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Imf Supported Programs in Indonesia, Korea and Thailand

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O C C A S I O N A L PA P E R

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IMF-Supported Programs in Indonesia, Korea, and Thailand
A Preliminary Assessment

Timothy Lane, Atish Ghosh, Javier Hamann, Steven Phillips, Marianne Schulze-Ghattas, and Tsidi Tsikata

INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND Washington DC 1999

© 1999 International Monetary Fund

Production: IMF Graphics Section Typesetting: Alicia Etchebarne-Bourdin

Cataloging-in-Publication Data IMF-supported programs in Indonesia, Korea, and Thailand : a preliminary assessment / by Timothy Lane . . . [et al.]. — [Washington DC : International Monetary Fund], 1999. p. cm. — (Occasional paper, 0251-6365); no. 178 Includes bibliographical references. ISBN 1-55775-783-6 1. Indonesia—Economic policy. 2. Korea—Economic policy. 3. Thailand—Economic policy. 4. International Monetary Fund—Indonesia. 5. International Monetary Fund—Korea. 6. International Monetary Fund—Thailand. I. Lane, Timothy D. (Timothy David), 1955- II. Occasional paper (International Monetary Fund); no. 178. HC447.I44 1999

Price: US$18.00 (US$15.00 to full-time faculty members and students at universities and colleges) Please send orders to: International Monetary Fund, Publication Services 700 19th Street, N.W., Washington, D.C. 20431, U.S.A. Tel.: (202) 623-7430 Telefax: (202) 623-7201 E-mail: publications@imf.org Internet: http://www.imf.org

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Contents

Preface I Overview Timothy Lane and Marianne Schulze-Ghattas References II Background to the Crisis Javier Hamann Financial Vulnerabilities Macroeconomic Considerations Asset Price Deflation and Bank Failures References III Program Design Timothy Lane Basic Strategy Exchange Rates References IV Program Financing and Market Reactions Timothy Lane and Marianne Schulze-Ghattas Official Financing and Program Projections Market Reactions V Macroeconomic Environment Timothy Lane and Steven Phillips Output...

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