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Issue Report 3

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Submitted By amc310
Words 540
Pages 3
GSCI 102
1 December 2015
Issue Report 3 When a sporting team is having a very good season and go on a winning streak, most believe it is because of a hot hand. Not only do fans believe in this hot hand, so do the athletes themselves. These claims found in the article from the New York Times article, “That’s so Random. Why We Persist in Seeing Streaks,” will be identified and evaluated using the SEARCH formula and the Criteria of Adequacy. Although it was concluded that hot hands are just a misconception of chance, many still believe in it. People claim that they see streaks and patterns in games such as Roulette and will then bet on more numbers. The article also claims the same for winning certain gas station or convenience store, sales go up for lottery tickets at that particular store because people believe that they will have another winning ticket. The evidence that people believe in hot hands and streaks is proven to be true based on different case studies and expert opinion. They say that this is no new trend and the belief in streaks in ancient and monkeys display it too. Economists have proven that people will continue to purchase stock while the price is rising in belief that it will continue to rise. Dr. Wilke has studied the persistence in streaks for many years and argues that we can’t get rid of the instinct to predict streaks even when we’re dealing with patterns. A second hypothesis found in this article was done with monkeys and is, “If a there is a streak, then monkeys will have larger success and reward.” Monkeys tend to have the same choice patterns as humans and tend to predict a streak rather than something random. Next, we will rate this based on the Criteria of Adequacy. Both of these hypotheses are testable and have the ability to be falsified. Both have been tested and will continuously be tested in the future to predict new

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