Running head: Probability of Appeals and Reversals
Probability of Appeals and Reversals
Jackson County Judges
Debra R. Hunter
CSU Global Campus
Math 410-Quantitative Business Analysis
Jose Romero Instructor
03/08/2015
Probability of Appeals and Reversals
Jackson County Judges
The Problem Using a problem given to us in our study of Quantitative Business Analysis an excel spreadsheet has been created in order to answer the given questions. Following is the given problem. 1. The probability of cases being appealed in each of the three different courts. 2. The probability of cases being reversed in each of the three different courts. 3. The probability of cases being reversed given an appeal in each of the three different courts. 4. The probability of a case being appealed for each judge. 5. The probability of a case being reversed for each judge. 6. The probability of reversal, given an appeal for each judge.
After these six questions have been answered then a ranking of the judges can be accomplished. The numbers being used in each of the calculations is coming from the excel worksheet that is attached. The last question of the given problem follows.
Rank the judges within each court for each of the probabilities in 4 - 6. Then, find the sum of the ranks and get an overall ranking for each judge. Evaluate and discuss the meaning of your results. Results
The following results are based on the calculations found on the attached Excel spreadsheet.
The probability of cases being appealed in each of the three different courts uses the formula of: P(appeal)=Total number of cases appealed/total number of cases disposed. The results are as follows. Court Appeal Probability Common Pleas: 0.04010 Domestic Relations: 0.00348 Municipal: 0.00461
