...Was fundamental analysis redundant in the period during the Global Financial Crisis (GFC)? 3/21/2014 ABC Was fundamental analysis redundant in the period during the Global Financial Crisis (GFC)? Fundamental analysis is the process of evaluating the value of any security and certificate by analyzing the real time factors, which are based on qualitative and quantitative factors. Economic and the social factors also effect while you are finding out the intrinsic value of any security or asset. Fundamental analysis when made for evaluating the value of security all the factors that can affect the security considered like macroeconomic factors, microeconomic factors and the company based factors. Not only have the external factors about the internal factors also affected the value of any asset (Bedford, 2008). You need to consider in fundamental analysis: * Market analysis * Company analysis * Industry analysis For an investor the fundamental analysis is very important to invest in any asset or security. The investor when found the intrinsic value of security with its current value than this make easy for them to invest or not. Global financial crises are the period, which is experienced by the society, and the marketers, a situation of great difficulty in the world where nothing is stable in any state of the world. The economic situation in the global crises become worst and the purchase power of the customer reduces, and this is a difficult time for the...
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...Great Recession and the FED’s failure to predict it The Great Recession lasted from December 2007 until June 2009. It was unclear in mid-2008 that the economy was actually going to experience a severe recession, based on the information available at the time. The FMOC reacts to both current data and forecasts for what is to come in formulating its policy. In the following few pages, I’ll set out a narrative of what the FED discovered the economy was doing, and I’ll describe the policy actions it pursued to deal with the changes in the economy from June 2008 to December 2008. This was the midst of the Great Recession, though by looking at the statements from the FED, one wouldn’t tell. The statements from the Federal Open Market Committee in the months June, August and September show relatively ‘calm economic weather’ with a mildly negative outlook. It’s not until the unscheduled meeting of October 8 2008 that the committee mentions a financial crisis. In this narrative, you’ll find the statements from the first three months grouped together and the statements from the second three months grouped together. June – September 2008 The press releases in June, August and September of 2008 are largely similar in terms of the message they convey, and even use the same sentences in big parts of the statements. In the following tables you’ll find a summary of the description of the current economic activity, the future economic expectations and the policies pursued by the FED. In...
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...Changing Market Local, state, and national economic trends play a large part in the success and failure of businesses. When the economy experiences a downturn, consumers spend less and seek more for the money they do choose to spend; this puts companies in a unique situation. Many companies must choose between increasing prices and letting employees go in order to keep themselves in business. The United States recession of 2008 put employers in the same situation; in fact, this recession put employers in an even more difficult position. The recession saw a decrease in employment of over 6 percent—double that of all previous postwar recessions (Auguste, Lund, & Manyika, 2011). The retail sector lost 1 million jobs during the most recent economic recession. Since then the industry has added over 90,000 jobs, but this still results in job losses offsetting job gains due to this rough economic time (McCall, 2011). Wal-Mart, like any other retail business, feels the effects of recent economic trends. Unfortunately, Wal-Mart has had to resort to eliminating health insurance coverage for part-time employees and increasing premiums for other workers in an effort to cut costs (Wright, 2011). This strategy, though unfortunate, allowed the company to cut costs during the recession without eliminating positions or increasing prices. Wal-Mart also implemented strategies to increase profits even before the economic downturn. In 2005, the company implemented a plan...
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...The World Bank notes PREM AUGUST 2009 N U M B E R 141 ECONOMIC POLICY The Global Financial Crisis: Comparisons with the Great Depression and Scenarios for Recovery Milan Brahmbhatt (PRMVP) and Luiz Pereira Da Silva (DECVP) A recent paper by Eichengreen and O’Rourke on “A Tale of Two Depressions” (publicized by Martin Wolf in the Financial Times) has highlighted some close correspondences between economic performance during the present world recession and that during the early months of the Great Depression that began in late 1929.1 World industrial production from April 2008 to April 2009 fell as rapidly as during the first year of the Great Depression, while stock market prices and world trade volumes have fallen more rapidly than in the comparable period. These comparisons lead Eichengreen and O’Rourke to draw the alarming conclusion that “[I]t’s a Depression alright.” They note, however, that fiscal and monetary policies are likely to be much more supportive of economic activity in the next 1–2 years than they were during the first few years of the Great Depression. The first part of this note outlines some other important structural differences between the world economy today and in the 1930s that are likely to affect how the present recession plays out relative to the Great Depression. The second part of the note discusses possible recovery paths out of the current crisis. 1. Comparing the Great Depression with the Present Global Financial Crisis Larger role...
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...Business Analysis Final Shannon Roundtree MGT 521 Dr. Maxwell Aug 1st, 2011 This is the final business analysis for Ford Motor Company before making the decision to invest in the company. The first section discussed the SWOT analysis, which determined the strengths, weaknesses, opportunities, and threats of the company. The second section discussed the financial health of the company, which determined if Ford is a good company to invest in and how it recovered during the recession. Topics that will be discussed include: • How recent economic trends are influencing the business • Ford strategies for adapting to changing market environments • Tactics Ford has implemented or could implement to achieve their strategic goals • The role human resources management plays in helping the company achieve its business goals How Recent Economic Trends are Influencing Ford Motor Company The recession has been one of the most challenging hardships for the United States. Due to this hardship, people are skeptical to spend large amounts of money. These people do not see a recovery occurring as many others are still unemployed. Banks are currently lending to consumers who have high credit scores, and the penalties for late payments are skyrocketing. Unlike many other companies, Ford has been able to recover and excel among its competition. “The company continues to lobby for transportation and infrastructure funding and has taken an active role in advocacy for government...
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...market position within any specific period (Thomsett, 2007). Annual reports hold a great importance for organization, especially when the organization is owned by multiple owners or is a public limited firm (Thomsett, 2007). To develop the prospect of the company there is a need for a document like an annual report which gives year after year information about the company performance and growth tactics (Thomsett, 2007). There are different reasons of why enterprises give importance to annual reports. Some of the reasons include clean market analysis, comparative financial assessment and productivity analysis which is no other possible if there are no annual reports to compare. It has been that in markets where there is a major population of investors and share holders then enterprises come out regularly with the activity of reporting (Stittle, 2003). Enterprises know that by announcing their financial health (annual report) publically, they are able to connect to their shareholders, distributors and investors, which is very important for both growth and expansion of the business. Meanwhile, annual reports also assess market position as by expressing financial numbers the feedback of market (consumer, investor, shareholder and competitor) is testified and generated (Stittle, 2003). This study is going to access the importance of annual reports in terms of market analysis, productivity analysis and financial health assessment. The study will focus on Tesco, a giant retailer...
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...POLICY AND ANALYSIS Name Course Tutor Date President George W. Bush’s and President Obama’s economic policy The US economy had experienced a series of depression in the past years but it was worst hit by the major terrorist attack of the September 11, 2011 that not only shook the nation but also the world at large. The realities of the recession started hitting the nation officially in December 2007, signaled by the collapse of the housing market and subsequent losses on mortgage related financial assets which in turn resulted to great stress and significant turbulence in the financial markets. All this resulted to an overall fall in the broader economic activity. In an attempt to respond to the worsening economic conditions, the administration lowered the federal funds rate by half the percentage point and as the crisis intensified, Bush’s government instituted the federal tax cuts on all the tax payers (Palley, 2011). The recession came to an end in June 2009 but the resultant economic weakness continued to be experienced in the nation with significant high rates of unemployment levels. There were severe job losses, a fall in family incomes and a rise in poverty levels which impacted negatively on the social life of many Americans. The economic environment also suffered severe losses in terms of drastic fall in investments due to uncertainties in the economy’s future. The adverse effects and subsequent fall in the trading activities led to significant falls in the nation’s...
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...include collecting the required data, creating a graph or table to present this information, and two to three double-spaced pages of analysis of the data - GDP growth: recessions and cycles. GDP Growth: Recessions and Cycles Figure 1 - US Real GDP 1930 – 2014 with 2009 as the Base Year Source: (Shiller, 2015); (Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, 2015) Figure 1 above shows the real Gross Domestic product (GDP) of the United States for the years 1930 to 2014. Real GDP is essential and important as it shows the general soundness of the economy. Thus, when real GDP is high it means other macroeconomic factors such as employment and economic growth are positive and vice versa. This is because real GDP is substantially correlated to these macroeconomic factors. Therefore, the chart above shows that America’s GDP has been growing steadily over the years. This consistent growth has seen to it that America’s real GDP hit a high of 16.16 trillion U.S. dollars up from a low of around 1.06 trillion U.S. dollars in 1930. It is also apparent that the steady growth in the real GDP has led to many significant improvements in the economy and standards of living. Thus, it is evident that the standards of living and other macroeconomic factors are better now than in the mid nineteen hundreds (OpenStax College, 2014). Further, statistical and economic analysis shows that the real GDP of America has an average median and mean of approximately 6.34 and 7.20 trillion dollars respectively (Shiller...
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...Escaping the Recession 2007 Is Creating Recession? Han Tran Principles of Macroeconomics Mihaylo College of Business and Economics California State University at Fullerton December 2, 2010 Abstract The Economic Recession 2007 is the second worst recession in American history. It starts out within the housing market. Then, it expands and harms the other business sectors clearly. To illustrate, the U.S GDP failed by around 7%. Americans struggles who laid-off so unemployment rate shoot up to 9.7%. Many retirees lose their money due to the failure of many investment vehicles. The stock market performance declines because companies go bankrupt. Faced the threat of another Great Depression, the government and Federal Reserve Bank immediately interfere to boost up the economy using many fiscal and monetary policies. These efforts definitely help to improve or at least lighten the crisis’s impact on households and businesses. However, economists are concerned by the potential risks of future inflation and debts. 1. Introduction It started out as a failure of the housing market only. However, unexpectedly and quickly expanded, it flooded the whole economy with bankruptcy, unemployment and failure of stock market and other investment vehicles. It is the Recession 2007 whose damages are just less than the Great Depression. The following paper primarily demonstrates the causation of the Recession 2007, the responded policies of the government or the Federal...
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...Research Paper The Effects of the Great Recession on the Auto Industry Submitted by Luis A. Castro Prepared for Professor John Machnic BUSN 6120, Managerial Economics Summer 1, 2012 Section: OE Webster University July 24, 2012 CERTIFICATE OF AUTHORSHIP: I, Luis A. Castro, certify that I am the author. I have cited all sources from which I used data, ideas, or words, either quoted directly or paraphrased. I also certify that this paper was prepared by me specifically for this course. ____________ 07/24/2012 Signature Date Introduction The automotive industry in the United States is a key factor in economic growth because of the significant impacts on all major industries and cultures. Automotive industry is one of the largest industries in the United States. Historically, it has helped 3 to 3.5 percent of gross domestic product (GDP). It directly employs more than 1.7 million people who are involved in the design, manufacture and distribution of parts, components to install, sell and service the components. The industry of auto uses $16 to $18 billion annually for the research and development of the products. By excluding the automotive sector, it is difficult to determine the effects of global recession with in United States (Gereffi, 2005). Recently, if the analysis is done it can be clearly seen that the automotive industry has fallen on hard times. However, the U.S. continues to...
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...the “Great Recession” that occurred in 2008/2009. Information presented will be the state of the automotive industry before the recession, after the recession, how the industry is doing now and how the future looks for automakers. Contents The Automotive Industry Recovery 1 Transmittal Letter ii Contents iii Figures iii Executive Summary iv Introduction 1 Finding 1 Pre-Recession 1 Post Recession 2 How is it now? 3 The Future Outlook 3 Analysis 3 Summary 3 Conclusions 4 Reference 5 Figures Figure 1, Annual Auto Sales in the U.S. 2 Executive Summary The Automotive Industry was hit hard by the “Great Recession”. Jobs and sales declined rapidly as the economy and Americans were coming up short financially. After a couple years and some restructuring the automotive industry started making a comeback. Increasing sales by focusing on consumer needs helped bring workers back to work. Now the industry is booming again with continued growth in the future. The Automotive Industry Recovery INTRODUCTION PURPOSE The nationwide effect from the Great Recession on the auto industry was apparent everywhere. With the bail-outs of some of the big auto makers and loss of jobs, the economy really went into a slump. But with the automotive industry appearing to be on the up rise, there’s one question lurking in the many heads of the auto workers as well as the consumers. Will the U.S. automotive industry rebound to its pre-recession fame and...
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...The United States economy, based on recent history of past recessions, should be going forward and getting better, but is it? According to statistics from Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA), the United States is still trying to recover. The gross domestic product rate keeps going up and down; it does not keep going up, as it did in past recessions. What is to become of the United States if President Obama cannot get us out of the recession? EXPECTED U.S. GDP GROWTH RATE GOING FORWARD The gross domestic product (GDP) growth rate is an important indicator of the U.S. economic health. The slope of the yield curve – the spread between long and short - term interest rates – is a good predictor of future economic activity. As these slopes shift, you will get periods of high and low growth in GDP. There are three different methods of determining GDP. The first one is estimating each industry’s gross output and subtracts intermediate inputs from other industries to derive each industry’s residual value-added, which is sometimes called the production approach (Wells and Krugman, 2009). The second method is the income approach, which measures the income earned by the different factors of production (Wells et al). The third method is the final expenditures approach, which shows what is happening across different types of spending throughout the economy, usually done annually (Wells et al)...
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...Microeconomics (b) Economic Theory: A Process of Simplification 3. Actual and Natural Real GDP (a) Unemployment: Actual and Natural (b) Real GDP and the Three Macro Concepts 4. Macroeconomics in the Short Run and Long Run (a) The Short Run: Business Cycles (b) Business Cycle Concepts (c) The Long Run: Economic Growth 5. Case Study: A Century of Business Cycles (a) Real GDP (b) Unemployment 6. Macroeconomics at the Extremes (a) Unemployment in the Great Depression, 1929–40 (b) The German Hyperinflation of 1922–23 (c) Fast and Slow Growth in Asia 7. Taming Business Cycles: Stabilization Policy (a) The Role of Stabilization Policy 8. The “Internationalization” of Macroeconomics IP* Box: How Does U.S. Economic Performance Rank? ( Chapter Overview Chapter 1 begins by introducing a set of three central macroeconomic concepts, called the “Big Three Concepts of Macroeconomics. They are the unemployment rate, the inflation rate, and productivity growth. Introducing the field of macroeconomics to students in this way has an important advantage. It facilitates the early introduction and definition of basic macroeconomic terminology, which gives students a chance to get used to thinking of macroeconomic issues in terms of these concepts. A brief section describes the differences between macroeconomics and microeconomics and discusses the role of theory. The purpose of theory is to simplify complex economic relationships so that one...
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...SERIES IZA DP No. 6057 PAPER The Global Economic Crisis: Long-Term Unemployment in the OECD P.N. (Raja) Junankar DISCUSSION October 2011 Forschungsinstitut zur Zukunft der Arbeit Institute for the Study of Labor The Global Economic Crisis: Long-Term Unemployment in the OECD P.N. (Raja) Junankar University of New South Wales, University of Western Sydney and IZA Discussion Paper No. 6057 October 2011 IZA P.O. Box 7240 53072 Bonn Germany Phone: +49-228-3894-0 Fax: +49-228-3894-180 E-mail: iza@iza.org Any opinions expressed here are those of the author(s) and not those of IZA. Research published in this series may include views on policy, but the institute itself takes no institutional policy positions. The Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA) in Bonn is a local and virtual international research center and a place of communication between science, politics and business. IZA is an independent nonprofit organization supported by Deutsche Post Foundation. The center is associated with the University of Bonn and offers a stimulating research environment through its international network, workshops and conferences, data service, project support, research visits and doctoral program. IZA engages in (i) original and internationally competitive research in all fields of labor economics, (ii) development of policy concepts, and (iii) dissemination of research results and concepts to the interested public. IZA Discussion Papers often represent preliminary...
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...The Great Depression Thomas Clay Forrest Economics 510 Professor Don Waldron February 6, 2011, 2011 The Great Depression The Great Depression was the deepest, longest and most widespread economic calamity of the twentieth century, and is the most common standard of how far things in the world’s economy can decline. Beginning with the First New Deal, which put into effect a host of relief and recovery measures designed to improve economic conditions and stimulate recovery, myriad other steps were taken to prevent another catastrophe of this magnitude from ever occurring again. Are these measure enough, though, and could the world ever experience another Great Depression? How do the events of the Great Depression era compare to recent economic downturns, including the current deep recession the world is experiencing? This essay will provide answers to these questions and provide an analysis of the causes and events that led to the Great Depression. It will also present the reasons why another Great Depression is unlikely to occur again. Debates vary as to the causes of the Great Depression, with many well-respected economists offering differing opinions to what they believe led to the historic event. British economist John Maynard Keynes felt that the Depression was driven by demand, and in his book the General Theory of Employment Interest and Money, Keynes argued that lower aggregate expenditures in the economy contributed to an enormous...
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