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Harmon

In: Business and Management

Submitted By manolia
Words 767
Pages 4
Sales | Time | Seasonal Index | Consumer Weight | Dealer Weight | Consumer 1Lag | Dealer 2Lag | | | | | | | | | | 425,075 | 1 | 113 | 325,093 | 444,803 | 0 | 304004 | | | | | | | | | | | 315,305 | 2 | 98 | 83,016 | 269,487 | 361214.4 | 352872 | | SUMMARY OUTPUT | | | | | | | | 367,286 | 3 | 102 | 602,450 | 269,563 | 72172.8 | 457732 | | | | | | | | | | | 429,432 | 4 | 107 | 553,151 | 266,349 | 645312 | 254396 | | Regression Statistics | | | | | | | | 347,874 | 5 | 119 | 646,752 | 169,020 | 574752 | 259952 | | Multiple R | 0.963494738 | | | | | | | | 435,529 | 6 | 104 | 880,507 | 408,304 | 650832 | 267368 | | R Square | 0.92832 | | | | | | | | 299,403 | 7 | 107 | 118,265 | 379,090 | 910252.8 | 158504 | | Adjusted R Square | 0.91783 | | | | | | | | 296,505 | 8 | 81 | 225,294 | 243,981 | 44678.4 | 430012 | | Standard Error | 34733.11735 | | | | | | | | 426,701 | 9 | 113 | 52,667 | 968,780 | 197275.2 | 388516 | | Observations | 48 | | | | | | | | 329,722 | 10 | 97 | 16,187 | 940,079 | 45076.8 | 225616 | | | | | | | | | | | 281,783 | 11 | 95 | 10,334 | 372,523 | 4521.6 | 1042304 | | ANOVA | | | | | | | | | 166,391 | 12 | 65 | 3,565 | 132,332 | 8726.4 | 974092 | | | df | SS | MS | F | Significance F | | | | 629,404 | 13 | 113 | 2,370,999 | 18,902 | 3225.6 | 301892 | | Regression | 6 | 6.40597E+11 | 1.06766E+11 | 88.50057549 | 7.20284E-22 | | | | 263,467 | 14 | 98 | 360,028 | 287,484 | 2633779.2 | 76148 | | Residual | 41 | 49461967067 | 1206389441 | | | | | | 398,320 | 15 | 102 | 156,431 | 649,021 | 253531.2 | 0 | | Total | 47 | 6.90059E+11 | | | | | | | 376,569 | 16 | 107 | 133,223 | 229,559 | 13406.4 | 315196 | | | | | | | | | | | 444,404 | 17 | 119 | 101,882 | 476,096 | 133195.2 | 703624 | | | Coefficients | Standard Error | t Stat | P-value | Lower 95% | Upper 95% | Lower 95.0% | Upper 95.0% | 386,986 | 18 | 104 | 16,708 | 445,322 | 105057.6 | 198464 | | Intercept | -80315.68 | 41145.29 | -1.95 | 0.06 | -163410.27 | 2778.91 | -163410.27 | 2778.91 | 414,314 | 19 | 107 | 7,403 | 685,335 | 5328 | 478880 | | Time | 946.56 | 413.43 | 2.29 | 0.03 | 111.61 | 1781.51 | 111.61 | 1781.51 | 253,493 | 20 | 81 | 6,449 | 99,175 | 2092.8 | 457172 | | Seasonal Index | 3877.95 | 398.68 | 9.73 | 0.00 | 3072.80 | 4683.10 | 3072.80 | 4683.10 | 484,365 | 21 | 113 | 1,627,570 | 63,015 | 6753.6 | 709480 | | Consumer Weight | 0.096 | 0.010 | 9.751 | 0.000 | 0.076 | 0.116 | 0.076 | 0.116 | 305,989 | 22 | 97 | 621,688 | 104,041 | 1807920 | 45380 | | Dealer Weight | 0.076 | 0.007 | 10.805 | 0.000 | 0.062 | 0.090 | 0.062 | 0.090 | 315,407 | 23 | 95 | 185,290 | 247,460 | 589948.8 | 28080 | | Consumer 1Lag | -0.048 | 0.008 | -5.983 | 0.000 | -0.064 | -0.032 | -0.064 | -0.032 | 182,784 | 24 | 65 | 57,029 | 337,810 | 72662.4 | 111520 | | Dealer 2Lag | -0.020 | 0.006 | -3.374 | 0.002 | -0.032 | -0.008 | -0.032 | -0.008 | 655,748 | 25 | 113 | 2,358,527 | 629,316 | 26553.6 | 267200 | | | | | | | | | | | 270,483 | 26 | 98 | 320,883 | 534,092 | 2615073.6 | 354304 | | | | | | | | | | | 365,058 | 27 | 102 | 166,039 | 556,481 | 209779.2 | 664712 | | -80315.68 | | | | | | | | | 313,135 | 28 | 107 | 53,399 | 189,491 | 27552 | 536824 | | 946.56 | 49 | | | | | | | | 528,210 | 29 | 119 | 10,195 | 557,802 | 46147.2 | 551560 | | 3877.95 | 113 | | | | | | | | 379,856 | 30 | 104 | 61,507 | 428,116 | 7233.6 | 150080 | | 0.096 | 960000 | | | | | | | | 472,058 | 31 | 107 | 440,724 | 375,824 | 65376 | 580800 | | 0.076 | 154455 | | | | | | | | 254,516 | 32 | 81 | 374,487 | 127,871 | 485659.2 | 435080 | | -0.048 | 345028.8 | | | | | | | | 551,354 | 33 | 113 | 1,494,075 | 50,284 | 385483.2 | 361144 | | -0.020 | 368337.5 | | | | | | | | 335,826 | 34 | 97 | 496,046 | 141,702 | 1611686.4 | 97844 | | | 483431.942 | | | | | | | | 320,408 | 35 | 95 | 145,173 | 272,774 | 440208 | 30372 | | | | | | | | | | | 276,901 | 36 | 65 | 487,359 | 168,678 | 47308.8 | 150324 | | | | | | | | | | | 455,136 | 37 | 113 | 1,323,141 | 52,070 | 514425.6 | 293044 | | | | | | | | | | | 247,570 | 38 | 98 | 189,330 | 30,887 | 1438948.8 | 162788 | | | | | | | | | | | 622,204 | 39 | 102 | 77,718 | 4,055,910 | 101846.4 | 32532 | | | | | | | | | | | 429,331 | 40 | 107 | 61,122 | 677,160 | 753.6 | 23468 | | | | | | | | | | | 453,156 | 41 | 119 | 1,443,994 | 250,218 | 62212.8 | 4503456 | | | | | | | | | | | 320,103 | 42 | 104 | 852,571 | 25,045 | 1600939.2 | 500904 | | | | | | | | | | | 451,779 | 43 | 107 | 1,486,029 | 41,494 | 854904 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 249,482 | 44 | 81 | 464,970 | 85,332 | 1514707.2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 744,583 | 45 | 113 | 120,646 | 4,389,875 | 384988.8 | 46104 | | | | | | | | | | | 421,186 | 46 | 97 | 179,733 | 587,011 | 28512 | 92252 | | | | | | | | | | | 397,367 | 47 | 95 | 1,023,570 | 601,226 | 176731.2 | 4869952 | | | | | | | | | | | 269,096 | 48 | 65 | 375,657 | 534,938 | 1125897.6 | 376556 | | | | | | | | | | | | 49 | 113 | 937,546 | 154,455 | 345028.8 | 368337.5 | | | | | | | | | | |

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