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Family Dollar Valuation

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Submitted By cam23651
Words 4317
Pages 18
Family Dollar Stock Analysis and Recommendation

Recommendation: HOLD

Relevant Stock Information

Ticker: FDO
Company Beta: * 0.32 * (calculated from 3-year weekly historical stock prices)
Closing Price as of April 12th 2012: $63.38
Dividend Yield: 1.30%
P/E Ratio: $20.12
Current Market Capital: 7.52 Billion

Summary of recommendation: Due to the current economic conditions and high possibility of economic change based on the current recession, Family Dollar’s public equity should mainly be considered from a short-term perspective. Applying this notion, we recommend that current FDO stockholders continue to hold their shares for the dividend yields and the potential increase in share value over the next few years. Investors seeking to purchase a dividend paying stock may also be interested in acquiring shares over the short-term horizon (1-2 years). However, those interested in safer longer-term investments may want to steer clear of FDO stock. The company’s capital expenditures and debt are increasing with the growth and development of new and current stores, and whether this expansion strategy will prove successful while the country’s economic conditions improve is highly dependent on the company’s ability to retain its customer base. In addition, while “quality” is subjective in nature, it is our opinion that consumers still attach a stigma to discount retailers and will likely choose to trade up to higher “quality” goods with improved economic conditions. Table of Contents
Company Overview and Growth Strategy 1
Porter’s Five Forces Competitive Analysis 1
Family Dollar Historical Stock performance 4
• Price comparison between other market competitors
• Comparative Ratio Analysis
Family Dollar Valuation 7
• Forecasted Income Statement and Assumptions
• Summary of Future Performance and Implications
Family Dollar CAPM

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