...ACCOUNTING FOR GROWTH: COMPARING CHINA AND INDIA Barry Bosworth Susan M. Collins Working Paper 12943 http://www.nber.org/papers/w12943 NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH 1050 Massachusetts Avenue Cambridge, MA 02138 February 2007 We are very indebted to Anthony Liu and Gabriel Chodorow-Reich for extensive assistance in understanding the data and constructing the growth accounts. This paper was presented at the annual conference of the Tokyo Club Foundation for Global Studies, December 6-7, 2006. The views expressed herein are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the views of the National Bureau of Economic Research. © 2007 by Barry Bosworth and Susan M. Collins. All rights reserved. Short sections of text, not to exceed two paragraphs, may be quoted without explicit permission provided that full credit, including © notice, is given to the source. Accounting for Growth: Comparing China and India Barry Bosworth and Susan M. Collins NBER Working Paper No. 12943 February 2007 JEL No. F43,O1,O4 ABSTRACT We compare the recent economic performances of China and India using a simple growth accounting framework that produces estimates of the contribution of labor, capital, education, and total factor productivity for the three sectors of agriculture, industry, and services as well as for the aggregate economy. Our analysis incorporates recent data revisions in both countries and includes extensive discussion of the underlying data series. The growth accounts show...
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...Macro-economic Variables on the GDP of China and India by Manish Chandi Shrestha Submitted to the Program of Analytics in the Postgraduate Division of the Business School As part of the requirement for Master of Business Administration at Bournemouth University March, 2015 Contents List of acronyms i List of figures and tables ii Abstract 1 Introduction 1 Methodology 2 Data source 3 Findings 3 Interpretation 4 Conclusion 9 References 10 Appendices 11 List of Acronyms GDP Gross Domestic Product IMF International Monetary Fund IQR Inter Quartile Range ANOVA Analysis of Variance BLUE Best Linear Unbiased Estimator VIF Variance Inflation Factor List of Figures and Tables 1. Correlation Analysis of China 4 2. Correlation Analysis of India 4 3. Beta coefficients for China and India 5 4. Revised Beta Coefficients for China 5 5. Comparison between Predicted and Actual GDP for China 6 6. Comparison between Predicted and Actual GDP for India 7 7. Test of Normality of Error for China and India 7 8. Residual Statistics for India 8 9. Residual Statistics for China 8 10. Collinearity Statistics for India and China 9 Abstract This...
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...Macroeconomics assignment On ANALYSIS OF INDIA CHINA BRAZIL ECONOMIES INTRODUCTION The BIC Countries: Brazil, India, China. The BIC countries are made up of Brazil, India and China - although if we were to categorize them by importance, it would actually be CIB. Why the BIC are Important?? The BIC are both the fastest growing and largest emerging markets economies. They account for almost three billion people, or just under half of the total population of the world. In recent times, the BIC have also contributed to the majority of world GDP growth. According to various economists’ projections, it is only a matter of time before China becomes the biggest economy in the world - sometime between 2030 and 2050 seems the consensus. In fact, Goldman Sachs believes that by 2050 these will be the most important economies, relegating the US to fifth place. By 2020, all of the BIC should be in the top 10 largest economies of the world. The undisputed heavyweight, though, will be China, also the largest the creditor in the world. Apart from their growth characteristics, the BIC countries frankly have little in common. They are primarily an investment category now, although there may some political and economic alliances that develop from that grouping. If they do, it is likely to be temporary - once China has assumed its rightful place, it may have no need for these alliances. A G2 of China and the US may be more important for it unless the 2050 predictions do come true...
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...Trends, Policy Influences, and Economic Effects in China and India Through 2025 JULIE DAVANZO, HARUN DOGO, AND CLIFFORD A. GRAMMICH WR-849 April 2011 This product is part of the RAND National Security Research Division working paper series. RAND working papers are intended to share researchers’ latest findings and to solicit informal peer review. They have been approved for circulation by RAND National Security Research Division but have not been formally edited or peer reviewed. Unless otherwise indicated, working papers can be quoted and cited without permission of the author, provided the source is clearly referred to as a working paper. RAND’s publications do not necessarily reflect the opinions of its research clients and sponsors. is a registered trademark. Preface In this paper we compare the recent and likely future demographic situations in China and India and their implications. This is a background paper for the chapter, “Population Trends in China and India: Demographic Dividend or Demographic Drag?. in the RAND report, China And India, 2025: A Comparative Assessment, MG-1009OSD, by Charles Wolf, Jr., Siddhartha Dalal, Julie DaVanzo, Eric V. Larson, Alisher R. Akhmedjonov, Harun Dogo, Meilinda Huang, and Silvia Montoya, and contains some of material referenced therein. The RAND report was done under the sponsorship of the Office of Net Assessment with the objective of understanding how China and India will compare to one another in 2020-2025 with regards...
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...Indian Economy 3 India GDP Growth Rate 3 History of the Chinese Economy 4 China GDP Growth Rate 4 Economy of India 5 GDP 5 Unemployment 6 Inflation 7 Economy of China 8 GDP 8 Unemployment 9 Inflation 10 India's Export and Import 11 China's Export and Import 12 China and India Export and Import 13 Analysis and Findings...
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...Eastern Ltd Mumbai Prepared by :Madhav Mehta UTI Institute of Capital Markets Table of Contents Acknowledgements Executive Summary Objectives of the Study Terms of Reference Data Collection & Sources Assessment of Supply Side International Trade Data Analysis Assessment of Demand International Trade Historical Trends and future projections Evaluation of manufacturing costs Assessment of other business considerations Growth in capacities required to meet projected capacities and likely candidates Case: India Statement of Limitations 3 4 5 6 7 8-20 21-28 29-33 34-36 37-44 45-49 49-50 51-59 60 2 Acknowledgements At the outset, I would thank Gherzi Eastern Ltd for providing me an opportunity to work with them. My special thanks to Mr. Durga Prasad for acting as a conduit to this opportunity with Gherzi Eastern Ltd as also for his valuable guidance & insights. I have extreme gratitude for Mr. V.N.Karvir who has been all through with me in this project, shared his experiences, provided utmost necessary and valuable guidance to me. Without, his assistance and guidance this report & its contents would not have taken shape in the manner in which it is prepared, analyzed and presented. I would also like to thank my friend and batch mate Mr. Amol Agrawal for making known to me some important data sources and for being a good listener all times to my approaches and ideas. Last but not the least I thank all Gherzi staff for the support & infrastructure. With warm regards, Madhav...
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...Environment. The business environments of China and India impact how Lazybones will conduct potential operations, and must therefore be investigated. 5.1 Free Trade Agreements. After 21 rounds of negotiations beginning in 2005, on 17 June 2015 the China-Australia free trade agreement was signed; worth almost $160 Billion (Dfat,2015).The Agreement secures better market access for Australia to the world’s second largest economy, improves our competitive position in a rapidly growing market, and promotes increased two-way investment and reduces import costs (Trade,2015).More than 85 per cent of Australian goods exports will be tariff free, rising to 95 per cent on full implementation.(Trade,2015).China is our biggest export and import market(Dfat,2015). This FTA will only strengthen our country’s relationship, giving us most favoured nation status by helping Australian companies to conduct operation with China.This will greatly benefit Lazybones potential manufacturing sourcing as it will ease the implementation and business relations within China because of our strong relationship. The FTA will ease the barrier to entry for Lazybones in China as the company can capitalise on the political and economic ties Australia has, which ultimately builds business relations and growth. (Image-Retrieved from Austrade 2014) A comprehensive economic cooperation agreement between Australia and India was launched in May 2011.There have been...
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...is an endeavor in this direction capturing the market access barriers faced by Indian exporters in its major trading partners and other select countries, 24 in all. Major trading partners: Exports: Major Export trading partners through which India trading are UAE 12.87%, US 12.59%, China 5.59% . The principal commodities of export include petroleum products, oil meal, gem and jewellery, electronic goods, cotton yarn/readymade garments, cotton, machinery & instruments, primary/semi-finished iron & steel, transport equipment, marine products, drugs/pharmaceuticals, inorganic/organic/ agro chemicals, dyes/intermediates etc. Imports: Major Import trading partners through which India trading are China 10.94%, US 7.16%, Saudi Arabia 5.36%, UAE 5.18%, Australia 5.02%, Germany 4.86%, Singapore 4.02% (2009). The major commodities imported from this region are coal/coke/briquettes, gold, vegetable oils, electronic goods, organic chemicals, machinery except electrical machinery, professional instruments, wood and wood products, non-ferrous metals, metalifers ores and metal scrap, raw wool etc.Trade Promotion Activities Trade relations between India and China: In the last decade, bilateral trade between India and China has grown by 20 times. According to statistics of Chinese Customs, the bilateral trade volume in 2010 reached USD 61.8 billion, with an...
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...Labor Statistics. International Labor Comparison. Manufacturing in China. Retrieved September 12, 2011 from http://www.bls.gov/fls/china.htm. The first literature review for manufacturing in China will consist of three aspects: a) Data comparability b) comparison of hourly rates of compensation of US and China c) comparison of hourly manufacturing compensation cost of US and selected economies and regions. China manufacturing statistics don’t follow regular international standards and sometimes could be hard to understand the data. China does not systematically collect labor statistics like other countries and all of their information about manufacturing has been collected by a set of hypotheses and estimates by U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. Even though China data collection has many gaps, the International Community accepts the accumulated data as valid. Hourly compensation costs of manufacturing employees of China compared to U.S. manufacturing from 2002-2008. The data tables suggest that China manufacturing cost has risen on a constant steady pace. In 2008 China manufacturing cost was $0.57 and in 2008 it $1.36 (Manufacturing in China). Largely there is still a big gap compared to U.S. manufacturing and you can where China has gain many manufacturing jobs due to their relative low cost of manufacturing. Hourly compensation cost of manufacturing employees in selected economies and regions suggest that China has the lowest manufacturing cost out of U.S. , Japan, Europe,...
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...GREENER INDIA A report on promoting cycling in the country PEDALLING TOWARDS A Study supported by All India Cycle Manufacturers’ Association (AICMA) Pedalling Towards A A report on promoting cycling in the country GREENER INDIA All India Cycle Manufacturers’ Association (AICMA) Study supported by the The Energy and Resources Institute © The Energy and Resources Institute 2014 All rights reserved Published 2014 For more information Akshima T Ghate TERI Darbari Seth Block IHC Complex, Lodhi Road New Delhi – 110 003 India Tel. 24682100 or 24682111 E-mail akshima@teri.res.in Fax 2468 2144 or 24682145 Web www.teriin.org India +91•Delhi (0)11 Contents Project Team ...................................................................................................................................................... v Acknowledgement ............................................................................................................................................vii Foreword ........................................................................................................................................................... ix Preface ............................................................................................................................................................... xi Executive Summary.............................................................................................................................
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...A Short Report On EFFICIENCY ENHANCERS SUB INDEX (Comparison between INDIA and CHINA ) Submitted by P.Anila INTRODUCTION The Global Competitiveness Index (GCI) every year report will published by the World Economic Forum. The first report was released in 1979. The 2009-2010 report covers 133 major and emerging economies, down from 134 considered in the 2008-2009 report as Moldova was excluded due to lack of survey data. Switzerland leads the ranking as the most competitive economy in the world, as the United States, which ranked first for several years, fell to fourth place due to the consequences of the financial crisis of 2007–2010 and its macroeconomic instability. China continues its relative rise in the rankings reaching 27th. The report "assesses the ability of countries to provide high levels of prosperity to their citizens. This in turn depends on how productively a country uses available resources. Therefore, the Global Competitiveness Index measures the set of institutions, policies, and factors that set the sustainable current and medium-term levels of economic prosperity. The WEF defines competitiveness as the set of institutions, policies, and factors that determine the level of productivity of a country. More competitive economies tend to be able to produce higher level of income for their citizens. Global Competitiveness shows the ability of a country...
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...INTRODUCTION Definition of Cellular/Mobile phone The Cellular telephone (commonly "mobile phone" or "cell phone" or "handphone") is a long-range, portable electronic device used for mobile communication. In addition to the standard voice function of a telephone, current mobile phones can support many additional services such as SMS for text messaging, email, packet switching for access to the Internet, and MMS for sending and receiving photos and video. Most current mobile phones connect to a cellular network of base stations (cell sites), which is in turn interconnected to the public switched telephone network (PSTN) (the exception is satellite phones. Cellular telephone is also defined as a type of short-wave analog or digital telecommunication in which a subscriber has a wireless connection from a mobile telephone to a relatively nearby transmitter. The transmitter's span of coverage is called a cell. Generally, cellular telephone service is available in urban areas and along major highways. As the cellular telephone user moves from one cell or area of coverage to another, the telephone is effectively passed on to the local cell transmitter. A cellular telephone is not to be confused with a cordless telephone (which is simply a phone with a very short wireless connection to a local phone outlet). A newer service similar to cellular is personal communications services (PCS). The Global Cellular Mobile Industry: The global mobile phone industry is based on many different...
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...Research Brief N AT I O N A L D E F E N S E R E S E A R C H I N S T I T U TE China and India The Asian Giants Are Heading Down Different Demographic Paths RAND ReseARch AReAs ChiLDREN AND FAMiLiES EDUCAtiON AND thE ARtS ENERgy AND ENviRONMENt hEALth AND hEALth CARE iNFRAStRUCtURE AND tRANSPORtAtiON iNtERNAtiONAL AFFAiRS LAW AND BUSiNESS NAtiONAL SECURity POPULAtiON AND AgiNg PUBLiC SAFEty SCiENCE AND tEChNOLOgy tERRORiSM AND hOMELAND SECURity C hina and India, the world’s most populous nations, have much in common: Each has more than 1 billion residents; each has sustained an annual gross domestic product (GDP) growth rate over the past decade that is among the world’s highest—9 percent for China and 7 percent for India; and each has been among the world’s most successful in weathering the storm of the recent global recession. Yet a closer look reveals stark demographic contrasts between the two nations that will become more pronounced in the coming decades. These differences hold implications for China’s and India’s relative economic prospects and point to sharply different challenges ahead for each nation to sustain and build on recent economic growth. Abstract Demographic contrasts between china and India will become more pronounced in the coming decades, and these differences hold implications for the countries’ relative economic prospects. china’s population is larger than India’s, but India’s population is expected to surpass china’s by 2025. chi...
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...Research Brief N AT I O N A L D E F E N S E R E S E A R C H I N S T I T U TE China and India The Asian Giants Are Heading Down Different Demographic Paths RAND ReseARch AReAs ChiLDREN AND FAMiLiES EDUCAtiON AND thE ARtS ENERgy AND ENviRONMENt hEALth AND hEALth CARE iNFRAStRUCtURE AND tRANSPORtAtiON iNtERNAtiONAL AFFAiRS LAW AND BUSiNESS NAtiONAL SECURity POPULAtiON AND AgiNg PUBLiC SAFEty SCiENCE AND tEChNOLOgy tERRORiSM AND hOMELAND SECURity C hina and India, the world’s most populous nations, have much in common: Each has more than 1 billion residents; each has sustained an annual gross domestic product (GDP) growth rate over the past decade that is among the world’s highest—9 percent for China and 7 percent for India; and each has been among the world’s most successful in weathering the storm of the recent global recession. Yet a closer look reveals stark demographic contrasts between the two nations that will become more pronounced in the coming decades. These differences hold implications for China’s and India’s relative economic prospects and point to sharply different challenges ahead for each nation to sustain and build on recent economic growth. Abstract Demographic contrasts between china and India will become more pronounced in the coming decades, and these differences hold implications for the countries’ relative economic prospects. china’s population is larger than India’s, but India’s population is expected to surpass china’s by 2025. chi...
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...products into India. Providing trade data, give examples of industries that benefit and those that are affected by Chinese imports. How can the Indian industries that are threatened by cheap Chinese imports deal with the threat? Introduction It is never less than a challenge to attempt to understand the cultural factors which influence a nation’s conduct in the international arena. When that nation is China and the subject of introspection is its relations with India, such an endeavour can at best be fraught with far too many variables. The two have had the longest uninterrupted existence as nations. Their combined size and population makes them the largest geographical and human resource mass on the planet. India and China have had cultural, religious and trade links going back centuries in history. They also came into being as nation states almost simultaneously in this century, They also share a past of colonial and imperialist subjugation from which freedom had to be won with a major struggle, Paradoxically enough, the two countries fought a war with each other over disputed frontiers. That conflict episode, the continuing border dispute between the two countries and China’s rapid growth in military power, not unsurprisingly create anxieties about the future relationship. China’s aggressive foreign policy postures also do not encourage a benign view of it. There are enough strategic thinkers in India who reckon China to be the major future threat to India. In my presentation...
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