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Hampton

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HAMPTOM MACHINE TOOL COMPANY
Comentarios del caso

Marcelo A. Delfino

Objetivos del caso
! Reafirmar los conocimientos relacionados con las técnicas empleadas para realizar proyecciones financieras ! Presupuesto de tesorería y ! Análisis de estados proyectados o Pro Forma ! Adquirir práctica en la evaluación crítica de los supuestos utilizados en los pronósticos financieros. ! Decidir sobre la conveniencia de otorgar un crédito a una firma fuertemente endeudada. ! Mostrar el impacto de una recompra de acciones y el reparto de dividendos.
Marcelo A. Delfino

Análisis
! Porqué una firma rentable como Hamptom no puede repagar su deuda y además necesita fondos adicionales? ! Veamos el EOAF para analizar los movimientos período…. del

! Usos de fondos: ! Recompra de acciones ! Acumulación de Inventarios por mayor nivel de actividad ! “Cuello de botella” en la producción que generó: ! Acumulación de trabajos en proceso y ! Materias primas
Marcelo A. Delfino

Origen y aplicación de Fondos
Fuentes de Fondos
18% 2% 12% 0% 18%

19% 11% 6% 14%

Caja y Bancos Anticipo de clientes Amortización acumulada

Proveedores Impuestos a Pagar Ganancias retenidas

Cuentas a Cobrar Credito bancario Gastos pagados

Usos de Fondos

44%

42%

14%

0%

Inventarios

Gastos a Pagar A. Delfino acciones Marcelo Recompra

Recompra acciones

Análisis
! Las principales fuentes de financiamiento fueron: ! Prestamos bancarios y ganancias retenidas ! Seguidas por reducciones en caja y ctas. a cobrar ! Después de la recompra de acciones, Hamptom comenzó a reconstruir su saldo de caja. ! Las ctas a cobrar llegan a un pico en el primer trimestre de 1979 reflejando el incremento en las ventas.

Marcelo A. Delfino

Análisis
¿Cuáles son las razones por las que Hamptom no fue capaz de atender la deuda? ¿Será capaz de devolver un mayor monto en diciembre? ! ! ! ! Veamos el presupuesto de tesorería para analizar los movimientos de caja del período…. Hamptom no será capaz de devolver el préstamo en diciembre !!!!!! El cambio en enero se debe al cobro de las ventas de diciembre que son las mas altas. Los estados financieros pro forma confirman las conclusiones del presupuesto de tesorería. ¿Porqué?
Marcelo A. Delfino

Amenazas
! El cuello de botella en los procesos productivos es la principal amenaza al crecimiento en ventas. ! Un segundo argumento son las cuentas a cobrar que han excedido las ventas mensuales. ! No se ve intención y posibilidad de reducir inventarios de MP y mantener los programas productivos en línea con las ventas proyectadas. ! Supuestos conservadores incluyen el pronto pago a proveedores y la omisión de anticipos de clientes (fuentes de fondos significativas).
Marcelo A. Delfino

Y desde el lado del banco….
¿Debiera conceder el préstamo? Factores a favor: 1. Alta demanda por los bienes de Hamptom que se producen a pedidos 2. La rentabilidad de las ventas proyectadas, que no parecen inalcanzables 3. El valor para el banco del negocio de la firma 4. La inversión en equipo ayudará a evitar un colapso en la producción 5. Las proyecciones indican que la empresa no tendrá problemas en devolver el préstamo en enero 1980

Marcelo A. Delfino

Y desde el lado del banco….
Factores en contra: 1. Incertidumbre acerca de los supuestos empleados para proyectar los estados 2. El repago depende de que se logren las ventas de diciembre y además se puedan cobrar….. 3. Riesgo del negocio de los bienes de capital, en especial del sector automotriz 4. El alto endeudamiento de la firma

Marcelo A. Delfino

Sugerencias
! Posponer la devolución del préstamo hasta enero de 1980 Posponer el pago de dividendos de $150.000 hasta completar la devolución del préstamo Posponer el gasto de capital de $350.000 hasta 1980? 1. Bajo nivel en los activos fijos y 2. Reducidos gastos de capital en 1978-1979

!

!

Marcelo A. Delfino

Recompra de acciones
! Recompra de 75.000 a $40 cada una ! Reducción de la cantidad de acciones de 117.800 a 42.800, un 64%. ! Incremento en el valor de libros de las acciones de $47 a $61. ! EPS sobre al base de 117.800 era $6,65 mientras que después de la recompra es $18,29 ! El ROE al final de 1978 aumenta de 14% a 30%.

Sin embargo el financial leverage se dispara
Marcelo A. Delfino

Dividendos
! Propuesta de aumento de los dividendos de $50.000 en 1978 a $250.000 en 1979. ! DPS aumentan de $0,42 en 1978 a $5,84 en 1979. ! Esto implica un incremento en los DPS de 14 veces financiado con…………………………

mientras tanto con DEUDA BANCARIA
Marcelo A. Delfino

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