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Gdp, and Other Discussion Topics

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What is the economy's current stage in the business cycle?

If I were to measure economy’s current stage in the business cycle based in information regarding the GDP, I would to say that some work has to be done but we are heading towards are a better stage in the business cycle. With a historic GDP rate of 3.2% the current rate of 3.1% shows a 0.1% decrease. This however, is a 1.3% increase from this year’s first quarters. This translates into economic growth during this period but it is still not as higher (economy is not as steady) as it has been historically. There may be several factor that are influenced by the aforementioned resulting in further support of the economy’s current in the business cycle.

When looking at unemployment, though different news reports say that there are random decreases in the unemployment rate, it continues to be relatively lower than last year. Currently the unemployment rate is holding at 6.3%, a noticeable decrease from the 2013. Again, this is proof that though we are nowhere near where we should be, there are perceptible improvements and strides towards a better economic stage.

The last key indicator is the CPI that is now 236.3, an increase from last year’s index of 231.5. This shows that consumers are now able to spend more (not much) on goods. If consumers are able to spend more, there is more disposable income, which means that more people are working. This can all be linked to an improving economy.

Reference:
Consumer Price Index. (2014, January 1). Mortgage Rates Credit Cards Refinance Home CD Rates by Bankrate.com. Retrieved June 22, 2014, from

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