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Economic Impact of Opening Border

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The Economic Impact of Opening the Armenian-Turkish Border
Mher Baghramyan
Armenian International Policy Research Group

Armenia
Norwegian Institute of International Affairs (NUPI) Regional CompetenceBuilding for Think-Tanks in the South Caucasus and Central Asia

2012[2009]

Mher Baghramyan Email: MherBaghramyan@gmail.com

The Economic Impact of Opening the Armenian-Turkish Border

Abstract: This research attempts to analyze and evaluate the possible economic impact of opening the Armenian-Turkish border. Results obtained by analyzing currently existing trade flows are combined with opinions and estimates gained during interviews with experts, businessmen, and government officials, as well as from mass-media and professional publications. Different sectors of the economy such as energy, tourism, transportation and agriculture are considered. Sectors of the Armenian economy that might have competitive advantage or disadvantage after the border is opened are also identified. Policy makers should pay special attention to those sectors that are expected to be most affected, while measures must also be developed to protect vulnerable sectors. In order to maximize the expected benefits of the border opening, the government should also facilitate improvements in the overall competitiveness of Armenian companies by investing in infrastructure in the border regions, such as railways, roads, warehouses and providing transparent, fair and effective public services, in particular customs and tax service, as well as favorable conditions for investment in those sectors of the economy holding competitive promise.

Keywords: Trade, Export, Import, Policy, Economic Relations

1

Introduction Armenia and Turkey are two neighboring countries located at the crossroads of Europe and Asia. Since 1993, and due to a number of historical and political reasons, 328 km

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