...SCENRIO ANALYISI Written by Cosmas Kisela TABLE OF CONTENTS: Introduction: 4 Scenario Analysis 5 Definition 5 Objectives 5 Benefits of Scenario Analysis 5 Scenario Construction and Analysis 6 1.0 Definition of Context 6 2.0 External Environmental Analysis 6 Political factors 6 Economic factors 7 Social factors 8 Technological factors 8 Environmental factors 9 Legal factors 9 MESO environment 9 MICRO environment 9 Threat of substitutes 10 3.0 Identification of key issues/ strategic agenda 11 4.0 Identification of key forces driving the strategic agenda 11 5.0 Identification of 5- 8 over- riding drivers 13 6.0 Root - cause analysis 13 7.0 Identification of 2 key drivers 13 8.0 Plot of two key drivers to determine possible scenario 14 Figure 1 Scenario Analysis 14 9.0 Four scenarios and description of key assumptions 14 Four Scenarios for 2018 14 Co-opetition, 15 Co-existence 15 Competition 15 Conflict 16 10. Testing of scenarios for consistency and reliability 16 Conclusion 17 Recommendation 17 Bibliography 19 Introduction: Tanzania is endowed with some of the world's greatest natural wonders. Following major reforms in its foreign tourism policies, tourism has increased to become the nation's second leading foreign exchange earner. There are many weaknesses at national level including poor infrastructure, lack of trained staff, and legal and regulatory framework. In this paper, a case study of Asilia Lodges...
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...Prison Inmates claiming millions in tax refund Over the past few years prisoner tax refund fraud has sky rocketed. According to the article - (Prisoners rake in millions from tax fraud, 2013) “In 2010, more than 91,000 inmate returns claimed $759 million in fraudulent refunds.” 1 That figure was more than double from the previous year. How is it a convicted felon who is behind bars still gets to cheat the system by robbing innocent tax payers of billions in tax refunds on an annual basis? This type of white collar crime is easily committed, all that is needed is the use of a computer with internet access and a great deal of time which a prisoner is in no shortage of having. They can educate themselves on how to hack into hundreds of databases that contains people’s personal information including social security numbers. Once that information is gathered they can begin the process of stealing tax refunds they are certainly not due by filing fraudulent income tax forms, sometimes hundreds at a time by using legitimate names and social security numbers, sometimes the names of their inmates, relatives or even people who are deceased. It is the duty of the IRS to fix this problem. This paper will highlight a few cases of inmate tax refund fraud and what measures the IRS has taken and will continue to take in order to protect innocent victims against this type of fraud. Case summaries involving inmate tax refund fraud The following cases are classic examples of...
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...to keep yourself engaged and productive during a work life that may span some 50 years. To do all of these things well, you’ll need to cultivate a deep understanding of yourself. What are your most valuable strengths and most dangerous weaknesses? Equally important, how do you learn and work with others? What are your most deeply held values? And in what type of work environment can you make the greatest contribution? The implication is clear: Only when you operate from a combination of your strengths and self-knowledge can you achieve true— and lasting—excellence. The Idea in Practice To build a life of excellence, begin by asking yourself these questions: “What are my strengths?” To accurately identify your strengths, use feedback analysis. Every time you make a key decision, write down the outcome you expect. Several...
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...Academic Finance as a Career: The Good, The Bad, and the Not-So-Pretty Don Chance James C. Flores Endowed Chair of MBA Studies Louisiana State University Current version: January 4, 2011 (Original version: November 19, 2007) Most undergraduate and masters students in finance (MS and MBA) are preparing for a career in the world of finance. Oftentimes, jobs in finance have titles like financial analyst, credit analyst, and assistant treasurer, with the possibilities of someday becoming a vice president of finance, chief financial officer, treasurer or some other high-ranking position of responsibility. Finance is an important field to study because it deals with the management of money, a subject of central concern to every business, government agency, or nonprofit organization, and indeed every individual. Knowing how the financial world operates, the characteristics of securities, and how investment decisions should be made serves one well for many career paths. The study of finance also helps to prepare a person to manage his or her own money and increase the likelihood of accruing significant wealth over time through solid principles of investing. Few students consider another finance-related career option: becoming an academic in finance. Most students know little about this career choice. Their experiences with finance academics are typically limited to their familiarity with classes taken from their professors. But there is a lot more to it than this. And it is probably...
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...place in the work world and know when to change course. And it’s up to you to keep yourself engaged and productive during a work life that may span some 50 years. To do all of these things well, you’ll need to cultivate a deep understanding of yourself. What are your most valuable strengths and most dangerous weaknesses? Equally important, how do you learn and work with others? What are your most deeply held values? And in what type of work environment can you make the greatest contribution? The implication is clear: Only when you operate from a combination of your strengths and self-knowledge can you achieve true— and lasting—excellence. The Idea in Practice “What are my strengths?” To accurately identify your strengths, use feedback analysis....
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...Movement itself. The progressive thought of the 1950s nurtured new ideas and cultures including the Civil Rights Movement and the fast spread of rock and roll. One such cultural revival occurred after the end of World War II during a time of change, prosperity and restoration. The “Puritan dicta” outlined by Baldwin represents the American ideology before the Second World War. As the first settlers of this nation, the Puritans set the mold for many common American ideologies. In the Puritan view white represented good and black represented evil, including Africans and their culture. After the war, Baldwin states that the former puritanical views of whites will be challenged. Musicians such as Elvis Presley were the first to issue this challenge to white society. Early rockers like Elvis would pave the way for social commentary in music that would add much fire to the Civil Rights Movement. To fully understand the explosion of popularity of Black music in the years following World War II, one must understand the social conditions in which Blacks and Whites lived in the South. An article entitled “Not Just the Same Old Show on my Radio” delves into the very issues behind racism. The article names three aspects necessary for social segregation to exist a stigmatism of the oppressed group; signs of “labeled interaction” between groups, and a hierarchy of discrimination. (Kloosterman, Quispel...
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...Microsoft’s XBOX 365 Portable Gaming Device Marketing Plan Jason Hudson MKTG522 / Herbig 10/19/2012 1.0 Executive Summary Are you tired of playing “Angry Birds, Words with Friends, or Song Tune on your mobile phone…bored with your iPad? Are your kids fed up with beating Mario in races and his 3D worlds? Ever wanted to take the live-action first-person shooter, “Call of Duty” or “Madden” on the road and play against friends during a road trip or a long flight? Well guess what? Us…good folks here at Microsoft have been working day and night to on some monumental news!!! Microsoft’s ambitions have been nothing short of amazing and being a huge pioneer in the IT industry, dating back to its inception in the early 1980’s. Microsoft is the world’s number one leading in software development and has controlled an overwhelming share of the personal computer operating system market. Microsoft’s products, do not stop at the development of software, nor operating systems; the company supplies the world with a number and variety of different types of products, including their office software, Zune (digital music player), CRM applications, sever and storage software, and last but not least XBOX as well as, the XBOX 360 video gaming consoles. Now that we are entering 2013, XBOX has stood by idle, in the portable gaming device market as we watched Sony & Nintendo dominate their way through this particular gaming market. Well now!! Microsoft has been absence for far...
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...What follows are a number of views about Belbin |The Belbin Team Roles | |The Belbin Model is a robust and highly effective concept on teamwork that is the product of many years of research. British psychologist Dr Meredith Belbin has | |worked to achieve a coherent and accurate system that explains individual behaviour and its influence on team success. These behavioural patterns are called "Team | |Roles" and these nine roles cover the types of individual behaviour at work in a team. | |1. Plant (PL) | |Advancing new ideas and strategies with special attention to major issues and looking for possible breaks in approach to the problem that the group is confronting.| | | |2. Resource Investigator (RI) | |Exploring and reporting on ideas, developments and resources outside the group, creating external contacts that may...
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...COMMUNICATION PROBLEMS FACED BY MALACCA HEALTH DEPARTMENT (MHD) ON ANTI SMOKING CAMPAIGN INTRODUCTION Communication refers to the act, by one or more persons, of sending and receiving messages that are distorted by noise, occur within a context, have some effect, and provide some opportunity for feedback. All communication takes place in a context that has at least four dimensions: physical, cultural, social psychological and temporal. Communication always has some effect on one or more person involved in the communication act. For every communication act, there is some consequence. For example, we may gain knowledge or learn how to analyze, synthesize, or evaluate something. These are intellectual or cognitive effects. Or we may acquire or change our attitudes, beliefs, emotions and feelings. These are effective effects. We may even learn new bodily movements, such as throwing a ball or painting a picture, as well as appropriate verbal and nonverbal behaviours. These are psychomotor effects.Communication behaviours, whether they involve verbal messages, gestures, or some combination thereof, usually occur in “packages” (Pittenger,Hockett,& Danehy 1960). Communication is transactional (Barnlund 1970; Watzlawick 1977, 1978; Watzlawick, Beavin, & Jackson 1967; Wilmot 1987). One implication of viewing communication as transactional is that each person is seen as both speaker and listener, as simultaneously sending and receiving messages. Each person in a communication transaction...
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...East West University TERM PAPER On Compensation strategy of RAHIMAFROOZ HRM412 Submitted to: SSM Sadrul Huda Assistant Professor Department of Business Administration Submitted by: Mahbuba Chowdhury 2004-3-10-013 Sec-01 Md. Tarekul Islam 2005-2-10-161 Sec-01 Shamsun Nahar Airin 2005-2-10-231 Sec-02 Tangina Jesmin 2005-3-10-029 Sec-02 Date of Submission: 14.08.2008 Acknowledgment At first we present our due regards to the Almighty, who has provided us the brilliant opportunity to build and complete this term paper successfully with good health & sound mind. We would like to acknowledge our instructor SSM Sadrul Huda for his guidance starting to data collection and preparing for the writing; our regards and heartfelt thanks to him. Moreover, we are grateful to our administration as they provide us with the facility to use computer lab for browsing net & study room for teamwork. May be it would have been impossible to finish the report in time if we didn’t get the facility. Letter of Transmittal August 10, 2010 SSM Sadrul Huda Assistant Professor Dept of Business Administration East West University 45 Mohakhali C/A, Dhaka 1212 Dear Sir, Here is the term paper that you have asked us to prepare as a group for our course Compensation Management (HRM- 412). We have done group work for this term paper and did it as per as the rule. We are encouraged...
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...Stick to the Core—or Go for More? “Cut!” Spike Sanchez stomped toward the stage, his arms waving the music to a stop. Wearing black from head to toe, sporting dark glasses, and sweating under the heat of the lights, he was losing his patience. A highly respected music video director, Sanchez was starting to wonder if taking on this advertising gig was such a great idea. “How many times do I have to tell you to point the logo on the can toward the camera during that move?” On stage was Maygan M, a pop singer whose star had risen in the months since she’d agreed to do this ad. She was a sweet-faced, 18-year-old beauty, dressed in a sequined, midriff-baring halter top, a skintight leopard microskirt, and platform shoes that had already tripped her up twice. She sheltered her eyes from the lights and glared at Sanchez. “Like I can even see the stupid logo,” she whined. “Maybe you could fix it on a computer or something?” “Or maybe you should just do what I say,” Sanchez shot back. “Then we might have some hope of airing this 30-second spot before your 15 minutes of fame are up!” He turned abruptly, strode off the stage, and dropped back into his director’s chair. “Let’s try it again from the top.” Maygan pouted at him for a moment and then flipped her long hair, spun around, and went back to her starting position. Sitting next to Sanchez was Ian Rafferty, cofounder and head of creative services for Advaark, a New York–based advertising agency. “Pretty tough to work with, isn’t...
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...Tahir Hussain Khan (Corresponding Author) Academic Front Office, COMSATS Institute of Information Technology, Park Road, Chak Shahzad, Islamabad, Pakistan. Tel: +92-333-520-5732, Email: tahir_khan@comsats.edu.pk Farida Tahir Department of Physics, COMSATS Institute of Information Technology, Park Road, Chak Shahzad, Islamabad, Pakistan. Tel: +92-331-533-6900, Email: farida_tahir@comsats.edu.pk Abstract This study focuses on almost all factors, those if, found collectively in a teacher makes him a role model. Certain facts, endorsed through statistical surveys are also quoted. The paper highlights the fact that an ideal teacher is one who is a friend, a performer, an artist, a vocalist, a speaker, an analyst, a trainer, a guide, an anchorperson and a judge. Our research shows that the images of an ideal teacher remain fresh and green in the memory of students throughout their lives. The paper carries some suggestions and concludes that the blend of personal and professional qualities and didactic knowledge of the subject are valued key points. This study also set path for further and deeper discussion of images of a good teacher at all levels in general and at tertiary level in particular. Keywords: Role model, Quality Education, Lucidity, Evaluation, Instructional objectives Teachers: The Epitome of Pedagogy 1. Introduction Teachers are the architects of a nation. It is richness of teachers' talent that fabricates intellectual and academic architecture. It is the mosaic...
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...MBTI Personality Test Dear Future Chief Resident: The following test is designed to measure your MBTI Personality type. We will be discussing the theory behind this test, and the results it demonstrates, during the session on “Leadership and Personality Types” during the second day of the conference. The session will be much more valuable to you if you have completed this test PRIOR to the session. Completing the test should only take 15 minutes or so. You can complete it on paper, or can use a web based version located at http://DOMWebserver.Hitchcock.org/mbti/. The web based version has several benefits: 1) You do not have to score your results, as the web page does so for you, 2) You will receive a detailed type report immediately after completing the web based survey, and 3) I will be able to present your group’s specific data at the session. Several hints about how to best complete this survey: There are no right answers to any of these questions. Answer the questions quickly, do not over-analyze them. Some seem worded poorly. Go with what feels best. Answer the questions as “the way you are”, not “the way you’d like to be seen by others” Do not look at the scoring sheet until you have completed all the questions. Thanks for your time, and I look forward to reviewing this at the session! Sincerely, Harley Friedman, MD Program Director, Internal Medicine Dartmouth Hitchcock Medical Center MBTI Personality Type Test 1. At a party do you: a. Interact with many, including...
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...CHAPTER 3 Group Member Diversity CHAPTER OUTLINE Heterogeneous Groups Personality Dimensions Personality Theory Implications of Personality Dimensions Cultural Dimensions Individualism–Collectivism Power Distance Uncertainty Avoidance Masculine–Feminine High Context–Low Context Monochronic Time–Polychronic Time Barriers to Cultural Understanding Gender Dimensions Generational Dimensions Balanced Diversity GroupWork: Personality Preferences GroupAssessment: Identifying Cultural Dialectics ISBN: 0-536-56665-8 63 Working in Groups: Communication Principles and Strategies, Fourth Edition, by Isa N. Engleberg and Dianna R. Wynn. Published by Allyn & Bacon. Copyright © 2007 by Pearson Education, Inc. 64 Part I Basic Group Concepts HETEROGENEOUS GROUPS When you read or hear the word diversity, you may think about race or about people from other countries. The concept of diversity, however, involves much more than country of origin, skin color, or ethnic heritage. When discussing group communication, we use the term diversity in its most general sense—the quality of being different. The American Heritage Dictionary of the English Language defines diverse as “made up of distinct characteristics, qualities, or elements.”1 The homogeneous–heterogeneous dialectic is particularly applicable to the study of group membership. As we note in Chapter 1, the prefix homo comes from the Greek language and means “same” or “similar”; hetero means “different.” Thus, a homogeneous...
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...Marc Prensky Digital Natives Digital Immigrants ©2001 Marc Prensky _____________________________________________________________________________ Digital Natives, Digital Immigrants By Marc Prensky From On the Horizon (NCB University Press, Vol. 9 No. 5, October 2001) © 2001 Marc Prensky It is amazing to me how in all the hoopla and debate these days about the decline of education in the US we ignore the most fundamental of its causes. Our students have changed radically. Today’s students are no longer the people our educational system was designed to teach. Today’s students have not just changed incrementally from those of the past, nor simply changed their slang, clothes, body adornments, or styles, as has happened between generations previously. A really big discontinuity has taken place. One might even call it a “singularity” – an event which changes things so fundamentally that there is absolutely no going back. This so-called “singularity” is the arrival and rapid dissemination of digital technology in the last decades of the 20th century. Today’s students – K through college – represent the first generations to grow up with this new technology. They have spent their entire lives surrounded by and using computers, videogames, digital music players, video cams, cell phones, and all the other toys and tools of the digital age. Today’s average college grads have spent less than 5,000 hours of their lives reading, but over 10,000 hours playing video games (not to mention...
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