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Klm and Airfrance Merge

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Submitted By batraks
Words 609
Pages 3
Questions 2 and 3
More likely systematic risk of merge companies will be closer to current risk of Air France.
Beta of combined companies is 1.36
Future tax rate for both companies that are merge is 35%
Market premium 5%
Risk free rate 4.1%
Cost of equity 10.9% Year | Expected benefit | Midpoint | Discount factor | Discount value after tax million euro | 2004/2005 | 65-75 | 70 x 0.65 | 0.90171 | 41.03 | 2005/2006 | 110-135 | 122.5 x 0.65 | 0.81309 | 64.74 | 2006/2007 | 220-260 | 249 x 0.65 | 0.73317 | 114.37 | 2007/2008 | 295-370 | 332.5 x 0.65 | 0.66111 | 142.88 | 2008/2009 | 385-495 | 440 x 0.65 | 0.59613 | 170.49 | Beyond | 600 | 600x 0.65 | 0.59613x9.17431 | 2.132.94 | | | | Total | 2.666.45 |

Probably, merger will reduce airlines post merger tax rate and systematic risk rate because of KLM’s tax loss carry forwards. If we look to management expectations value of synergies is about 2.666 million euro. Should KLM shareholders be paid as a takeover premium: * Companies can be assumed to the predicted synergies in similar way
(KLM -15.7%, Air France 84.3 % - market value differences taking into account) * Merger can take form of an exchange of share in this case no premium must be paid.
Assume:
1. Shareholders of Air France agree on merger value to be 2.666 million euro 2. They understand that they will receive (3008.8/(559.8+3008.8)) = 84.3% , but KLM (559.8/(559.8+3008.8)) = 15.7% 3. And Air France share price will rise
Air France share price increase by: 10.22 Euro - 3008.8/(559.8+3008.8) x 2,666 x (1/219,780,887))
Price per share after announcement 23.91 Euro - 13.69+10.22
KLM price per share approximately 20.89 Euro

Now we can calculated how many Air France shares KLM shareholders should receive - 20.89/23.91 = 0.87 Air France shares per each KLM share or by using exchange rate by taking

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