Free Essay

Stress Testing

In:

Submitted By Sumon47
Words 8535
Pages 35
A. Introduction Part

Origin of the Report

Now-a-days, education is not just limited to books and classrooms. In today’s world, education is a tool to understand the real world and apply knowledge for the betterment of the society as well as business. From education the theoretical knowledge is obtained from courses of study, which is only the half way of the subject matter. Practical knowledge has no alternative. The perfect coordination between theory and practice is of paramount importance in the context of the modern business world in order to resolve the problem between these two areas. Therefore, an opportunity is offered by Mahmood Osman Imam sir.

Objective of the Report
The objective of the report is to evaluate the potential impact on a bank (or a group of entities) of a specific event &/ or movement in a set of financial or macro variable. That’s why we try to find out the following risk:

• Credit risk • Interest rate risk • Exchange rate risk • Equity price risk • Liquidity risk
Scope of the Report

The report may be classified in three broad sections:

• Introduction part • Pre-Analysis part • Analysis part

Limitations of the Study
In preparing the report, some problem is found, affected the presentation of the report. The acute problems are-

a) Lack of information or data:

Bank is sophisticated business sector. So they are not interested to provide the confidential data. As a result in the report there is a confidential data limitation. Moreover, the bank has no organized product publicity, documents or leaflets for all the products.

b) Time constraint:

It is something like impossible to cover the entire stress testing procedure exploiting a this time period while an employee or an officer is awarded with one or two year probationary period to do his or her particular job. Moreover, it is not assigned for a specific task in each day. So it is not able to understand these activities deeply.

In spite of all the drawbacks faced, everything has been managed well at the end. That’s why it can be thought; the report is a quality report. So readers are requested to consider these limitations while reading and justifying any part of study.

Sources of Information

• Annual Reports • DSE Library • News paper. • Bangladesh Bank Website

B. Pre Analysis Part

Historical background of the NCCBL

National Credit & Commerce Bank limited

National Credit & Commerce Bank limited is a public limited banking company incorporated in Bangladesh with primary objective to carry on all kinds of banking business in and outside Bangladesh. It carries out all banking activities through it branches in Bangladesh. The Bank went for Initial Public Offering in 1999 and its share is listed with Dhaka and Chittagong Stock Exchange Limited as a publicly traded company for its general class of shares.

NCCBL’s Vision:

To become the Bank of choice in serving the Nation as a progressive and Socially Responsible financial institution by bringing credit & commerce together for profit and sustainable growth.

NCCBL’s Mission:

• To mobilize financial resources from within and abroad • To contribute to Agriculture's, Industry & Socio-economic development of the country • To play a catalytic role in the formation of capital market.
Stress testing

Extreme market movements or crises in the past reveal the inadequacy of managing risks based only on normal business conditions and historical trends. In particular, crises in the 1990’s (e.g. Asian Crisis) and current financial turmoil have augmented the importance of better understanding of potential vulnerabilities in the financial system and the measures to assess these vulnerabilities for both the regulators and the bankers. The regulators and managers of the financial system around the globe have developed a number of quantitative techniques to assess the potential risks to the individual institutions as well as financial system. A range of quantitative techniques that could serve the purpose is widely known as ‘stress testing’. IMF and Basel Committee on banking supervision have also suggested for conducting stress tests on the financial sector.

Stress testing is a simulation technique, which are used to determine the reactions of different financial institutions under a set of exceptional, but plausible assumptions through a series of battery of tests. At institutional level, stress testing techniques provide a way to quantify the impact of changes in a number of risk factors on the assets and liabilities portfolio of the institution. For instance, a portfolio stress test makes a rough estimate of the value of portfolio using a set of exceptional but plausible events in abnormal markets.

However, one of the limitations of this technique is that stress tests do not account for the probability of occurrence of these exceptional events. For this purpose, other techniques, for example VAR (value at risks) models etc, are used to supplement the stress tests. These tests help in managing risk within a financial institution to ensure optimum allocation of capital across its risk profile.

At the system level, stress tests are primarily designed to quantify the impact of possible changes in economic environment on the financial system. The system level stress tests also complement the institutional level stress testing by providing information about the sensitivity of the overall financial system to a number of risk factors. These tests help the regulators to identify structural vulnerabilities and the overall risk exposure that could cause disruption of financial markets. Its prominence is on potential externalities and market failures.

Technique for stress testing

• Simple Sensitivity Analysis (single factor tests) measures the change in the value of portfolio for shocks of various degrees to different independent risk factors while the underlying relationships among the risk factors are not considered. For example, the shock might be the adverse movement of interest rate by 100 basis points and 200 basis points. Its impact will be measured only on the dependent variable i.e. capital in this case, while the impact of this change in interest rate on NPLs or exchange rate or any other risk factor is not considered.

• Scenario Analysis encompasses the situation where a change in one risk factor affects a number of other risk factors or there is a simultaneous move in a group of risk factors. Scenarios can be designed to encompass both movements in a group of risk factors and the changes in the underlying relationships between these variables (for example correlations and volatilities). Stress testing can be based on the historical scenarios, a backward looking approach, or the hypothetical scenario, a forward‐looking approach.

• Extreme Value/ Maximum Shock Scenario measures the change in the risk factor in the worst‐case scenario, i.e. the level of shock which entirely wipes out the capital.

Framework for regular stress testing

The stress‐testing framework involves the scope of the risks covered and the process/procedure to carry out the stress test. This framework should be flexible enough to adopt advanced models for stress testing. It involves:

• A well constituted organizational structure defining clearly the roles and responsibilities of the persons involved in the exercise. Preferably, it should be the part of the risk management functions of the bank/FI. The persons involved should be independent from those who are actually involved in the risk taking and should directly report the results to the senior management.

• Defining the coverage and identifying the data required and available.

• Identifying, analyzing and proper recording of the assumptions used for stress testing

• Calibrating the scenarios or shocks applied to the data and interpreting the results.

• An effective management information system that ensures flow of information to the senior management to take proper measures to avoid certain extreme conditions.

• Setting the specific trigger points to meet the benchmarks/standards set by Bangladesh Bank

• Ensuring a mechanism for an ongoing review of the results of the stress test exercise and reflecting in the policies and limits set by management and board of directors.

• Taking this stress test as a starting point and developing in‐house stress test model to assess the bank/FI’s specific risks

Scope of stress testing

As a starting point the scope of the stress test is limited to simple sensitivity analysis. Five different risk factors namely; interest rate, forced sale value of collateral, non‐performing loans (NPLs), stock prices and foreign exchange rate have been identified and used for the stress testing. Moreover, the liquidity position of the institutions has also been stressed separately. Though the decision of creating different scenarios for stress testing is a difficult one, however, to start with, certain levels of shocks to the individual risk components have been specified considering the historical as well as hypothetical movement in the risk factors.

Stress test shall be carried out assuming three different hypothetical scenarios:

• Minor Level Shocks: These represent small shocks to the risk factors. The level for different risk factors can, however, vary.

• Moderate Level Shocks: It envisages medium level of shocks and the level is defined in each risk factor separately.

• Major Level Shocks: It involves big shocks to all the risk factors and is also defined separately for each risk factor.

• Assumptions behind each Scenario: The stress test at this stage is only a single factor sensitivity analysis. Each of the five risk factors has been given shocks of three different levels. The magnitude of shock has been defined separately for each risk factor for all the three levels of shocks.

C. Analysis Part

Methodology and Calibration of Shocks:

Credit Risk:

The bank is exposed to credit risk in its lending operation. Credit risk is the risk of loss that may occur from the failure of any counterparty to make required payments in accordance with agreed terms and conditions. Management of credit risk in the bank is governed by a Credit Policy Manual which contains the principles for identifying, measuring, approving and managing credit risk. These policies are established by the Board of Directors and are designed to meet the organizational requirements that exist today, and to provide flexibility for future. These policies represent the minimum standards for credit extension and are not a substitute for experience and good management.

The bank has adopted a framework for credit risk management, setting up of an independent Credit Risk Management Team to establish better control and check, to reduce conflict of interest in the business units.

The stress test for credit risk assesses the impact of increase in the level of nonperforming loans of the bank/FI. This involves six types of shocks:

1. The first deals with the increase in the NPLs and the respective provisioning. The three scenarios shall explain the impact of 1%, 2% and 3% of the total performing loans directly downgraded to bad/loss category having 100% provisioning requirement.

Here we have shown the effect of increase in NPL in 2010, 2009 and 2008. We have increased the NPL by 1%, 2%, and 3%. As a result the provision increased by the same amount and reduced the capital base and risk weighted asset and thus the CAR. The below table shows that NCC Bank was more exposed to the risk of increased in NPL’s in 2009 and 2010 consecutively .Because its CAR have reduced by a larger percentage for different shocks.

Increase in NPL

| |
|2010 |
|2009 |
|2008 |
| |
| |
|1% |
|2% |
|3% |
|1% |
|2% |
|3% |
|1% |
|2% |
|3% |
| |
|Total loan |
|63230141628 |
|63230141628 |
|63230141628 |
|50387683203 |
|50387683203 |
|50387683203 |
|44394497310 |
|44394497310 |
|44394497310 |
| |
|Total performing Loan |
|60634171628 |
|60634171628 |
|60634171628 |
|48860259203 |
|48860259203 |
|48860259203 |
|44265379464 |
|44265379464 |
|44265379464 |
| |
|Total NPLs |
|2595970000 |
|2595970000 |
|2595970000 |
|1527424000 |
|1527424000 |
|1527424000 |
|129117846 |
|129117846 |
|129117846 |
| |
|NPLs to Loans |
|4.11% |
|4.11% |
|4.11% |
|3.03% |
|3.03% |
|3.03% |
|0.29% |
|0.29% |
|0.29% |
| |
|Increase in NPLs |
|606341716 |
|1212683433 |
|1819025149 |
|488602592 |
|977205184.1 |
|1465807776 |
|442653795 |
|885307589 |
|1327961384 |
| |
|Increaase in Provision |
|606341716 |
|1212683433 |
|1819025149 |
|488602592 |
|977205184.1 |
|1465807776 |
|442653795 |
|885307589 |
|1327961384 |
| |
|Revised Capital |
|9427644564 |
|8821302847 |
|8214961131 |
|5833816024 |
|5345213432 |
|4856610840 |
|3997601410 |
|3554947616 |
|3112293821 |
| |
|Revised Risk Weigted Asset |
|91323258284 |
|90716916567 |
|90110574851 |
|46163397408 |
|45674794816 |
|45186192224 |
|41406046205 |
|40963392411 |
|40520738616 |
| |
|Revised CAR |
|10.32% |
|9.72% |
|9.12% |
|12.64% |
|11.70% |
|10.75% |
|9.65% |
|8.68% |
|7.68% |
| |
|Fall in CAR(% age points) |
|5.42% |
|10.91% |
|16.48% |
|6.75% |
|13.65% |
|20.69% |
|9.01% |
|18.21% |
|27.61% |
| |
|Revised NPL |
|3202311716 |
|3808653433 |
|4414995149 |
|2016026592 |
|2504629184 |
|2993231776 |
|571771641 |
|1014425435 |
|1457079230 |
| |
|Revised NPLs to Loans(%) |
|5.06% |
|6.02% |
|6.98% |
|4.00% |
|4.97% |
|5.94% |
|1.29% |
|2.29% |
|3.28% |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |

2. The second deals with the negative shift in the NPLs categories and hence the increase in respective provisioning. The three scenarios shall explain the impact of 50%, 80% and 100% downward shift in the NPLs categories.

Downward shift in NPLs Categories

| |
|2010 |
|2009 |
|2008 |
| |
| |
|50% |
|80% |
|100% |
|50% |
|80% |
|100% |
|50% |
|80% |
|100% |
| |
|Weighted Amount of provision |
|2078988800 |
|2078988800 |
|2078988800 |
|1857903150 |
|1857903150 |
|1857903150 |
|2070232600 |
|2070232600 |
|2070232600 |
| |
|Provision after shift in Catagories |
|7896769563 |
|11662550050 |
|14173070376 |
|6523250695 |
|9505288657 |
|11493313966 |
|6362656046 |
|9159253854 |
|11023652393 |
| |
|Increase in Provision |
|5817780763 |
|9583561250 |
|12094081576 |
|4665347545 |
|7647385507 |
|9635410816 |
|4292423446 |
|7089021254 |
|8953419793 |
| |
|Revised Capital |
|4216205517 |
|450425029.5 |
|-2060095296 |
|1657071071 |
|-1324966891 |
|-3312992200 |
|147831758.6 |
|-2648766049 |
|-4513164588 |
| |
|Revised RWA |
|86111819237 |
|82346038750 |
|79835518424 |
|41986652455 |
|39004614493 |
|37016589184 |
|37556276554 |
|34759678746 |
|32895280207 |
| |
|Revised CAR(%) |
|4.90% |
|0.55% |
|-2.58% |
|3.95% |
|-3.40% |
|-8.95% |
|0.39% |
|-7.62% |
|-13.72% |
| |

Here, for the first level of shock 50% of the SMA shall be categorized under substandard, 50% of the substandard shall be categorized under doubtful and 50% of the doubtful shall be added to the bad/loss category. Then the provision has been calculated. The capital base and RWA has been then reduced by the amount of increase in provision which lowers its CAR. The table shows that it CAR has reduced by a larger amount in 2008. But all the case and year its CAR has been remained below CAR mentioned by the BB (9%).

3. The third deals with the increase of the NPLs in particular 1 or 2 sector i.e. garments & Textiles and the respective provisioning. The three scenarios shall explain the impact of 5%, 7.5% and 10% performing loans of particular 1 or 2 sectors directly downgraded to bad/loss category having 100% provisioning requirement.

Increase in NPLs under B/L Category in 1 0r 2 sector

| |
|2010 |
|2009 |
|2008 |
| |
| |
|5% |
|7.50% |
|10% |
|5% |
|7.50% |
|10% |
|5% |
|7.50% |
|10% |
| |
|Loans to Industrial Sectors |
|25844987354 |
|25844987354 |
|25844987354 |
|21081494000 |
|21081494000 |
|21081494000 |
|17271180000.00 |
|17271180000 |
|17271180000 |
| |
|Increase in NPLs |
|1292249368 |
|1938374052 |
|2584498735 |
|1054074700 |
|1581112050 |
|2108149400 |
|863559000 |
|1295338500 |
|1727118000 |
| |
|Increase in Provision |
|1292249368 |
|1938374052 |
|2584498735 |
|1054074700 |
|1581112050 |
|2108149400 |
|863559000 |
|1295338500 |
|1727118000 |
| |
|Revised Capital |
|8741736912 |
|8095612228 |
|7449487545 |
|5268343916 |
|4741306566 |
|4214269216 |
|3576696205 |
|3144916705 |
|2713137205 |
| |
|Revised RWA |
|90637350632 |
|89991225948 |
|89345101265 |
|45597925300 |
|45070887950 |
|44543850600 |
|40985141000 |
|40553361500 |
|40121582000 |
| |
|Revised CAR(%) |
|9.64% |
|9.00% |
|8.34% |
|11.55% |
|10.52% |
|9.46% |
|0.08726812 |
|0.077550087 |
|0.067622887 |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |

In 2010, NCC has given more than 9% of its loan to industrial sector. Increase in NPLs has increased the provision by the same amount and thus decrease the Capital base and RWA. NCC has been more exposed this risk of increase in NPLs in the specific category in 2010.

Interest Rate Risk

Interest rate risk is the potential that the value of the on‐balance sheet and the off-balance sheet positions of the bank/DFI would be negatively affected with the change in the interest rates. The vulnerability of an institution towards the adverse movements of the interest rate can be gauged by using duration GAP analysis.

We have followed the following steps in carrying out the interest rate stress tests:

• First we have estimated the market value of all on‐balance sheet rate sensitive assets and liabilities of the bank/DFI to arrive at market value of equity • Then we have calculated the durations of each class of asset and the liability of the on‐balance sheet portfolio Arrive at the aggregate weighted average duration of assets and liabilities • Then we have calculated the duration GAP by subtracting aggregate duration of liabilities from that of assets. • Then the changes in the economic value of equity due to change in interest rates on on‐balance sheet positions along the three interest rate changes has been estimated. • Then the impact of the net change in the market value of equity on the capital adequacy ratio (CAR) has been estimated.

Market value of the asset or liability has been assessed by calculating its present value discounted at the prevailing interest rate. The outstanding balances of the assets and Liabilities have been taken along with their remaining maturity period.

|Interest Rate Risk |
| |
| |
|2010 |
|2009 |
|2008 |
| |
| |
|1% |
|2% |
|3% |
|1% |
|2% |
|3% |
|1% |
|2% |
|3% |
| |
|Fall in MVE |
|319,383,564 |
|638,767,127 |
|958,150,691 |
|337,929,644 |
|675,859,287 |
|1,013,788,931 |
|-213,643,749 |
|-427,287,498 |
|-640,931,248 |
| |
|Tax adjusted Loss |
|183645549.1 |
|367291098.2 |
|550936647.4 |
|194309545.2 |
|388619090.3 |
|582928635.5 |
|-122845155.8 |
|-245690311.6 |
|-368535467.3 |
| |
|Revised Regulatory Capital |
|9850340731 |
|9666695182 |
|9483049633 |
|6128109071 |
|5933799526 |
|5,739,489,980.53 |
|4563100361 |
|4685945517 |
|4808790672 |
| |
|Revised Risk weighted Asset |
|91745954451 |
|91562308902 |
|91378663353 |
|46457690455 |
|46,263,380,909.69 |
|46,069,071,364.53 |
|41971545156 |
|42094390312 |
|42217235467 |
| |
|Revised CAR |
|10.74% |
|10.56% |
|10.38% |
|13.19% |
|12.83% |
|12.46% |
|10.87% |
|11.13% |
|11.39% |
| |
|Fall in CAR |
|1.63% |
|3.27% |
|4.92% |
|2.67% |
|5.36% |
|8.07% |
|-2.47% |
|-4.92% |
|-7.35% |
| |

As NCC’s market value of Equity has been much increased from 2008 to 2019 side by side with its capital base and RWA, the impact of fall in market value of equity on CAR has been decreased. The percentage fall in CAR is much lower in 2008 in comparison to 2009 and 2010 due to fall in market value of equity.

Exchange Rate Risk

The stress test for exchange rate assesses the impact of change in exchange rate on the value of equity. Here we have taken the Bank’s balance with Bangladesh Bank in foreign currency and the net amount of Letter of Credit. To assess foreign exchange risk the overall net open position of the bank/FI including the on‐balance sheet and off‐balance sheet exposures has been charged by the weight age of 5%, 10% and 15% for minor, moderate and major levels respectively. The impact of the respective shocks has been calibrated in terms of the CAR. The tax‐adjusted loss if any arising from the shocked position will be adjusted from the capital. The revised CAR has been calculated after adjusting total loss from the risk‐weighted assets of the bank/FI.

|Exchange Rate Risk |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
|2010 |
|2009 |
|2008 |
|2007 |
| |
| |
|5% |
|10% |
|15% |
|5% |
|10% |
|15% |
|5% |
|10% |
|15% |
|5% |
|10% |
|15% |
| |
|Net on Balance position and off B/S currency exposure |
|273269878 |
|273269878 |
|273269878 |
|500832889 |
|500832889 |
|500832889 |
|274058167 |
|274058167 |
|274058167 |
|330628983 |
|330628983 |
|330628983 |
| |
|Exchange Rate loss |
|13663493.9 |
|27326987.8 |
|40990481.7 |
|25041644.45 |
|50083288.9 |
|75124933.35 |
|13702908.35 |
|27405816.7 |
|41108725.05 |
|16531449.15 |
|33062898.3 |
|49594347.45 |
| |
|Tax adjusted loss |
|7856508.993 |
|15713017.99 |
|23569526.98 |
|14398945.56 |
|28797891.12 |
|43196836.68 |
|7879172.301 |
|15758344.6 |
|23637516.9 |
|9505583.261 |
|19011166.52 |
|28516749.78 |
| |
|Revised Capital |
|10026129771 |
|10018273262 |
|10010416753 |
|6308019670 |
|6293620725 |
|6279221779 |
|4432376033 |
|4424496860 |
|4416617688 |
|3,317,023,597.74 |
|3,307,518,014.48 |
|3,298,012,431.22 |
| |
|Revised risk weighted asset |
|91921743491 |
|91913886982 |
|91906030473 |
|46637601054 |
|46623202109 |
|46608803163 |
|41840820828 |
|41832941655 |
|41825062483 |
|31,350,572,416.74 |
|31,341,066,833.48 |
|31,331,561,250.22 |
| |
|Revised CAR |
|10.91% |
|10.90% |
|10.89% |
|13.53% |
|13.50% |
|13.47% |
|10.59% |
|10.58% |
|10.56% |
|10.58% |
|10.55% |
|10.53% |
| |
|Fall in CAR |
|0.070% |
|0.140% |
|0.209% |
|0.20% |
|0.39% |
|0.59% |
|0.16% |
|0.32% |
|0.48% |
|0.28% |
|0.54% |
|0.79% |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |

The table shows that the bank has been less exposed to the risk of fall in CAR due to change in exchange rate in 2010. Because its off-balance sheet and on balance sheet exposure has been lower in 2010

Equity Price Risk

The stress test for equity price risk assesses the impact of the fall in the stock market index. Here we have taken the market value of the portfolio of the bank. Appropriate shocks have been absorbed to the respective securities if the current market value of all the on balance sheet and off balance sheet securities listed on the stock exchanges including shares, NIT units, mutual funds etc falls at the rate of 10%, 20% and 40% respectively. The impact of resultant loss has been calibrated in the CAR.

|Equity Price Risk |
| |
| |
|2010 |
|2009 |
|2008 |
| |
| |
|10% |
|20% |
|40% |
|10% |
|20% |
|40% |
|10% |
|20% |
|40% |
| |
|Total Exposure in Stock market |
|718501349 |
|718501349 |
|718501349 |
|483347914 |
|483347914 |
|483347914 |
|330090817 |
|330090817 |
|330090817 |
| |
|Fall in Stock prices |
|71850135 |
|143700270 |
|287400540 |
|48334791 |
|96669583 |
|193339166 |
|33009082 |
|66018163 |
|132036327 |
| |
|Tax adjusted loss |
|41313828 |
|82627655 |
|165255310 |
|27792505 |
|55585010 |
|111170020 |
|18980222 |
|37960444 |
|75920888 |
| |
|Revised Capital |
|9992672452 |
|9951358625 |
|9868730970 |
|6294626111 |
|6266833606 |
|6211248596 |
|4421274983 |
|4402294761 |
|4364334317 |
| |
|Revised risk weighted asset |
|91888286172 |
|91846972345 |
|91764344690 |
|46624207495 |
|46596414990 |
|46540829980 |
|41829719778 |
|41810739556 |
|41772779112 |
| |
|Revised CAR |
|10.87% |
|10.83% |
|10.75% |
|13.50% |
|13.45% |
|13.35% |
|10.57% |
|10.53% |
|10.45% |
| |
|Fall in CAR (% age points) |
|0.37% |
|0.73% |
|1.47% |
|0.38% |
|0.76% |
|1.52% |
|0.38% |
|0.76% |
|1.53% |
| |

We know that in 2010, Bank has been invested their excess liquidity in the stock market. Investment this sector has been on an average same over the three years.

Liquidity Risk

The stress test for liquidity risk evaluates the resilience of the banks towards the fall in liquid liabilities. The ratio “liquid assets to liquid liabilities” has been calculated before and after the application of shocks by dividing the liquid assets with liquid liabilities.

Liquid assets are the assets that are easily turned into cash without the threat of loss. They include cash, balances with Bangladesh Bank and balances with banks, call money lending, lending under repo and investment in government securities.

Liquid liabilities include the deposits and the borrowings. In these case, the deposits and borrowing which have maturities up to 12 month has been taken.

Appropriate shocks have been absorbed to the liquid liabilities if the current liquidity position falls at the rate of 10%, 20% and 30% respectively. The ratio of liquid assets to liquid liabilities has been re‐calculated under each scenario.

|Liquidity Risk |
| |
| |
|2010 |
|2009 |
|2008 |
| |
| |
|10% |
|20% |
|30% |
|10% |
|20% |
|30% |
|10% |
|20% |
|30% |
| |
|Liquid Asset |
|17779741366 |
|17779741366 |
|17779741366 |
|13944673901 |
|13944673901 |
|13944673901 |
|9979024770 |
|9979024770 |
|9979024770 |
| |
|Liquid Liabilities |
|68796893093 |
|68796893093 |
|68796893093 |
|54999851621 |
|54999851621 |
|54999851621 |
|48780827352 |
|48780827352 |
|48780827352 |
| |
|Liquidity Ratio |
|25.84% |
|25.84% |
|25.84% |
|25.35% |
|25.35% |
|25.35% |
|20.46% |
|20.46% |
|20.46% |
| |
|Fall in Liquid Liabilities |
|6879689309 |
|13759378619 |
|20639067928 |
|5499985162 |
|10999970324 |
|16499955486 |
|4878082735 |
|9756165470 |
|14634248206 |
| |
|Revised Liquid Asset |
|10900052057 |
|4020362747 |
|-2859326562 |
|8444688739 |
|2944703577 |
|-2555281585 |
|5100942035 |
|222859299.6 |
|-4655223436 |
| |
|Revised Liquid Liabilities |
|61917203784 |
|55037514474 |
|48157825165 |
|49499866459 |
|43999881297 |
|38499896135 |
|43902744617 |
|39024661882 |
|34146579146 |
| |
|Revised Liquidity Ratio |
|0.176042382 |
|0.07304768 |
|-0.05937408 |
|0.170600233 |
|0.066925262 |
|-0.066371129 |
|0.116187315 |
|0.00571073 |
|-0.136330595 |
| |

In the above table liquidity risk highest in year 2010 and 2009 compare to 2008
Reporting to Bangladesh Bank

Some of the assumption we considered in the Duration calculation. ➢ For Treasury Bond, 2010 For 20 years Bond 16 Years For 15 Years Bond 10 Years For 10 Years Bond5 Years For 5 Years Bond 2 Years ➢ Investment with other Bank 1 year ➢ Loan and Advances
|one month to three month 0.25 |
|three month to one year 0.5 year |
|one year to five year 1 year |
|above five year 3 |

➢ Borrowing from other Bank and FI
|one month to three month 0.25 year |
|three month to one year 0.5 year |
|one year to five year 1 year |
|above five year3 years |

➢ Deposits
|Current Deposits and other accounts is 0 year |
|Savings Deposits 0.5 year |
|Fixed Deposits 1 year |
|Term Deposits 1 year |
|Bills Payable 0 year |

➢ Besides, we assumed that YTM and coupon rate are same most of the calculation.

| |
|Stress Testing |
|NCC Bank Limited |
|For The Year Ended 2010 |
| |
| |
|Capital Base |
|10,033,986,280.00 |
| |
|Risk weighted Asset |
|91,929,600,000.00 |
| |
|capital Adequacy Ratio |
|10.91% |
| |
| |
| |
|1. Interest Rate Risk- Increase in Interest Rate |
| |
| |
|Scenario 1 |
|Scenario 2 |
|Scenario 3 |
| |
|Magnitude of Shock |
|1% |
|2% |
|3% |
| |
|Fall in MVE |
|319383564 |
|638767127 |
|958150691 |
| |
|Tax adjusted Loss |
|183645549 |
|367291098 |
|550936647 |
| |
|Revised Regulatory Capital |
|9850340731 |
|9666695182 |
|9483049633 |
| |
|Revised Risk weighted Asset |
|91745954451 |
|91562308902 |
|91378663353 |
| |
|Revised CAR |
|10.74% |
|10.56% |
|10.38% |
| |
|Fall in CAR |
|1.63% |
|3.27% |
|4.92% |
| |
| |
| |
|2.Exchange Rate Risk –Adverse Movement in Exchange Rate : |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
|Magnitude of Shock |
|5% |
|10% |
|15% |
| |
|Net currency exposure |
|273269878 |
|273269878 |
|273269878 |
| |
|Exchange Rate loss |
|13663493.9 |
|27326987.8 |
|40990481.7 |
| |
|Tax adjusted loss |
|7856508.993 |
|15713017.99 |
|23569526.98 |
| |
|Revised Capital |
|10026129771 |
|10018273262 |
|10010416753 |
| |
|Revised risk weighted asset |
|91921743491 |
|91913886982 |
|91906030473 |
| |
|Revised CAR |
|10.91% |
|10.90% |
|10.89% |
| |
|Fall in CAR |
|0.07% |
|0.14% |
|0.21% |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
|3. Credit Risk – increase in NPLs : |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
|Magnitude of Shock |
|1% |
|2% |
|3% |
| |
|Total loan |
|63230141628 |
|63230141628 |
|63230141628 |
| |
|Total performing Loan |
|60634171628 |
|60634171628 |
|60634171628 |
| |
|Total NPLs |
|2595970000 |
|2595970000 |
|2595970000 |
| |
|NPLs to Loans |
|4.11% |
|4.11% |
|4.11% |
| |
|Increase in NPLs |
|606341716 |
|1212683433 |
|1819025149 |
| |
|Increaase in Provision |
|606341716 |
|1212683433 |
|1819025149 |
| |
|Revised Capital |
|9427644564 |
|8821302847 |
|8214961131 |
| |
|Revised Risk Weigted Asset |
|91323258284 |
|90716916567 |
|90110574851 |
| |
|Revised CAR |
|10.32% |
|9.72% |
|9.12% |
| |
|Fall in CAR(% age points) |
|5.42% |
|10.91% |
|16.48% |
| |
|Revised NPL |
|3202311716 |
|3808653433 |
|4414995149 |
| |
|Revised NPLs to Loans(%) |
|5.06% |
|6.02% |
|6.98% |
| |
| |
| |
|4. Credit Risk – Downward shift in NPLs’ Categories : |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
|Magnitude of Shock |
|50% |
|80% |
|100% |
| |
|Weighted Amount of provision |
|2078988800 |
|2078988800 |
|2078988800 |
| |
|Provision after shift in Catagories |
|7896769563 |
|11662550050 |
|14173070376 |
| |
|Increase in Provision |
|5817780763 |
|9583561250 |
|12094081576 |
| |
|Revised Capital |
|4216205517 |
|450425029.5 |
|-2060095296 |
| |
|Revised RWA |
|86111819237 |
|82346038750 |
|79835518424 |
| |
|Revised CAR(%) |
|4.90% |
|0.55% |
|-2.58% |
| |
| |
| |
|5. Credit Risk – Increase in NPLs’ under B/L category in 1 or 2 sectors : |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
|Magnitude of Shock |
|5% |
|7.50% |
|10% |
| |
|Loans to Industrial Sectors |
|25844987354 |
|25844987354 |
|25844987354 |
| |
|Increase in NPLs |
|1292249368 |
|1938374052 |
|2584498735 |
| |
|Increase in Provision |
|1292249368 |
|1938374052 |
|2584498735 |
| |
|Revised Capital |
|8741736912 |
|8095612228 |
|7449487545 |
| |
|Revised RWA |
|90637350632 |
|89991225948 |
|89345101265 |
| |
|Revised CAR(%) |
|9.64% |
|9.00% |
|8.34% |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
|6. Credit Risk – Increase in NPLs due to top Borrowers : |
| |
|Magnitude of Shock |
|5% |
|7.50% |
|10% |
| |
|Loan to Top Borrowers |
|8714500000 |
|8714500000 |
|8714500000 |
| |
|Increase in NPLs |
|435725000 |
|653587500 |
|871450000 |
| |
|Increase in Provision( after adjustment of eligible securities;if any) |
|435725000 |
|653587500 |
|871450000 |
| |
|Revised Capital |
|9598261280 |
|9380398780 |
|9162536280 |
| |
|Revised RWA |
|91493875000 |
|91276012500 |
|91058150000 |
| |
|Revised CAR(%) |
|10.49% |
|10.28% |
|10.06% |
| |
| |
| |
|7. Credit Risk – Increase in NPLs up to that position in which whole capital will be wiped out : |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
|2010 |
| |
|Total NPLs |
|2595970000 |
| |
|NPL/Total Loan(%) |
|4.11% |
| |
|Total Capital |
|10033986280 |
| |
|Increase in NPL |
|10033986280 |
| |
|Increase in Provision |
|10033986280 |
| |
|Revised Capital |
|0.0% |
| |
|Revised risk weighted asset |
|81895613720 |
| |
|Revised CAR |
|0.0% |
| |
|fall in CAR |
|100.00% |
| |
|Revised NPL |
|12629956280 |
| |
|Revised NPL(%) |
|19.97% |
| |
| |
| |
|8. Equity price Risk – Fall in Stock Prices : |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
|Magnitude of Shock |
|10% |
|20% |
|40% |
| |
|Total Exposure in Stock market |
|718501349 |
|718501349 |
|718501349 |
| |
|Fall in Stock prices |
|71850135 |
|143700270 |
|287400540 |
| |
|Tax adjusted loss |
|41313828 |
|82627655 |
|165255310 |
| |
|Revised Capital |
|9992672452 |
|9951358625 |
|9868730970 |
| |
|Revised risk weighted asset |
|91888286172 |
|91846972345 |
|91764344690 |
| |
|Revised CAR |
|10.87% |
|10.83% |
|10.75% |
| |
|Fall in CAR (% age points) |
|0.37% |
|0.73% |
|1.47% |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
|A. Capital After One or More Cumulative Shoks: |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
|Scenario 1 |
|Scenario 2 |
|Scenario 3 |
| |
|Cumulative Impacet of Credit Shocks (Aggregate of all types of Credit Shocks) |
|8152096847 |
|13388206235 |
|17369055460 |
| |
|Tax Adjusted Provision |
|8152096847 |
|13388206235 |
|17369055460 |
| |
|Revised Capital |
|1881889433 |
|-3354219955 |
|-7335069180 |
| |
|Revised RWA |
|83777503153 |
|78541393765 |
|74560544540 |
| |
|Revised CAR (%) |
|2.25% |
|-4.27% |
|-9.84% |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
|Cumulative Impact of All Shocks (Credit, Interest Rate, FE, & Equity Prices) |
|8384912732.46 |
|13853838005.95 |
|18108816944.45 |
| |
|Tax Adjusted Provision/ Loss |
|8384912732.46 |
|13853838005.95 |
|18108816944.45 |
| |
|Revised Capital |
|1649073547.54 |
|-3819851725.95 |
|-8074830664.45 |
| |
|Revised RWA |
|83544687267.54 |
|78075761994.05 |
|73820783055.55 |
| |
|Revised CAR (%) |
|1.97% |
|-4.89% |
|-10.94% |
| |
| |
| |
|i. Liquidity Shock – Fall in Liquid Liabilities : |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
|10% |
|20% |
|30% |
| |
|Liquid Asset |
|17779741366 |
|17779741366 |
|17779741366 |
| |
|Liquid Liabilities |
|68796893093 |
|68796893093 |
|68796893093 |
| |
|Liquidity Ratio |
|25.84% |
|25.84% |
|25.84% |
| |
|Fall in Liquid Liabilities |
|6879689309 |
|13759378619 |
|20639067928 |
| |
|Revised Liquid Asset |
|10900052057 |
|4020362747 |
|-2859326562 |
| |
|Revised Liquid Liabilities |
|61917203784 |
|55037514474 |
|48157825165 |
| |
|Revised Liquidity Ratio |
|17.60% |
|7.30% |
|-5.94% |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
|Duration Calculation 2010 |
| |
|Assets |
|Face Value |
|Coupon |
|Rep. Pd |
|YTM |
|Weighted YTM |
|Market Value |
|Duration |
|Weighted Duration |
| |
|Cash |
|731,592,743 |
| |
|0 |
|0 |
| |
|731,592,743.00 |
|0 |
| |
| |
|Balances with other bank |
|6,067,340,387 |
|6% |
|1 |
|6% |
|0.44% |
|6067340387.00 |
|1 |
|0.07262 |
| |
|treasury bonds |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
|20 year treasury bond |
|764,858,498 |
|9.57% |
|16 |
|9.57% |
|0.09% |
|764,858,498 |
|8.43 |
|0.07719 |
| |
|15 year treasury bond |
|1,345,735,837 |
|9.12% |
|10 |
|9.12% |
|0.15% |
|1,345,735,837 |
|6.97 |
|0.11 |
| |
|10 year traesury Bond |
|5,934,315,654 |
|9.50% |
|5 |
|9.50% |
|0.67% |
|5,934,315,654 |
|3.49 |
|0.25 |
| |
|5 year Bond |
|2,072,930,847 |
|8.11% |
|2 |
|8.11% |
|0.20% |
|2,072,930,847 |
|1.93 |
|0.05 |
| |
|treasury bills |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
|5 years treasury bills |
|- |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
|364 days treasury bills |
|139,030,051 |
|5.62% |
|1 |
|5.62% |
| |
|139,030,051 |
|1.00 |
|0.001664 |
| |
|margin on |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
|treasury bills |
|- |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
|treasury bonds |
|- |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
|Prize Bonds |
|5,436,000 |
| |
| |
| |
| |
|5,436,000 |
| |
| |
| |
|15 years ICB Debenture (5% p.a) |
|- |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
|total |
|10,262,306,887 |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
|Investment in bond |
|219,357,041 |
| |
| |
| |
| |
|219,357,041 |
| |
| |
| |
|Investment in shares |
|499,144,308 |
| |
|0 |
|0 |
| |
|499,144,308 |
|0 |
| |
| |
|loans,advances |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
|on demand |
|550,466,137 |
|13.00% |
|0 |
|13.00% |
| |
|550,466,137 |
|0 |
| |
| |
|upto one month |
|11,746,721,943 |
|13.00% |
|0 |
|13.00% |
|2% |
|11,746,721,943 |
|0 |
| |
| |
|one month to three month |
|13,704,166,666 |
|13.50% |
|0.25 |
|13.50% |
|2% |
|13,704,166,666 |
|0.25 |
|0.0410 |
| |
|three month to one year |
|21,673,219,120 |
|13.50% |
|0.5 |
|13.50% |
|4% |
|21,673,219,120 |
|0.5 |
|0.1297 |
| |
|one year to five year |
|9,646,426,492 |
|14.00% |
|1 |
|14.00% |
|2% |
|9,646,426,492 |
|1 |
|0.1155 |
| |
|above five year |
|5,909,141,270 |
|14.50% |
|3 |
|14.50% |
|1% |
|5,909,141,270 |
|2.65 |
|0.1874 |
| |
|total |
|63,230,141,628 |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
|Non earning asset |
|2,544,294,559 |
| |
|0 |
|0 |
| |
|2,544,294,559 |
| |
| |
| |
|total assets |
|83,554,177,553 |
| |
| |
| |
| |
|83,554,177,553 |
| |
|1.033 |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
|Liabilities & Equity |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
|Borrowings from other bank, FI and agents payable |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
|- |
| |
| |
| |
|on demand |
|276,839,082 |
|4% |
|0 |
|4% |
| |
|276,839,082 |
|0 |
| |
| |
|one month to three month |
|40,459,366 |
|4% |
|0.25 |
|4% |
| |
|40,459,366 |
|0.25 |
|0.0001 |
| |
|three month to one year |
|155,972,593 |
|4% |
|0.5 |
|4% |
| |
|155,972,593 |
|0.5 |
|0.0009 |
| |
|one year to five year |
|990,820,544 |
|5% |
|1 |
|5% |
| |
|990,820,544 |
|1 |
|0.0119 |
| |
|above five year |
|382,937,111 |
|6% |
|3 |
|6% |
| |
|382,937,111 |
|2.82 |
|0.0129 |
| |
|total |
|1,847,028,696 |
| |
|0 |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
|Deposits |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
|Current Deposits and other accounts |
|7,743,923,234 |
| |
| |
| |
| |
|7,743,923,234 |
|0 |
| |
| |
|Savings Deposits |
|7,477,106,648 |
|6.00% |
|0.5 |
|6.00% |
| |
|7,477,106,648 |
|0.5 |
|0.0447 |
| |
|Fixed Deposits |
|39,313,895,416 |
|9.50% |
|1 |
|9.50% |
| |
|39,313,895,416 |
|1 |
|0.4705 |
| |
|Term Deposits |
|12,414,939,099 |
|9.50% |
|1 |
|9.50% |
| |
|12,414,939,099 |
|1 |
|0.1486 |
| |
|Bills Payable |
|1,011,380,380 |
| |
| |
| |
| |
|1,011,380,380 |
| |
| |
| |
|Bearer Certificate of deposits |
|- |
| |
| |
| |
| |
|- |
| |
| |
| |
|total deposits |
|67,961,244,777 |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
|Other liabilities |
|4,388,794,697 |
| |
| |
| |
| |
|4,388,794,697 |
| |
| |
| |
|Total Liability |
|74,197,068,170 |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
|Capiatal |
|9,357,109,383 |
| |
| |
| |
| |
|9,357,109,383 |
| |
| |
| |
|Total Liabilities & Equity |
|83,554,177,553 |
| |
| |
| |
| |
|83,554,177,553 |
| |
|0.6897 |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
|Leverage Adjusted |
|0.61 |
| |
| |
|1% |
|2% |
|3% |
| |
| |
| |
|Dgap |
|0.4205 |
| |
|Changes in MV of Equity |
|319383563.7 |
|638767127.4 |
|958150691.1 |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| | | | |
| |
| | | | |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
|Stress Testing | | | |
| | | | |
|Eastern Bank Limited | | | |
| | | | |
|For The Year Ended 2008 | | | |
| | | | |
| | | | |
|Capital Base |
|6,322,418,616.00 |
| |
|Risk weighted Asset |
|46,652,000,000.00 |
| |
|capital Adequacy Ratio |
|13.55% |
| |
| |
| |
| | | | |
| | | | |

|1. Interest Rate Risk- Increase in Interest Rate |
| |
| |
|Scenario 1 |
|Scenario 2 |
|Scenario 3 |
| |
|Magnitude of Shock |
|1% |
|2% |
|3% |
| |
|Fall in MVE |
|337929643.7 |
|675859287.5 |
|1013788931 |
| |
|Tax adjusted Loss |
|194309545.2 |
|388619090.3 |
|582928635.5 |
| |
|Revised Regulatory Capital |
|6128109071 |
|5933799526 |
|5739489981 |
| |
|Revised Risk weighted Asset |
|46457690455 |
|46263380910 |
|46069071365 |
| |
|Revised CAR |
|13.191% |
|12.826% |
|12.458% |
| |
|Fall in CAR |
|2.67% |
|5.36% |
|8.07% |
| |

|2.Exchange Rate Risk –Adverse Movement in Exchange Rate : |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
|Magnitude of Shock |
|5% |
|10% |
|15% |
| |
|Net currency exposure |
|500832889 |
|500832889 |
|500832889 |
| |
|Exchange Rate loss |
|25041644.45 |
|50083288.9 |
|75124933.35 |
| |
|Tax adjusted loss |
|14398945.56 |
|28797891.12 |
|43196836.68 |
| |
|Revised Capital |
|6308019670 |
|6293620725 |
|6279221779 |
| |
|Revised risk weighted asset |
|46637601054 |
|46623202109 |
|46608803163 |
| |
|Revised CAR |
|13.53% |
|13.50% |
|13.47% |
| |
|Fall in CAR |
|0.20% |
|0.39% |
|0.59% |
| |

|3. Credit Risk – increase in NPLs : |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
|Magnitude of Shock |
|1% |
|2% |
|3% |
| |
|Total loan |
|50387683203 |
|50387683203 |
|50387683203 |
| |
|Total performing Loan |
|48860259203 |
|48860259203 |
|48860259203 |
| |
|Total NPLs |
|1527424000 |
|1527424000 |
|1527424000 |
| |
|NPLs to Loans |
|3.03% |
|3.03% |
|3.03% |
| |
|Increase in NPLs |
|488602592 |
|977205184 |
|1465807776 |
| |
|Increaase in Provision |
|488602592 |
|977205184 |
|1465807776 |
| |
|Revised Capital |
|5833816024 |
|5345213432 |
|4856610840 |
| |
|Revised Risk Weigted Asset |
|46163397408 |
|45674794816 |
|45186192224 |
| |
|Revised CAR |
|12.64% |
|11.70% |
|10.75% |
| |
|Fall in CAR(% age points) |
|6.75% |
|13.65% |
|20.69% |
| |
|Revised NPL |
|2016026592 |
|2504629184 |
|2993231776 |
| |
|Revised NPLs to Loans(%) |
|4.00% |
|4.97% |
|5.94% |
| |

|4. Credit Risk – Downward shift in NPLs’ Categories : |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
|Magnitude of Shock |
|50% |
|80% |
|100% |
| |
|Weighted Amount of provision |
|1857903150 |
|1857903150 |
|1857903150 |
| |
|Provision after shift in Catagories |
|6523250695 |
|9505288657 |
|11493313966 |
| |
|Increase in Provision |
|4665347545 |
|7647385507 |
|9635410816 |
| |
|Revised Capital |
|1657071071 |
|-1324966891 |
|-3312992200 |
| |
|Revised RWA |
|41986652455 |
|39004614493 |
|37016589184 |
| |
|Revised CAR(%) |
|3.95% |
|-3.40% |
|-8.95% |
| |

|5. Credit Risk – Increase in NPLs’ under B/L category in 1 or 2 sectors : |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
|Magnitude of Shock |
|5% |
|7.50% |
|10% |
| |
|Loans to Industrial Sectors |
|21081494000 |
|21081494000 |
|21081494000 |
| |
|Increase in NPLs |
|1054074700 |
|1581112050 |
|2108149400 |
| |
|Increase in Provision |
|1054074700 |
|1581112050 |
|2108149400 |
| |
|Revised Capital |
|5268343916 |
|4741306566 |
|4214269216 |
| |
|Revised RWA |
|45597925300 |
|45070887950 |
|44543850600 |
| |
|Revised CAR(%) |
|11.55% |
|10.52% |
|9.46% |
| |

|6. Credit Risk – Increase in NPLs due to top Borrowers : |
| |
|Magnitude of Shock |
|5% |
|7.50% |
|10% |
| |
|Loan to Top Borrowers |
|7441100000 |
|7441100000 |
|7441100000 |
| |
|Increase in NPLs |
|372055000 |
|558082500 |
|744110000 |
| |
|Increase in Provision( after adjustment of eligible securities;if any) |
|372055000 |
|558082500 |
|744110000 |
| |
|Revised Capital |
|5950363616 |
|5764336116 |
|5578308616 |
| |
|Revised RWA |
|46279945000 |
|46093917500 |
|45907890000 |
| |
|Revised CAR(%) |
|12.86% |
|12.51% |
|12.15% |
| |

|7. Credit Risk – Increase in NPLs up to that position in which whole capital will be wiped out : |
| |
| |
|2009 |
| |
| |
|Total NPLs |
|1527424000 |
| |
| |
|NPL/Total Loan(%) |
|3.03% |
| |
| |
|Total Capital |
|6322418616 |
| |
| |
|Increase in NPL |
|6322418616 |
| |
| |
|Increase in Provision |
|6322418616 |
| |
| |
|Revised Capital |
|0 |
| |
| |
|Revised risk weighted asset |
|40329581384 |
| |
| |
|Revised CAR |
|0 |
| |
| |
|fall in CAR |
|100.00% |
| |
| |
|Revised NPL |
|7849842616 |
| |
| |
|Revised NPL(%) |
|15.58% |
| |
| |

|8. Equity price Risk – Fall in Stock Prices : |
| |
|Magnitude of Shock |
|10% |
|20% |
|40% |
| |
|Total Exposure in Stock market |
|483347914 |
|483347914 |
|483347914 |
| |
|Fall in Stock prices |
|48334791 |
|96669583 |
|193339166 |
| |
|Tax adjusted loss |
|27792505 |
|55585010 |
|111170020 |
| |
|Revised Capital |
|6294626111 |
|6266833606 |
|6211248596 |
| |
|Revised risk weighted asset |
|46624207495 |
|46596414990 |
|46540829980 |
| |
|Revised CAR |
|13.50% |
|13.45% |
|13.35% |
| |
|Fall in CAR (% age points) |
|0.38% |
|0.76% |
|1.52% |
| |

|A. Capital After One or More Cumulative Shoks: |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
|Scenario 1 |
|Scenario 2 |
|Scenario 3 |
| |
|Cumulative Impacet of Credit Shocks (Aggregate of all types of Credit Shocks) |
|6580079837 |
|10763785242 |
|13953477992 |
| |
|Tax Adjusted Provision |
|6580079837 |
|10763785242 |
|13953477992 |
| |
|Revised Capital |
|-257661221.3 |
|-4441366626 |
|-7631059376 |
| |
|Revised RWA |
|40071920163 |
|35888214758 |
|32698522008 |
| |
|Revised CAR (%) |
|-0.006429969 |
|-0.123755574 |
|-0.233376278 |
| |
| |
|0 |
|0 |
|0 |
| |
|Cumulative Impact of All Shocks (Credit, Interest Rate, FE, & Equity Prices) |
|6816580833 |
|11236787233 |
|14690773484 |
| |
|Tax Adjusted Provision/ Loss |
|6816580833 |
|11236787233 |
|14690773484 |
| |
|Revised Capital |
|-494162217.1 |
|-4914368617 |
|-8368354868 |
| |
|Revised RWA |
|39835419167 |
|35415212767 |
|31961226516 |
| |
|Revised CAR (%) |
|-1.24% |
|-13.88% |
|-26.18% |
| |

|i. Liquidity Shock – Fall in Liquid Liabilities : |
| |
| |
|10% |
|20% |
|30% |
| |
|Liquid Asset |
|13944673901 |
|13944673901 |
|13944673901 |
| |
|Liquid Liabilities |
|54999851621 |
|54999851621 |
|54999851621 |
| |
|Liquidity Ratio |
|0.253540209 |
|0.253540209 |
|0.253540209 |
| |
|Fall in Liquid Liabilities |
|5499985162 |
|10999970324 |
|16499955486 |
| |
|Revised Liquid Asset |
|8444688739 |
|2944703577 |
|-2555281585 |
| |
|Revised Liquid Liabilities |
|49499866459 |
|43999881297 |
|38499896135 |
| |
|Revised Liquidity Ratio |
|17.06% |
|6.69% |
|-6.64% |
| |

|Duration Calculation 2009 |
| |
|Assets |
|Face Value |
|Coupon |
|Repricing Period |
|YTM |
|wighted YTM |
|Market Value |
|Duration |
|weighted Duration |
| |
|Cash |
|447,864,005.00 |
|0 |
|0 |
|0 |
| |
|447,864,005 |
|0 |
| |
| |
|Balances with other bank |
|3,825,279,842.00 |
|6% |
|1 |
|6% |
|0.34808% |
|3,825,279,842 |
|1 |
|0.05801373 |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
|treasury bonds |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
|20 year treasury bond |
|339,494,901.00 |
|9.10% |
|17 |
|9.1% |
|0.04685% |
|339,494,901 |
|8.89 |
|0.045772285 |
| |
|15 year treasury bond |
|690,275,214.00 |
|8.69% |
|11 |
|8.69% |
|0.09097% |
|690,275,214 |
|7.8 |
|0.081655316 |
| |
|10 year traesury Bond |
|5,738,687,445.00 |
|8.75% |
|6 |
|8.75% |
|0.76153% |
|5,738,687,445 |
|4.92 |
|0.428198611 |
| |
|5 year Bond |
|2,153,743,989.00 |
|7.80% |
|3 |
|7.80% |
|0.25477% |
|2,153,743,989 |
|2.79 |
|0.091130942 |
| |
|treasury bills |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
|5 years treasury bills |
|- |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
|364 days treasury bills |
|210,379,398.00 |
|4.61% |
|1 |
|4.61% |
|0.01471% |
|210,379,398 |
|1 |
|0.003190588 |
| |
|margin on |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
|treasury bills |
|40975651 |
|7.50% |
|1 |
|7.50% |
|0.00466% |
|40,975,651 |
|1 |
|0.000621432 |
| |
|treasury bonds |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
|- |
| |
| |
| |
|Prize Bonds |
|8057500 |
| |
| |
| |
| |
|8,057,500 |
| |
| |
| |
|15 years ICB Debenture (5% p.a) |
|6568042 |
|5% |
|11 |
|5% |
|0.00050% |
|6,568,042 |
|8.77 |
|0.000873581 |
| |
|total |
|9,188,182,140.00 |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
|investment in bonds |
|87,568,587.00 |
| |
| |
| |
| |
|87,568,587 |
| |
| |
| |
|Investment in shares |
|395779327 |
| |
| |
| |
| |
|395,779,327 |
| |
| |
| |
|loans,advances |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
|- |
| |
| |
| |
|on demand |
|817575707 |
|13.00% |
|0 |
|13.00% |
|0.16119% |
|817,575,707 |
|0 |
| |
| |
|upto one month |
|9110477383 |
|13.00% |
|0 |
|13.00% |
|1.79619% |
|9,110,477,383 |
|0 |
| |
| |
|one month to three month |
|11698030122 |
|13.50% |
|0.25 |
|13.50% |
|2.39505% |
|11,698,030,122 |
|0.25 |
|0.044352727 |
| |
|three month to one year |
|15918021338 |
|13.50% |
|0.5 |
|13.50% |
|3.25905% |
|15,918,021,338 |
|0.5 |
|0.120705391 |
| |
|one year to five year |
|8275919019 |
|14.00% |
|1 |
|14.00% |
|1.75716% |
|8,275,919,019 |
|1 |
|0.125511584 |
| |
|above five year |
|4567659634 |
|14.50% |
|3 |
|14.50% |
|1.00445% |
|4,567,659,634 |
|2.65 |
|0.183572316 |
| |
|total |
|50387683203 |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
|- |
| |
| |
| |
|Non earning asset |
|1605134359 |
|0 |
|0 |
|0 |
| |
|1,605,134,359 |
|0 |
| |
| |
|total assets |
|65,937,491,463.00 |
| |
| |
| |
|11.8952% |
|65,937,491,463 |
| |
|1.183598503 |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
|liabilities |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
|Borrowings from other bank, FI and agents payable |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
|on demand |
|9,214,880 |
|4% |
|0 |
|4% |
| |
|9,214,880 |
|0 |
| |
| |
|one month to three month |
|62,917,842 |
|4% |
|0.25 |
|4% |
| |
|62,917,842 |
|0.25 |
|0.000238551 |
| |
|three month to one year |
|141,305,251 |
|4% |
|0.5 |
|4% |
| |
|141,305,251 |
|0.5 |
|0.001071509 |
| |
|one year to five year |
|1,005,847,149 |
|4% |
|1 |
|4% |
| |
|1,005,847,149 |
|1 |
|0.015254556 |
| |
|above five year |
|603,411,810 |
|5% |
|3 |
|5% |
| |
|603,411,810 |
|2.42 |
|0.022146074 |
| |
|total |
|1,822,696,932 |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
|Deposits |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
|Current Deposits and other accounts |
|5,352,710,730 |
|4% |
|0 |
|4% |
| |
|5,352,710,730 |
|0 |
|0 |
| |
|Savings Deposits |
|6,134,648,381 |
|4% |
|1 |
|4% |
| |
|6,134,648,381 |
|1 |
|0.093037333 |
| |
|Fixed Deposits |
|32,267,274,574 |
|5% |
|2 |
|5% |
| |
|32,267,274,574 |
|1.77 |
|0.866169985 |
| |
|Term Deposits |
|9,422,521,004 |
|6% |
|2 |
|6% |
| |
|9,422,521,004 |
|1.94 |
|0.277227573 |
| |
|Bills Payable |
|685,406,946 |
| |
|0 |
| |
| |
|685,406,946 |
|0 |
| |
| |
|Bearer Certificate of deposits |
|37,589,000 |
| |
| |
| |
| |
|37,589,000 |
| |
| |
| |
|total deposits |
|53,900,150,635 |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
|Other liabilities |
|4,180,194,989 |
| |
| |
| |
| |
|4,180,194,989 |
| |
| |
| |
|Total Liability |
|59,903,042,556 |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
|0 |
| |
|Capiatal |
|6,034,448,907 |
| |
| |
| |
| |
|5,883,388,817 |
| |
| |
| |
|Total Liabilities & Equity |
|65,937,491,463 |
| |
| |
| |
| |
|83,554,177,553 |
| |
|1.2751 |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
|Leverage Adjusted |
|0.61 |
| |
| |
|1% |
|2% |
|3% |
| |
| |
| |
|Dgap |
|0.5740 |
| |
|Changes in MV of Equity |
|337929643.748 |
|675859287.496 |
|1013788931.244 |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |

|Stress Testing |
|NCC Bank Limited |
|For The Year Ended 2008 |

|Capital Base |
|4,440,255,205.00 |
| |
|Risk weighted Asset |
|41,848,700,000.00 |
| |
|capital Adequacy Ratio |
|10.61% |
| |

|1. Interest Rate Risk- Increase in Interest Rate |
| |
| |
|Scenario 1 |
|Scenario 2 |
|Scenario 3 |
| |
|Magnitude of Shock |
|1% |
|2% |
|3% |
| |
|Fall in MVE |
|(213,643,749) |
|(427,287,498) |
|(640,931,248) |
| |
|Tax adjusted Loss |
|(122,845,156) |
|(245,690,312) |
|(368,535,467) |
| |
|Revised Regulatory Capital |
|4,563,100,361 |
|4,685,945,517 |
|4,808,790,672 |
| |
|Revised Risk weighted Asset |
|41,971,545,156 |
|42,094,390,312 |
|42,217,235,467 |
| |
|Revised CAR |
|10.87% |
|11.13% |
|11.39% |
| |
|Fall in CAR |
|-2.47% |
|-4.92% |
|-7.35% |
| |

|2.Exchange Rate Risk –Adverse Movement in Exchange Rate : |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
|Magnitude of Shock |
|5% |
|10% |
|15% |
| |
|Net currency exposure |
|274058167 |
|274058167 |
|274058167 |
| |
|Exchange Rate loss |
|13702908.35 |
|27405816.7 |
|41108725.05 |
| |
|Tax adjusted loss |
|7879172.301 |
|15758344.6 |
|23637516.9 |
| |
|Revised Capital |
|4432376033 |
|4424496860 |
|4416617688 |
| |
|Revised risk weighted asset |
|41840820828 |
|41832941655 |
|41825062483 |
| |
|Revised CAR |
|10.59% |
|10.58% |
|10.56% |
| |
|Fall in CAR |
|0.16% |
|0.32% |
|0.48% |
| |

|3. Credit Risk – increase in NPLs : |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
|Magnitude of Shock |
|1% |
|2% |
|3% |
| |
|Total loan |
|44394497310 |
|44394497310 |
|44394497310 |
| |
|Total performing Loan |
|44265379464 |
|44265379464 |
|44265379464 |
| |
|Total NPLs |
|129117846 |
|129117846 |
|129117846 |
| |
|NPLs to Loans |
|0.29% |
|0.29% |
|0.29% |
| |
|Increase in NPLs |
|442653794.6 |
|885307589.3 |
|1327961384 |
| |
|Increaase in Provision |
|442653794.6 |
|885307589.3 |
|1327961384 |
| |
|Revised Capital |
|3997601410 |
|3554947616 |
|3112293821 |
| |
|Revised Risk Weigted Asset |
|41406046205 |
|40963392411 |
|40520738616 |
| |
|Revised CAR |
|9.65% |
|8.68% |
|7.68% |
| |
|Fall in CAR(% age points) |
|9.01% |
|18.21% |
|27.61% |
| |
|Revised NPL |
|571771640.6 |
|1014425435 |
|1457079230 |
| |
|Revised NPLs to Loans(%) |
|1.29% |
|2.29% |
|3.28% |
| |

|4. Credit Risk – Downward shift in NPLs’ Categories : |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
|Magnitude of Shock |
|50% |
|80% |
|100% |
| |
|Weighted Amount of provision |
|2070232600 |
|2070232600 |
|2070232600 |
| |
|Provision after shift in Catagories |
|6362656046 |
|9159253854 |
|11023652393 |
| |
|Increase in Provision |
|4292423446 |
|7089021254 |
|8953419793 |
| |
|Revised Capital |
|147831758.6 |
|-2648766049 |
|-4513164588 |
| |
|Revised RWA |
|37556276554 |
|34759678746 |
|32895280207 |
| |
|Revised CAR(%) |
|0.39% |
|-7.62% |
|-13.72% |
| |

|5. Credit Risk – Increase in NPLs’ under B/L category in 1 or 2 sectors : |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
|Magnitude of Shock |
|5% |
|7.50% |
|10% |
| |
|Loans to Garments and Textile Sectors |
|17271180000 |
|17271180000 |
|17271180000 |
| |
|Increase in NPLs |
|863559000 |
|1295338500 |
|1727118000 |
| |
|Increase in Provision |
|863559000 |
|1295338500 |
|1727118000 |
| |
|Revised Capital |
|3576696205 |
|3144916705 |
|2713137205 |
| |
|Revised RWA |
|40985141000 |
|40553361500 |
|40121582000 |
| |
|Revised CAR(%) |
|9% |
|8% |
|7% |
| |

|6. Credit Risk – Increase in NPLs due to top Borrowers : |
| |
|Magnitude of Shock |
|5% |
|7.50% |
|10% |
| |
|Loan to Top Borrowers |
|11292300000 |
|11292300000 |
|11292300000 |
| |
|Increase in NPLs |
|564615000 |
|846922500 |
|1129230000 |
| |
|Increase in Provision( after adjustment of eligible securities;if any) |
|564615000 |
|846922500 |
|1129230000 |
| |
|Revised Capital |
|3875640205 |
|3593332705 |
|3311025205 |
| |
|Revised RWA |
|41284085000 |
|41001777500 |
|40719470000 |
| |
|Revised CAR(%) |
|9.39% |
|8.76% |
|8.13% |
| |

|7. Credit Risk – Increase in NPLs up to that position in which whole capital will be wiped out : |
| |
| |
|2008 |
| |
| |
| |
|Total NPLs |
|129117846 |
| |
| |
| |
|NPL/Total Loan(%) |
|0.29% |
| |
| |
| |
|Total Capital |
|4440255205 |
| |
| |
| |
|Increase in NPL |
|4440255205 |
| |
| |
| |
|Increase in Provision |
|4440255205 |
| |
| |
| |
|Revised Capital |
|0 |
| |
| |
| |
|Revised risk weighted asset |
|42211744795 |
| |
| |
| |
|Revised CAR |
|0 |
| |
| |
| |
|fall in CAR |
|100% |
| |
| |
| |
|Revised NPL |
|4569373051 |
| |
| |
| |
|Revised NPL(%) |
|10.29% |
| |
| |
| |

|8. Equity price Risk – Fall in Stock Prices : |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
|Magnitude of Shock |
|10% |
|20% |
|40% |
| |
|Total Exposure in Stock market |
|330090817 |
|330090817 |
|330090817 |
| |
|Fall in Stock prices |
|33009081.7 |
|66018163.4 |
|132036326.8 |
| |
|Tax adjusted loss |
|18980221.98 |
|37960443.96 |
|75920887.91 |
| |
|Revised Capital |
|4421274983 |
|4402294761 |
|4364334317 |
| |
|Revised risk weighted asset |
|41829719778 |
|41810739556 |
|41772779112 |
| |
|Revised CAR |
|10.57% |
|10.53% |
|10.45% |
| |
|Fall in CAR (% age points) |
|0.38% |
|0.76% |
|1.53% |
| |

|A. Capital After One or More Cumulative Shoks: |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
|Scenario 1 |
|Scenario 2 |
|Scenario 3 |
| |
|Cumulative Impacet of Credit Shocks (Aggregate of all types of Credit Shocks) |
|6163251241 |
|10116589844 |
|13137729177 |
| |
|Tax Adjusted Provision |
|6163251241 |
|10116589844 |
|13137729177 |
| |
|Revised Capital |
|-1722996036 |
|-5676334639 |
|-8697473972 |
| |
|Revised RWA |
|35685448759 |
|31732110156 |
|28710970823 |
| |
|Revised CAR (%) |
|-4.8% |
|-17.9% |
|-30.3% |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
|Cumulative Impact of All Shocks (Credit, Interest Rate, FE, & Equity Prices) |
|6067265480 |
|9924618321 |
|12868752114 |
| |
|Tax Adjusted Provision/ Loss |
|6067265480 |
|9924618321 |
|12868752114 |
| |
|Revised Capital |
|-1627010275 |
|-5484363116 |
|-8428496909 |
| |
|Revised RWA |
|35781434520 |
|31924081679 |
|28979947886 |
| |
|Revised CAR (%) |
|-4.55% |
|-17.18% |
|-29.08% |
| |

|i. Liquidity Shock – Fall in Liquid Liabilities : |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
|10% |
|20% |
|30% |
| |
|Liquid Asset |
|9979024770 |
|9979024770 |
|9979024770 |
| |
|Liquid Liabilities |
|48780827352 |
|48780827352 |
|48780827352 |
| |
|Liquidity Ratio |
|20.46% |
|20.46% |
|20.46% |
| |
|Fall in Liquid Liabilities |
|4878082735 |
|9756165470 |
|14634248206 |
| |
|Revised Liquid Asset |
|5100942035 |
|222859299.6 |
|-4655223436 |
| |
|Revised Liquid Liabilities |
|43902744617 |
|39024661882 |
|34146579146 |
| |
|Revised Liquidity Ratio |
|11.62% |
|0.57% |
|-13.63% |
| |

|Duration Calculation 2008 |
| |
|Assets |
|Face Value |
|Coupon |
|Repricing Period |
|YTM |
|wighted YTM |
|Market Value |
|Duration |
|weighted Duration |
| |
|Cash |
|432819168 |
|0 |
| |
| |
| |
|432,819,168 |
| |
|0 |
| |
|Balances with other bank |
|2,719,386,941.00 |
|6% |
|1 |
|6% |
|0.2844% |
|2,719,386,941 |
|1 |
|0.047404552 |
| |
|treasury bonds |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
|20 year treasury bond |
|- |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
|15 year treasury bond |
|421,631,290.00 |
|12.14% |
|12 |
|12.14% |
|0.0892% |
|421,631,290.00 |
|6.91 |
|0.05078786 |
| |
|10 year traesury Bond |
|2,635,037,771.00 |
|11.72% |
|7 |
|11.72% |
|0.5383% |
|2,635,037,771.00 |
|5.14 |
|0.236101638 |
| |
|5 year Bond |
|541,410,819.00 |
|10.60% |
|4 |
|10.60% |
|0.1000% |
|541,410,819.00 |
|3.461 |
|0.032664617 |
| |
|treasury bills |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
|0 |
| |
|5 years treasury bills |
|149,174,366.00 |
|6.50% |
|3 |
|6.50% |
|0.0169% |
|149,174,366 |
|2.76 |
|0.007177155 |
| |
|364 days treasury bills |
|2,183,980,803.00 |
|8.58% |
|1 |
|8.58% |
|0.3267% |
|2,183,980,803 |
|1 |
|0.038071313 |
| |
|margin on |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
|treasury bills |
|89,520,240.00 |
| |
| |
| |
| |
|89,520,240 |
| |
| |
| |
|treasury bonds |
|152,200,000.00 |
| |
| |
| |
| |
|152,200,000 |
| |
| |
| |
|Prize Bonds |
|10341500 |
| |
| |
| |
| |
|10,341,500 |
| |
| |
| |
|15 years ICB Debenture (5% p.a) |
|13431055 |
|5% |
|12 |
|5.00% |
|0.0012% |
|13,431,055 |
|9.31 |
|0.002179761 |
| |
|total |
|6,196,727,844.00 |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
|investment in bonds |
|30,060,570 |
| |
| |
| |
| |
|30,060,570 |
| |
| |
| |
|Investment in shares |
|300,030,247 |
| |
| |
| |
| |
|300,030,247 |
| |
| |
| |
|loans,advances |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
|- |
| |
| |
| |
|on demand |
|9,520,694,000 |
|14% |
|0 |
|14% |
|2.3235% |
|9,520,694,000 |
|0 |
| |
| |
|upto one month |
|257,841,802 |
|14% |
|0 |
|14% |
|0.0629% |
|257,841,802 |
|0 |
| |
| |
|one month to three month |
|10,120,141,000 |
|14% |
|0.25 |
|14% |
|2.4698% |
|10,120,141,000 |
|0.25 |
|0.044103759 |
| |
|three month to one year |
|13,129,856,000 |
|13% |
|0.5 |
|13% |
|2.9754% |
|13,129,856,000 |
|0.5 |
|0.114440304 |
| |
|one year to five year |
|10,247,486,601 |
|13% |
|1 |
|13% |
|2.3223% |
|10,247,486,601 |
|1 |
|0.178634935 |
| |
|above five year |
|3,056,669,061 |
|12% |
|2 |
|12% |
|0.6394% |
|3,056,669,061 |
|2 |
|0.106568157 |
| |
|total |
|46,332,688,464 |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
|- |
| |
| |
| |
|Non earning asset |
|1,353,810,492 |
| |
| |
| |
| |
|1,353,810,492 |
| |
| |
| |
|total assets |
|57,365,523,726 |
| |
| |
| |
|12.1501% |
|57,365,523,726 |
| |
|0.858134051 |
| |
|Liabilities & Equity |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
|Borrowings from other bank, FI and agents payable |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
|- |
| |
| |
| |
|on demand |
|763,297,388 |
|4% |
|0 |
|4% |
| |
|763,297,388 |
|0 |
| |
| |
|one month to three month |
|189,000 |
|4% |
|0.25 |
|4% |
| |
|189,000 |
|0.25 |
| |
| |
|three month to one year |
|22,718,000 |
|4% |
|0.5 |
|4% |
| |
|22,718,000 |
|0.5 |
| |
| |
|one year to five year |
|1,819,829,658 |
|5% |
|1 |
|5% |
| |
|1,819,829,658 |
|1 |
| |
| |
|above five year |
|- |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
|total |
|2,606,034,046 |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
|Deposits |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
|Current Deposits and other accounts |
|4,864,150,294 |
|0% |
|0 |
|0 |
| |
|4,864,150,294 |
|0 |
| |
| |
|Savings Deposits |
|3,920,781,742 |
|6.50% |
|1 |
|6.50% |
| |
|3,920,781,742 |
|1 |
|0.068347354 |
| |
|Fixed Deposits |
|30,880,912,000 |
|10.50% |
|2 |
|10.50% |
| |
|30,880,912,000 |
|1.85 |
|0.99588888 |
| |
|Term Deposits |
|6,508,949,270 |
|10.50% |
|3 |
|10.50% |
| |
|6,508,949,270 |
|2.72 |
|0.308623383 |
| |
|Bills Payable |
|692,280,856 |
| |
| |
| |
| |
|692,280,856 |
| |
| |
| |
|Bearer Certificate of deposits |
|37,589,000 |
| |
| |
| |
| |
|37,589,000 |
| |
| |
| |
|total deposits |
|46,904,663,162 |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
|Other liabilities |
|3,799,528,274 |
| |
| |
| |
| |
|3,799,528,274 |
| |
| |
| |
|Total Liability |
|53,310,225,482 |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
|Capiatal |
|4,055,298,244 |
| |
| |
| |
| |
|4,055,298,244 |
| |
| |
| |
|Total Liabilities & Equity |
|57,365,523,726 |
| |
| |
| |
| |
|57,365,523,726 |
| |
|1.3729 |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
|Leverage Adjusted |
|1.28 |
| |
| |
|1% |
|2% |
|3% |
| |
| |
| |
|Dgap |
|-0.4177 |
| |
|Changes in MV of Equity |
|(213,643,749.17) |
|(427,287,498.35) |
|(640,931,247.52) |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |

D. Findings

➢ NCC Bank was more exposed to the risk of increased in NPL’s in 2009 and 2010 consecutively because its CAR have reduced by a larger percentage for different shocks. ➢ Increase in NPLs has increased the provision by the same amount and thus decrease the Capital base and RWA. NCC has been more exposed this risk of increase in NPLs in the specific category in 2010. ➢ The percentage fall in CAR is much lower in 2008 in comparison to 2009 and 2010 due to fall in market value of equity. ➢ Analyzing the negative shift in the NPLs categories all the case and year its CAR has been remained below CAR mentioned by the BB (9%). ➢ In case of Exchange rate risk the bank has been less exposed to the risk of fall in CAR due to change in exchange rate in 2010. Because its off-balance sheet and on balance sheet exposure has been lower in 2010. ➢ In case of equity price risk Bank has been invested their excess liquidity in the stock market. Investment this sector has been increased by a larger amount from 2008. As a result its CAR has been reduced by a larger percentage in 2010 in comparison to 2008 ➢ In case of Liquidity risk appropriate shocks have been absorbed to the liquid liabilities if the current liquidity position falls at the rate of 10%, 20% and 30% respectively. In the year 2010 and 2009 liquidity has increased. ➢ The duration of asset exceeds the duration of Liabilities for 2008 (Duration of Asset is 0.86, Duration of Liability is 1.37 and the Gap is -0.42), 2009 (Duration of Asset is 1.184, Duration of Liability is 1.27 and the Gap is 0.574) and 2010 (Duration of Asset is 1.03, Duration of Liability is 0.69 and the Gap is 0.421) ➢ Duration of the Bank signifies that asset are more price sensitive than that of Liabilities for the year 2009 and 2010 and certain raise in interest rate would cause in greater decrease in the value of asset leading to decrease in the market value of equity.

E. Conclusion

Now bank is playing a vital role in our economy. Very recently we have observed some weakness of bank in different segment. Some of these are interest rate risk, liquidity risk, credit risk. So stress testing now becomes a crucial part of our banking industry in Bangladesh. At institutional level, stress testing techniques provide a way to quantify the impact of changes in a number of risk factors on the assets and liabilities portfolio of the institution.

Financial Institution around the world are increasingly employing stress testing to determine the impact on the financial institution under a set of exceptional, but plausible assumption through a series of battery of tests. Sensitively and scenario analysis considering only credit risk and market risk is incorporated to develop to a more comprehensive approach in the stress testing.

[pic][pic]
-----------------------

13

Similar Documents

Free Essay

Stress Testing

...Introduction Stress tests, in the commercial banking literature, refer to assessing the impact of a rare but plausible shock to the financial system. Stress testing is a simulation technique, which are used to determine the reactions of different financial institutions under a set of exceptional, but plausible assumptions through a series of battery of tests. At institutional level, stress testing techniques provide a way to quantify the impact of changes in a number of risk factors on the assets and liabilities portfolio of the institution. For instance, a portfolio stress test makes a rough estimate of the value of portfolio using a set of exceptional but plausible events in abnormal markets. At institutional level, stress testing techniques provide a way to quantify the impact of changes in a number of risk factors on the assets and liabilities portfolio of the institution. For instance, a portfolio stress test makes a rough estimate of the value of portfolio using a set of exceptional but plausible events in abnormal markets. These tests help in managing risk within a financial institution to ensure optimum allocation of capital across its risk profile. At the system level, stress tests are primarily designed to quantify the impact of possible changes in economic environment on the financial system. The system level stress tests also complement the institutional level stress testing by providing information about the sensitivity of the overall financial system to a number...

Words: 656 - Pages: 3

Premium Essay

Stress Testing

...Md. Mahafujur Rahman ID. NO. 0102123962 Commercial paper In Bangladesh almost all the corporation collect fund from bank as long term or short term loan. But internationally this scenario is pretty much different. There corporation issue bond for long term financing and short term financing is mostly deepened on a instrument called commercial paper.  Commercial paper market, popular around the world, is in a very early stage of development in Bangladesh.  Eastern Bank Limited is the pioneer of CP in the country; it raised Tk. 500 million for ACI Limited in 2013. Since then, this market is growing very fast in our country with approximate growth of 593.10 per cent in 2015. ACI Limited is so far the largest issuer of commercial paper in the country with approximately 20 per cent market share. The amount of current outstanding CPs is close to Tk. 10,050 million.  What is commercial paper? Commercial Paper (CP) is basically a short-term debt security issued by highly rated companies to raise funds for funding operating expenses as well as current assets such as account receivables and inventories. Maturities on CP rarely range any longer than 270 days though it can be up to 365 days. CP is being issued in the form of promissory note in Bangladesh. It is typically issued at discount like Treasury Bills, reflecting prevailing market interest rates. That means, investors...

Words: 939 - Pages: 4

Premium Essay

Rbi Stress Testing

...for identifying, analyzing, measuring, communicating and managing these risks. Since models cannot incorporate all possible risk outcomes and are generally not capable of capturing sudden and dramatic changes, banks supplement models with ‘stress tests’. Sensitivity tests are normally used to assess the impact of change in one variable (for example, a high magnitude parallel shift in the yield curve, a significant movement in the foreign exchange rates, a large movement in the equity index etc.) on the bank’s financial position. Scenario tests include simultaneous moves in a number of variables (for example, equity prices, oil prices, foreign exchange rates, interest rates, liquidity etc.) based on a single event experienced in the past (i.e., historical scenario – for example, natural disasters, stock market crash, depletion of a country’s foreign exchange reserves) or a plausible market event that has not yet happened (i.e., hypothetical scenario - for example, collapse of communication systems across the entire region/ country, sudden or prolonged severe economic downturn) and the assessment of their impact on the bank’s financial position. Banks in India are beginning to use statistical models to measure and manage risks. Stress tests are, therefore, relevant for these banks. Further, the supervisory review process under Pillar 2 of Basel II framework is intended not only to ensure that banks have adequate capital to support all the risks in their business, but also...

Words: 1416 - Pages: 6

Premium Essay

360-Degree Feed Back Scenario

...360-Degree Feedback Scenario Name Institution 360-Degree Feedback Scenario 360-degree feedback also known as multi-rater feedback is a performance evaluation test where employees get anonymous feedback from their co-workers. Employees can recognize their strengths and weaknesses though this method of assessment. The paper will look at the mistakes that people make in formulating a 360-degree feedback and appropriate use of the 360-degree performance evaluation test. Scenario 1 For a 360-degree feedback to be effective and efficient as a performance appraisal test, managers should be able to invest time in the development process of the assessment, analysis of data collected (Campion, Campion, & Campion, 2015). In this scenario, the manager makes a mistake of substituting the survey with a 360-degree feedback test. There is no time investment in the assessment. At that first point where the manager rejected the test, that is the ideal time that they were to formulate a better 360-degree performance evaluation test. The results of the tests were invalid because the manager made mistakes that one is not supposed to make the use of Multi-rater performance test. According to Wilson, 2014, committing an error in the process of formulating a 360-degree feedback can lead to inadequate or unclear results. Such mistakes include substituting another method with a 360-degree feedback, case in point, the manager substituted the survey questionnaire for using a 360-degree...

Words: 784 - Pages: 4

Premium Essay

Standardized Testing: The Negative Effects Of Stress On Students

...Have you ever had to sit at an uncomfortable desk for hours ? I think that students should not have to take standardized tests. we/students take so many tests throughout the year what is even the point in taking a bigger one at the end of the year.Also why does the state, even need to know how smart we are anyway, I mean they try to trick us with the questions anyway. And according to News ELA students spend around 20-25 hours on the test every year and that puts a lot of stress on students. First standardized test puts a lot of stress on students. One way it puts stress on students is that they have to worry about getting penalized for not doing great on test. Also parents and teachers complain about them. Another reason is that testing...

Words: 303 - Pages: 2

Free Essay

Load Testing

...Indonesia, Hong Kong, Taiwan, and Japan. PVS Testing Services offers end to end management, execution and analysis of performance tests to identify performance defects and to identify performance tuning opportunities. PVS Testing enables proactive actions to be taken to minimize and to eliminate performance defects from entering production. PVS Testing enables proactive actions to be taken to minimize, and to eliminate performance defects from entering production. Performance testing enables Large US Payer to deliver applications that satisfy customer expectations, hence ROI is obtained is satisfactory. PVS objectives are as follows: OBJECTIVES BENEFITS Interoperability Ensure that multiple applications can share both physical and logical resources without contention within a shared infrastructure environment. Proof of Concept Validate that a change in software design or infrastructure component performs as expected. Scalability Repetitive execution of a test cycle with progressively increasing volumes to verify system thresholds. Iterative Repetitive execution of a test cycle with a fixed volume during software/infrastructure configuration tuning Project Overview VOLUME TESTING - It applies to large amount of data to determine if the system meets specified objectives. NETWORK ANALYSIS - It captures system network characteristics for inefficiencies to identify potential performance and network risks. ENDURANCE TESTING - It executes an extended test cycles to...

Words: 304 - Pages: 2

Free Essay

Mindfulness and Interruptions

...statistics that prove that long office hours hold countless interruptions ever so often. Houston Chronicle, February 26, 2006 Issue, published that “people switch activities, such as making a call, speaking with someone in their cubicle or working on a document, every three minutes on average” (Key Organization Systems, 2007). Heavy workload, lack of autonomy, low interpersonal support, under-utilization of skills, lack of control over work, wage scales and repetitive work environment have been cited as major contributors to workplace stress (Citation). Coincidentally, a 2006 Harvard Business Review Case ranked work-related stress as the second biggest occupational health problem in the world (Key Organization Systems, 2007). Taking another step forward, we are curious as to how musculoskeletal disorders (MSDs), the leading global occupational health problem that begets physical stress, is linked to work-related psychological stress. Canada’s Industrial Accident Prevention Association (IAPA) has churned out statistics that MSDs caused over 40,000 workplace injuries in Ontario annually. In a bid to enhance ergonomic awareness and minimize MSDs in the workplace, IAPA exposed five common myths regarding MSDs in a 2009 article (refer to A2.0) (Industrial Accident Prevention Association, 2009). With the intent of maintaining all relevance to present research being conducted, we desire to apply employee mindfulness—a topic of...

Words: 2343 - Pages: 10

Premium Essay

Psychology at Work

... PAGE INTRODUCTION……………………………………………………………… 3 STRESS AND WELLBEING……………………………………………......... 4 - 9 MEASURING AND COPING WITH STRESS………………………………. 10- 11 CONCLUSION………………………………………………………………… 12 RECOMMENDATIONS………………………………………………….......... 13 REFERENCES ……………………………………………………………….… 14-16 INTRODUCTION BGL Group has grown to be one of the UK’s leading financial services, specialising mainly in vehicle and home insurance, as well as a range of supplementary products such as breakdown cover, legal protection and personal accident cover. It employs more than 3,000 people in several different locations. Despite the organisations continued success through increased profits, they remain focused on employee engagement and Corporate Social Responsibility (CSR). In 2010, BGL have introduced the ‘My Wellbeing’ programme, which consisted of four main pillars; My Health, My Fitness, My Happiness and My Relaxation and Energy. BGL states that the programme is of ‘central importance to their CSR focused strategy’. CSR is rapidly gaining recognition all over the world, where the organisations are expected not only fulfil their legal obligations but to voluntarily take further steps to improve the quality of life for the employees and their families as well as for the local community and society at large. WELLBEING AND STRESS The economic and health costs of stressful work environments may be...

Words: 4655 - Pages: 19

Premium Essay

Psychology at Work

... PAGE INTRODUCTION……………………………………………………………… 3 STRESS AND WELLBEING……………………………………………......... 4 - 9 MEASURING AND COPING WITH STRESS………………………………. 10- 11 CONCLUSION………………………………………………………………… 12 RECOMMENDATIONS………………………………………………….......... 13 REFERENCES ……………………………………………………………….… 14-16 INTRODUCTION BGL Group has grown to be one of the UK’s leading financial services, specialising mainly in vehicle and home insurance, as well as a range of supplementary products such as breakdown cover, legal protection and personal accident cover. It employs more than 3,000 people in several different locations. Despite the organisations continued success through increased profits, they remain focused on employee engagement and Corporate Social Responsibility (CSR). In 2010, BGL have introduced the ‘My Wellbeing’ programme, which consisted of four main pillars; My Health, My Fitness, My Happiness and My Relaxation and Energy. BGL states that the programme is of ‘central importance to their CSR focused strategy’. CSR is rapidly gaining recognition all over the world, where the organisations are expected not only fulfil their legal obligations but to voluntarily take further steps to improve the quality of life for the employees and their families as well as for the local community and society at large. WELLBEING AND STRESS The economic and health costs of stressful work environments may be...

Words: 4641 - Pages: 19

Premium Essay

Case 9.1: No Response from Monitor 23

...Case 9.1: No Response from Monitor 23 (assignment source article). LOUDSPEAKER: IGNITION MINUS 45 MINUTES... Paul Keller tripped the sequence switches at control monitor 23 in accordance with the countdown instruction just to his left. All hydraulic systems were functioniing normally in the second stage of the spacecraft booster point 1 minus 45. Keller automatically snapped master control switch to GREEN and knew that his electronic impulse along with hundreds of others from similar consoles within the Cape Canaveral complex signaled continuation of the countdown. Free momentarily from data input, Keller leaned back in his chair, stretched his arms above his head, and then rubbed the back of his neck. The monitor lights on console 23 glowed routinely. It used to be an incredible challenge, fantastically interesting work at the very fringe of man's knowledge about hmself and his universe. Keller recalled his first day in Brevard County, Florida, with his wife and young daughter. How happy they were that day. Here was the future, the good life... forever. And Keller was going to be part of that fantastic, utopian future. LOUDSPEAKER: IGNITION MINUS 35 MINUTES... Keller panicked! His mind had wandered momentarily, and he lost his place in the countdown instructions. Seconds later he found the correct place and tripped the proper sequence of switches for checkpoint 1 minus 35. No problem. Keller snapped master control to GREEN and wiped his brow. He knew he was late reporting...

Words: 1697 - Pages: 7

Premium Essay

Myself

...Jolll'lllli of Educational Psychology 1990, Vol. 82, No. 4, 760-768 Copyright 199() by the American Psychological Association, Inc. 0022-0663/90/$00.7S College Students' Time Management: Correlations With Academic Performance and Stress Therese Hoff Macan University of Missouri-St. Louis Cornila Shahani Hofstra University Robert L. Dipboye and Amanda Peek Phillips Rice University Many college students may find the academic experience very stressful (Swick, 1987). One potential coping strategy frequently offered by university counseling services is time management. One hundred and sixty-five students completed a questionnaire assessing their time management behaviors and attitudes, stress, and self-perceptions of performance and grade point average. The study revealed 2 major findings. The Time Management Behavior Scale consists of 4 relatively independent factors; the most predictive was Perceived Control of Time. Students who perceived control of their time reported significantly greater evaluations of their performance, greaterwork and life satisfaction, less role ambiguity, less role overload, and fewer job-induced and somatic tensions. Findings are consistent with theory and advice on time management (e.g., Schuler, 1979) but also indicate that the dynamics of time management are more complex than previously believed. In trying to read all the books and chapters...

Words: 7533 - Pages: 31

Premium Essay

Stressors and Stress Level of Third Year Nursing Students in Far Eastern University in the Year 2008

...STRESSORS AND STRESS LEVEL OF THIRD YEAR NURSING STUDENTS IN FAR EASTERN UNIVERSITY IN THE YEAR 2008 In Partial Fulfillment Of The Requirement for Nursing Research By: Agre, John Marco C. Angcao, Marice C. Angeles, Jessica Christy P. Arambulo, Allan Carlo L. Bandillo, Jemilyn V. Bañaga, Charlene May Y. Bañaga, Valerie Jane Y. Barbon, Lorraine Angelica Barquin, Jasmine C. Bartolome, Dexter C. Bautista, Erica Frances A. Burdeos, Adison C. Submitted to: Ms. Melanie Tapnio, Nursing Research Adviser BSN 905 2007-2008 Chapter I The Problem and its Background Introduction Stress has been experienced by people almost everyday. Stress can be associated with major life events, daily hassles and change in life. It has physical and emotional effects on us and can create positive or negative feelings. Stress can make a person anxious and depressed. It is the enemy of clear thinking and if allowed to get out of control, it can compromise a person’s health as well. Sometimes stress can keep people awake at night and make them feel irritable and edgy. Yet, their reactions to stressful events differ widely. Some people faced with a stressful event develop psychological or physical problems, whereas other people faced with the same stressful event develop no problems and may even find the event challenging and interesting. Nursing school is very stressful. Students experience...

Words: 10976 - Pages: 44

Free Essay

Academic Performace

...Chapter IV Results and Discussion This chapter presents the data gathered from the randomly selected thirty (30) student assistants from the College of Education. who worked in school year 2011 - 2012. The main objective of the paper is to present the relationship between the academic performance of the respondents and their level of physical and emotional stress. Spefically, this paper aimed to present the following: I. Profile of the Respondents Table 1.1 Frequency Distribution of the Respondents in terms of their Gender Gender|Frequency|Percentage| Female|25|83.33| Male|5|16.67| Total|30|100| Table 1.1 presents the frequency distribution of the respondents in terms of their gender. Based on the result, twenty five (25) which comprises 83.33% of the respondents were female and five (5) or 16.67% of them were male. The result indicates that majority of the respondents were female. This makes the researcher to affirm the fact that female were more inclined in teaching profession than male. Table 1.2 Frequency Distribution Of the Respondents in terms of their Age Age Intervals |Frequency|Percentage| 17 y/o - 18 y/o |3|10| 19 y/o - 20 y/o |12|40| 21 y/o and above|15|50| Total|30|100| Table 1.2 presents the frequency distribution of the respondents in terms of their age. Based on the results, fifteen (15) of the Student assistants or 50% of them were 21 years old and above. There were twelve (12) of them or 40% of the students aged between 19 years old...

Words: 2078 - Pages: 9

Free Essay

Staying in School

...Johnson Dr. Jeffery AFL 080 Scenario 4 Staying in school My I speak with you on a matter that I am going thorough, sure give me a minute to finish my task. I don’t think I will be able to stay in school any longer, I work long hours and have two kids and can’t find a balance and topping this off, I am not doing that well, what is most frustrating, I am just taking foundation classes. You must not have done well on the compass testing. I would first go to your instructor and see what your options are of passing or failing. Go to your advisor, and ask can you retake that part of your compass to see if you can test out, What is most important is, finding a way to get your balance, you’re probably creating your own internal stress, beating yourself up for just one grade. With going to school and working and two small children it is very hard to ensure everything stay functional. Don’t get overwhelmed, you will make it. If I were you would I take these foundation classes and strengthen up my skills for the semesters that are needed, you think foundation classes are hard wait till you get into the course classes. What I suggest devising a time schedule of your day and see when the most affective time you could study. Another suggestion, get a sitter, ask a family, or your mom can they take them for while you studying, also you can put the children to bed an hour earlier and let them watch a movie for that hour, while you are studying, another...

Words: 376 - Pages: 2

Free Essay

Stress Presentaion

...Chinese Medicine, 2012, 3, 49-60 http://dx.doi.org/10.4236/cm.2012.31009 Published Online March 2012 (http://www.SciRP.org/journal/cm) Beneficial Effects of Fumaria indica on Chronic Stress-Induced Neurobehavioral and Biochemical Perturbations in Rats* Gireesh Kumar Singh1, Geeta Rai2, Shyam Sunder Chatterjee3†, Vikas Kumar1# 1 Neuropharmacology Research Laboratory, Department of Pharmaceutics, Institute of Technology, Banaras Hindu University, Varanasi, India 2 Department of Molecular and Human Genetics, Faculty of Science, Banaras Hindu University, Varanasi, India 3 Stettiner Str. 1, D-76138 Karlsruhe, Germany Email: #vikas.phe@itbhu.ac.in Received September 30, 2011; revised November 17, 2011; accepted November 28, 2011 ABSTRACT Objective: To evaluate the anti-stress activity of standardized extract of Fumaria indica (FI) through validated behavioral models of rodents followed by estimation of biochemical changes associated with chronic stress. Methods: Fifty percent ethanolic extract of FI used in this study was standardized on its contents of fumaric acid and its conjugates (0.45% and 0.35% respectively). Stressed Charles Foster rats received unpredictable foot shocks (2 mA, 1 hr, 14 days) through electric grid. FI was given orally as 0.3% carboxymethyl cellulose (CMC) suspension in 100, 200 and 400 mg/kg doses. For comparison, Panax ginseng (PG) extract (100 mg/kg, p.o.) was used as standard adaptogen. Incidence of gastric ulceration, changes in...

Words: 9310 - Pages: 38