 2010* Users who downloaded this article also downloaded: Norita Ahmad, Noha Tarek Amer, Faten Qutaifan, Azza Alhilali, (2013),"Technology adoption model and a road map to successful implementation of ITIL", Journal of Enterprise Information Management, Vol. 26 Iss 5 pp. 553-576 http://dx.doi.org/10.1108/JEIM-07-2013-0041 F. Ponsignon, P.A. Smart, R.S. Maull, (2011),"Service delivery system design: characteristics and contingencies", International Journal of Operations & Production Management, Vol. 31 Iss 3 pp. 324-349 http://dx.doi.org/10.1108/01443571111111946 Kakoli Bandyopadhyay, Peter P. Mykytyn, Kathleen Mykytyn, (1999),"A framework for integrated risk management in information technology", Management Decision, Vol. 37 Iss 5 pp. 437-445...

Words: 7780 - Pages: 32

Premium Essay

Decision Making

...Risk Management in Construction Projects Using Combined Analytic Hierarchy Process and Risk Map Framework Satyendra Kumar Sharma* This paper aims at developing a risk management framework for project risk management in construction projects and demonstrate its application in an ongoing construction project in Amravati, Maharashtra, India. The various risk factors encountered in construction projects and various risk management methods already in use are identified and then a framework is developed which combines the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) and risk map methods. The data was collected from various stakeholders in the construction project. The findings reveal that the proposed framework helps managers to objectively find out the most important risk factor associated with the project and accordingly work towards risk minimization. Introduction Construction projects in today’s world are marred by risks which delay the completion of projects on time or result in excessive cost overruns. These losses are multiplied if the size of the project and investments made are huge. These risks may include unavailability of materials, erratic weather changes, lack of funds, low quality of sub- contractors (Wu and Olson, 2009), etc. Though the managers realize the importance of these risk factors and mitigating them, they fall short of an objective method to manage these risks based on a priority basis (Martin, 2006). They mostly use ad-hoc or unscientific methods like rule of thumb...

Words: 2032 - Pages: 9

Premium Essay

Risk

... T Anatomy of Risk Management Practices in the Mortgage Industry: Lessons for the Future Clifford V. Rossi Anatomy of Risk Management Practices in the Mortgage Industry: Lessons for the Future Clifford V. Rossi Robert H. Smith School of Business University of Maryland May 2010 2 9946 Anatomy of Risk Management Practices in the Mortgage Industry: Lessons for the Future © Research Institute for Housing America May 2010. All rights reserved. Research Institute for Housing America Board of Trustees Chair Teresa Bryce, Esq. Radian Group Inc. Michael W. Young Cenlar FSB Nancee Mueller Wells Fargo Edward L. Hurley Avanath Capital Partners LLC Steve Graves Principal Real Estate Investors Dena Yocom IMortgage Staff Jay Brinkmann, Ph.D. Senior Vice President, Research and Business Development Chief Economist Mortgage Bankers Association Michael Fratantoni, Ph.D. Vice President, Research and Economics Mortgage Bankers Association Anatomy of Risk Management Practices in the Mortgage Industry: Lessons for the Future © Research Institute for Housing America May 2010. All rights reserved. 3 Table of Contents Executive Summary 1. Introduction: Findings and Recommendations 2. A Model for Mortgage Risk Taking: Growth, P / E and the Fallacy of ROE 3. Data and Model Limitations Data Integrity Economic Environment Mortgage Products and Risk Layering Borrower and Counterparty Behavior 4. Governance, Corporate Culture and Risk Taking: A Behavioral...

Words: 6191 - Pages: 25

Premium Essay

An Indian Journey to Basel 2

...Indian Journey to Basel II: Implementing Risk Management in Banks Dr. SS Satchidananda Sanjeev Shukla CBIT Centre of Banking and Information Technology Indian Institute of Information Technology 26/C, Electronic City, Bangalore And Oracle India Pvt. Ltd., DLF Corporate Park Block I DLF City Phase III Gurgaon 122002 CMYK CMYK CMYK CMYK CBIT Centre of Banking and Information Technology Indian Institute of Information Technology 26/C, Electronic City, Bangalore And Oracle India Pvt. Ltd., DLF Corporate Park Block I DLF City Phase III Gurgaon 122002 CMYK CMYK CMYK CMYK The Indian Journey to Basel II Implementing Risk Management in Banks ABSTRACT In this paper, we provide a perspective on the international regulatory framework for capital standards and its focus on implementation of risk management systems in banks with particular reference to the Indian scenario. We also discuss the Indian regulatory approach to this important challenge and the major issues involved in the Basel II implementation in the Indian context. We conclude with guidance for developing an implementation plan for ushering in effective and efficient risk management in banks. {SS Satchidananda1 Sanjeev Shukla2 } “Banking in modern economies is all about risk management. The successful negotiation and implementation of Basel II Accord is likely to lead to an even sharper focus on the risk measurement and risk management at the institutional level. Thankfully...

Words: 9834 - Pages: 40

Premium Essay

Supply Chain Risk Management

...Identifying risk issues and research advancements in supply chain risk management Ou Tang a,c, S. Nurmaya Musa a,b,n a Department of Management and Engineering, Link¨ping University, SE-581 83 Link¨ping, Sweden o o Department of Engineering Design and Manufacture, University of Malaya, 50603 Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia c School of Economics & Management, Tongji University, Shanghai 200092, PR China b a r t i c l e in fo Available online 3 July 2010 Keywords: Supply chain Risk management Citation/co-citation analysis abstract The purpose of this paper is to investigate the research development in supply chain risk management (SCRM), which has shown an increasing global attention in recent years. Literature survey and citation/ co-citation analysis are used to fulfil the research task. Literature survey has undertaken a thorough search of articles on selected journals relevant to supply chain operations management. Meanwhile, citation/co-citation analysis uses Web of Sciences database to disclose SCRM development between 1995 and 2009. Both the approaches show similar trends of rising publications over the past 15 years. This review has piloted us to identify and classify the potential risk associated with different flows, namely material, cash and information flows. Consequently, we identify some research gaps. Even though there is a pressing need and awareness of SCRM from industrial aspect, quantitative models in the field are relatively lacking and information flow risk has received...

Words: 8250 - Pages: 33

Premium Essay

The Implications of Risk Management Information Systems for the Organization of Financial Firms

...The Implications of Risk Management Information Systems for the Organization of Financial Firms Michael S. Gibson* Federal Reserve Board Abstract Financial dealer firms have invested heavily in recent years to develop information systems for risk measurement. I take it as given that technological progress is likely to continue at a rapid pace, making it less expensive for financial firms to assemble risk information. I look beyond questions of risk measurement methodology to investigate the implications of risk management information systems. By examining several theoretical models of the firm in the presence of asymmetric information, I explore how a financial firm’s capital budgeting, incentive compensation, capital structure, and risk management activities are likely to change as it becomes less costly to assemble risk information. I also explore the likely effects of the falling cost of assembling risk information on a financial firm’s organizational structure. Two common themes emerge: centralization within the firm and increased disclosure of risk information outside the firm are both likely to increase. 1 Introduction Financial dealer firms have invested heavily in recent years to develop information systems for risk measurement and management.1 These systems gather data on a firm’s risk positions and compute statistical measurements, such as Value-atRisk, to assess the magnitude of the risks faced by the firm. Increasingly, the uses of these...

Words: 4467 - Pages: 18

Premium Essay

Impact of Alm on Profitability

...Impact of Asset Liability Management on Banks Profitability: A Comparative Study on Ethiopian Commercial Banks” Prepared by: Samson Abate ID No. GSE/1482/08 Submitted to: Samuel Kifle(Phd.) In Partial fulfilment of Business Research Methods Course January, 2016 Abstract Banks’ profitability is of utmost concern in modern economy. Banks are in a business to receive deposits or liabilities and to issue debt securities on the one hand and create or invest in assets on the other hand. Commercial Banks incur costs for their liabilities and earn income from their assets. Thus profitability of banks is directly affected by management of their assets and liabilities. In addition, different market and macroeconomic factors also influence the ability of the banks to make profits. The asset and liability base of banks in developing countries are narrower than their counterparts in developed countries. This study examines how asset and liability management together with external variables such as degree of market concentration and inflation rate impact the profitability of selected commercial banks in Ethiopia. Although impact of the management of banks’ asset and liability on their profitability has been studied by a number of researchers, the issue of banks’ profitability in Ethiopia has received scant attention from the researchers. This study is an attempt to close this gap, to bring the issues of banks’ assets and liability management in Ethiopia squarely into focus...

Words: 6472 - Pages: 26

Premium Essay

Business

...Risk mitigation techniques Risk management involves the process of continuous identification of the risk factors and devising way and methods of dealing with them. The identification process can be done using different types of models depending on the type of organization being analyzed (Chapman, 1996). Dr. Kallman a professor of risk management, has several techniques which he has discussed regarding the risk management which will be compared with other techniques recommended by other authors like Victoria Duff. Understand the risk According to Dr. Kallman on risk management, he has given the following techniques to be used. Dr. Kallman says that before giving the mitigation techniques to the risk, there must be identification of the risks. A risk manager should understand the type of risks which are likely to face a firm and list them down. This is what we call risk identification. For one to know this, there must be clear understanding of the companies’ goals, mission and objective. From these factors, the risk that is likely to face an organization can be identified easily. When the risks have been identified, they can be categorized to three distinct groups such as, operational, strategic and economic. Strategic risks include those risks with long term varied effects on the firm and they are composed of factors like, the reputational risk, quality risk and brand risk. The next set of risk is operational risks which include things like the hazards which expose the business...

Words: 1398 - Pages: 6

Premium Essay

Credit Appraisal of Sbi

... Journal of Economics and Management    Vol.2 Issue 1, January 2013, ISSN 2278‐0629     CREDIT APPRAISAL PROCESS OF SBI: A CASE STUDY OF BRANCH OF SBI IN HISAR NANCY ARORA*; DR. ARTI GAUR**; MS. BABITA*** *Student, Department of Business Administration, CDLU, Sirsa. **Assistant Professor, Department of Business Administration, CDLU, Sirsa. **Teaching Associate, Department of Business Administration, CDLU, Sirsa. ABSTRACT             Pinnacle Research Journals                   10       http://www.pinnaclejournals.com                                                                                        Credit risk is a risk related to non repayment of the credit obtained by the customer of a bank. Thus it is necessary to appraise the credibility of the customer in order to mitigate the credit risk. Proper evaluation of the customer is performed this measures the financial condition and the ability of the customer to repay back the loan in future. Credit Appraisal is a process to ascertain the risks associated with the extension of the credit facility. It is generally carried by the financial institutions which are involved in providing financial funding to its customers. In this paper, we study the Credit Risk Assessment Model of SBI Bank and to check the commercial, financial & technical viability of the project proposed & its funding pattern. Also to observe the movements to reduce various risk parameters which are broadly categorized into financial risk, business risk, industrial risk and management...

Words: 5018 - Pages: 21

Free Essay

Controllers

...non-compensation expenses - Evaluate new acquisitions, structured trades and other transaction to determine approporiate accounting treatment. IMD Controllers - prepare global regulatory filings, AUM and revenue reporting Product Controllers and Funding Controllers - P&L calculations, reporting, attribution and reporting to desks - PRice Verification and management reporting - Account and monitor forthe firm's secured and unsecured financing activitis Regulatory Controllers - Calcualte and review Firl's capital ratios - Analyze and report regulatory capital - Prepare global regulatory filings -Coordinatre teh capital computations for "GS" Group and regulated legal entities Market Risk Analysis is responsible for measuring, analyzing and reporting market risk, including monitoring adherence to limits. Varieties of quantitative measures are used, including Value at Risk (VaR) and stress tests. Much focus is given to liquidity and risk concentration. This team is at the center of the firm's daily trading activities and looks at all businesses and asset classes across the firm globally. Market Risk Analysis is looking for pro-active and driven people with a great eye for detail, strong analytical skills and a strong desire to truly understand the...

Words: 636 - Pages: 3

Premium Essay

Why All Partners Must Carry Consequences for the Associated Risk Within the Supply Chain

...Components Put Sales at Risk” Why all partners must carry consequences for the associated risk within the Supply Chain Author: Mathijs Cornelis van Itterzon What are the consequences of a tsunami in Japan, with respect to the price of Apple stocks? If we ask a regular person this question, one may answer that it doesn’t have that much influence at all. Mainly because people have never heard of the company ShinEtsu, which is responsible for manufacturing thin silicon wafers for Apples products (Der Spiegel, 2011). What many people do not know is that when this Japanese manufacturer has been overwhelmed by a natural disaster risk of stock-out may appear and may harm other partners within the supply chain. One of the major customers is Foxconn in Taiwan which manufacturers Apple’s iPhone and iPad. Still we rely that Apple controls their supply chain well in order to produce sufficient iPhones for the market. Taiwan’s Foxconn is able to produce the iPhones and iPad due to the efficient and ‘justin-time’ delivery from the Japanese manufacturer. Natural disasters like the tsunami in Japan may disrupt the continuity in the supply chain with all the associated consequences. Risk management and mitigation strategies are suitable solutions, which may prevent a supply chain breakdown because one will get insight in high-risk situations, such as the situation in Japan and hence consider how to reduce the associated consequences (Chopra & Sodhi, Managing Risk to Avoid Supply Chain Breakdown...

Words: 2172 - Pages: 9

Free Essay

Risk

...Credit Risk Management Ken Brown Peter Moles CR-A2-engb 1/2012 (1044) This course text is part of the learning content for this Edinburgh Business School course. In addition to this printed course text, you should also have access to the course website in this subject, which will provide you with more learning content, the Profiler software and past examination questions and answers. The content of this course text is updated from time to time, and all changes are reflected in the version of the text that appears on the accompanying website at http://coursewebsites.ebsglobal.net/. Most updates are minor, and examination questions will avoid any new or significantly altered material for two years following publication of the relevant material on the website. You can check the version of the course text via the version release number to be found on the front page of the text, and compare this to the version number of the latest PDF version of the text on the website. If you are studying this course as part of a tutored programme, you should contact your Centre for further information on any changes. Full terms and conditions that apply to students on any of the Edinburgh Business School courses are available on the website www.ebsglobal.net, and should have been notified to you either by Edinburgh Business School or by the centre or regional partner through whom you purchased your course. If this is not the case, please contact Edinburgh Business School at the address below:...

Words: 21029 - Pages: 85