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What Happened to Toyota

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Robert E. Cole Professor Emeritus Haas School of Business University of California, Berkeley Visiting Researcher, ITEC Doshisha University
EOQ June 2011 1

How Many Quality Problems Do They Have?
• Operationally: 3 problems (as of 2/08/10) • From a “customer first” perspective, they had 7 million problems • From a future customer perspective, the universe of potential car purchasers

EOQ June 2011

2

The Unfolding Big Picture
• Subsequent to the recalls associated with floor mats and sticky pedals causing unintended acceleration, Toyota had 14 safety related recalls through Sept. 2010. • These highly publicized recalls may well have solidified in the U.S. public’s mind that Toyota has serious quality problems.

EOQ June 2011

3

Test Results from Consumer Reports(CR)
• If we examine the percentage of a brand’s vehicles recommended by CR, the trajectory shows significant decline for Toyota models from 85% recommended in 2008, to 73% in 2009, to 47% in 2010 the sharp drop in 2010 partially reflects recent recalls. By comparison, CR recommended 70% of Nissans in 2008, 77% in 2009 and 95% in 2010.

EOQ June 2011

4

Figure 1: How Toyota’s Reliability Compares to Selected Competitors (Toyota shown in blue dotted line; Competitors shown in red solid line)

Chevrolet

Ford

Honda

Hyundai

INITIAL QUALITY STUDY, problems per 100 cars measured at 90 days of ownership. J.D. Power & Associates

VEHICLE DEPENDABILITY STUDY, problems per 100 cars experienced by original owners of three year old vehicles.

Source: Author’s estimate on data shown in “Inside Toyota, Executive Trade Blame Over Debacle”, Wall Street Journal, (April 14, 2010): EOQ June 2011 5 A18. Different scales for the two different figures reflect WSJ’s mode of presentation.

U.S. Media Attention Regarding Toyota Recalls
• Extraordinary media attention • A media

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