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Repsol’s Acquisition of YPF
Individual assignment

1. How significant are the synergies and the restructuring effects? Please estimate their value.
Synergies
Cost savings after tax: * Cost savings would rise from $80 million in 1999 to estimated $300-$350 million by end of 2000, and might even reach $500 million by 2002.
Capital expenditure reduction: * Combination of the two entities would reduce the capital expenditure from $15.6 billion to $13.6 billion. Cutting capital expenditure of about $2billion would conserve cash and reducing net interest expenses.
Increase in revenue: * Enhanced integration and capital efficiency would help increase in revenue which are estimated to start at $50 million in 1999 and 2000, and expected to reach $200 million in 2003
Non-core assets: * Estimated to yield $2.5 billion after taxes.
Restructuring effects * Repsol-YPF would have lower earnings volatility but will be more sensitive to oil price changes. * Acquisition might cause Repsol’s cost of capital to increase as financial risk increase due to political and economic in an emerging region, therefore resulting a higher WACC. * Diversification of business activities would affect the perceived operating risk and choice of payment and transaction financing would also affect the perceived financial risk of the firm. * YPF WACC = 12.55% * Repsol WACC = 8.14% * Repsol-YPF (all-debt) WACC = 10.6% * Repsol-YPF (all-equity) WACC = 11.07%

2. Is Repsol’s stock fairly priced in the market or is it overvalued or undervalued?

DCF | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | Discount factor (WACC @ 8.1%) | 0.9251 | 0.8558 | 0.7916 | 0.7323 | 0.6774 | Free Cash Flow | 169 | 501 | 1,174 | 1,573 | 27,478 | PV of discounted CF | 156.34 | 428.73 |

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