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Energy Sector in Turkey

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The Energy Sector:
A Quick Tour for the
Investor

November 2013
Investment Support and
Promotion Agency of Turkey

©2013 Deloitte Türkiye. Member of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu Limited

Disclaimer
Republic of Turkey Prime Ministry Investment Support and Promotion Agency (ISPAT) submits the information provided by third parties in good faith. ISPAT has no obligation to check and examine this information and takes no responsibility for any misstatement or false declaration. ISPAT does not guarantee the accuracy, currency, reliability, correctness or legality of any information provided by third parties. ISPAT accepts no responsibility for the content of any information, news or article in the document and cannot be considered as approving any opinion declared by third parties. ISPAT explicitly states that; it is not liable for any loss, negligence, tort or other damages caused by actions and agreements based on the information provided by third parties.
Deloitte accepts no liability to any party who is shown or gains access to this document. The opinions expressed in this report are based on Deloitte Consulting’s judgment and analysis of key factors. However, the actual operation and results of the analyzed sector may differ from those projected herein. Deloitte does not warrant that actual results will be the same as the projected results. Neither Deloitte nor any individuals signing or associated with this report shall be required by reason of this report to give further consultation, to provide testimony or appear in court or other legal proceedings, unless specific arrangements thereof have been made. All opinions and estimates included in this report constitute our judgment as of this date and are subject to change without notice and may become outdated.

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Table of Contents
A. Executive Summary
B. General Overview of the Energy Sector
i. Overview of the Global Energy Sector ii. Investment Enablers of the Turkish Energy Market iii. Market Information
C. A Closer Look at the Sub-sectors
i. Electricity ii. Petroleum iii. Natural Gas & LNG

iv. Coal
D. Opportunities and Investment Areas

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Glossary of Terms
Acronym

Definition

Acronym

Definition

BCM

Billion Cubic Meters

EPİAŞ

Independent Energy Exchange
(to be established)

BO

Build Operate

EU

European Union

BOT

Build Operate Transfer

EÜAŞ

State-Owned Generation Company

BOTAŞ

State-Owned
Natural Gas and Petroleum Pipeline Corporation

FDI

Foreign Direct Investment

BRIC

Brazil, Russia, India, China

GDP

Gross Domestic Product

BSR

Balancing and Settlement Regulation

GW

Gigawatt

CAGR

Compound Annual Growth Rate

GWh

Gigawatt Hours

CCGT

Combined Cycle Gas Turbine

HEPP

Hydroelectric Power Plant

DisCo

Distribution Company

IEA

International Energy Association

EIU

Economist Intelligence Unit

IPP

Independent Power Producer

EML

Electricity Market Law

LNG

Liquified Natural Gas

EMRA
(EPDK)

Energy Market Regulatory Authority

LPG

Liquified Petroleum Gas

ENTSO-E

European Network of Transmission System
Operators for Electricity

M&A

Mergers and Acquisitions

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Glossary of Terms
Acronym

Definition

Acronym

Definition

MENR

Ministry of Energy and Natural Resources

TEDAŞ

State-Owned Distribution Company

MFSC

Market Financial Settlement Center

TEİAŞ

State-Owned Transmission Company

MTA

General Directorate of Mineral Research and Exploration

TETAŞ

State-Owned Wholesale Company

MVA

Megavolt Ampere

TKİ

Turkish Coal Enterprises

NG

Natural Gas

TOE

Tons Oil Equivalent

NGML

National Gas Machinery Laboratory

TOR

Transfer of Operating Rights

NGO

Non-Governmental Organization

TPAO

Turkish Petroleum Corporation

OECD

Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development

TTK

Turkish Hard Coal Authority

OSB

Organized Industrial Zones

TÜBİTAK

Scientific and Technological
Research Council of Turkey

PMUM

State-Owned Market Operator within TEİAŞ

TÜİK

Turkish Statistical Institute

R&D

Research and Development

US$

United States Dollar

REL

Renewable Energy Law

USDC

Unit Service and Depreciation Charge

TCE

Ton Coal Equivalent

VAT

Value Added Tax

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Executive Summary

• This report provides insights into the Turkish energy sector and aims to provide prospective investors with a view of the sector with high-level analyses of sub-sectors. • Turkey is the 17th largest economy in the world and the 6th largest in Europe with a GDP of approx. USD
786 billion in 2012. With an economic boom of 9.3% and 8.8% in 2010 and 2011 and a slow down to
2.2% in 2012, Turkey is expected to grow by 3.5% in 2013, 4.9% in 2014, 5.1% in 2015, 5.0% in 2016 and 4.9% in 2017.
• As a fast-growing country, energy consumption in
Turkey is on the rise. The Turkish electricity market is one of the fastest growing in the world, with approx. 9% annual growth on average, in 2010 and
2011. Natural gas demand is expected to increase with a CAGR of 2.9% until 2020 according to the
Ministry of Energy and Resources. This growing demand calls for new investments.
• With the on-going liberalization process, the Turkish energy sector is becoming more vibrant and competitive, attracting the attention of more investors for each component of the value chain in all the energy sub-sectors.

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• The investment climate of Turkey has increasingly become more welcoming to international investors, making the country among the most important investment destinations in the world. The energy sector alone has made 32% of the deal volume through privatizations and private sector transactions in 2012.
• Several incentives are available for both CAPEX and
OPEX. Moreover, a significant amount of funds are available for possible projects. Major Turkish financial institutions see the value within the energy sector and are eager to invest in profitable new projects. • The number of skilled labor is increasing as energyspecific vocational schools and university departments (both undergraduate and graduate) are being established in Turkey. The private sector’s involvement in the Turkish energy field started about a decade ago, and those in this market are all seasoned professionals with noteworthy experience.
• Investment opportunities exist in almost all components of the value chain for electricity, natural gas, oil and coal.

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B. General Overview
i. Overview of the Global Energy Sector ii. Investment Enablers of the Turkish Energy
Market
iii. Market Information

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The demand for energy is constantly growing, keeping secure supplies at the forefront of our global agenda.
Global Energy Demand (2011-2030)

mTEP

12,000

• Growing demand - driven by population and industrial growth - in emerging markets calls for an increase in the supply capacity as well as diversity in the energy generation mix.
Diversification of primary energy supplies reduces dependency on a single source and contributes to supply security.

CAGR:
1.64%

10,000
8,000

• Developing countries, including Turkey are expected to constitute 93% of the growth in demand. 6,000

• Global energy consumption will continue to increase, with primary energy consumption having reached 12.4 million tons oil equivalent for an increase of 1.8% in 2012.

4,000
2,000
0
2011
Non-OECD

2015

2020

2025

2030

Source: BP Energy Outlook 2013

OECD

• Population and GDP growth are the two main factors affecting energy demand. The demand on global energy dramatically increased 48% between 1990 and 2010. It is expected that global primary energy demand will increase at a CAGR of 1.64% until
2030, which will keep supply security on the agenda.
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• Global oil consumption was 4.1 million tons in
2012 with an increase of 0.9% with respect to the previous year.

• World nuclear generation decreased in 2012: The change in 2012 compared with 2011 was -6.9%.
The Fukushima nuclear accident triggered the decrease in nuclear energy generation. This situation also paved the way for renewables and natural gas.
• According to IEA, shale gas caused a decline in gas prices, increasing the demand on natural gas and
LNG.

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Turkey’s booming economy keeps energy – and the demand for energy - at the top of our agenda.
• The Turkish electricity market is one of the fastest growing in the world, with an average of approx. 9% annual growth in 2010 and 2011.

• Over the past decade, demand in the Turkish electricity market has been growing in line with its economic developments, driven by industrialization and urbanization. This situation together with population growth expectations shows great potential for further growth.

• Similar to the electricity market, natural gas consumption in Turkey is growing as well. Natural gas consumption in Turkey reached approx. 46 bcm in 2012 demonstrating an increase of 4.7% compared to the previous year. Natural gas demand is expected to grow by 2.9% annually until 2020 according to the Ministry of Energy and Resources.

• Primary energy consumption between 2007 and
2012 increased at a CAGR of 2%. According to the
Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU), energy demand in
Turkey will increase at an annual rate of 4.5% until
2015 in alignment with the growth expected within the GDP.
140.0
120.0
100.0
80.0
60.0
40.0
20.0
-

• Distribution sales of gasoline, diesel oil and fuel oil products increased by 3.8%, which corresponds to
18.2 million tons in 2012. Crude oil imports increased by 7% and reached 19.5 million tons in
2012.

1,500

500
0
2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

Billions

1,000

• Turkey is still lagging behind the per capita energy consumption indicator in comparison with the OECD average, which shows that there is still more room for further growth, in alignment with increasing per capita GDP. As of 2012, Turkey is below the OECD average of 62.8 BTU per capita compared to 182 million BTU per capita OECD average.

Primary Energy Consumption (Million TOE)
Population (Million)
GDP (Current Prices - Million TL)
Source: TUİK, EPDK
Note: 1998 current prices were used for GDP data.

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Turkey is at the crossroads of consumption and production: a natural bridge.
• Even though Turkey is limited in primary energy resources and is dependent on imported energy, it acts as a bridge between the world’s crucial supply and demand regions.

Gas Production

RUS

• Having a position central to the regions of
Europe,
the Balkans, the Aegean, the
Black Sea, the Caucasus-Caspian Basin and Central Asia, Turkey is a natural transit country for maritime and pipeline transportation of gas and oil.

Petroleum Production

Source: BP Statistical Review 2013

• Turkey’s position is critical for the export and import of petroleum as it straddles the demand-rich west to supply-rich east.

Source: BP Statistical Review 2013

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Turkey’s journey to liberalization: from an entirely stateowned energy sector to an entirely competitive one.
Liberalization & Privatization




The energy sector in Turkey is exclusively marked by its journey toward liberalization, with the electricity sector holding a leading role. The liberalization of the Turkish electricity market is a rather long and ambitious story, starting in late 1980s and progressing rapidly in the last decade. The transition to a free market has been an obvious necessity with decision-makers well aware of this necessity: it became evident that the everincreasing demand for electricity could not be met solely by public resources and the additional resources needed to meet this demand required extensive investments.
The liberalization process constantly increases the competitiveness of the market, while privatizations offer a variety of investment opportunities which also serve the purpose of increasing competitivity.
Turkish Electricity Market Reform Milestones

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Turkey is a sought-after FDI destination and is expected to further attract FDI inflow in the upcoming years.
FDI Inflows to Turkey
USD Million - Current Prices - Year-on-Year Exchange

• The majority of FDI inflows to Turkey come from EU member countries, followed by North America and
Asia.

25,000

20,000

• Turkey had a peak in FDI inflows in 2007 and faced a decrease in inward FDIs in 2008 and 2009 due to the economic crisis. With promising macro-economic figures and underdeveloped potential, forecasts show FDI will steadily increase in upcoming years.

15,000
10,000

• More than USD 2.3 billion of electricity generation investments were realized between 2004 and 2012.
The countries that invested the most were the USA,
Canada, Japan and various European countries.

5,000

2012

2011

2010

2009

2008

2007

2006

2005

2004

2003

0

Source: Euromonitor A: Actual

• Turkey has become an attractive destination for
FDI. From the weak FDI inflows in 2002, Turkey has experienced a significant increase in recent years, reaching USD 22 billion in 2007.
• Compared with FDI inflows of 2002, the significant addition of USD 11 billion was incurred in 2012.

Total FDI Inflows for the Electricity and Gas
Sector
USD Million
5000
4000
3000
2000
1000
0
2008

Source: YASED

Investment Support and
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2009

2010

2011

2012

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The energy sector made up 32% of deal volume through privatizations and private sector transactions.
Energy Sector Deals 2012 , Foreign

Deal Value in 2012 (Disclosed: USD Million)
Energy

Acquirer

Infrastructure

Origin

Target

Stake
(%)

Goldman
Sachs

USA

Aksa Enerji

13.3

Aquila
Capital

Germany

Karasular
Enerji

40 (*)

Tiway Oil

Norway

Petrol Ofisi
Exploration

100

E.ON

Germany

Enerjisa

50

Inter RAO

Russia

AEI Enerji
Holding

100

Oteko
Group

Russia

BP Turkey:
LPG Bottle &
Tank Filling;
Wholesale and
Autogas
Businesses

100

Samsung

Korea

ACWA Elektrik

N/D

BR Energy

UK

Hayat Enerji

25

SOCAR

6,820

Azerbaijan

Petkim

100

6,674

Financial Services

4,302

Food & Beverage

1,907

Pharmaceuticals

669

Manufacturing

436

Mining

286

Retail

171

Petrochemicals

169

Services

142

Construction

136

Healthcare

100

E-Commerce

66

Other
Source: Deloitte
Analysis

258

0

1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 7000 8000

• Energy along with infrastructure and financial services received the highest sectoral share, with an approx.
74% share in total M&A volume (including estimates for undisclosed values). In terms of number of deals, manufacturing and energy took the lead with 38 and
36 deals, respectively.
Investment Support and
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Source: Deloitte Analysis
(*) Updated as 100 recently

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Turkey’s fast-growing economy is expected to attract more investment in the future.
Macro Outlook

Declining Inflation (%)
11
10
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2

• Turkey is the 17th largest economy in the world and the 6th largest economy in Europe with a GDP of approx. USD 786 billion in 2012.

• Inflation is expected to decline gradually and level out at 4.7% by 2017 from 8.9% in 2012. Turkey’s investment climate has been increasingly more welcoming to international investors, which makes the country among the most important investment destinations in the world. With booming economic growth rates of 9.3% and 8.8% in 2010 and 2011 coupled with a slowdown of 2.2% in 2012, Turkey’s expected growth is expected to grow 3.5% in 2013,
4.9% in 2014, 5.1% in 2015, 5.0% in 2016 and
4.9% in 2017, as predicted by the EIU.

Source: Euromonitor A: Actual F: Forecast

• The investment grade rating of BBB from Fitch
Rating
Outlook
Rating
Ratings was announced in November 2012 and BB+
(Local
(Local
(Foreign
from Standard & Poor’s in March 2013, which signal
Currency) Currency) Currency) further upgrades and is expected to boost the inflow of institutional funding. Moody's raised the Turkish Standard
BBB
Stable
BB+
government bond ratings to Baa3 and revised its & Poor’s outlook to stable from positive in May 2013. The
BBB
Stable
BBBJapan Credit Rating Agency upgraded Turkey’s Fitch ratings from BB to BBB- in May 2013.
Moody’s
Baa3
Stable
Ba1

JCR

BBB-

Stable

BBB-

Outlook
(Foreign
Currency)

Stable
Stable
Positive
Stable

Source: Deloitte Analysis

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New investments are needed to meet the demand, especially for electricity and for natural gas.
Natural Gas

Electricity

• EÜAŞ privatizations of more than 16 GW as well as nuclear power plant investments all require CAPEX and present opportunities for international players.

• According to MENR estimates, demand for natural gas will grow an average of 1 bcm annually until
2017. From 2018 to 2020, this demand for growth will reach 2 bcm/year, which means a CAGR of 2.9% from 2012 to 2020. Import is the most critical component in the value chain as Turkey’s natural gas production is very limited. There are ample opportunities for investment in the import market.

Turkish
Gross
Domestic
Electricity
Consumption Forecast (TWh) 2012-2020

Turkish Natural Gas Demand Forecast from
2012-2020

• Installed capacity was 57,058 MW as of 2012. The aim is to have 100 GW of installed capacity by 2023.

Billion cubic meters 500

60

CAGR:
7.46 %

450
400

CAGR:
2.9%

50

350

40

300
250

30

200
20

150
100

10

50
0

0
2012

2013

2014

2015

Source: EIU

Investment Support and
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2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Source: Ministry of Energy and Resources

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The last few years were marked by the entry of major international players in the Turkish energy sector.
The energy sector in Turkey has become one of the most important sectors in regards to foreign direct investment.
Noteworthy investments in the sector include:
• Austrian OMV Company which acquired shares from
Petrol Ofisi and became one of the leading players in downstream. • US-based AES partnered with Koç Entek. (2010)

• EDF entered a joint venture with Polat, a leading windenergy company. (2008)
• German RWE invested in a greenfield CCGT. (2009)
• Swedish Statkraft invested in hydropower. (2009)

• New joint ventures in generation and distribution companies include:
• E.ON – Enerjisa (2013)

• Goldman Sachs – Aksa Enerji (2012)
• Inter RAO – AEI (2012)
• EÜAŞ – TAQA (2013)

• Akkuyu NGS and its Russian partner are now important investors in the field with over USD 700 million in investments. (2012)
• A French-Japanese consortium is planning to build a second nuclear plant in Sinop. (2013)

• Azeri SOCAR invested in a new refinery with Turcas.
(2011)
• Chinese energy giant Harbin entered into a joint venture with the Hattat Group of Turkey to operate a coal mine and a coal-fired power plant. (2012)
• GDF Suez invested in natural gas distribution and is operating a CCGT.

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The availability of skilled labor increases the overall attractiveness of the Turkish energy sector
Energy-Specific Departments in 2012

Skilled Labor
• Expertise in the energy sector increasing with the continuous liberalization of the energy sector.

is dramatically expansion and

• According to the Engineering News Record, Turkish contractors are second to Chinese contractors on a global scale, and have been gaining credibility by adopting western construction standards and project management expertise.
• The number of skilled labor is increasing as energyspecific vocational schools and university departments
(both undergraduate and graduate) are established in Turkey. The private sector’s involvement in the
Turkish energy sector started about a decade ago, and the players in the field have gained noteworthy experience. • There are more than a dozen companies and NGOs
(EÜD, ETD, etc.) that provide energy-specific training along with graduate and certification programs. Most importantly, these programs are highly popular with students and professionals.

1,303

University

930

Vocational School

2,233

Total
0

Source: ÖSYM

500

1000 1500 2000 2500

Cost of Labor
• Turkey’s young and educated population has relatively lower wage rates than those of the EU or the US. The average monthly gross wage in this sector was TL 2,510 in 2010 according to Turkstat.
Minimum Monthly Wage (EUR)
France
UK
Spain
Greece

Portugal
Turkey
Source: Eurostat
Investment Support and
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0

500

1000

1500

2000

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A positive environment for funding means there are considerable funds available for possible projects.
Financing Capital
Loans Provided to the Energy Sector (Billion TL)
20.00

18.31

15.00

13.24

11.46
8.79

10.00
6.04
5.00
0.00
2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

Source: The Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey

• Among the major Turkish banks, Yapı Kredi provided a USD 4 billion fund for 138 different energy projects as of 2012. Garanti
Bank provided USD 800 million funding for
15 new projects during 2012 which meant a total of USD 6.2 billion allocated to the energy sector.
• International players always have a certain advantage in project finance because of international know-how in commercial due diligence and financing activities.

CBRT O/N Interest Rates
CBRT O/N Interest Rates Lending Rate
CBRT O/N Interest Rates Borrowing Rate

• Interest rates have been experiencing a decrease since credit rating agencies increased Turkey’s ratings. The Central
Bank’s interest rates mirror this decreasing trend in recent years. Investors are able to receive credit directly from local banks with an Eximbank guarantee or from overseas banks. 25
20
15
10
5
0

• Major financial institutions are very eager to finance profitable projects. Turkey’s well regulated and strong banking sector with high capitalization and toxic asset absence has helped the country stay out of the global economic downturn.

2006(A)

2007(A)

2008(A)

2009(A)

2010(A)

2011(A)

2012(A)

Source: The Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey

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Several incentives are available for both CAPEX and
OPEX: Turkish Republic Investment Incentives Program
Incentive Regions
Support Measures

Source: Ministry of Economy

Supported Measures by Type of Invesment

• All investment types, except ones that are excluded from investment incentives program, will be supported by the General Investment Incentives
Program if the minimum fixed investment is 1 million TL in Region 1 and 2 and 500 thousand TL in
Regions 3, 4, 5 and 6.

Vat Exception
Customs Duty Exemption
Tax Deduction
Land Allocation
Interest Support
Vat Refund
Employer's Social Security
Premium Support

General
Regional Large Scale Strategic
Investment Investment Investment Investment







 x 

 x 

 x  x  x x x  x 





Only For Region 6
Income Tax Withholding
Support
Supports for National
Insurance Contribution of
Employer
Region









x







1

2

3

4

5

6

Regional Incentive Applications
Tax Reduction

• Mining investments are defined as priority
15%
20%
25%
30%
40%
investments which will benefit from terms and rates Investment Contribution of the support Region 5 even they are made in Rate
Regions 1, 2, 3, and 4.
Incentive for Large Scale Investments
• Petroleum Refinery investments are defined as large scale investments and will benefit from the incentive program if the minimum amount of investment is one billion TL. According to addendum
4, clause II of the Incentive Law; natural gas or oil filling, and storage facilities and pipeline transportation investments will be supported. The
Incentive will only cover the fixed facility expenses.
Investment Support and
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50%

Tax Reduction
Investment Contribution
Rate
Supports for National
Insurance Contribution of Employer

25%

30%

35%

40%

50%

60%

2 Year

3 Year

5 Year

6 Year

7 Year

10 Year

Source: Ministry of Economy

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Investors benefit from available incentives.
Number of Incentive Documents (Indicative of Number of Incentive Applications)

Amount of Incentives Provided (Billion TL)
20
16

250
200
150
100
50
0

212
137

162

197

15

11

10

112

13
10

9

2009

2010

5
2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

0
2008

2011

2012

Source: Ministry of Economy
Source: Ministry of Economy

Further advantages can be achieved in Free Zones & Organized
Industrial Zones




Free Zones offer a variety of advantages for equipment manufacturing firms: sale revenues from manufactured products are exempt from income or corporate tax until Turkey becomes a
European Union member state.
Revenues
generated in free zones can be transferred overseas. Incentives and advantages offered in free zones are equally applicable to both local and international firms.
As of 2012, there are 174 OSBs in Turkey. The completed infrastructure and create financial and technological advantages for enterprises.

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• The regulatory framework that allows OSB’s to have their own generation licenses (which are responsible for a significant portion of costs) create an advantage for OSBs.
• Additionally, easy access to industrial consumers as possible busbar clients would present opportunities for selling steam for thermal power plants and is another advantage of these organized industrial zones.

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A well-built regulatory structure: a quick look at the regulatory environment and relevant public institutions.
• The regulatory structure of the Turkish energy market is as follows: Law sets the general principles. The Council of Ministers and/or High Planning Council makes decisions in line with the spirit of the law, such as Strategy Papers, secondary regulations (both regulations and communiqués) which set the detailed rules.
Lastly, the EMRA Board Decisions define operational details as often as needed regarding the changing market conditions.
All regulations are easily accessible on the
EMRA website. The main laws are as follows: Electricity Market Law (EML)
1
No: 6446

2

Renewable
5346

6

Nuclear Power Plant Law No: 5654

7







Regulating and monitoring the energy markets
Issuing licenses
Drafting, amending, enforcing and auditing performance standards; distribution and customer services codes Setting out the pricing principles indicated in the law
Ensuring the development and implementation of an infrastructure

Ministry of Energy and Resources
General energy policy making



TEİAŞ – TSO and Market Operator


Conducting transmission activities as a state monopoly.



Operating Balancing Power
Market and Ancillary Services with its market operation license



Operating Day-Ahead Market until the establishment of EPİAŞ

EÜAŞ – State-Owned Generation
Company
Operating the generation facilities which have not been transferred to private sector



TETAŞ – State-Owned Wholesale
Company
Carrying out sale and purchase agreements within the scope of its contracts



EÜAŞ has several affiliates which operate specific thermal power plants in the privatization potfolio



Engaging organized wholesale markets for sale and purchase agreements and conducting bilateral agreements

TEDAŞ

LPG Market Law No: 5307

5




Petroleum Market Law No: 5015

4



Natural Gas Market Law No: 4646

3

EPDK – Regulatory Body



Selling electricity to incumbent supply companies for regulated tariff consumers

Geothermal Law No: 5686



Energy

Investment Support and
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Law



(REL)

Operator of state-owned DisCos,
Owner of DisCo assets
Expropriation activities for distribution No:

TKİ – State Coal Enterprise



Producing and usage of raw materials of energy such as lignite, asphaltite, oil shale, peat, etc.

BOTAŞ – NG Trans & Trading


Carrying out natural gas import, transmission, distribution, storage, marketing, import and export ©2013 Deloitte Türkiye. Member of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu Limited

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Several reasons drive investment in the Turkish energy sector. The most important are:

A growing economy that drives energy consumption and thus, demand Strong political focus on liberalization and for establishing a competitive and transparent market

Competitive incentive packages

Strong political focus on promoting investments

Transparent market rules and structure with well functioning government agencies

Availability of skilled human resources at costcompetitive rates

Availability of various trading opportunities (especially for electricity) Location as a natural bridge between consuming west and generating east Availability of interconnections with neighboring countries High potential to tap all the components of the value chain, in all segments

• Due to its geographical position and its central location to the regions of Europe, the Balkans, the Aegean, the
Black Sea, the Caucaus-Khazar Basin, Central Asia, the East Mediterranean Sea and the Middle East, Turkey is a transit country in the field of energy. Turkey’s position of being an energy corridor for transporting energy resources from the Middle East and Khazar regions to Europe is critical to the emergence of new opportunities.
Even though Turkey has limited generation in primary energy resources and is dependent on foreign countries for energy, it acts as a bridge between the world’s crucial supply and demand regions. Turkey’s international effectiveness in this framework continues to flourish. Further, this strategic position is also critical for export and import of electricity. With the ENTSO-E connection, Turkey enabled energy transmission integration with Europe.
• Progress in the liberalization process allowed Turkey to be a part of European markets where political integration exists. After Norway, Russia, and Algeria, Turkey aims to become the fourth artery in energy imports. Successful implementation of energy-related action plans will enable Turkey to achieve a strategic position in the EU.
Investment Support and
Promotion Agency of Turkey

©2013 Deloitte Türkiye. Member of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu Limited

21

C. Sub-Sectors
i. Electricity ii. Petroleum

iii. Natural Gas & LNG iv. Coal

Investment Support and
Promotion Agency of Turkey

Electricity demand is ever increasing.

Growth in Electricity Demand in Turkey


In 2012, approx. 242 TWh of electricity was supplied to the domestic market, corresponding to approx. 5.1% annual growth from the 2011 figure of 229 TWh in gross electricity consumption. The
CAGR for the ten-year period of 2002-2012 was
6.2% on average and for the years between
2002-2007 this ratio was 7.5 % while for the last five years (2007-2012) it was 7.5%.



This also demonstrates the increase in the demand growth rate. This growth depends on economic developments and even exceeds gross domestic product (GDP) growth rates as shown in the figure. Electricity demand has been growing impressively in line with economic developments, driven by industrialization and urbanization. This, together with population growth expectations, indicates a great potential for further electricity demand growth.



Demand per capita is also on the rise in recent years and in line with growth. Compared to the
EU figures there is still room for further increase, in alignment with the increase in per capita GDP.
For Turkey’s per capita household electricity consumption of 596 kWh, the EU average is 1,786 kWh per capita.

Historical Yearly Demand Growth

Investment Support and
Promotion Agency of Turkey

Source: TEİAŞ, TurkStat, Deloitte Analysis

©2013 Deloitte Türkiye. Member of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu Limited

23

A look at the value chain of the electricity sector: competitive and regulated activities
Generation

Transmission

Wholesale

Distribution

( ≥36kV)

2012 figures:
 239 TWh



Transmission
Losses (approx.
2.5%)

Installed capacity approx.
57 GW at the end of 2012
 EÜAŞ 44%
 BO/BOT/TOR
16%
 Private Sector
40%
 20% market share limitation
(on generation)
 EÜAŞ privatizations in the pipeline



State-owned monopoly  Market
Financial
Settlement
Center
(market operator) is a part of TEİAŞ
 National Load
Dispatch
Center
(system
operator) is a part of TEİAŞ



Investment Support and
Promotion Agency of Turkey

Competitive
Regulated

Retail

(

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