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Toll Brothers Inc

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Submitted By maya1986
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Beginning in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2005 and continuing into the first quarter of fiscal 2006, we have experienced a slowdown in new contracts signed. We believe this slowdown is attributable to a softening of demand from our home buyers, a lack of available home sites caused by delays in new community openings, delays in approvals of new phases of existing communities and our reluctance to sign new contracts that would require us to extend delivery dates beyond the twelve months that we are quoting to home buyers in many communities. In addition, we believe the damage caused by the hurricanes that struck the United States in fiscal 2005, high gasoline prices and anticipated increases in heating fuel costs during the winter months of fiscal 2006 have caused consumer confidence to decline, thereby decreasing demand for our homes. Because home price increases have slowed in most markets, it appears that customers are taking more time in making home buying decisions. Despite this slowdown, we remain cautiously optimistic about the future growth of our business. Our industry demographics remain strong due to the continuing regulation- induced constraints on lot supplies and the growing number of affluent households. Based upon our evaluation of our backlog, our current communities open and the expected timing of new community openings in fiscal 2006, we believe that we will deliver between 9,500 homes and 10,200 homes in fiscal 2006 with an average delivered price between $670,000 and $680,000. In addition, we expect to recognize between $280 million and $300 million of revenues on the percentage of completion accounting method related to four high-rise residences that are under construction. We expect that net income for fiscal 2006 will be between $810 million and $890 million, and that diluted earnings per share will be between $4.79 and $5.27 per share.

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