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Velocity of Money

In: Business and Management

Submitted By cgzza
Words 359
Pages 2
El tercer trabajo de investigación consta de formular una gráfica en la que se muestre la velocidad de los agregados monetarios M1 y M2 en México en los últimos años. Para realizar la gráfica se necesita obtener los datos de tanto M1 y M2, así como el Producto Interno Bruto. Habiendo obtenido los datos en periodos trimestrales desde el año 1994, se creó una base de datos y en consecuencia obtuvimos la siguiente gráfica en la cual se muestra la velocidad del dinero desde ese año hasta último trimestre del 2009.

Después de realizar la gráfica, la cual muestra el comportamiento que han tenido los agregados monetarios en México desde el primer trimestre de 1994, lo más interesante que se puede observar, es la importante caída que tuvieron durante el último trimestre del 2008 y el primero del 2009. Esto evidentemente se debió a la crisis financiera que se desató a finales del 2008 y que provocó que el PIB cayera más de un 8 por ciento en el país, ya que en el último trimestre del 2008 el PIB se encontraba en un 1.5 por ciento, y en el segundo trimestre del 2009 el valor había disminuido a un menos 8.9 por ciento. En porcentajes, podemos decir que la caída fue de más del 150 por ciento para el agregado monetario M2, y poco más del 100 por ciento para el M1. Previo a esa caída se venía observando una estabilidad posterior a una caída en el 2000. Sin embargo también es importante mencionar el gran cambio que se vivió en el año 1995, ya que debido a la crisis de finales de 1994 se vino un desplome del PIB de 4.2 por ciento a menos 6.2 por ciento, lo que significó una caída de poco más de un 10 por ciento, algo que no había sucedido desde hace ya muchos años. Mediante la gráfica es muy sencillo analizar y darnos cuenta como las crisis financieras han afectado en gran medida la velocidad del dinero, ya que en los periodos en los que se han sufrido crisis financieras, el desplome se hace evidente.

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