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Coffee Vietnam Annual Report

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THIS REPORT CONTAINS ASSESSMENTS OF COMMODITY AND TRADE ISSUES MADE BY USDA STAFF AND NOT NECESSARILY STATEMENTS OF OFFICIAL U.S. GOVERNMENT POLICY

Required Report - public distribution

Date: 5/21/2013 GAIN Report Number: VM3026

Vietnam Coffee Annual 2013
Approved By: Michael Ward Prepared By: Huong Nguyen Report Highlights: Post revises its coffee production estimate in marketing year (MY) 2012/13 up to about 25 million 60 kg-bags (bags), or 1.49 million metric tons (MMT) of green coffee, about a 4 percent drop from MY2011/12 due to pre-seasonal rains during the coffee flower blossoming period in main coffee growing areas. Post also revises its total export estimate in MY 2012/13 up to 23.8 million bags, or 1.42 MMT green coffee bean equivalent (GBE), due to the pace of green bean exports MY-to-date. Post’s initial coffee production forecast for MY2013/14 is 22.9 million bags, or 1.37 MMT of green coffee, about an 8 percent drop from the previous MY due to drought in the central highlands early in the growing season. Post’s initial total export estimate for MY2013/14 is 21.3 million bags, or 1.28 MMT GBE, as drought impacted production will lead to reduced exportable supplies in MY2013/14.

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Executive Summary: Vietnam’s coffee growing areas continue to expand despite of GOV’s goal to maintain area at 500,000 ha. Coffee prices remain high and provide a strong incentive for farmers to plant additional area. According to the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Development (MARD) and statistics from Provincial Departments of Agriculture and Rural Development, coffee area increased by 8 percent to 616,000 ha in 2012 from 571,000 ha in 2011. Actual coffee area likely exceeds GOV official estimates. Post revises its estimates coffee production for MY2012/13 to about 25 million bags, or 1.49 MMT of green coffee, about a 4 percent drop from the previous MY due

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