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Materials Planning

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Submitted By crockersk
Words 835
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SUBJECT: Forecasting and Sales for our Widget Manufacturing line
As we have discussed earlier in the day, we have a 60 % accuracy with our sales forecast rate and we are reviewing ways to close the gap between 60% and 100%. In this memo I have written out what our current outlook looks like from the beginning to end of our production cycle and what forecasting methods I believe we can use to improve forecasting accuracy.
Our current process: Components
Vendor C On Site in Factory Vendor A Vendor B
Steel for Widget takes 4 weeks Widget is made 1 week Plastic cover 3 weeks Card Board shipping box 4 weeks

Packaging
Packaging Department Shipping
Receives the covers and applies them and puts the product in the packaging takes 1 day Shipping takes 3 Weeks

Time Stamp:
The customer places his order on 01/01/2015 and does not need it to be at his business until 03/31/2015.
01/01/2015 Customer places order
02/02/2015 Steel for the Widgets is ordered
01/09/2015 Ordered Card Board Shipping boxes
01/09/2015 Ordered Plastic covers
03/02/2015 Make the widgets
03/09/2015 • widgets are finished,
• plastic covers come in
• boxes come in,
• apply boxes and plastic covers to the widgets
• prepare to ship
03/10/2015 Ship Widgets to customer
03/31/2015 Customer receives the widgets

The Steel was ordered in early February and planned to be at the Manufacturing plant in time to complete the widget assembly for the beginning of the second week in March. Packaging and shipping is the final process of the widget order; that will take three weeks and will be delivered by the dead line on March 31st.
Because this process has many moving parts to it and several of the components are lengthy, such as ordering the raw materials and ordering the packaging I have put together a solution that may help in forecasting future sales planning.
What I would suggest is

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