While climate impacts will vary on a regional scale, it is the tourism business that needs to take a look at today and tomorrow’s economic factors. While some of the benefits from climate change may accrue to individual farms or businesses, the cost of dealing with adverse climate impacts are typically borne by society as a whole. These costs to society will not be uniformly distributed but felt most among small businesses and Grand Traverse Bay. Here they will most likely to be affected by climate change such as, water, energy, transportation and public health systems. The costs of inaction are frequently neglected and typically not done. These costs include such expenses as rebuilding or preparing infrastructure to meet new realities and the ripple effect of these economic impacts on the state’s households, the agricultural, manufacturing, and commercial and public service sectors as well as tourism in Grand Traverse Bay (Douglas, 2001). Climate change will affect the water, energy, transportation, and public health systems, as well as state economies as well as climate change impact and a wide range of important economic sectors from agriculture to manufacturing to tourism.

It is all about location in any business. Especially in the tourism business, but what would happen if we did not for see the future. Looking at Traverse Bay it isn’t a positive future for tourism in the Michigan area in the next 10 to 20 years.
Looking at Grand Traverse Bay, I will be able to provide a report that will show the problems we face in Grand Traverse Bay’s future as well as in Michigan so I will look at the conclusions from the economic impacts of climate change at the state, local and sector level. The following have found to be very interesting facts when I discuss economic impacts:
• Economic impacts of climate change will occur throughout the country.
• Economic impacts will be unevenly distributed across regions and within the economy and society.
• Negative climate impacts will outweigh benefits for most sectors that provide essential goods and services to society.
• Climate change impacts will place immense strains on public sector budgets.
• Secondary effects of climate impacts can include higher prices, reduced income and job losses.
“These cost estimates may understate impacts on the economy and society to the extent that they simply cover what can be readily captured in monetary terms, and to the extent that they are calculated for the more likely future climate conditions rather than less likely but potentially very severe and abrupt changes., direct, indirect and induced costs on society and the economy provide a strong basis on which to justify actions to mitigate and adapt to climate change in Grand Traverse Bay”(Glick,2007). Projected increases in the climate will effect summer and winter temperatures in Michigan focusing on Grand Traverse Bay are expected to outweigh the predicted 20-40 percent rise in precipitation and result in an overall dryer climate. Dryer conditions will likely threaten the integrity and will disrupt ground water aquifer levels, recreational boating, and hydroelectric power production. The migration of plant and animal species northward will likely affect all aspects of the tourism industry in the state (Douglas, 2003). This is not only at Grand Traverse but all over.
Surrounded by four of the Great Lakes, temperature changes throughout the state are connected to the lake effects on temperature. For example, average January temperatures in Grand Traverse Bay are above 20°F. This is demonstrating the warming effect of the lake (Glick, 2007). The average temperature in the state has seen a clear trend upward throughout the last century. Another indicator of the rising temperatures in the state is the extent of ice cover in winter. For example, Grand Traverse Bay, located in the northern part of Michigan has experienced a decline in ice cover throughout the century. The number of years the Bay froze completely for every century since 1851 has declined significantly from an average of 8-10 years per decade back in the late 1800s, to only 3 frozen winter seasons between 1990 and 2000. This can really cause the climate to produce less frozen winters.
Moreover, water temperatures in the Lakes will likely become warmer, making the ecosystem unsuitable for cold-water fish species and changing the ecology of the region (Motsch, 2002). Reduction in surface ice on a lake can increase shore erosion and disrupt breeding patterns of fish species. The decreased ice cover can impact lake levels and have an adverse effect on water aquifers. Making Grand Traverse Bay is threatened area at least Lower water level along Grand Traverse Bay. The Great Lakes are integral to the tourism and fishing industries and are a source of water for many municipalities along their shores and industrial operations (Motsch, 2002). More frequent rainfall events are predicted to affect the agricultural sector, as well as increase incidence of flooding, which damages road and energy supply networks and causes damages to other built infrastructure.
With over 76 million tons of domestic and foreign cargo shipped through continue to question if Grand Traverse Bay was prepared for all the changes. If water levels continue to drop along the route, expensive dredging of channels will be A 154 billon dollar hit due to the falling water levels in the Great Lakes. This is under the Canadian Climate Center Model, which predicts a 1.5-3 feet drop in the lake levels by 2030. Dredging contracts in 2006 (Reinhold 2006). In a recent survey of Great Lakes operators conducted by the US Department of Transportation, the respondents unanimously agreed that insufficient dredging of ports was the most important infrastructure issue determining their future investment decisions (US Dept. of Transportation, 2005). It is clear that the significant expense of dredging may become an even more necessary part Grand Traverse Bay. This could cause an annual economic loss of almost $1.5 billion in foreign trade for the ports. This is going to lower the sector’s profitability and will damage job security. The impacts translate into higher shipping costs for manufacturers, threatening the profitability of the most important economics in the near future effecting Grand Traverse Bay.
The ripple effects will spread even further. Michigan would see an additional loss of $2.6 billion and 13,000 jobs in the state due to lost imports/exports. In fact, a study looking at economic impacts of severe weather events in the Mid-Atlantic region showed that a 1 percent increase in annual precipitation results in a 2.8 percent increase in annual flood and hurricane economic losses, as measured by historical insurance loss data (Douglas, 2001). As precipitation is projected to increase by up to 20 – 40 percent in Michigan and Grand Traverse Bay meaning an average loss from flooding events may top $700 million. Wow, this is something to be scared of and needs to be watched to preserve costs. I wonder where the money will come from.
In conclusion the following reasons are examples of why we are looking at Grand Traverse Bay as a bad future for tourism and investment. Due to several studies it is bad for the future because of many economic reasons and import and export. I have seen enough facts that conclude the area is going to cause loss of jobs and more importing in the near future. The fact that the temperature has been rising by a couple degrees can cause a huge change in the ecosystem and will cause a huge change of the aforementioned data shows. Money does not grow on trees. As far as tourism goes it is my prediction that tourists will decline 20 percent over the next 20 years. This report shows that even with all these studies Grand Traverse is a fine tourist attraction today but what about the future.

Works Cited
Douglas, Ronald L. "GRAND TRAVERSE." U.S. Department of Agriculture and Dept. of Labor., Spring 2001. Web. 12 Jan. 2012. .
Glick, David H. "TOURISM INDUSTRY ANALYSIS FOR GRAND TRAVERSE COUNTY September Prepared for." Docstoc – Documents, Templates, Forms, Ebooks, Papers & Presentations. Rand Traverse, 11 Oct. 2007. Web. 2 Jan. 2012. .
"Greater Michigan." U.S. Department of Transportation. Ed. Captin Jeffry H. Green. US Dept of Transportation 2005, 16 May 2005. Web. 12 Jan. 2012. .
Mortsch, Linda E. "Environment Northern America - Science and Technology - Environmental Science Technology and the Environment." Environnement Northern States. Science