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Ejercicios del modulo 10

Pagos y comercio internacional

Preguntas de discusión

Diana Contreras Nateras

Pregunta 1. Indique si son correctas o no cada una de las afirmaciones siguientes y explique su razonamiento. Si son incorrectas, indique la afirmación correcta.

a) “Nosotros los mexicanos nunca podemos competir de un modo rentable con el coloso del Norte. Sus fábricas son demasiado eficientes, tiene demasiadas computadoras y máquinas-herramientas y unas calificaciones técnicas demasiado avanzadas. ¡Necesitamos aranceles o no exportaremos nada!

Incorrecto, el norte tiene ventajas sin duda, pero nuestro país podría tomar ventaja si exportara bienes en los cuales tiene ventaja comparativa.
La ventaja comparativa es la relevante para decidir sobre comercio internacional, no la ventaja absoluta.

b) “Si los trabajadores norteamericanos están sometidos a la desenfrenada competencia de la mano de obra mexicana barata, nuestros salarios reales deberán bajar radicalmente”

Incorrecto. El comercio puede hacer que aumente el ingreso agregado, aunque puede redistribuirlo también. A los trabajadores en
Estados Unidos se les puede pagar más debido a que tienen una mayor productividad.

Pregunta 2. La figura 27-3 muestra la demanda y la oferta de dólares americanos en un ejemplo en el que Japón y Estados Unidos comercian solamente entre sí. Describa las curvas de oferta y demanda recíprocas de yenes japoneses. Explique porqué la oferta de yenes es equivalente a la demanda de dólares. Explique y trace también la curva que corresponde a la oferta de dólares. Encuentre el precio de equilibrio del yen en este nuevo gráfico y relaciónelo con el equilibrio de la figura 27-3

Pregunta 3. Examine la siguiente cita del Economic Report of the President de 1984:

“En el largo plazo el tipo de cambio tiende a seguir la tendencia diferencial en el nivel de precios interno y externo. Si el nivel de precios de un país se aleja demasiado de los precios de otros, acabará disminuyendo la demanda de sus bienes, lo que provocará una depreciación real de su moneda.”

Explique cómo la primera oración se relaciona con la teoría de los tipos de cambio basada en la PPP. Explique el razonamiento en que se basa la teoría de la PPP. Además, explique, mediante un gráfico de oferta y demanda como el de la figura 27-3, la secuencia de acontecimientos, descrita en la segunda oración de la cita, por la que un país cuyo nivel de precios es relativamente alto verá como se deprecia su tipo de cambio.

Bibliografía: Paul A. Samuelson y William D. Nordhaus, Economics, 18th edition. Chapters 15,29,. McGraw Hill.

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