...Installing SensIt, RiskSim, and TreePlan 3 3.1 INSTALLATION OVERVIEW SensIt, RiskSim, and TreePlan are decision analysis add-ins for Microsoft Excel 2000–2010 (Windows) and Microsoft Excel 2004 & 2011 (Macintosh). In general, an Excel add-in is software that adds features to Excel. SensIt performs sensitivity analysis on your worksheet what-if model and automatically creates simple plots, spider charts, and tornado charts. Sensitivity analysis can help you determine which of your input assumptions are critical. RiskSim provides random number generator functions for model inputs, automates Monte Carlo simulation, and creates Excel charts for a histogram and the cumulative distribution of the output variable. TreePlan helps you build decision tree diagrams. These instructions are appropriate for installing any or all three of these products. For each add-in, all of the functionality, including its built-in help, is a part of the single file in XLA format. There is no separate help file. On a Windows computer, the installation does not create Windows Registry entries, although Excel may use such entries to keep track of its add-ins. 3.2 REMOVING PREVIOUS VERSIONS Before you open or install an add-in, you must remove any previous versions of the add-in. Excel will not work correctly if you try to use two versions of the same add-in simultaneously. For example, if you were using a tryout version and now you want to use the standard version, Excel will regard this as two...
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...link macro-environment (noun) DEFINITION OF MACRO-ENVIRONMENT Larger societal forces that affect the micro-environment. EXAMPLES OF MACRO-ENVIRONMENT IN THE FOLLOWING TOPICS: Scanning and Analysis All organizations should continuously appraise their situation and adjust their strategy to adapt to the environment. One technique used by organizations to monitor the environment is known as environmental scanning. It allows marketers to understand the current state of the environment, so that the organization can predict trends. The Macro Environment There are a number of common approaches for how the external factors, which describe the macro environment, can be identified and examined. The segmentation of the macro environment according to the six presented factors of the PESTEL analysis is the starting point of the global environmental analysis. Environmental scanning is one technique used by organizations to monitor the environment. The Dynamic Environment It is important to place equal emphasis on both the macro and micro-environment and to react accordingly to changes within them. The Marketing Environment Two key levels of the marketing environment are the micro-environment and the macro-environment. The Micro-environment The micro-environment includes the company itself, its suppliers, marketing intermediaries, customer markets, and competitors. The company aspect of micro-environment refers to the internal environment of the company. The Macro-environment...
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...Purpose of External Environmental Analysis Organizations are affected by conditions in the environment Managers need to be aware of these conditions in order to – Take advantage of opportunities that can lead to higher profits – Reduce the impact of threats that can harm the organization’s future The external environment is made up of: 1. Macro environment 2. Industry environment 3. Competitive environment So if a company wants to analyse its external environment it must analyse the macro, industry and competitive environment. MACRO ENVIRONMENT: Influence the industry and firms inside it. These factors indirectly affect the organization but cannot be controlled by it. There are a number of common approaches how the external factors can be identified and examined. One approach could be the PESTEL analysis. PESTEL stands for political, economic, social, technological, the environmental and legal factor. The segmentation of the macro environment according to the six presented factors of the PESTEL analysis is the starting point of the global environmental analysis. Political factors • Taxation Policy • Trade regulations • Governmental stability • Unemployment Policy etc. Economical factors • Inflation rate • Growth in spending power • Rate of people in a pensionable age • Recession or Boom • Customer liquidations Socio-cultural • age distribution. • education levels. • income level. • consumerism. • diet & nutrition. • population...
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...research process sourcing relevant current data with judgement and confidence towards justifying a perceived opportunity and its implementation. * Understanding the relevance of group and network resources in business opportunity preparation and the student’s own self efficacy in terms of ability, adaptability and behaviours in these social contexts. Module Outcomes On completion of this module you will be able to: 1) Analyse and understand the key concepts around opportunity, entrepreneurial behaviour and the factors in the process of start-up and survival 2) Identify ideas to create opportunities, national or international, through a feasibility analysis and evaluation using relevant disciplines and frameworks 3) Recognise the tension between the creative (innovative) and measured elements (data analysis and evaluation) of a business opportunity and the disjunctive nature of learning this brings. 4) Develop the feasibility assessment through relevant research techniques and sources to create a macro and micro level analysis as the basis to develop a business plan or solve a business problem 5) Present a professional feasibility report for the business opportunity, with appropriate measures, as the base for...
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...Ryanair Strategic Analysis And Recommendations For The Future Ryanair is the first budget airline in Europe. Based on the case study of Ryanair by Eleanor O’Higgins, a role of a management consultant is assumed to conduct a strategic analysis on the company. The report consists of the initial Environment Analysis conducted on Ryanair prior to the detailed strategic analysis that will be conducted in the future in order to provide the company with strategic recommendations for the future. The Environmental Analysis conducted consists of both an extensive analysis on the external environment and the internal environment. The external environment analysis is conducted in order to identify the nature of the environment Ryanair operates in and its impact on the strategic situation of the company. Through PESTEL, External factor and Industry analysis conducted, rejection of Aerlingus offer and rules and regulations imposed by governments etc. are recognized as the critical external environmental factor affecting Ryanair’s strategy. An analysis of the internal environment through Value Chain model and SWOT analysis reveals the key issues hindering the strategic success of the firm; poor customer service and human resource problems. While this initial environmental analysis is used to assist the strategic analysis that is to be conducted on Ryanair, the importance of taking necessary actions regarding the critical issues is highlighted, CONTENT EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 1 CONTENT 2 1INTRODUCTION...
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...BUSINESS MODEL GENERATION Yves Pigneur Patrick Van Der Pijl Alexander Osterwalder Alan Smith Tim Clark www.businessmodelgeneration.com, EUR 27,60 THE CORE TEAM a core team did the heavy lifting in authorship, design and production of this collaborative effort involving over 400 strategy practitioners from around the world. Lead authors Alexander Osterwalder, Ph.D, and Professor Yves Pigneur, Ph.D., Creative Director & Designer Alan Smith from The Movement, Producer Patrick Van der Pijl of Business Models Inc. and Editor Tim Clark of Hitotsubashi University Graduate School of International Corporate Strategy. www.businessmodelgeneration.com 2 AGENDA 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. BUSINESS MODEL BUSINESS MODEL EXAMPLES MORE... BUSINESS MODEL REVENUE MODEL BUSINESS MODEL BUSINESS MODEL MISC. FRAMEWORK ENVIRONMENT MEASUREMENTS INNOVATION 3 1. BUSINESS MODEL 4 BUSINESS MODEL 5 BUSINESS MODEL A Business Model Of A Company Is A Simplified Representation Of Its Business Logic. 5 BUSINESS MODEL 5 BUSINESS MODEL BUSINESS MODEL “describes what a company offers its customers, how it reaches them and relates to them, through which resources, activities and partners it achieves this and finally, how it earns money.” Dr. Alexander Osterwalder 6 KP KA VP CR CS 2. C$ by Alexander Osterwalder & Yves Pigneur (taken from the book „Business Model Generation“) BUSINESS MODELCH FRAMEWORK KR R$ 7 2. BUSINESS...
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...society’s problems could not be understood by philosophical or religious speculation; scientific knowledge was needed • Two main concerns – What holds society together? (social statics or structure) – Why is there change in society? (social dynamics or process) Ballantine, Roberts, and Korgen. Our Social World: Condensed, Fourth Edition. © 2015 SAGE Publications The Development of Sociology Early sociology after Comte • Focus on massive social and economic change brought by Industrial Revolution • Focus on relationship between micro-, meso-, and macro-level processes • Early sociological theorists: Emile Durkheim, Karl Marx, Harriet Martineau, Max Weber, W.E.B. DuBois • Use of scientific method to test ideas Ballantine, Roberts, and Korgen. Our Social World: Condensed, Fourth Edition. © 2015 SAGE Publications Three Sociological Traditions • Scientific sociology focuses on pure, objective analysis, modeled on natural science • Humanistic sociology focuses on the human capacity to create meaning, which can’t be...
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...for assignment Case Study 1, which required our team to create a poster and present the analysis, and recommend for a future strategies, I need to understand some theories that are required in the case. After went through the textbook and several write up about SLEPT and SWOT analysis. SLEPT is one of the analysis that is frequently used by business analyst for examining the marco environment of the organisation that the business operations in. Most of the time, companies are unable to control the external environment factors but it can effectively have better understanding in it so that they can either exploit the situation to its advantage or minimise the impact that is to its disadvantage. The factors that influence the macro environment are SLEPT – Social, Legal, Economical, Political and Technological. In order to help me relate to the case study, I had posted myself with a few questions. 1) How will the factors impact business? The macro environment factors affect FedEx’s competition advantage in the market that it operates in. As a foreign international company, the political and legal factors are especially important for the business. Every change in policy and regulation may affect the way the business operates. The economical factor is also critical to the success of FedEx as the growth of ecommerce in China will bring demands to the logistic business. 2) How will this analysis help the company? Keeping abreast on the changes in the external environment allows FedEx...
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...Management ISSN: 1611-1699 (Print) 2029-4433 (Online) Journal homepage: http://www.tandfonline.com/loi/tbem20 Evaluation of some business macro environment forecasting methods Vulfs Kozlinskis & Kristine Guseva To cite this article: Vulfs Kozlinskis & Kristine Guseva (2006) Evaluation of some business macro environment forecasting methods, Journal of Business Economics and Management, 7:3, 111-117 To link to this article: http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/16111699.2006.9636131 Published online: 14 Oct 2010. Submit your article to this journal Article views: 1769 View related articles Citing articles: 1 View citing articles Full Terms & Conditions of access and use can be found at http://www.tandfonline.com/action/journalInformation?journalCode=tbem20 Download by: [86.20.58.206] Date: 10 November 2015, At: 14:42 Journal of Business Economics and Management 2006, Vol VII, No 3, 111117 ISSN 1611-1699 EVALUATION OF SOME BUSINESS MACRO ENVIRONMENT FORECASTING METHODS Vulfs Kozlinskis1, Kristine Guseva2 Riga International School of Economics and Business Administration (RISEBA), Meza iela 1, k. 2, LV-1048 Riga, Latvia E-mail: 1Vulfs@rsebaa.lv, 2 kris@rsebaa.lv Downloaded by [86.20.58.206] at 14:42 10 November 2015 Received 06 03 2006; accepted 28 04 2006 Abstract. Latest studies in the field of business macro environment (BME) assessment and forecasting have been undertaken and successfully implemented by the World Bank (2003-2004). Considerable...
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...loan-level econometric models for default, prepayment, and severity. These models are integrated through common dependence on local macro-economic factors, which can be either simulated at national, state, and Metropolitan Statistical Area (MSA) levels or input in the form of stress scenarios. This integration produces correlation in behaviors of loans across the portfolio. The simulation incorporates a multi-step Monte Carlo approach and generates monthly P&I cash flows and losses which enables the model to be used for ALM applications or to be combined with an external cash flow waterfall tool and used for simulation of RMBS transactions. Scenario and stress testing is also done in a multiperiod framework. Furthermore, the model accommodates both loan-level and portfolio-level mortgage insurance. The resulting tool can be used for analyzing the credit risk in both portfolios of whole loans and RMBS transactions. © 2011 Moody’s Research Labs. All rights reserved. Many past and present members of the current research group made significant contributions to the building and implementation of the models underpinning the Mortgage Portfolio Analyzer. Xufeng (Norah) Qian and Weijian Liang helped build the prepayment models. Weijian Liang also helped estimating the severity model. Jordan Mann helped model MI. Pouyan Mashayekh helped model the macro economic factors. Samuel Ring,...
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...important role inthe growth process of an economy. Various FDI theories provide the motivations and determinants ofFDI. Economists broadly classified the FDI theories into macro-level and micro-level FDI theories. Themacro-level FDI theories give the macroeconomic factors that determine the FDI and micro-leveltheories discuss the motivation of FDI associated with the firm level. Besides these two categories,the development theories of FDI also discussed the motivation of FDI flows. JEL Classification : F21, F23. Key words: FDI theories, macro-level FDI theories, Micro-level FDI theories, DevelopmentFDI theories.The Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) theories can be classified broadly into twocategories. One is at the macro level and the other is at the micro level. Again at the macro-level, we have capital market theory, Dynamic macroeconomic theory, FDI theories based onexchange rates, FDI theories based on economic geography, gravity approach to FDI and FDItheories based on institutional analysis. At the micro-level, we have the theories likeExistence of firm specific advantages (Hymer), FDI and oligopolistic markets, Theory ofinternalization, and Electic FDI theory (John Dunning). Recently another type of FDIcategories discussed by the economists is the development theories which combine both themicro level and macro-level FDI theories. The development theories are Life cycle theory,Japanese FDI theories and five stage theories (John Dunning). What are the factors thatattract FDI...
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...CC-307-017 Dynamic Strategic Alignment This reference note was prepared by Professor Steven White to introduce basic concepts and a framework for discussing strategic management. Copyright © 2009 by CEIBS (China Europe International Business School). No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, or transmitted in any form or by any means – electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording or otherwise – without the permission of CEIBS The CEIBS Case Centre is sponsored by McKinsey & Company. Dynamic Strategic Alignment CC-307-017 Dynamic Strategic Alignment This note introduces the concepts and frameworks that are commonly used in strategic analysis, integrating them within an on-going process of creating and improving strategic alignment. 1. FUNDAMENTALS The objective of strategic management is to create alignments—within the firm and between the firm and its environment—that give the firm competitive advantage and enable it to achieve its goals. Strategic change, therefore, is fundamentally a decision about what changes to make in order to create or improve alignment that moves the firm closer to its goals. Managers may increase alignment and performance by a) changing elements of the firm, b) changing features of the environment in which operate, or c) shifting to another environment. There will usually be multiple options, and managers must decide which changes are necessary, possible and worth the effort required. When making...
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...Think Strategically This page intentionally left blank T H I N K STRATEGICALLY Xavier Gimbert Associate Professor, Business Policy Department, ESADE Business School © Xavier Gimbert 2011 All rights reserved. No reproduction, copy or transmission of this publication may be made without written permission. No portion of this publication may be reproduced, copied or transmitted save with written permission or in accordance with the provisions of the Copyright, Designs and Patents Act 1988, or under the terms of any licence permitting limited copying issued by the Copyright Licensing Agency, Saffron House, 6-10 Kirby Street, London EC1N 8TS. Any person who does any unauthorized act in relation to this publication may be liable to criminal prosecution and civil claims for damages. The author has asserted his right to be identified as the author of this work in accordance with the Copyright, Designs and Patents Act 1988. First published 2011 by PALGRAVE MACMILLAN Palgrave Macmillan in the UK is an imprint of Macmillan Publishers Limited, registered in England, company number 785998, of Houndmills, Basingstoke, Hampshire RG21 6XS. Palgrave Macmillan in the US is a division of St Martin’s Press LLC, 175 Fifth Avenue, New York, NY 10010. Palgrave Macmillan is the global academic imprint of the above companies and has companies and representatives throughout the world. Palgrave® and Macmillan® are registered trademarks in the United States, the United Kingdom, Europe and...
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...their means of survival. It creates opportunities and its present threats. This chapter therefore provides frameworks for analysing changing and complex environments. These frameworks are organised in a series of ‘layers’. Within the environment there is Macro-environment, this is the highest-level layer that consist of broad environmental factors that impact to a greater or lesser extent on almost all organisations. Industry or Sector forms the next layer within this broad general environment; this is made up of organisations producing the same products and services. Competitors and markets are the most immediate layer surrounding organisations; here the concept of strategic groups can help to identify the different kinds of competitors. This chapter works through this three layers in turn. 1. THE MACRO-ENVIRONMENT The three concepts in this section are PESTEL, key drivers and scenarios these are interrelated tools for analysing the broad macro environment of an organisation 2.1. PESTEL framework The PESTEL framework categorise the environmental influences into six main types, namely: Political, Economic, Social, Technological, Environmental and Legal. Politics highlight the role of government, Economics refers to macro-economic factors such as exchange rates, business cycle and different economic growth rates around the world, social influences include changing cultures and demographics, Technological influences refer to innovation such as the internet etc., Environmental...
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...INDUSTRIAL ANALYSIS: THE FUNDAMENTALS Outline * The objectives of industry analysis * From environmental analysis to industry analysis * Porter’s Five Forces Framework * Applying industry analysis * Industry and market boundaries * Identifying Key Success Factors The objectives of Industrial Analysis * To understand how industry structure drives competition, which determines the level of industry profitability * To assess industry attractiveness * To use evidence on changes in industry structure to forecast future profitability * To formulate strategies to change industry structure to improve industry profitability * To identify Key Success Factors From Environmental Analysis to Industrial Analysis The Industry Environment lies at the core of the Macro environment The Macro Environment impacts the firm through its effect on the Industry Environment The Determinants of Industrial Profitability Three key influences: 1. The value of the product to customers 2. The intensity of competition 3. Relative bargaining power at different stages of the value chain The Spectrum of Industry Structures Porter´s Five Forces Competition Framework The Structural Determinant of Competition Threat of Substitutes Extent of competitive pressure from producers of substitutes depends on: * Buyer’s propensity to substitute * The price‐performance characteristics of substitutes Threat of New Entrants Entrants’ threat...
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