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Chern Ch 5

In: Business and Management

Submitted By bigdukefan91
Words 995
Pages 4
Katharina Riss
Cecelia Hardwick
Jill Mendelsohn
Adam Brown
Alex Soucek

Chapter 5: Forecasting and Planning
Through an analyzing of Chern’s internal labor market, we came up with the following results. If the company expects to maintain its current staffing levels, it is likely to have to hire 60 FTSA from outside the organization. Therefore, in order to hire 60 FTSA, we would need 1,780 applicants. 534 will be job candidates of which we provide 80 offers (Table 1 and 2).
Table 1: Transition Probability Matrix for Chern’s Flagship Store Job Category | FTSA (%) | PTSA (%) | DEP (%) | BUY (%) | MER (%) | Exit (%) | Current # of Employees | FTSA | 50 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 140 | PTSA | 30 | 50 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 15 | 30 | DEP | 5 | 0 | 75 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 15 | BUY | 0 | 0 | 0 | 65 | 5 | 30 | 5 | MER | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 80 | 20 | 8 |

Table 2: Forecasting Employees Using the Transition Probability Matrix for Chern’s Flagship Store Job Category | FTSA | PTSA | DEP | BUY | MER | Exit | Current # of Employees | FTSA | 70 | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 28 | 140 | PTSA | 9 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 30 | DEP | 1 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | BUY | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 5 | MER | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 8 | Forecast of 2013 | 80 | 36 | 19 | 13 | 15 | 40 | | | Deficit | Surplus | Surplus | Surplus | Surplus | Exit | |

Career One Stop provides current and projected employment trends. Retail Salespeople make up the large majority of Chern’s employees. They also have the most frequent turnover of Chern’s employees. According to forecasted trends, the number of retail salespeople is projected to increase by 2020 (Table 3). Florida in particular shows very positive growth. Florida is projected to have a 19% increase, 2% points above the projected growth for the whole United States. This is very good news for Chern’s. An increase in salespeople means they

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