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Economic Outlook

In: Business and Management

Submitted By missiisliis
Words 103843
Pages 416
FIGURE 1.1 FIGURE 1.2 FIGURE 1.3 FIGURE B1.1.1 FIGURE 1.4 FIGURE 1.5 FIGURE 1.6 FIGURE 1.7 FIGURE B1.3.1 FIGURE B1.3.2 FIGURE 1.8 FIGURE 1.9 FIGURE 1.10 FIGURE 1.11 FIGURE 1.12 FIGURE 1.13 FIGURE B1.4.1 FIGURE B1.4.2 FIGURE B1.8.1 FIGURE B1.8.2 FIGURE 1.14 FIGURE 1.15 FIGURE 1.16 FIGURE 1.17 FIGURE 1.18 FIGURE 1.19 FIGURE 1.20 FIGURE 1.21 FIGURE 1.22 FIGURE 1.23 FIGURE 1.24 FIGURE 1.25 FIGURE B1.9.1

Despite some Q1 weakening, business sentiment in Europe and the US signals further expansion Economic activity is strengthening from very weak levels in Europe Inflation and unemployment trends are on divergent paths across major economies Net capital flows and net financial exposures (width of arrows proportional to amounts in billions of U.S. dollars) Developing country activity is strengthening but at a modest pace Manufacturing surveys are pointing to continued expansion in East Asia and South Asia Output gaps remain small in most developing regions Capital flows have recovered strongly after a steep fall in February Currency depreciations were more modest during the winter turmoil among countries that reduced external imbalances Distribution of changes in developing country bilateral exchange rates with the US$ Most developing country equity markets have fully recouped losses since mid-2013 Borrowing costs have fallen since the start of the year for developing countries Metal prices have extended their falls while food prices have turned up Commodity exporters have suffered significant terms of trade losses over the past year If 2014 is an El Niño year, global grain yields could suffer, pushing up prices The contribution of high income countries to global trade volumes will more than double China is a major export destination for many developing countries Growth in East Asia has remained robust despite a slowing in China, its main trading partner Default...

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