# Schulman, Inc

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Submitted By xsamoo
Words 889
Pages 4
In this paper, I will continue to work on A. Schulman, Inc (SHLM) along with its two biggest competitors PolyOne Corporation (POL) and Dow Chemical (DOW).
Rate Of Return
To calculate the rate of return for each of the firms for last three years, I used the adjusted yearly close price, which includes dividends and splits. ( please refer to Appendix I ). Clearly, the three companies were hurt by the financial crises. Especially in 2008, they all had losses. However, Schulman had lost the least compared to PolyOne, which was the biggest loser. After 2008 all three companies adjusted their position and gained profits. You can notice that PolyOne which recorded the highest losses in 2008, gained the highest returns in 2009 compared to the Dow and Schulman that had the least profits. In 2010, the three companies continued to earn profit but with a weaker momentum.
Expected rate of return
In order to estimate the rate of return for the following year, I have estimated the probability of having strong, normal, and weak demand. Since I believe that the market characteristics have somehow changed after the financial crises, I’ve based my estimates for the rate of return on the last 10 years with some adjustments to make it more related to after the recession period. (Refer to Appendix II)
In my estimation of the expected rate of return, the three companies will slightly continue to grow profit. Of course that depends on how long it is going to take for the oil prices to drop, due to the action in Libya. But indicators say it’s not going to take long, at least it –prices- won’t continue to grow.
Third, calculate the variance and standard deviation for each of the firms based on the example on p. 225 and equations 6-2 and6-3. Put the results in a table in the appendices and discuss the results in the memo.
Variance and standard deviation
I have based my calculation

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