SAMPLE - Safety Management System Risk Matrix Risk Severity Risk Probability
5 – Frequent 4 – Likely

Catastrophic A 5A 4A 3A 2A 1A

Critical B 5B 4B 3B 2B 1B

Moderate C 5C 4C 3C 2C 1C

Minor D 5D 4D 3D 2D 1D

Negligible E 5E 4E 3E 2E 1E

3 - Occasional 2 – Seldom 1 – Improbable

Assessment Risk Index

Criteria

Accountable Organizations
Risk Review Board (RRB) and / or VP Corporate Safety, Security, Quality & Environment Managing Directors and / or Risk Analysis Board (RAB)

5A, 5B, 5C, 4A, 4B, 3A

Unacceptable under existing circumstances requires immediate action

5D, 5E, 4C, 3B, 3C, 2A, 2B

Manageable under risk control & mitigation. Requires RAB & management decision

4D, 4E, 3D, 2C, 1A, 1B

Acceptable after review of the operation. Requires continued tracking and recorded action plans. Acceptable with continued data collection and trending for continuous improvement.

Managing Directors, Managers and /or Accountable Org. Levels

3E, 2D, 2E, 1C, 1D, 1E

Department Managers and / or Accountable Org. Levels

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SAMPLE - Safety Management System Risk Matrix

Probability of Occurrences Qualitative definition Frequent

Meaning
Likely to occur many times (occurred frequently) Will be continuously experienced unless action is taken to change events Likely to occur some times (occurred infrequently) The activity or event expected to occur 50-99% of the time. Will occur often if events follow normal patterns of process or procedure. The event is repeatable and less sporadic Auditor / Regulator likely to identify issue with minimal audit activity Process performance failures evident to trained auditors or regulators Unlikely, but possible to occur (occurred rarely) An activity or event occurs infrequently, or irregularly, or 25-50% of the time Potential for infrequent occurrence. Events are sporadic in nature Auditor / Regulator have potential of issue discovery during focused or specialized review. Process has higher degree of latent system errors discovered with adequate controls Very unlikely to occur (not known it has occurred ) An activity or event that occurs intermittently, or 1-25% of time Not likely to happen (but could) Regulator / Auditor have low likelihood of issue identification during any general or focused review

Value 5

Likely

4

Occasional

3

Seldom

2

Improbable

A remote likelihood, being almost inconceivable that event will occur

1

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SAMPLE - Safety Management System Risk Matrix

Severity of Occurrences Aviation industry definition Catastrophic

Meaning
Equipment destroyed Multiple deaths System-wide shutdown and negative revenue impact. Fine potentials >$1M / Criminal penalties Large environmental Impact Loss (or breakdown) of an entire system or sub-system. Security criminal investigations and penalties to groups or individuals Willful violation of any safety regulation that could result in serious injury or death Potential of suspending airline operation Potential for uncontrollable public relations event(s)

Value

A

Critical

A large reduction in safety margins, physical distress and/or workload such that operators cannot be relied upon to perform their tasks accurately or completely Serious injury or death, multiple LTIs and personal claims Accident or Serious Incident with injuries and/or major to moderate equipment damage Fine potential $1m < $100k Potential criminal penalty Medium environmental impact Potential moderate damage to an aircraft (out of service > 5 days). Hazardous spill into airplane A non-compliance finding that resulting in major system, process, or operational degradation A security finding requiring immediate corrective action prior to continued operation Reoccurring violation of any safety regulation resulting in serious injury An employee/customer injury/broken bone. Injury resulting in hospitalization (other than observation) Moderate Enterprise risk involving executive management involvement Very large public relations impact requiring resources to manage information System Deficiencies leading to poor air carrier performance and chronic disruption to the air carrier schedules Potential loss (breakdown) of entire sub-system or divisional operation Production errors containing regulatory violations that pose direct consequence to the operation Shutdown of Larger Operation or Hub

B

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SAMPLE - Safety Management System Risk Matrix

Moderate

Accident or Incident with minor injury and/or minor aircraft damage Non-life threatening employee/customer injury, with recording of Lost Time Injury Fine potential $100k < $0 Small environmental impact Security finding requiring a Corrective Action Pla Production element errors that may pose indirect consequences to the operation Aircraft damage resulting in out of service < 5 days. Potential to cause sustained irregular operations until issue is resolved Complete shutdown of smaller operations or divisions System Deficiencies leading to poor air carrier performance and /or sporadic disruption to the air carrier schedules. Partial breakdown of an air carrier system Additional public relations efforts and resources required

C

Minor

No regulatory action anticipated. No environmental impact anticipated No evident security threat affected Minor errors in completed Company policy & procedures Production errors containing quality system and / or opportunities for improvement No equipment damage to slight damage – outcome deferrable with no operational impact. $0 regulatory fines No public relations impact None to slight aircraft damage - no operational impact.

D

Negligible

No regulatory violation No environmental impact No security element affected CI initiative delivered against Company policy & procedures $0 regulatory fines No public relations impact No aircraft damage - no operational impact. Finding elements present limited opportunities for improvement

E

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