...FINC-941: Macroeconomic Policy and Global Capital Markets Fall 2011 Syllabus Linked Non-textbook Readings Starred readings are optional. Week 1: Economic growth across countries: measurement and the facts Charles Jones (1997), "On the Evolution of the World Income Distribution," Journal of Economic Perspectives, 11, 19-36 “Stumble or Fall” The Economist, January 10, 2009 (on-line only) * “Argentina threatens inflation analysts with fine” Financial Times, Feb 4, 2010 *“What’s the Point of Macro?” by Dylan Grice *“An Inflation Debate Brews Over Intangibles at the Mall” Wall Street Journal, May 9, 2005 *“Measuring What Matters” The Economist, September 17, 2009 Weeks 2 and 3: International economic growth and development Capital accumulation Robert E. Hall and Charles I. Jones, "Why Do Some Countries Produce So Much More Output per Worker than Others?" Quarterly Journal of Economics, February 1999, Vol. 114, pp. 83-116. *John Fernald and Brent Neiman, “Growth Accounting with Misallocation: Or, Doing Less with More in Singapore” AEJ Macroeconomics, 3(2) April 2011 (Better than the optional article on the reading list, that you can still google.) Institutions “The Road to Hell is Unpaved” Economist, December 19, 2002 (on-line only) The Panda has Two Faces, The Economist, March 31, 3010 (on-line only) “Mad, Bad and Dangerous to Know” The Economist, Jan 14, 2010 (on-line only) Openness *“The Free Trade Fix” New York...
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...IPO Pricing of NESTLE Global for the Capital Market of Bangladesh: IPO pricing of Nestle Global for the Capital Market of Bangladesh [For the partial fulfillment of B.B.A. program in Finance] Submitted to Department of Finance University of Dhaka Supervised by Shakila Halim Lecturer Department of Finance University of Dhaka Submitted by Md. Sohebur Rahman Roll: 17-055 Sec: A B.B.A.17th Batch Department of Finance University of Dhaka Date: 7th May, 2015 Letter of Transmittal 07th May, 2015 Chairman Exam Committee B.B.A. 17th batch Department of Finance University of Dhaka Subject: Submission of Internship Report on “IPO pricing of Nestle Global for the capital market of Bangladesh” Sir, I hereby, want to express my sincere gratification to submit my internship report on “IPO pricing of Nestle Global for the capital market of Bangladesh” Through the preparation of the report, I got an opportunity to apply my knowledge of B.B.A. program and to be acquainted with the practical field. I have given all the efforts to make this report a purpose serving one. I hope that you will appreciate my efforts and accept the submission of my report. Sincerely yours, Md. Sohebur Rahman Roll: 17-055 Sec: A B.B.A 17th Batch Department of Finance University of Dhaka Acknowledgement At the very beginning, I would like to express my sincere gratitude to Almighty Allah, who has given me the chance to complete my internship report in a very...
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...1 Part 1 The Global Financial System in Perspective Try to imagine living in a world in which there are no financial institutions, no financial markets, and no financial assets. In such a world, there would be no opportunity to borrow against future income in order to purchase a home or an automobile, or to finance an education. Nor would you be able to save some of your current income (and, thereby, accumulate wealth over time) to handle the future expenses of a growing family or retirement. Businesses could not come up with the resources needed to produce the goods and services you like to consume. There would be no way to acquire insurance against sickness and death. Even the simple act of buying food would become extremely difficult, requiring you to barter simply to survive. The financial system has emerged to fill these and many other critical needs that require some separation in time between the use of resources (such as capital and labor), the production of goods and services, and the actual consumption of those goods and services desired. Financial markets and institutions deal with these issues and provide for the smooth functioning of modern economies, enabling resources to find their way to their most highly valued use. In so doing, the financial system dramatically enhances the efficiency of the economy and raises our standard of living. In order to set the stage for our study of the global financial system, Part One of Money and Capital Markets takes up essential...
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...An Inflection Point in Chinese Capital Markets JC de Swaan Caijing Magazine July 3rd, 2009 The institutional development of Chinese capital markets has lagged – while a growing body of academic literature has demonstrated the positive linkages between the development of capital markets and economic growth, China has managed to grow at a breath-taking 10% CAGR over the last 30 years despite lacking commensurately developed capital markets. Several announcements in the past months suggest a potential shift – China may be finally paving the way to modernize and open up its capital markets, a process that has been long in the making. This time however, a date has been set with the announced objective of turning Shanghai into a global financial hub by 2020. In order to achieve that goal, several seminal changes will need to take place. Foremost among these will be convertibility of the Rmb and opening up of equity capital markets to foreign investors beyond the tightly controlled QFII program in existence. A set of domestic-oriented reforms, including a broadening of financial service offerings, will also be critical to the transformation. While the US-borne financial crisis has triggered much soul-searching in developed economies and a vigorous debate on reforms of financial institutions, it has had none of that effect in China. If anything, it appears to have accelerated plans to reform Chinese capital markets. At a high level, this can be seen as part of a broader effort to assert...
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...INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL MARKETS Topic 1 THE STRUCTURE OF THE INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL SYSTEM Agenda Recent developments in international financial markets The components of the international financial market The eurocurrency market The international equity market The international debt market The foreign exchange (currency) market Globalisation of financial markets The global economy has undergone through a number of structural changes in the past few decades: Real changes liberalization of product and factor markets, allied with technological developments increased output in many countries and particularly in the previously centrally planned economies Monetary changes a global commitment to maintain low rates of inflation after the boost in inflation in the ’70s Financial changes growing completeness and integration of world financial markets, fueled by deregulation and technology 3 Globalisation of financial markets Realities of global financial markets: Short-term nature of capital flows High turnover in financial markets Multiplicity of agents High number and complexity of instruments High speed with which market participants react to new information Global reach of financial institutions Implications: Growing integration of financial markets, including emerging markets Better financing of current account deficits Financial contagion risks 4 How developed are the world’s...
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...Learnings from Article Review – Finance Function in a Global Corporation As companies globalize, they face new financial challenges. Here, the major challenge faced by the Global CEO is giving companies a powerful mechanism for arbitrage across national financial markets as capital markets open up within them. CFO has to balance the traditional question with new questions which arises due to the globalization. By exploiting their internal capital markets, CFO can create value in 3 functions: 1. Financing the internal capital market. 2. Managing Risk Globally, 3. Global Capital Budgeting. 1. Financing the internal capital market – A CFO can significantly reduce a groups overall tax bill by borrowing disproportionately in countries with high tax rates and lending the excess cash to operations in countries with lower rates. But the global CFO needs to be aware of downside of getting strategic about financing in these ways. Saddling the mangers of subsidiaries with debt can cloud their profit performance. 2. Managing Risk Globally – The existence of an internal capital market also broadens a firms Risk management options. Instead of managing all currency exposures through the financial market, global firm can offset natural currency exposures through their worldwide operations. Given this potential for minimizing risk, it might seem perverse that many multinationals let local subsidiaries and regions manage their risks separately. Doing so, however, can obscure the performance...
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...Learnings From Article Review – Finance Function In a Global Corporation Learnings from Article Review – Finance Function in a Global Corporation As companies globalize, they face new financial challenges. Here, the major challenge faced by the Global CEO is giving companies a powerful mechanism for arbitrage across national financial markets as capital markets open up within them. CFO has to balance the traditional question with new questions which arises due to the globalization. By exploiting their internal capital markets, CFO can create value in 3 functions: 1. Financing the internal capital market. 2. Managing Risk Globally, 3. Global Capital Budgeting. 1. Financing the internal capital market – A CFO can significantly reduce a groups overall tax bill by borrowing disproportionately in countries with high tax rates and lending the excess cash to operations in countries with lower rates. But the global CFO needs to be aware of downside of getting strategic about financing in these ways. Saddling the mangers of subsidiaries with debt can cloud their profit performance. 2. Managing Risk Globally – The existence of an internal capital market also broadens a firms Risk management options. Instead of managing all currency exposures through the financial market, global firm can offset natural currency exposures through their worldwide operations. Given this potential for minimizing risk, it might seem perverse that many multinationals let local subsidiaries and regions...
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...the Global CEO is giving companies a powerful mechanism for arbitrage across national financial markets as capital markets open up within them. CFO has to balance the traditional question with new questions which arises due to the globalization. By exploiting their internal capital markets, CFO can create value in 3 functions: 1. Financing the internal capital market. 2. Managing Risk Globally, 3. Global Capital Budgeting. 1. Financing the internal capital market – A CFO can significantly reduce a groups overall tax bill by borrowing disproportionately in countries with high tax rates and lending the excess cash to operations in countries with lower rates. But the global CFO needs to be aware of downside of getting strategic about financing in these ways. Saddling the mangers of subsidiaries with debt can cloud their profit performance. 2. Managing Risk Globally – The existence of an internal capital market also broadens a firms Risk management options. Instead of managing all currency exposures through the financial market, global firm can offset natural currency exposures through their worldwide operations. Given this potential for minimizing risk, it might seem perverse that many multinationals let local subsidiaries and regions manage their risks separately. Doing so, however, can obscure the performance of local units, making it harder for headquarters to assess local managers and easier for financial managers to take purely speculative positions. 3. Global Capital Budgeting...
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...of the most essential phenomenon of our times. Ardalan (2009) described globalisation as a compression of time and space with huge intensification of economic, cultural, social and political interconnections on the global scale. A New Geo-economy by Peter Dicken (2003) Dicken (2003) believes that ‘something’ is happening out there. More industries are orientated towards global markets nowadays in which the increasing of internationalisation and globalisation can be considered as one of the most important development in the world economy. As a result, global division of labor has evolved to a specialisation of labors in different parts of the production processes without being limited by geographical constraints anymore. It leads firms in the industrial countries focus to produce manufactured goods, meanwhile the non-industrialised countries are specialised to supply raw materials or agricultural products to them. This process is not as simple as the theory because the fragmentation of production processes and geographical relocation has been involved in the present trade flow, however. In addition, the emergence of a new international financial is inevitable as well since the development of technologies of transport and communications has accelerated the global transactions (Dicken, 2003). But, there is no consensus whether that ‘something’ is a new thing or not. Some believe that a new globalised world economy has risen, while the others argue that the world economy is still...
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...The Finance Function in a Global Corporation Historically, the finance functions in large U.S. and European firms have focused on cost control, operating budgets, and internal auditing. But as corporations go global, a world of finance opens up within them, presenting new opportunities and challenges for CFOs. Rather than simply make aggregate capital-structure and dividend decisions, for example, they also have to wrestle with the capital structure and profit repatriation policies of their companies’ subsidiaries. Capital budgeting decisions and valuation must reflect not only divisional differences but also the complications introduced by currency, tax, and country risks. Incentive systems need to measure and reward managers operating in various economic and financial settings. The Globally Competent Finance Function The existence of what amounts to internal markets for capital gives global corporations a powerful mechanism for arbitrage across national financial markets. But in managing their internal markets to create a competitive advantage, finance executives must delicately balance the financial opportunities they offer with the strategic opportunities and challenges presented by operating in multiple institutional environments, each of which has it own legal regime and political risks. There is also a critical managerial component: What looks like savvy financial management can ruin individual and organizational motivation. As we’ll see in the following pages, some...
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...The Relationship between Financial Markets and Economic Growth: Implications for Canada Research Study Prepared for the Wise Persons’ Committee Gordon Boissonneault Senior Economist, WPC Staff October 24, 2003 The Relationship between Financial Markets and Economic Growth: Implications for Canada Executive Summary The financial sector has experienced significant change over recent decades, driven by advances in information and communications technology and widespread reductions in international barriers to trade and investment. International integration is advancing rapidly, reflecting in part the development of global production chains and the rapid growth of emerging market economies. As a result of the forces of integration, international competition has become more fierce and firms are under increasing pressure to cut costs and differentiate their products to survive. Canada’s economy has numerous linkages beyond its borders, particularly with the United States. The future improvement of Canadians’ standard of living will depend in large part on foreign investment in Canada and the ability of Canadians to invest abroad. In this regard, a thriving financial sector will be a key component of our success. Canada has a small share of the global capital market. Thus, to be competitive, the Canadian capital market must be efficient and offer a low cost of capital. As much as possible, the policies and institutions that govern the Canadian financial...
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...establish a unilateral system of payments D) foster the power of the foreign exchange market Answer: B Diff: 2 Learning Outcome: Summarize the roles of the international monetary system and global capital market Skill: Concept Objective: 1 2) The Bretton Woods Agreement established a system of fixed exchange rates under which each IMF member country set a ________. A) quota B) par value C) gold standard D) nominal interest rate Answer: B Diff: 2 Learning Outcome: Summarize the roles of the international monetary system and global capital market Skill: Concept Objective: 1 3) In order to join the IMF, a country must contribute a certain sum of money, called a ________. A) special drawing right B) trade balance C) monetary reserve D) quota Answer: D Diff: 1 Learning Outcome: Summarize the roles of the international monetary system and global capital market Skill: Concept Objective: 1 4) Which of the following best describes the special drawing right? A) an international reserve asset created to supplement members' existing reserve assets B) the official currency for international trade established by the World Bank C) a substitute for the fixed value of gold as determined by currency rates D) a contribution made by countries to join the IMF Answer: A Diff: 2 Learning Outcome: Summarize the roles of the international monetary system and global capital market Skill: Concept Objective: 1 5) The value of the SDR is currently based...
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...Bangladesh Capital Markets • Capital markets continue strong performance o Subprime crisis has left little impact on Bangladesh markets o Market capitalization is above US$20bn in 2009 from US$10bn in 2007 o Average daily turnover is approximately US$75mm in 2009 from US$24mm in 2007 Opportunities and Challenges • Key opportunities for future growth o Institutionalization of market brings greater liquidity and lower volatility o Attracting large corporates for listing provides investors with viable investment options • Challenges ahead o Retail dominated market resulting in higher volatility from speculation o Large, well reputed companies prefer to source funds from traditional bank finance against capital markets Bangladesh Economic Outlook • Remittance inflow has been resilient to global turmoil o Bangladeshis abroad sent home US$887.9mm in September’09 • Inflation continues to decline o Fell to 6.04% in July’09, from 6.66% in June’09 and 8.90% in December’08 • GDP growth forecast has been revised downwards to 5.88%, compared to 6.19% in the previous fiscal year • Exports have been relatively sheltered due to low cost nature of Bangladeshi products o Recovery in the US and Europe, the major buyers, expected to boost export earnings Key Commentary • Local market has been relatively sheltered from the recent global meltdown in 2008 o Market was volatile in early 2009 but has stabilized with high turnover and market capitalization...
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...Global Banking and Markets Alexandre Yoda – CFO (safra, jp morgan) estudou Ibmec e FAAP Scotiabank – public company Founded in Halifax, Nova Scotia, Canada in 1832 Headquarters – Toronto, Canada Brian J Porter – President and CEO Scotiabank, through our Global Banking and Markets division, provides corporate and investment banking and capital markets products and services to corporate, institutional and government clients around the globe. We have over 30 offices globally and more than 300 relationship managers organized around industry specialties. The business line includes the following departments: * Corporate Banking * Global Equity and Advisory * Global Investment Banking * Global Oil and Gas M&A (Scotia Waterous) * Global Equity * Equity Capital Markets * U.S. Energy Equity (Scotia Howard Weil) * Fixed Income, Currencies and Commodities * Global Fixed Income * Global Foreign Exchange * Precious and Base Metals (ScotiaMocatta) * Global Financial Institutions and Transaction Banking Our history dates back to 1832 - the year when The Bank of Nova Scotia was founded. For the duration of the 19th century, and throughout the next, bank branches expanded across Canada, into the U.S. and overseas. In addition to its growing retail services, The Bank of Nova Scotia began providing corporate banking services from its New York offices in the early 80's. By 1983, in response to increasing...
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...significant transformation during the 2000s. They became part of global supply chains, major global commodity consumers and large capital exporters, and were also deeply involved in regional co-operation initiatives. These factors contributed to global disinflation in manufactured goods prices, abundant global liquidity and strong growth in commodity-exporting economies including Australia. (maybe because of 1997-1998 Asian financial crisis) In the coming decade, Asian economies are likely to continue their ascendancy, albeit at a slower pace, which should eventually decouple Asia from the advanced economies. With increasing domestic cost pressures, Asia may also become a new source of global inflation. Asia’s exports of capital to advanced economies may shrink as the region rebalances and outflows should focus more on portfolio investment and foreign direct investment (FDI). In the coming decade, a potential crisis in a major Asian economy such as China could trigger the next global recession. SUMMARY: History: more than 1000 years before the industrial revolution, the combined share of China and India in the world economy was routinely greater than 50% (but whether they will assert influences on the world economy depends on assumption of sustainability) 1993: the East Asian miracle, HPAEs (world bank 1993), no China India 1997-1998 Asian financial crisis (triggered by the withdrawal of foreign capital from the region, however, excessive borrowing, overheating economies...
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