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Rationality and Voting

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DEFENDERS of the rational-choice model of political behaviour are at it again, using “pure, raw math” to encourage people to stay home on election day. Here is how Katherine Mangu-Ward, an editor at Reason, begins her argument against exercising the franchise:

In all of American history, a single vote has never determined the outcome of a presidential election... In a 2012 Economic Inquiry article, Columbia University political scientist Andrew Gelman, statistician Nate Silver, and University of California, Berkeley, economist Aaron Edlin use poll results from the 2008 election cycle to calculate that the chance of a randomly selected vote determining the outcome of a presidential election is about one in 60 million. In a couple of key states, the chance that a random vote will be decisive creeps closer to one in 10 million, which drags voters into the dubious company of people gunning for the Mega-Lotto jackpot. (emphasis added)

There it is! Your vote doesn’t count. Don’t waste time watching debates, boning up on the issues, discussing politics with neighbours or friends, thinking critically about the future of your nation, dragging yourself to the polling site, pulling levers or punching chads. It is all a monumental waste of time, even if you live in Ohio. As Ms Mangu-Ward points out, staying home on election day might allow you to squeeze in “an extra hour of sleep”. And imagine how much more dozing you could enjoy if you gave up on politics completely.

It’s true that some arguments in favour of voting border on the feeble and syrupy. Here is how an organisation called You’re the Youth sums up its case:

The right to vote is a beautiful thing. It really is. Young people and other demographics in parts of the world actually fight and would even die for the right to vote. One day you could wake up in a country where you can’t. Enough said!
Rolling in

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