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Reporting Analysis

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REPORTING ANALYSIS:
FINANCIAL EVALUATION OF
BOWATER INCORPORTED

INTRODUCTION
Headquartered in Greenville, SC, Bowater Incorporated is a leading producer of coated and specialty papers and newsprint. Founded in 1881 in England, Bowater has evolved into an international public corporation that is among the largest manufacturer in North America. Bowater common stock (BOW) is listed on the New York Stock Exchange. It operates in five divisions: Newsprint, Coated Papers, Specialty Papers, Lumber and Market Pulp. There are currently 14 analysts following the stock.
On January 29, 2007, Abitibi-Consolidated Inc. and Bowater Incorporated announced a definite agreement to combine in an all-stock merger of equals. On October 29, 2007, the completion of the transaction was announced by the two companies and the combination of Abitibi-Consolidated Inc. and Bowater Incorporated formed a new merger of AbitibiBowater.
Bowater originally announced that over the next two years it is expected to realize in excess of $250 million in annualized synergies. The Company also expects to achieve a debt-reduction of $1 billion over the next three years in order to enhance its global competitiveness . AbitibiBowater focus is to provide access to a broad range of forest products and best-in-class customer service, as well as a relentless commitment to the environment.
Several significant to rigorously evaluate Bowater financial evaluation. Now that the merger with Abitibi is now complete, investor can look forward invest in the stock of AbitibiBowater. The positioning of the new company is poised to achieve significant synergies and to better face the challenging market conditions
SCOPE OF THE ANALYSIS
This analysis begins with Bowater financial highlight. This study helps assess AbitibiBowater market conditions, some expectations of its operating results and business performance. The following analysis should provides useful information in understanding AbitibiBowater operating results, cash flows and financial condition. Estimates are based on historical data and other assumptions that affect the reported amounts of assets and liabilities and its financial statements during the reporting period of 2007

|FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHT |
|[|(In millions, except per-share data, rations and | |2006 | | |2005 | |
|p|shareholders)* | | | | | | |
|i| | | | | | | |
|c| | | | | | | |
|]| | | | | | | |
| |Sales |$|3,529.8 | |$ |3,483.8 | |
| |Operating income (1) |$|41.2 | |$ |98.8 | |
| |Net loss |$|(138.3 |) |$ |(120.6 |)|
| |Diluted loss per common share |$|(2.41 |) |$ |(2.10 |)|
| |Average diluted shares outstanding |$|57.4 | |$ |57.4 | |
| |Dividends declared per common share |$|0.80 | |$ |0.80 | |
| |Total assets |$|4,645.9 | |$ |5,152.4 | |
| |Total shareholders’ equity (2) |$|832.6 | |$ |1,215.5 | |
| |Percent return on average common equity (1) |$|(13.5 |)% |$ |(8.9 |)|
| | | | | | | |%|
| |Total debt |$|2,266.5 | |$ |2,477.2 | |
| |Current ratio (3) | |2.15 | | |1.74 | |
| |Capital expenditures, including timberlands |$|199.1 | |$ |167.4 | |
| |Shareholders of record | |3,400 | | |3,600 | |
| | (common stock and exchangeable shares) | | | | | | |
| |Common stock price range |$|31.99 - 19.61 |[pic] |$ |44.40 - 24.73 |[|
| | | | | | | |p|
| | | | | | | |i|
| | | | | | | |c|
| | | | | | | |]|
| |Beta | |1.1 | | |1.1 | |
|Shares Outstanding |56.3M |
|Institutional Ownership |149.75% |
|Market Cap |1.1B |
|Last Stock Split None |None |

[pic]

[pic]ABH : NYSE

• 1 Yr
Top of Form
[pic][pic][pic][pic][pic]Standard [pic]Logarithmic [pic]

RESULT OF THE ANALYSIS OF ABITIBIBOWATER
EARNING POWER AND FORECASTING FOR VALUATION
AbitibiBowater primary financial ratios should includes its profitability ratio which its ability to generate earnings . This decrease is caused a decline in its market price leading to capital loss. AbitibiBowater profitability analysis earning is measured in term ofNet Profit marging = Net Income/Sales=
The return on total equity of AbitibiBowater measures the return to both its common and preferred stockholders.
The Return on Investment ratio which evaluates AbitibiBowater earnings performance and how well the firm utilized its asset base.
Gross profit margin equals the difference between net sales revenue and the cost of good sold.
Leverage and its effects on earnings
The use of debt, called financial leverage has a significant impact on earnings Bowater. Price/earning (P/E) ratio expresses the relationship between the market price of a share of common stock and that stock’s current earnings per share.
Bowater P/E ratio is
Eventhough Abitibowater P/E ratios has a lowe P/E ratios comparing to its competitor AbitibiBowater Inc. (NYSE: ABH)(TSX:ABH), reported a net loss for the third quarter of 2007 of $142.1 million, or $2.47 per diluted share, on sales of $814.7 million. These results compare with a net loss of $216.1 million, or $3.76 per diluted share, on sales of $875.9 million for the third quarter of 2006.
Third quarter 2007 special items, net of tax, consisted of the following items: a $11.3 million gain related to asset sales, a $28.4 million charge related to an arbitration award, a $21.5 million charge related to tax adjustments, a $14.1 million charge for severance and merger-related costs and a $29.0 million loss relating to foreign currency changes. Excluding these special items, the net loss for the quarter would have been $60.4 million, or $1.05 per diluted share, compared with third quarter 2006 net loss before special items of $12.3 million, or $0.20 per diluted share
ABH reported 3rd qtr 2007 earnings of $-1.05 per share on 11/6/07. This beat the $-1.04 consensus of the 13 analysts covering the company.
COMPARATIVE PERFORMANCE
Bowater operating segments present similar economic characteristic with majors global corporations. Revenues are attributed based on the location of the company. And as with any global commodities, competitive position of Bowater’s products is significantly affected by volatility of currency rates. Several of its operation are in United Stated, Sweden, Finland, and certain countries of Asia.

DIFFERENCE BETWEEN BOWATER AND THE INDUSTRY

• Bow water pays no dividend and does not pull down the price

• Bow vs rating for company financial strength is?

• Price predictability and earning predictability both rated high by value line

• Bow has a much more diversified product line, more risky
|Company Name/Symbol |Current Consensus |P/E Ratio |PEG |Mean |Current EPS |5 Yr. |
|[pic] |Recommendation | | |EPS |vs. Yr. Ago |Growth Rt. |
|[pic] Abitibibowater Inc ABH |[pic] |-5.23x |0.36x |-2.49 |-434.82 |31.249 |
|[pic] Basic Materials |[pic] |19.4728x |-0.3376x |0.8765 |35.7912 |36.9978 |
|[pic] Glatfelter GLT |[pic] |24.54x |0.46x |0.27 |16.36 |2.231 |
|[pic] Neenah Papers Inc NP |[pic] |16.4x |1.23x |0.57 |87.5 |-- | •

OUTLOOK

The merger with Abitibi will definitely have a material impact on Bowater results of operations, financial condition and liquidity going forward. Their immediate focus is to successfully integrate Abitibi’s and Bowater’s businesses in order to achieve annualized synergies of at least $250 million by the first quarter of 2009. they expect these synergies to be achieved from improved efficiencies in such areas as production, SG&A costs, distribution and procurement.
The ultimate goal of the Combination is to create a low-cost, financially disciplined organization with a stronger financial profile and increased focus on value-added products and growth markets.
From an operations and competitiveness perspective, Abitibibowater has begun a company-wide strategic assessment of every business they operate.
From a balance sheet perspective, financial stability and debt reduction are top priorities going forward. Abitibibowater expects to enter into new credit facilities to address near-term liquidity requirements and have established an aggressive goal of reducing our debt by $1 billion within the next three years.
Meanwhile, Lehman Brothers analyst Peter Ruschmeier said shares of the company are "oversold" and will likely rebound, given expected updates on cost-cutting efforts ahigher newsprint prices, among other factors.
Ruschmeier raised his price target to $45 from $23, but noted that the company has been hurt by a higher Canadian dollar and a rise in energy prices. Ruschmeier also said some investors may be disappointed that the company will launch a 30-day strategic review, rather than a larger restructuring.
Citi Investment Research analyst Chip Dillon called Bowater his "favorite stock" and kept a "Buy" rating and $30 price target on its shares.
Dillon also has a "Buy" rating on Abitibi-Consolidated and said the sale of its Snowflake mill will have a small effect on the company.

Growth Forecasts

|Name |[pic] |[pic] |[pic] |[pic] |[pic] |
|[pic] |P/E (TTM) |P/E (Fwd 12 Mo.) |PEG |1 Year EPS |5 Year EPS |
| | | | |Growth Rate |Growth Rate |
|Bow |-9.3x |-7.7x |-0.21x |-21.0% |+31.2% |
|Paper Industry |15.5x |21.1x |-0.47x |+106.2% |+2.4% |
|Basic Materials Sector |19.4x |16.7x |-0.2x |+28.7% |+37.4% |
|S&P 500 |22.1x |18.4x |-0.16x |+11.0% |+24.4% |
| | | | | | |

RECOMMENDATION

Recommendation to Invest in Bowater Incorporated Stocks

Based on the the financial reporting analysis of Bowater, the following recommendation include:
1.Assuming that the ratio identified are valid in forecasting Bowater financial success, it would be wise to pay particular close attention to trends of these ratio when following the firm. Cash flow/total debt % . Net income/total assets ( return on assets) appears to be unsatisfactory. The debt to ratio is also very high. Eventhough Bowater appears to have minimal risk for financial failure, these results indicate that Bowater stock is highly oversold and that in the long term debt paying ability may improve and earning may increase. The recommendation for this stock is to HOLD.

to invest in . Investment Ratings

Analyst Consensus & Trends

[pic]

WORKS CITED

http://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1039778/000095014207002626/0000950142-07-002626.txt

http://www.cnbc.com/id/15837265?q=ABH

http://investor.bowater.com/phoenix.zhtml?c=115903&p=irol-irhome

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