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The Bay of Pigs

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Submitted By gila1991
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Universiteti i Tiranës

Fakulteti i Ekonomisë

MSHAB

Lënda: Marrje Vendimesh Manaxheriale

Bay of Pigs

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Pushtimi i Gjirit të Derrave ishte një përpjekje nga qeveria e Shteteve të Bashkuara për të rrëzuar regjimin e Fidel Kastros në Kubë në vitin 1961. Revolucioni Kuban bëri që të vinte Castro në pushtet, dhe ai shpejt zemëroi Shtetet e Bashkuara duke zhvilluar lidhje të ngushta me Bashkimin Sovjetik. Shtetet e Bashkuara kishin frikë se Kuba në thelb do të bëhet një aneks i Bashkimit Sovjetik, dhe afërsia me tokën amerikane rriti shqetësimet.

U vendos se Agjencia Qendrore e Inteligjencës (CIA) do të trajnojë dhe të financojë një milici revolucionare për të rrëzuar Fidel Castro dhe përmbysjen e regjimit për të vendosur një tjetër në favor dhe më afër një linjë me ideologjinë e SHBA. Por kjo gjë dështoi edhe e vuri në një siklet akoma më të madh ShBA-në, Pushtimi i Gjirit te Derrave dështoi, duke rezultuar në një bashkëpunim shumë më të afërt të Kubës me Bashkimin Sovjetik, dhe komuniteti ndërkombëtar ishte më skeptik në lidhje me Shtetet e Bashkuara. Pushtimi Gjiri i Derrave dështoi për shkak të mbështetjes bindëse tek mohimi, përfaqësim i dështuar i problemit, dhe keqpërdorimi i analogjisë.

Në botën e spiunazhit, të qënit bindës në mohimin e dickaje është aftësia e një vendi për të mohuar në mënyrë të arsyeshme çdo përfshirje në një ngjarje të veçantë. Kjo mund të arrihet me aktivitete të tilla si mbajtjen e informacionit nga zyrtarët e lartë në zinxhirin e komandës, dhe duke përdorur palët e të treta jashtë në vend të personelit të brëndshëm. Planifikuesit e Gjirit të Derrave dëshiruan në masë të madhe të përfshinin këtë tipar në operacion. Pushtimi mbështetur në një milici të palës së tretë dhe fshehja e informacionit nga anëtarët e kabinetit, sidomos Sekretarja e Shtetit Dean Rusk, i cili ishte i zënë ngushtë publikisht për shkak të kësaj.

Të qënurit bindës në mohim nuk ishte më e mjaftueshme për të fshehur atë cka po ndodhëte me Gjirin e Derrave; Qeveria kubane e dinte që më parë për këtë operacion.

Në fakt, rrjeti i Transmetimeve Radio të Bashkimit Sovjetik kishte transmetuar se një pushtim i planifikuar nga CIA do të bëhet -thjesht katër ditë para se ajo e bëri. Megjithatë, veprimi i fshehtë ende ishte nisur; politikëbërësit besonin se të qenurit bindës në mohimin e saj ishte e mjaftueshme për të vepruar si një mantel për operacionin. Si rezultat, Kuba e dinte që më parë e operacionit të fshehtë dhe ishte në gjendje për të kundërshtuar atë.

Pushtimi Gjiri i Derrave ka vuajtur edhe nga një mungesë në përfaqësimin e kundërshtimit te problemit. Është e domosdoshme që politikëbërësit të ndajnë të njëjtin kuptimin e variablave në lojë në një operacion. Ky nuk ishte rasti gjatë planifikimit për pushtimin Gjirit të Derrave. Presidenti Kennedy rreptësisht pohoi se nuk do të ketë përdorim të trupave amerikane në pushtimin Gjirit të Derrave, por planifikuesit e tjerë e panë problemin të përfaqësuar ndryshe. Robert Bissell, Drejtor i Operacioneve të CIA-s, ende besonte se Presidenti Kennedy do të dërgojë trupat amerikane. Përveç kësaj, Drejtori i CIA-s Allen Dulles gjithashtu besonte se Presidenti Kennedy do të autorizojë përdorimin e çdo burimeve të nevojshme për të garantuar suksesin e operacionit.

Megjithatë, Presidenti Kennedy as nuk dyshoi nga vendimi i tij, dhe vendosja e trupave amerikane gjatë pushtimit ishte mohuar. Planifikuesit e pushtimit të Gjirit të Derrave patën një përfaqësim shumë ndryshme e problemeve dhe jo një përfaqësi të përbashkët, dhe si rezultat një planifikim i tillë coi në drejtime të ndryshme. Një inkosekuencë tillë në perceptimin rezultoi në disa grupe të planeve që mbështeten mbi burime të padisponueshëm.

Dështimi i Analogjisë gjithashtu ka kontribuar në dështimin e operacionit. Historikisht, politikëbërësit kanë qenë mjaft të suksesshëm në operacionet, dhe kishin nisur një të ngjashme kundër qeverisë Guatemalës shtatë vjet më parë. Planifikuesit e pushtimit të Gjirit të Derrave mbështeten mbi këtë operacion të suksesshme të kaluar si një analogji për të ndërtuar kuadrin e pushtimit kubane.
Politikëbërësit supozonin se ata mund të përdornin operacionin e tyre të mëparshme të suksesshme si një analogji dhe të aplikojnë atë në drejtim të pushtimit të Gjirit të Derrave. Ndërsa është e dobishme për të analizuar rastet historike studimore, përdorimi i të njejtës analogjisë bën të përsëriten veprimet rezultate të ngjashme në dështim. Përveç kësaj, komuniteti ndërkombëtar kishte dëshmuar tashmë operacionin Guatemala dhe vendet ishin të etur për taktikat dhe teknikat përdorura. Kastro ishte në dijeni të operacionit Guatemalës dhe kishte ndërtuar plane për të penguar një përpjekje të përsëritur. Si rezultat, qeveria kubane u fortifikua nga plani i pushtimit të Gjirit të Derrave.

Shtetet e Bashkuara mbështeten mbi operacionet për të arritur qëllimet e nevojshme që nuk mund të bëhet duke përdorur kanalet standarde diplomatike. Me qëllim të parandalimit të vazhdueshm të vënies në siklet dhe dështimin, kjo është jetike për të identifikuar pikat e dobëta në operacionet e pasuksesshme të tilla si Gjirin e Derrave.

Pushtimi Gjiri i Derrave ka dështuar për shkak të analizave e gabuar. Planifikuesit gabimisht supozohet se të qënurit bindës në mhim do të mjaftonte për të siguruar fshehtësinë e pushtimit. Një përfaqësim në kundërshtim problemi rezultoi në idetë e ekzekutimit dhe pa një plan solid. Përdorimi i analogjisë rezultoi me përsëritjen një operacion që qeveria kubane ishte përgatitur për t'iu kundërvënë. Në të ardhmen, operacionet duhet të mbështetet në më shumë se të qënurit i besueshëm në mohim.

Veprimet mjaft fshehta kanë qenë të ekspozuara dhe komuniteti ndërkombëtar është i përgatitur për të papritura. Masa mbrojtëse e vërtetë duhet të përdoret për të parandaluar edhe një dyshim të vogël që rrjedh para një operacion është nisur. Politikëbërësit duhet gjithashtu të sigurojë që një përfaqësim në përputhje me problemin është miratuar para ndërtimit të planeve të gjata. Variablat duhet të përcaktohen qartë për të gjitha palët e përfshira për të siguruar që çdo projektues ka një kuptim të njëtrajtshëm të skenarit. Dhe së fundi, planifikuesit e operacionet duhet të qëndrojnë larg nga analogjitë e thjeshta. Është e dobishme për të mësuar nga historia, por çdo problem duhet të kuptohet në mënyrë individuale.

Referenca

Lessons Learned from the Bay of Pigs, Brandon Martz ContributorforIn Homeland Security.August23, 2014

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