...STOCK MARKET CRASH OF BANGLADESH IN 2010-11 History of the stock market crashes show that ‘Bull Run’ before a stock market crash is kind of normal phenomenon. There was no exception for the stock market crash of Bangladesh in 2010-11. Most important factors that guided to the Bull Run are described here. Root of bubble Due to political conflict of Bangladesh state of emergency was declared and military took power of the country in 2007. Moreover, during military-backed regime investment in real sectors as well as FDI decreased but the inflow of foreign remittance increased. At that time, investors were looking for alternative investment sector to invest their savings and found stock market as an attractive alternative. According to Centre for Policy Dialogue (CPD) 2011, the total number of BO Account holders on 20th December, 2010 reached to 3.21 million though the number was 1.25 million in December 2009. Most of these new investors don’t have enough knowledge about the stock market but invest their most or all savings in the market. However, 238 brokerage houses opened 590 branches at 32 districts. As CPD (2011) found, there are some factors which attracts investors such as internet-based trading operation, opening branches of brokerage houses across the country, easy access to the market information, arranging a countrywide 'share mela (fair)'. Unfortunately, to chase huge capital of too many investors, there were not enough supplies of new securities through IPOs in the market...
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...BANGLADESH STOCK MARKET GROWING? KEY INDICATORS BASED ASSESSMENT Abstract This paper focuses on the growth of Bangladesh stock market over time. The market trends in terms of market capitalization, market liquidity, market concentration, number of listings, volatility in the market index and foreign portfolio investment were considered. The study finds that key indicators are significantly correlated. Stock market growth index is constructed considering market capitalization ratio; turn over ratio, value traded to GDP ratio and volatility in market index. The findings of the study suggest that although Bangladesh stock market is growing over time, the growth has not yet assumed any stable and obvious trend. We conclude that Bangladesh stock market is still at an early stage of its growth path with a small market size relative to GDP and is characterized by poor liquidity and high market concentration. Introduction Demirguc-Kunt and Levine (1996), Singh (1997) and Levine and Zervos (1998) find that stock market growth plays an important role in predicating future economic growth in situations where the stock markets are active. The arguments of Demirguc-Kunt et al. (1996) indicate that economies without well-functioning stock markets may suffer from three types of imperfections: first, opportunities for risk diversification are limited for investors and entrepreneurs, second, firms are unable to optimally structure their financing packages and third, countries...
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...[pic] PREMIER UNIVERSITY CHITTAGONG TOPIC: STOCK MARKET SITUATION AND MARKET CRASH OF BANGLADESH STOCK MARKET, 2011 PREPARED TO: TANBINA TABASSUM LECTURER, FACULTY OF BUSINESS STUDIES, PREMIER UNIVERSITY CHITTAGONG. PREPARED BY: THE DOERS SEM: 8TH, SEC: A, DEPT.: FINANCE PROGRAM: BBA, SESSION: JULY ’11 DATE OF SUBMISSION: 19 DECEMBER, 2011 GROUP NAME: THE DOERS |SL. |STUDENT NAME |ID | |1 |TRISHAN CHOWDHURY |0714111851 | |2 |NISHAT FATEMA KHANAM |0714111864 | |3 |UMME KULSUM |0714111866 | |4 |ANUPAM GUPTA |0714111848 | |5 |PARTHA SARATHI ROY CHOWDHURY |0714111859 | |6...
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...Introduction: The stock market of Bangladesh is considered to be one of the emerging markets in the context of the global financial system. The market has immense potentials for country’s industrialization, development of infrastructure in particular and economic growth in general. The government and the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) have undertaken a good number of initiatives to meet Bangladesh's development financing requirements with a particular focus on developing long term infrastructure financing and strengthening financial stability through promotion of capital market. In this regard formulation of a Master Plan is of crucial importance. Stock markets or Stock exchanges play an important role in the modern capitalized economy by providing the strength to nation's economic infrastructure. Now the stock market is one of the most important sources for companies to raise capital. Stock market allows businesses to raise additional capital for expansion by transferring the ownership of the company. It provides individuals the opportunity to invest in corporations. The size of the world stock market was estimated at about $36.6 trillion at the beginning of October 2008. In Bangladesh, there are two stock exchanges, the Dhaka Stock Exchange (DSE) and the Chittagong Stock Exchange (CSE), DSE was setup on April 28, 1954 that started formal trading in 1956. In 1995, CSE was setup. However, in its fifty-eight year’s history the stock market of Bangladesh crashed two times...
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...Literature Review on Bangladesh Stock Market Literature Review: 1 Before the decade of eighty much of the stock market literature viewed the present value of dividends to be the principal determinant of market return of stocks. LeRoy and Porter (1981) and Shiller (1981) found that under the assumption of constant discount factor stock prices were too volatile to be consistent with movement in future dividends. The decomposition of stock price movements is very sensitive to what assumption is made about the presence of permanent changes in either real dividend growth or excess stock return (Wohar & Mark, 2006). Cochrane (1992) Timmerman (1995) have argued that fluctuation in stock prices can be explained by time-varying discount rates and future excess returns. Cochrane (1992) by using an alternative methodology to decompose the variability of stock prices also found the variability of excess return to be more important than the variability of dividend growth. A lower degree of efficiency in less developed countries market might be caused by common characteristics of loose disclosure requirements as well as thinness and discontinuity of trading. It is generally assumed that the emerging markets are less efficient than the developed markets. Raihan, et al (2007) found that in Chittagong Stock Exchange (CSE) in Bangladesh, stock return series do not follow random walk model and the significant autocorrelation co-efficient at different lags do not accept the hypothesis...
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...This paper examines the state of relationship between the stock market development & economic growth in Bangladesh. As a third world country, the economic development of Bangladesh is still dependent on the ups & downs of some macroeconomic as well as capital market factors , like, GDP, real GDP, GDP growth, market capitalization, volatility of stocks, Financial Statement information and other financial factors. This paper has been prepared & presented to have a clear view about contribution of capital market to the economic growth of Bangladesh. So far I know, no analytical study regarding this issue still has not been conducted in Bangladesh. So that I’ve desired to study on this topic in a deeper detail to focus on the relationship of capital market & economic growth from both economic & accounting point of view. I also have focused on how the reporting of the Financial Statements of different institutions according to various local & international standards can have an impact in accelerating the economic advancement in Bangladesh. In assessing the impact of stock market on our country’s economy, I have used some statistical techniques & finance issues as correlation & regression analysis, measurement of cost of capital, index method etc based on the data obtained from the main stock exchange of the country DSE. The study reveals that there is a very close & positive relationship of stock market development of Bangladesh with this country’s economic growth. And also another result...
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...a new security issue before the offering has been approved by the Securities and Exchange Commission. The system of following a book building method for offering new issues through primary markets has become more popular over the conventional method of pre-determining the issue price by merchant bankers and companies, as the same enables more flexibility and transparency in the system of determining the issue price for a primary issue floated in the markets, by giving the potential investors a larger window to participate in helping the company/ merchant banker arrive at the final issue price, according to the demand and supply for instrument, at different price points. The relatively mature capital markets across the globe have established this as a simple and more acceptable and popular method for floating of new issues, rather than arbitrarily determine the issue price at a price point, in advance to the IPO, by way of expected demand for the issue, and the premium it may be able to command. However, in some of the emerging markets where capital markets have not yet become mature enough, book building method for IPO’s is still at a nascent stage. Book building method is a relatively new phenomenon of modern pricing mechanism for IPOs, which encourages companies to enlist with stock exchanges as it ensures fair pricing of initial public offerings (IPO). While in some of the developed...
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...Department of Finance and Banking Jahangirnagar University Savar, Dhaka FNB209: Financial Institutions and Markets | Executive Summary Submission of the Report on : Efficiency Analysis and Volatility Effect of Bangladesh Stock Market Submitted by:Sariful Islam(Student ID: 610)Ashfaq-ul- haq oni(Student ID: 621)Jafrin Siddique (Student ID: 1922)Zunaid Hossain (Student ID: 1928)K. M. Zeman Adnan (Student ID: 2128)William Masterson Shah (Student ID: 2129) | Submitted to:Dr. Sheikh Abu TaherLecturer,Department of Finance & BankingJahangirnagar University | August 2, 2012 Term Paper Topic: Efficiency Analysis and Volatility Effect of Bangladesh Stock Market Executive Summary: This paper empirically examines the behavior of stock returns in the Bangladesh stock market namely Dhaka Stock Exchange (DSE), the efficiency of the market in pricing securities and the relationship between stock returns and conditional volatility and the impact of some institution factors such as lock-in, circuit breaker, and caretaker government on volatility, using best known three different daily price indices DSEG, DSI and DS20. The results of autocorrelation function, results of ADF and PP tests and also the results of ARIMA models do not support the hypothesis of weak-form of market efficient of DSE. The results of GARCH (p, q)-M models indicate significant departure from the hypothesis of weak form efficiency; the tendency for returns to exhibit volatility clustering;...
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...BANGLADESH STOCK MARKET GROWING? KEY INDICATORS BASED ASSESSMENT M Khokan Bepari Assistant Professor Department of Cooperation and Marketing Faculty of Agricultural Economics & Rural Sociology Bangladesh Agricultural University, Mymensingh-2202, Bangladesh Phone: +88 01716601759 khokan552@yahoo.com Dr. Abu Mollik Senior Lecturer and Finance Discipline Leader School of Commerce and Marketing Division of Business and Informatics Central Queensland University abumollik@yahoo.com.au Abstract This paper focuses on the growth of Bangladesh stock market over time. The market trends in terms of market capitalization, market liquidity, market concentration, number of listings, volatility in the market index and foreign portfolio investment were considered. The study finds that key indicators are significantly correlated. Stock market growth index is constructed considering market capitalization ratio; turn over ratio, value traded to GDP ratio and volatility in market index. The findings of the study suggest that although Bangladesh stock market is growing over time, the growth has not yet assumed any stable and obvious trend. We conclude that Bangladesh stock market is still at an early stage of its growth path with a small market size relative to GDP and is characterized by poor liquidity and high market concentration. Introduction Demirguc-Kunt and Levine (1996), Singh (1997) and Levine and Zervos (1998) find that stock market growth plays an...
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...questionnaire. Non-probability respondents have been studied by selecting persons who do the stock trading. People, who are not involved in the trading, were not interviewed. Under the constraints of time and money samples were selected for Dhaka city only. 4.2 Data collection and procedure The data were collected from two sources: (a) Primary sources – it includes well-structured questionnaire, personal interview and observation, and (b) Secondary sources – it includes annual reports, published and unpublished articles, books, websites, newspaper etc. 4.3 Data analysis and presentation After collection of data from the different areas, those were summarized and presented in a tabular form to make the study more analytical, informative and representative to the reader using SPSS. In this study both parametric and non-parametric statistical tools were used to interpret and present data. 5. Discussion 5.1 Electronic broking Electronic broking is actually a prerequisite for complete implementation of e-Trading. An electronic market is an attempt to use information and communication technologies to provide geographically dispersed traders with the information necessary for the fair operation of the market (Whitely, 2000). The electronic market (or simply, e-market) is, in effect, a brokering service to bring together suppliers and customers in a specific market segment. These markets give the customer (or customer’s intermediary) easy access to comparative data on prices...
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...BANGLADESH STOCK MARKET GROWING? KEY INDICATORS BASED ASSESSMENT M Khokan Bepari Assistant Professor Department of Cooperation and Marketing Faculty of Agricultural Economics & Rural Sociology Bangladesh Agricultural University, Mymensingh-2202, Bangladesh Phone: +88 01716601759 khokan552@yahoo.com Dr. Abu Mollik Senior Lecturer and Finance Discipline Leader School of Commerce and Marketing Division of Business and Informatics Central Queensland University abumollik@yahoo.com.au Abstract This paper focuses on the growth of Bangladesh stock market over time. The market trends in terms of market capitalization, market liquidity, market concentration, number of listings, volatility in the market index and foreign portfolio investment were considered. The study finds that key indicators are significantly correlated. Stock market growth index is constructed considering market capitalization ratio; turn over ratio, value traded to GDP ratio and volatility in market index. The findings of the study suggest that although Bangladesh stock market is growing over time, the growth has not yet assumed any stable and obvious trend. We conclude that Bangladesh stock market is still at an early stage of its growth path with a small market size relative to GDP and is characterized by poor liquidity and high market concentration. Introduction Demirguc-Kunt and Levine (1996), Singh (1997) and Levine and Zervos (1998) find that stock market growth plays an...
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...ADMINISTRATION & ECONOMICS Identifying the Critical Issues of Stock Market: A Study on Dhaka Stock Exchange (DSE) Md. Moniruzzaman Sarker1*, Nusrat Nargis2* 1 2 Senior Lecturer, School of Business & Economics, United International University, Bangladesh. Senior Lecturer, Department of Business Administration, Daffodil International University, Bangladesh. *Corresponding author’s email: mrajib.sarker@gmail.com, mishu_fin@yahoo.com Article History Received: 19-05-2012 Accepted: 13-06-2012 Available online: 31-07-2012 ABSTRACT Bangladeshi Stock Market has experienced a big crash twice from its inception. In 1996, the market was crashed because of speculative bubble whereas; it was an asset bubble in the year 2011. The stock price was overvalued this time. Price was inflated about 500-700 percent compare to the face value. DGEN Index climbed at point 8918.51 on December 05, 2010 which signaled a steeper bubble. Our study postulates the present scenario of Bangladesh Stock Market through various quantitative and qualitative data which are extracted from the secondary sources. Quantitative data are gathered from the web site of Dhaka Stock Exchange and other qualitative data are collected from published research journals, newspapers, websites etc. This study has revealed that, Gap between the Demand and Supply of stock, extraordinary over pricing of stock, market manipulation, lack of knowledge about the stock market mechanism among the general investors, price distortion, inefficient...
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...An overview of Bangladesh Capital Market: Fraudulent Practice An overview of Bangladesh Capital Market: Fraudulent Practice Prepared for Barrister M. Zillur Rahman Lecturer, Legal Environment of Business Institute of Business Administration (IBA) University of Dhaka Prepared by Ashraful Islam Dipankar Ghosh Roll: 18 Roll: 36 MBA 45E INSTITUTE OF BUSINESS ADMINISTRATION University of Dhaka Date: January 07, 2012 i An overview of Bangladesh Capital Market: Fraudulent Practice January 07, 2012 Barrister M. Zillur Rahman Lecturer Institute of Business Administration University of Dhaka Dear Sir: Subject: Submission of the term paper “An overview of Bangladesh Capital Market: Fraudulent Practice.” We are pleased to present you our term paper “An overview of Bangladesh Capital Market: Fraudulent Practice.” We have extensively enjoyed working on this topic. It has been a very interesting and informative experience for us. While working on this report we have learnt about capital market in Bangladesh. Due to the fraudulence practice in Bangladesh capital market several people has suffered a great loss. We believe this through study on the capital market of Bangladesh will help us immensely in our future life when we will involved more with our capital market. We hope our effort will meet the level of your expectations. Your guidelines and advice have been very effective and helped us a lot to complete our report. In case of any further query, please feel...
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...Bangladesh Capital Market Brief History of Capital Market: • Concepts started in USA at Wall Street in 1653. • It came to South Asia in 1890. • The origin of Stock Market in Bangladesh goes back to 28th April 1954 named East Pakistan Stock Exchange association at Narayangonj. Later it was s renamed East Pakistan Stock Exchange Ltd and Trading was started in 1956. History of Bangladesh Capital Market: • East Pakistan Stock Exchange transferred in Dhaka in 1958. • In 1964 it was renamed as Dhaka Stock Exchange Ltd. • In 1976 Dhaka Stock Exchange Ltd started its operation with a bit different version. • Securities & Exchange Commission (SEC) was established in 1994 to enhance the efficiency of country’s capital market. • A big wing of Bangladesh capital market, Chittagong Stock Exchange (CSE) incorporated in 1995. Our Capital Market Products: • Shares • Debentures • Mutual Funds • Bonds • Derivates • Future & Options Capital Market Players: • Investors • Private Limited Company • Stock Exchange (DSE & CSE) • Brokers & Dealers • Merchant Banks • Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) • Central Depository Bangladesh Limited (CDBL) Bangladesh Capital Market: Capital market is the market for securities, where companies and governments can raise long term funds. It is a market where money is lent for periods longer than a year. Capital market includes the stock market & the...
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...Stock market crash of Bangladesh in 2010-11: Reasons & roles of regulators Sangit Saha Degree Thesis Förnamn Efternamn International Business 2012 DEGREE THESIS Arcada Degree Programme: International Business Identification number: Author: Title: 11497 Sangit Saha Stock market crash of Bangladesh in 2010-11: Reasons & roles of regulators Andreas Stenius Supervisor (Arcada): Commissioned by: Abstract: The aim of the thesis is to determine reasons of the stock market crash in Bangladesh in 2010-11 and roles of the regulators and government since the crash took place. The theoretical background of the study includes brief introduction of Bangladesh stock market with its structure and different regulatory and intermediary organizations. It also describes one international stock market crash and stock market crash of Bangladesh in 1996. For the theoretical part investigation report of Khondkar Ibrahim Khaled is used as the main secondary resource. The report helps to get background of the crash with reasons and role of different regulatory and intermediary organizations. Self-administered questionnaire is used to obtain primary data for the study. The author sent 25 questionnaires to employees of broker houses and general investors but 18 replied. The result of the Self-administered questionnaire helped author to find some other reason behind the stock market crash in addition with reasons provided in the investigation report. Moreover...
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