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Power Bases

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Group Dynamics
Writing Assignment 5
Power Bases
07/27/12

Mitt Romney started out as a Republican front runner in the 2012 presidential race. Winning Maine and Nevada early, he fell to Rick Santorum in Colorado, Missouri and Minnesota. Don’t let the fact that Mitt Romney won past CPAC Straw Polls, which are much more a beauty contest then the 3 caucuses last week that Santorum clobbered Romney in, with the Romney campaign referring to a couple of them as beauty contests themselves. With Romney’s money, busing in tons of college students and picking up the tab for their attendance AND STRAW POLL vote, and that is exactly what he did. Even Santorum jumped in on that and commented that he doesn’t rig straw polls.
According to the article I read, Will Romney’s ‘Good Enough’ Strategy be Good Enough for Voters? By Chris Stirewalt, Published February 15, 2012, at FoxNews.com, Romney and his Super-PAC can defeat Santorum in the Republican race because Romney has a stronger hold in the Republican base. They trust him more and feel he is the strongest of the candidates thus far. However, he has a problem with flip-flopping on the issues and is seen by many of his Republican base as a weak candidate.
Nevertheless, if you are a Republican, the vibes are very bad. Mitt Romney has shown a discouraging inability to appeal to the party’s base, while the race has damaged both Romney and the party. Newt Gingrich, in particular, sacrificed the party to his own ego by launching left-wing attacks against Romney. Gingrich is gone as a Republican contender, but we will see more of him in the fall, in Obama ads. What a swan song for someone who once led the conservative movement.
Rick Santorum is a bright guy who has performed well in the debates, and he is hot, this week, in the Republican base. But he doesn’t have the chance of a snowball in Hell of being elected president. He couldn’t even get re-elected to the Senate in his home state of Pennsylvania in 2006. The 2012 election will be almost entirely about the economy, although national security is always relevant to a presidential contest. It would be suicidal for the GOP to nominate a candidate whose signature issues are gay marriage and abortion. The fact that the party’s base is flirting with Santorum manifests a lack of seriousness that may prove fatal in November.
Meanwhile, President Obama is quietly staging a comeback. Optimism about the economy is growing at the same time that the Republican Party is, in most peoples’ eyes, making a fool of itself, so it is hard to identify the main cause of President Obama’s resurgence. But you can see President Obama’s comeback in Scott Rasmussen’s Approval Index. Currently, President Obama is only -11, compared to -20 or -21, and his overall approval among likely voters is not too bad, at 47%.

While Mitt Romney and the other candidates are fighting over, and destroying their Republican base, President Obama is doing what he needs to do to bring the country out of its horrible economic state and encourage voters. The Republican base may have been strong two years ago during the congressional elections, but they seem to be faltering in this election.

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