Premium Essay

The Pros And Cons Of Exit Polls

Submitted By
Words 616
Pages 3
A lot of people are writing now about why Kerry lost. Here I want to examine a more specific question: why were the exit polls so wrong?

In Ohio, which Kerry ultimately lost 49-51, exit polls gave him a 52-48 victory. And this wasn't just random error. In every swing state they overestimated the Kerry vote. In Florida, which Bush ultimately won 52-47, exit polls predicted a dead heat.

(These are not early numbers. They're from about midnight eastern time, long after polls closed in Ohio and Florida. And yet by the next afternoon the exit poll numbers online corresponded to the returns. The only way I can imagine this happening is if those in charge of the exit polls cooked the books after seeing the actual returns. But that's another issue.) …show more content…
But this year there may have been. It may be that a significant number of those who voted for Bush didn't want to say so.

Why not? Because people in the US are more conservative than they're willing to admit. The values of the elite in this country, at least at the moment, are NPR values. The average person, as I think both Republicans and Democrats would agree, is more socially conservative. But while some openly flaunt the fact that they don't share the opinions of the elite, others feel a little nervous about it, as if they had bad table manners.

For example, according to current NPR values, you can't say anything that might be perceived as disparaging towards homosexuals. To do so is "homophobic." And yet a large number of Americans are deeply religious, and the Bible is quite explicit on the subject of homosexuality. What are they to do? I think what many do is keep their opinions, but keep them to themselves.

They know what they believe, but they also know what they're supposed to believe. And so when a stranger (for example, a pollster) asks them their opinion about something like gay marriage, they will not always say what they really

Similar Documents

Premium Essay

Should Euthanasia or Physician-Assisted Suicide Be Legal

...EUTHANASIA: The intentional killing by act or omission of a dependent human being for his alleged benefit. (If death is not intended, it is not an act of euthanasia) ARGUMENTS FOR EUTHANASIA: It provides away to relieve extreme pain It provides a way of relief when a person’s quality of life is low Frees up medical funds to help people It is another case of freedom of choice ARGUMENTS AGAINST EUTHANASIA: Euthanasia devalues human life Euthanasia can become a means of health care cost containment Physicians and other medical care people should not be involved in directly causing death There is a “slippery slope” effect that has occurred where euthanasia has been first been legalized for only the terminally and later laws are changed to allow it for other people or to be done non-voluntarily. Opposition overcomes 48 point deficit to defeat assisted suicide - Ballot Question 2 in Massachusetts 1 1 0 Google BOSTON, Nov. 7, 2012 /PRNewswire/ -- In a stunning upset, the voters of Massachusetts soundly defeated Ballot Question 2 on Election Day. Dealing a significant setback to the expansion of the assisted suicide movement throughout the United States by Compassion & Choices (the organization formerly known as the Hemlock Society), a diverse coalition of disability rights organizations, medical associations, nurses' groups, community leaders and faith-based organizations united in this effort. "Tonight was a huge victory for those of us in the...

Words: 6383 - Pages: 26

Premium Essay

Nuclear Energy

...how vital it really is to our livelyhood. One could say that the development of nuclear is vital because of global warming threats. Since our combustion of fossil fuels produces carbon in the atmosphere, resulting in rising heat over time. Nuclear provides a form of noncombusting renewable energy that if prudently researched and implemented provides an alternative to polluting engines of the past. This warming fear is a large reason nuclear power is a growing idea. The technology is not simple to do, the production is a very meticulous process, wielding great power for good and great danger. The process requires strong regulation. With such a high risk, high reward scenario, we as humanity's hope for a better tomorrow must weigh the pros and cons to find if we are able to prudently expand and increase research towards safety and efficiency. Producing nuclear energy is not as simple as taking it from radioactive material as portrayed in media. The power is derived from one of the two nuclear processes, called nuclear fission. For this process a slow moving neutron is absorbed by the nucleus of a uranium-235 atom, which then splits into lighter elements(products of fission) and free neutrons that shoot away quickly. This results in massive amounts of gamma ray and kinetic energy. Power...

Words: 2406 - Pages: 10

Free Essay

Global Business Plan

...Final Global Business Plan Paper Chris Fischbach, O.H. Hudson Jr, William Del Valle MGT/448 Global Business Strategies February 15, 2012 John O'Brien, MBA Final Global Business Plan Paper * In the previous weeks, Team D set out to gain a better understanding of globalization and determine if opportunities exist for branching out their fictional company DeltaCompCarib (DCC) into a new global market. During this time the team developed a business strategy to promote DCC and bring its product line to Puerto Rico. Early on DCC had to conduct a regional analysis, country analysis, and an organization and product or service analysis. Regional Analysis Regional Alliances and Economic Integration Puerto Rico is just one of many Caribbean countries, which make up the Caribbean Community and Common Market (CARICOM). This regional integration between Caribbean countries, formed in 1973. According to the United States Trade International Commission (2008), “The purpose of regional integration is to achieve economic gains through free trade flow and investments between neighboring countries often by lowering or eliminating tariffs against imports from fellow member countries. These actions increase duty free trade, tourism, movement of labor, and the flow of capital across national borders, reducing the possibility of conflict. Regional integration promotes global business in that it removes, in stages or altogether...

Words: 6790 - Pages: 28

Free Essay

Linux System Programming

...LINUX System Programming Other Linux resources from O’Reilly Related titles Building Embedded Linux Systems Designing Embedded Hardware Linux Device Drivers Linux Kernel in a Nutshell Programming Embedded Systems Running Linux Understanding Linux Network Internals Understanding the Linux Kernel Linux Books Resource Center linux.oreilly.com is a complete catalog of O’Reilly’s books on Linux and Unix and related technologies, including sample chapters and code examples. ONLamp.com is the premier site for the open source web platform: Linux, Apache, MySQL and either Perl, Python, or PHP. Conferences O’Reilly brings diverse innovators together to nurture the ideas that spark revolutionary industries. We specialize in documenting the latest tools and systems, translating the innovator’s knowledge into useful skills for those in the trenches. Visit conferences.oreilly.com for our upcoming events. Safari Bookshelf (safari.oreilly.com) is the premier online reference library for programmers and IT professionals. Conduct searches across more than 1,000 books. Subscribers can zero in on answers to time-critical questions in a matter of seconds. Read the books on your Bookshelf from cover to cover or simply flip to the page you need. Try it today for free. LINUX System Programming Robert Love Beijing • Cambridge • Farnham • Köln • Paris • Sebastopol • Taipei • Tokyo Linux System Programming by Robert Love Copyright...

Words: 125679 - Pages: 503

Free Essay

Niger

...The Political Economy of the Greek Debt Crisis: A Tale of Two Bailouts Silvia Ardagna and Francesco Caselli First draft: February 2012; Final version: January 2014 Abstract We review the events that led to the May 2010 and July 2011 bailout agreements. We interpret the bailouts as outcomes of political-economy equilibria. We argue that these equilibria were likely not on the Pareto frontier, and sketch political-economy arguments for why collective policy making in the Euro area may lead to suboptimal outcomes. Most modern sovereign debt crises have been managed in Washington, DC, through the combined e¤orts of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the US government. A distinctive feature of the crisis that has engulfed European sovereign-debt markets since the fall of 2009 has been that the IMF has played only a supporting (albeit important) role, while the management of the crisis has been driven by European institutions: the council of …nance ministers (ECOFIN), the European Council (EC, made up by all the heads of government of the European Union) and the European Central Bank (ECB). To the extent that the IMF is largely a technocratic institution (though of course not entirely immune from political in‡ uence) while ECOFIN and the EC are made up of politicians, one may expect the management of the crisis by the EC to be more a¤ected by electoral concerns. Furthermore, since there are 27 members to the EC, representing countries with potentially di¤erent interests, one...

Words: 18925 - Pages: 76

Premium Essay

Moral Compass

...| Business Leadership and Human Values Seminar2 CreditsBU 131.601.F5Summer Session 2016Wednesdays 1:30-4:30pm -- June 8 – July 27 Harbor East Room 230 | Instructor Rick Milter, Ph.D. Contact Information Phone Number: 410.234.9422 milter@jhu.edu Office Hours Typically before class session or by appointment. Required Learning Materials This course is a series of thematic conversations about human values and your responsibilities as an emerging/aspiring business leader. There is no traditional textbook, but there is much reading. You are required to read The Moral Compass: Leadership for a Free World, a workbook by Lindsay Thompson available online as a PDF in Course Documents. You will find details about required learning materials in the Bibliography and Theme Briefs sections of the Syllabus. Course Description and Overview This course explores ethical leadership as a framework for enterprise value creation in a complex environment of competing economic and moral claims. Students examine the intrinsic ethical challenges of leadership and the concept of a moral compass as a foundation for responding effectively to the ethical challenges of corporate citizenship and value creation in a competitive global economy. (2 credits) Syllabus Table of Contents Page Topic 2 Bibliography & Learning Resources 6 Calendar, Seminar Structure, Theme Briefs, Content 42 Seminar Preparation Toolkit 48 Learning Objectives, Graded Assignments...

Words: 18169 - Pages: 73

Premium Essay

Game Change

...Chapter Twenty – Sarahcuda Chapter Twenty-One – September Surprise Chapter Twenty-Two – Seconds in Command Chapter Twenty-Three – The Finish Line Epilogue – Together at Last Index Author’s Notes About the Authors Copyright About the Publisher Prologue BARACK OBAMA JERKED BOLT upright in bed at three o’clock in the morning. Darkness enveloped his low-rent room at the Des Moines Hampton Inn; the airport across the street was quiet in the hours before dawn. It was very late December 2007, a few days ahead of the Iowa caucuses. Obama had been sprinting flat out for president for nearly a year. Through all the nights he’d endured in cookie-cutter hotels during the months of uncertainty and angst —months of lagging by a mile in the national polls, his improbable bid for the White House written off by the Washington smart set, his self-confidence shaken by his uneven performance and the formidability of his archrival, Hillary Clinton—Obama always slept...

Words: 160589 - Pages: 643

Free Essay

As, Ca, Pdf

...ISSUES FOR IIM INTERVIEW  PROCESS © EssaysforIIM.com 2014-15 Issues for IIM PI Process http://www.essaysforIIM.com   Contents  US‐CHINA ENVIRONMENT DEAL  8  OIL PRICE  9  PAYMENT BANKS  11  SHADOW BANKING  13  NBFCs  14  NEW DEFINITION OF FDI  16  REFORMS IN POWER DISTRIBUTION  16  SECURITIES LAWS (AMENDMENT) BILL 2014  18  JUVENILE JUSTICE BILL, 2014  18  HUMAN DEVELOPMENT: INTERNATIONAL COMPARISON  19  INEQUALITY  20  SOCIO‐ECONOMIC PROFILE OF STATES AND INTER‐STATE COMPARISONS  21  ASER 2013: Main Findings  23  SKILL DEVELOPMENT  24  HOW INDIA NEEDS TO FACE CLIMATE CHANGE  24  AGENDA FOR ECONOMIC REFORMS  28  INFRASTRUCTURE  30  WHY LONG‐RUN MATTERS  30  FIVE PRONGED STRATEGY TO CONTROL INFLATION  31  URJIT PATEL COMMITTEE  32  Some Major Issues in India's Merchandise Trade Sector  32  MAKE IN INDIA OPPORTUNITY  34  Make for India or Make in India – The debate begins!  37  VULNERABILITY COMPARISON OF INDIAN ECONOMY  38  PM JAN DHAN YOJANA  39  COOPERATIVE FEDERALISM  40  ZERO DEFECT, ZERO EFFECT  41  DIGITAL INDIA  42  TWO FACTOR IDENTIFICATION ISSUE  43  MINSK AGREEMENT  44  WILFUL DEFAULT  44  © EssaysforIIM.com 2014‐15   Page 1 Issues for IIM PI Process http://www.essaysforIIM.com   ‘MAKE IN INDIA’  ...

Words: 128478 - Pages: 514

Premium Essay

Nordea Analysis

...| Earnst & Young Banking Risk Radar Practical Implementation in Nordea Bank Finland Plc. | Risk Evaluation and Recommendation on Improvement | | | | Prepared by: Sergey Kovalonok Dmitry Vinichenko Artjom Kostjukovich | Introduction Searching for an appropriate case study first of all we were interested in not what we can give to this work, but what this work can give to us. Yes, a famous quote of John F. Kennedy, but, probably, more egocentric. Indeed, we wanted to gain. What exactly? The most important we wanted to gain the feeling of success after a difficult work. As we mentioned difficult we wanted a challenge. As we mentioned a challenge it means we didn’t want to take a company where the problem is evident, which by our understanding is any negative event in the company such as financial losses or bad publicity. After a series of discussions, we decided to take a very successful company and find how we can help to make it even more successful. The reason for such approach is that it becomes more difficult to find any serious issues, but at the same time the reality of such case increases as in the real world, in most cases, we are employed by well functioning companies, where these serious issues are not so evident. Table of Contents Nordea Profile 3 Selection of evaluation method 5 Bank & Capital Markets Risk Radar 6 Nordea Bank evaluation 7 Global financial shocks 7 Credit shocks and exposures 9 Reputation risks 10 ...

Words: 8895 - Pages: 36

Free Essay

Grammar Worksheet

...GLENCOE LANGUAGE ARTS Grammar and Language Workbook G RADE 9 Glencoe/McGraw-Hill Copyright © by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. Except as permitted under the United States Copyright Act of 1976, no part of this publication may be reproduced or distributed in any form or means, or stored in a database or retrieval system, without the prior written permission of the publisher. Send all inquiries to: Glencoe/McGraw-Hill 936 Eastwind Drive Westerville, Ohio 43081 ISBN 0-02-818294-4 Printed in the United States of America 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 024 03 02 01 00 99 Contents Handbook of Definitions and Rules .........................1 Troubleshooter ........................................................21 Part 1 Grammar ......................................................45 Unit 1 Parts of Speech 1.1 Nouns: Singular, Plural, and Collective ....47 1.2 Nouns: Proper and Common; Concrete and Abstract.................................49 1.3 Pronouns: Personal and Possessive; Reflexive and Intensive...............................51 1.4 Pronouns: Interrogative and Relative; Demonstrative and Indefinite .....................53 1.5 Verbs: Action (Transitive/Intransitive) ......55 1.6 Verbs: Linking .............................................57 1.7 Verb Phrases ................................................59 1.8 Adjectives ....................................................61 1.9 Adverbs........................................................63 1.10 Prepositions...

Words: 107004 - Pages: 429

Premium Essay

Case Study

...Instructors Manual Case Studies Table of Contents Introduction Shipper Manufacturing Company ………………………………............ C-2 FHE, Inc. ……………………………………………………………….. C-5 Early Supplier Integration in the Design of the Skid-Steer Loader……... C-9 Process Design Eastern Gear, Inc. ………………………………………………………. C-17 Southwest Airlines: Singin’ the (Jet) Blues …………………………….. C-21 The Field Service Division of DMI ……………………………………. C-29 Pharmacy Service Improvement at CVS (A) …………………………… C-36 U.S. Stroller …………………………………………………………….. C-37 Quality Customer-Driven Learning at Radisson Hotels Worldwide ……………. C-41 Quality at Gillette Argentina …………………………………………… C-46 Bayfield Mud Company ………………………………………………… C-47 Six Sigma at 3M, Inc. …………………………………………………... C-53 Capacity and Scheduling Crocs: Revolutionizing an Industry’s Supply Chain Model for Competitive Advantage …………………………………….. C-58 Unifine Richardson …………………………………………………….. C-59 eBags: Managing Growth ……………………………………………… C-60 Merriwell Bag Company ……………………………………………….. C-69 Lawn King, Inc. ………………………………………………………… C-74 World Industrial Abrasives ……………………………………………... C-84 Inventory Consolidated Electric …………………………………………………... C-88 Southern Toro Distributor, Inc. ………………………………………… C-93 ToysPlus, Inc. …………………………………………………………... C-99 SHIPPER MANUFACTURING COMPANY Teaching Notes Synopsis and Purpose Shipper Manufacturing Company is a manufacturer of electrical products, laminated materials...

Words: 33168 - Pages: 133

Premium Essay

Basic Mba

...BU Basic M.B.A. International Master of Business Administration |Index | Accounting . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2 Business Law . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20 Entrepreneurship. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 100 Finance. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 119 Management. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 160 Marketing. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 180 Operations. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 220 Statistics. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 252 Strategic Management. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ...

Words: 103642 - Pages: 415

Free Essay

Besanko

...Chapter 1 The Evolution of the Modern Firm Chapter Contents 1) Introduction 2) The World in 1840 • Doing Business in 1840 • Conditions of Business in 1840: Life Without a Modern Infrastructure Example 1.1: The Emergence of Chicago 3) The World in 1910 • Doing Business in 1910 Example 1.2: Responding to the Business Environment: The Case of American Whaling • Business Conditions in 1910: A "Modern" Infrastructure Example 1.3: Evolution of the Steel Industry 4) The World Today • Doing Business Today • The Infrastructure Today Example 1.4: Economic Gyrations and Traffic Gridlock in Thailand 5) Three Different Worlds: Consistent Principles, Changing Conditions, and Adaptive Strategies Example 1.5: Infrastructure and Emerging Markets: The Russian Privatization Program Example 1.6: Building National Infrastructure: The Transcontinental Railroad 6) Chapter Summary 7) Questions Chapter Summary This chapter analyses the business environment in three different time periods: 1840, 1910 and the present. It looks at the business infrastructure, market conditions, the size and scope of a firm’s activities and a firm’s response to changes. This historical perspective shows that all successful businesses have used similar principles to adapt to widely varying business conditions in order to succeed. Businesses in the period before 1840 were small and operated in localized markets...

Words: 81132 - Pages: 325

Premium Essay

Economics Magazine: S.G.T.B. Khalsa College

...THE YEAR THAT WAS(2011-12) In a year marked by mass protests, the awakening that swept the Arab world stood out. The Arab spring was sparked by rallies in Tunisia that followed the self-immolation in late 2010 of a young market worker angered by police harassment. He died in hospital in January, prompting thousands to take to the streets in sometimes violent clashes that forced the long-time president, Zine el-Abidine Ben Ali, to flee to Saudi Arabia. Emboldened by the outcome in Tunisia, protesters soon rose up in other Arab countries. Hundreds of thousands of Egyptians filled the centre of Cairo and camped in Tahrir Square to call for Hosni Mubarak to step down. After three decades in power, Mr Mubarak withstood only three weeks of strife. Although frail, he eventually stood trial (due to resume soon) for the deaths that occurred when his security forces tried to quash the protests. Elsewhere, Yemen’s president fled in June and eventually signed a transition deal to end his 33-year reign; Saudi troops helped to put down unrest in Bahrain; and reform was embraced in Morocco and Jordan. But the Arab spring was met with stiff resistance in Syria, where protests were brutally put down by Bashar Assad’s regime, resulting in over 7,000 deaths so far. In Libya Muammar Qaddafi caused a civil war after he tried to crush an opposition movement that spread from Benghazi. NATO aircraft enforced a no-fly zone, endorsed by the Arab League, in support of the rebels. After a summer of conflict...

Words: 25883 - Pages: 104

Free Essay

Gov and Pol

...Edexcel AS Politics Edexcel AS Politics ExamBuster 2009 Introduction to Unit 1- People and Politics Understanding the Examination and Exam Technique Choosing your questions In this unit you are presented with four questions. They are of equal value and each question covers one of the four sections of the specification. These are: Democracy and political participation Party policies and ideas Elections Pressure groups There is no significance to the order in which questions appear. Each question is divided into three sections (a), (b) and (c). When choosing which questions to do, the following principles are recommended: It is almost certain that you will be better off choosing your strongest question to do first. You should choose questions on the basis of how well you can answer the section (c) part. The (c) part carries 25 of the 40 marks available for the whole answer. Do not choose a question simply because you can do part (a) especially well. The (a) question is only worth 5 marks. It would be illogical to choose your strongest (a) part if you cannot do well on section (c). If you cannot decide between several (c) parts, i.e. you can do more than one equally well, make your choice on the basis of part (b) which carries 10 marks. But remember, it is the (c) parts that will determine most what your overall mark will be. So, when you first look at the exam paper, look at the (c) sections first. Assessment Objectives Each question is divided into three sections,...

Words: 51996 - Pages: 208