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Операционные результаты

2014 год
1

Краткий обзор

Краткий обзор
Российская
продуктовая розничная сеть

№1

2 108

Населенных пунктов

№3

в Европе по рыночной капитализации по выручке и по количеству магазинов 9 711
Магазинов

Мультиформатная модель развития, включающая магазины у дома, гипермаркеты, магазины «Магнит Семейный», а также магазины дрогери

3 591

Тыс. кв.м.
Торговая площадь

млрд.
$21

Структура акционеров

Рыночная капитализация 5 938
Грузовиков

%
>6

27
РЦ

доля на продовольственном розничном рынке России

по состоянию на 30.06.2014 г.

В свободном обращении

Сергей Галицкий, CEO

Другие

54,6%

38,7%

3,3%

0,1%

Lavreno Ltd. (Кипр)

3,4%
По состоянию на 31.12.2014 г.
Источник: Компания, Bloomberg, отчетность по МСФО за 1П 2014 г.

2

Краткий обзор

Ключевые показатели

млрд. ($10,0млрд.)
P 349,0

=

Маржа чистой прибыли

Маржа
EBITDA

Чистый долг/
LTM EBITDA

5,61%

10,47%

0,9

Дивидендная доходность* 1,31%

Выручка за 1П 2014

Коэффициент выплаты дивидендов*

36%

Прогноз на 2015 год
Новые магазины

1 200
Рост
выручки, руб.

26-32%

Магазинов у дома

90

Маржа
EBITDA

9,5-11,0%

*По состоянию на 31.12.2013 г.
Источник: отчетность по МСФО за 1П 2014 г., расчеты Компании

Гипермаркетов

800

Магазинов дрогери Капитальные затраты 65 млрд. руб.
3

Краткий обзор

Стратегия
Рост

Мультиформатный органический рост магазинов

Плотность
Географический
расположения охват магазинов

Цена-Качество

Низкие цены Высокое качество Ассортимент

Эффективность

Управление Вертикальная Централизация затратами интеграция

4

Краткий обзор

Российский рынок розничной торговли

311

Объем рынка за 2013 год

млрд. долл.

47

%

Доля современных форматов розничной торговли

Структура рынка по форматам
Традиционные 53%

47%

Современные

Открытые рынки

Дискаунтеры

10%

22%

Киоски, павильоны

Супермаркеты

8%

14%

Традиционные магазины

Гипермаркеты

34%

11%

Источник: Расчет Сбербанка КИБ за 2013 г.

5

Краткий обзор

Магнит и конкуренты
Количество
магазинов

Торговая площадь тыс. кв.м

Выручка млрд.руб. Капитализация млрд.долл., 31.12.2014

Рыночная доля
%

Магнит

8 093

3 011

579,7

21,5

6

X5

4 544

2 223

532,7

3,3

5

Дикси

1 799

617

180,5

0,8

2

Окей

94

489

139,5

1,2

1

Лента

87

508

144,3

79

740

300,0

72

564

183,2

Ашан

Метро

Источник: по состоянию на 31.12.2013 г.; данные компаний, Инфолайн, Bloomberg, расчеты Магнита;

2,9 n/a n/a

1

2

2

6

Обзор операционных результатов

География сети

2 108
7

населенных пунктов федеральных округов Северо- Уральский Сибирский
СевероЮжный Центральный
Приволжский Западный
Кавказский
330

219
1 523

Магазины у дома

2 170

2 614

757

8 344

731
4

Гипермаркеты

7

55

32

58

12

Магнит Семейный

3

28

19

34

3

7

190

22

3

97

22

Магазины дрогери

Распределительные центры

Источник: Компания, по состоянию на 31.12.2014 г.

57

270

245

312

98

1

6

8

6

2

2

1 080

76

2

27
7

Обзор операционных результатов

Система логистики

27
РЦ

909

5 938

9 711

тыс. кв.м
Складская площадь

Грузовиков

Количество магазинов Уровень централизации
Центральный

8

Приволжский

6

3000

357,506

2698

147,883

%
2014 г.

Цель

Магазины у дома
Южный

6

Уральский
СевероКавказский

2

1

1980

178,328

92,782

34,503

936

343

Магнит
90
92
Услуги 3-х лиц
10
8

Гипермаркеты
Магнит

СевероЗападный

2

Сибирский

2

Источник: Компания, по состоянию на 31.12.2014 г.

71,860

26,064

71

520

234

80
Услуги 3-х лиц
29
20

8

Обзор операционных результатов

Поставщики

5000
1000

55-60%

Внутренние поставщики 40-45%

Федеральные поставщики

4000

Местные поставщики

Ассортимент

Источник: Компания, по состоянию на 31.12.2014 г.

9

Обзор операционных результатов

Прямой импорт

%
10

860

Доля прямого импорта в выручке

Действующих контрактов Частная марка
M

605

Товарных позиций Источник: Компания, по состоянию на 31.12.2014 г.

%
11

Доля в выручке

%
88

Доля продовольственных товаров

10

Обзор операционных результатов

Персонал

257 551

Сотрудник

Среднее количество сотрудников – 207 853

184 680
Персонал
магазинов

45 081
Работники РЦ

18 229
Сотрудники
филиалов

9 561

Персонал
Головной компании

1000 сотрудников

P
= 27 376
Источник: Компания, по состоянию на 31.12.2014 г.
⃰ по состоянию на 30.06.2014 г.

Среднемесячная заработная плата ⃰

%
10

Рост заработной платы ⃰

11

Обзор операционных результатов

Конкурентные преимущества
Расположение

Цены

Качество продукции Ассортимент

Надежность

Атмосфера

Область пересечения продаж
Конкурент №2

Конкурент №1

500 м

Магнит №2
500 м

Источник: расчеты Компании

(1 500–1 600 семей)

P
= 4 000-9 500

Магнит №1

Конкурент №3

5 000

человек — минимальное население

Пересечение
“Хорошая”
каннибализация

%
40

Ежемесячный семейный бюджет на продукты питания Доля продуктов питания в семейном бюджете

12

Магазин у дома

Обзор операционных результатов

Магазин у дома
Описание формата

Ключевые операционные показатели

Открытие

Площадь магазина

Средний чек

Срок окупаемости

459
320

кв.м
Общая
площадь кв.м Торговая площадь Ассортимент

91%

Прод. товары

9%

Непрод. товары

Структура собственности магазинов

28%

Собственных

72%

Арендованных

P
= 225,1

В случае аренды

$5,9

3 года

Трафик
Чеков/кв.м/день

2,8

4-6 лет

Плотность продаж
Выручка/кв.м/год

P
= 238
$6 196

Стоимость нового магазина на кв.м общей площади

077

Собственность $1

100-2 800
Аренда $250-500

LFL 2014-2013,%

9,81
3,68

Средний чек, руб.

13,85
Источник: Компания, по состоянию на 31.12.2014 г.

В случае собственности

Выручка

Достижение зрелости

Трафик

6 месяцев
14

Гипермаркет

Обзор операционных результатов

Гипермаркет
Описание формата

Ключевые операционные показатели

Открытие

Площадь магазина

Средний чек

Срок окупаемости

6 872
2 943

кв.м
Общая
площадь кв.м Торговая площадь М: До 3 000
Ср: 3 000-6 000
Б: Более 6 000

P
= 587,8
$15,3

Стоимость нового магазина на кв.м общей площади

Трафик
Чеков/кв.м/день

$1700-2900
Аренда $800-900

1,2

Собственность

Плотность продаж
Выручка/кв.м/год

Ассортимент

82%

Прод. товары

18%

Непрод. товары

P
= 275

073

81%

Собственных

19%

Арендованных

Источник: Компания, по состоянию на 31.12.2014 г.

Достижение зрелости

$7 159
LFL 2014-2013,%

Структура собственности магазинов

6-9 лет

7,98
5,63

Средний чек, руб.

14,05

8-15 месяцев

Выручка

Трафик

16

Магнит Семейный

Обзор операционных результатов

Магнит Семейный
Описание формата
Площадь магазина

Ключевые операционные показатели
Средний чек

2 240
1 124

кв.м
Общая
площадь кв.м Торговая площадь Ассортимент

87%

Прод. товары

13%

Непрод. товары

Структура собственности магазинов
Собственных

39%
Арендованных
61%

Срок окупаемости

P
= 419,0
$10,9

$2 100-2 800
Аренда $800-1 400

2,1

Собственность

Плотность продаж
Выручка/кв.м/год

P
= 371

6-9 лет
Стоимость нового магазина на кв.м общей площади

Трафик
Чеков/кв.м/день

659

Достижение зрелости

$9 673
LFL 2014-2013,%

9,28
8,87

8-15 месяцев

Средний чек, руб.

18,97
Источник: Компания, по состоянию на 31.12.2014 г.

Открытие

Выручка

Трафик

18

Магазин дрогери

Обзор операционных результатов

Магазин дрогери
Описание формата

Ключевые операционные показатели

Открытие

Площадь магазина

Средний чек

Срок окупаемости

306
231

кв.м
Общая
площадь кв.м Торговая площадь Ассортимент

100%

Непрод. товары

P
= 251,8

В случае аренды

$6,6

3 года

Трафик
Чеков/кв.м/день

В случае собственности

1,0

4-6 лет

Плотность продаж
Выручка/кв.м/год
Структура собственности магазинов
Собственных

23%
Арендованных
77%

P
= 104
$2 724
LFL 2014-2013,%

Собственность $800-2 500

Аренда $300-500

Средний чек, руб.

3,76
Трафик
35,69
40,79

Источник: Компания, по состоянию на 31.12.2014 г.

643

Стоимость нового магазина на кв.м общей площади

Выручка

Достижение зрелости

6 месяцев
20

Обзор операционных результатов

Описание форматов
Площадь
магазина, кв.м Средний чек

Трафик/
Чеков/
кв.м/день

Плотность продаж Выручка/ кв.м./год • Общая
• Торговая

Ассортимент

• Прод.товары
• Непрод.товары

LFL 20142013 %
• Ср. чек
• трафик/
Выручка

Структура собственности магазинов

Срок окупаемости, лет

3 (аренда)

3,68
459
320

P.225,1
$5,9

2,8

P.238 077
$6 196

91%
9%

13,85

28%
72%

5,63
Гипермаркет

6 872
2943*

P.587,8
$15,3

P.275 073
$7 159

82%
18%

14,05

6-9

81%
19%

3,76

3 (аренда)

35,69

Магазин дрогери 306
231

P.251,8
$6,6

1,0

P.104 643
$2 724

40,79

100%

23%
77%

8,87
2 240
1 124

P.419,0
$10,9

2,1

P.371 659
$9 673

87%
13%

18,97

6

Собственность
$1 700-2 900
Аренда
$ 800-900

Собственность
$800-2 500
Аренда
$300-500

8-15

6

4-6 (собств.)

9,28

Магнит
Семейный

Собственность
$1 100-2 800
Аренда
$ 250-500

4-6 (собств.)

7,98
1,2

Достижение зрелости, месяцы

• Собственность
• Аренда

9,81
Магазин у дома Стоимость нового магазина на кв.м общей площади 6-9
39%
61%

Источник: Компания, по состоянию на 31.12.2014 г.; *Не включает торговую площадь, предназначенную для сдачи в аренду

Собственность
$2 100-2 800
Аренда
$800-1 400

8-15

21

Обзор финансовых результатов

Отчет о прибылях и убытках
Млн. долл.

1П 2013

1П 2014


1П 2013 / 1П2014
Рост год к году

Чистая выручка

8 796,43

9 978,59

13,4%

(6 398,47)

(7 201,70)

12,6%

2 397,96

2 776,89

15,8%

27,26%

27,83%

(1 518,88)

(1 760,15)

15,9%

10,86

27,32

151,5%

889,94

1 044,88

17,4%

Маржа EBITDA,%

10,12%

10,47%

Амортизация основных средств и нематериальных активов (217,72)

(242,70)

11,5%

EBIT

672,22

802,19

19,3%

Чистые финансовые расходы

(72,15)

(80,69)

11,8%

Прибыль до налогообложения

600,07

721,50

20,2%

Налоги

(131,15)

(161,52)

23,2%

Эффективная налоговая ставка

21,86%

22,39%

Чистая прибыль

468,91

559,99

Маржа чистой прибыли, %

5,33%

5,61%

Себестоимость реализации
Валовая прибыль

Валовая прибыль, %
SG&A
Прочие доходы/(расходы)
EBITDA

Источник: аудированная отчетность по МСФО за 1П 2013 – 1П 2014 гг.
Незначительные отклонения в расчете итогов, промежуточных итогов и/ или процентного изменения обусловлены округлением

19,4%

22

Обзор финансовых результатов

Выручка и расходы
Выручка и расходы

Динамика чистой прибыли

Рост выручки, долл.

млн. долл.

млн. долл.

+13,4%

Sales Growth, USD

+19,4%

+38,0%

+29,8%

560

469

8,8%

LFL

9 979

340

1П 2014

8 796

LFL

6 776

1П 2012

10,6%

1П 2012

1П 2013

Структура SG&A

1П 2013

1П 2014

Динамика рентабельности

Выручка — 9 979 млн. долл.

30

от SG&A,%

20%

1,77 (0,36) ― Ремонт и техническое обслуживание 2 002 млн. долл.

27,3

27,8

25,6

от выручки, %

1,88 (0,38) ― Упаковка и материалы

%

Валовая маржа

25

20

15

55,18 (11,07) ― Оплата труда и налоги, связанные с оплатой труда

9,9

10,1

10,5

5,0

5,3

5,6

1П 2012

1П 2013

1П 2014

Маржа EBIDTA

10

2,09 (0,42) ― Налоги, кроме налога на прибыль
12,08 (2,42) ― Амортизация основных средств и нематериальных активов
20,67 (4,15) ― Аренда и коммунальные платежи
6,33 (1,26) ― Прочие расходы
Источник: отчетность по МСФО за1П 2012 – 1П2014 гг.

5

Маржа чистой прибыли 0

23

Обзор финансовых результатов

Мост валовой маржи
% от выручки

+57 б.п.

+165 б.п.

33
31
27

0,26

1,77

-0,11

-0,01

27,26

Торговая маржа

Транспорт

Убытки

Валовая маржа
1П 2013

29

0,34

-0,03

27,83

Торговая маржа

Транспорт

Убытки

Валовая маржа
1П 2014

25,61

25
23
21
19
17
15
Валовая маржа
1П 2012

Мост маржи EBITDA
% от выручки
14
12

+35 б.п.

+22 б.п.
1,65

9,90

-1,00

-0,35

-0,05

-0,03

10,12

0,57

-0,19

Прочее

EBIDTA
1П 2013

Валовая маржа Аренда и коммунальные платежи

-0,24

0,21

10,47

Реклама

Прочее

EBIDTA
1П 2014

10
8
6
4
2
0
EBIDTA
1П 2012

Валовая маржа Заработная
Аренда и
Ремонт и плата коммунальные техническое платежи обслуживание

Источник: отчетность по МСФО за1П 2012 – 1П 2014 гг.

24

Обзор финансовых результатов

Свободный денежный поток млн. долл.

1П 2013
901

17

-63

-100

Анализ рабочего капитала
755

-666

14

103

Средний срок расчета с поставщиками – 36 дней

-158
-75

-130

Оборачиваемость запасов – 44 дня

1П 2014
1 056

87

-87

-111

945

-581

Рабочий капитал – 120 млн. долл. по состоянию на 30.06.2014 г.
364

-245
-183

Скорректир. Изменения в Чистые Уплаченные
EBIDTA
рабочем процентные налоги капитале расходы OCF

Скорректирована на убыток от выбытия основных средств, резерв по сомнительной дебиторской задолженности, прибыль по курсовым разницам, финансовые расходы, прибыль от выбытия дочерней компании и инвестиционные доходы
Источник: отчетность по МСФО за 1П 2013 – 1П 2014 гг.

Capex

Проч. денеж. потоки от инвест. д-ти

FCF

Рассчитывается как прирост стоимости активов + отчисления по основным средствам за соответствующий период

Выплата дивидендов Проч. денеж. потоки от инвест. д-ти

-64

CF

Не включает денежный поток от финансовой деятельности

25

Обзор финансовых результатов

Баланс
Млн. долл.

2012

2013

1П 2014

5 226,8

5 962,8

6 144,5

Прочие внеоборотные активы

130,0

176,1

169,5

Денежные средства и их эквиваленты

410,0

181,2

110,9

1 350,7

1 713,9

1 769,4

Торговая и прочая дебиторская задолженность

19,2

19,3

16,0

Авансы выданные

88,1

96,9

70,5

1,0

0,9

2,5

28,9

35,1

41,9

6,0

7,7

6,5

7 260,7

8 193,9

8 331,7

Капитал

3 267,3

3 854,7

4 070,1

Долгосрочный долг

1 259,2

1 144,0

1 618,4

202,8

258,6

270,5

1 413,1

1 471,8

1 489,9

827,1

1 109,7

394,8

-

-

-

291,2

355,1

488,0

7 260,7

8 193,9

8 331,7

АКТИВЫ
Основные средства

Запасы

Налоги к возмещению
Краткосрочные финансовые активы
Расходы будущих периодов
ИТОГО АКТИВЫ
КАПИТАЛ И ОБЯЗАТЕЛЬСТВА

Прочие долгосрочные обязательства
Торговая и прочая кредиторская задолженность
Краткосрочный долг
Дивиденды к выплате
Прочие краткосрочные обязательства
ИТОГО КАПИТАЛ И ОБЯЗАТЕЛЬСТВА

Источник: аудированная отчетность по МСФО за 2012 г. -1П 2014 г.
Незначительные отклонения в расчете итогов, промежуточных итогов и/ или процентного изменения обусловлены округлением

26

Обзор финансовых результатов

Анализ капитальных затрат
Незавершенное
строительство и здания

906

Машины и оборудование 362

Прочие активы 258

Земля

68

Приобретение дочерних компаний

2013 г.¹

$1,647 млрд.

53

План на 2014

$1,775 млрд.
Гипермаркеты

Грузовики

РЦ

Магазины у дома 80

400

4

1 100

700

85

240

220

Приобретение и строительство магазинов у дома Выкуп
Теплицы
арендованных магазинов у дома Земельные
Ремонт
участки под магазинов гипермаркеты

Техническое Магазины обслуживание дрогери магазинов 350

140

Капитальные затраты за 1П 2014 г. составляют 581 млн. долл.
Источник: Компания, по состоянию на 31.12.2013 г.; расчеты Компании

60

100

50

50

30

100

27

Обзор финансовых результатов

Долговая нагрузка
Динамика уровня долга

Кредитные показатели

Кредитный профиль

млн. долл.
Чистый долг
Краткосрочный долг
Долгосрочный дол
%
2 086
1 259

EBIDTA / Финансовые расходы
13,0

14
11,7

2 254
1 144

2 073

2 013

12
1 902

1 618

1 676

12,2

10

Безупречная кредитная история
Компании
Сотрудничество с крупнейшими банками Низкая долговая нагрузка: соотношение чистый долг / EBITDA - 0,9

8
6
1 110
4
19,6%
39,6%

827

2

49,2%

395
0

2012

2013

2012

1П 2014

2013

1П 2014

Чистый долг/ EBITDA за последние 12М
2

Долгосрочный долг составляет 80%

1,5
1,1

Около 38% долгосрочного долга составляют рублевые облигации 1

1

0,9

Отсутствие валютного риска:
100% долга номинировано в рублях, что соответствует валюте выручки Отсутствие риска изменения ставки: процентной ставки: выплата процентов осуществляется по фиксированным процентным ставкам 0,5

0
2012

Источник: отчетность по МСФО за 2012 – 1П 2014 гг.

2013

1П 2014

28

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